Joshua Schwartz
@joshschwartz.bsky.social
Assistant Professor of Int'l Relations at Carnegie Mellon University | PhD at UPenn | Former Fellow at Harvard & MIT | I study things that go boom
joshuaaschwartz.com
joshuaaschwartz.com
Reposted by Joshua Schwartz
What real-world lessons, if any, can we draw from the recent nuclear film "A House of Dynamite?" CMIST's @joshschwartz.bsky.social cautions that the film’s core dilemma is a false one. Read his analysis, today in Modern War Institute mwi.westpoint.edu/the-false-ch...
The False Choice at the Heart of Netflix’s Nuclear War Thriller, “A House of Dynamite” - Modern War Institute
In Kathryn Bigelow’s new film, A House of Dynamite, a nuclear missile streaks toward Chicago. The president has minutes to decide whether to respond by launching America’s own nuclear weapons. It’s gr...
mwi.westpoint.edu
November 6, 2025 at 3:59 PM
What real-world lessons, if any, can we draw from the recent nuclear film "A House of Dynamite?" CMIST's @joshschwartz.bsky.social cautions that the film’s core dilemma is a false one. Read his analysis, today in Modern War Institute mwi.westpoint.edu/the-false-ch...
Netflix’s House of Dynamite is great drama, but terrible nuclear strategy. Hopefully real-world policymakers are more savvy than the fictional ones in the film. Our survival could depend on it! Check out my take t.co/eQbzUrXUFM
https://mwi.westpoint.edu/the-false-choice-at-the-heart-of-netflixs-nuclear-war-thriller-a-house-of-dynamite/
t.co
November 6, 2025 at 1:33 PM
Netflix’s House of Dynamite is great drama, but terrible nuclear strategy. Hopefully real-world policymakers are more savvy than the fictional ones in the film. Our survival could depend on it! Check out my take t.co/eQbzUrXUFM
Reposted by Joshua Schwartz
“History shows that staying power — not striking an invader’s homeland — is how the weak beat the strong.” Read the latest from CMIST’s @joshschwartz.bsky.social on why it is possible for Ukraine to win without attacking Russia, today in @post-gazette.com. www.post-gazette.com/opinion/gues...
Joshua A. Schwartz: Trump is wrong. Ukraine can win without attacking Russia
Since returning to the White House, President Trump has made ending the Russia-Ukraine War a signature foreign policy goal. But his central premise that...
www.post-gazette.com
September 11, 2025 at 4:06 PM
“History shows that staying power — not striking an invader’s homeland — is how the weak beat the strong.” Read the latest from CMIST’s @joshschwartz.bsky.social on why it is possible for Ukraine to win without attacking Russia, today in @post-gazette.com. www.post-gazette.com/opinion/gues...
Really grateful for @environmentalpol.bsky.social
shortlisting my co-authored piece on fossil fuel divestment and public opinion for the best article of the year award. Check it out for an example of a published paper that finds null effects
shortlisting my co-authored piece on fossil fuel divestment and public opinion for the best article of the year award. Check it out for an example of a published paper that finds null effects
Congratulations to CMIST’s Joshua A. Schwartz along with Paul Lendway & Abolfazl Nuri, whose article was shortlisted for the Environmental Politics Article of the Year Award 2024. Read their paper www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Fossil fuel divestment and public climate change policy preferences: an experimental test in three countries
Divestment is a prominent strategy championed by activists to induce positive social change. For example, the current fossil fuel divestment movement includes over 1,500 institutions that control $...
www.tandfonline.com
September 10, 2025 at 8:51 PM
Really grateful for @environmentalpol.bsky.social
shortlisting my co-authored piece on fossil fuel divestment and public opinion for the best article of the year award. Check it out for an example of a published paper that finds null effects
shortlisting my co-authored piece on fossil fuel divestment and public opinion for the best article of the year award. Check it out for an example of a published paper that finds null effects
Reposted by Joshua Schwartz
***Announcement***
The Summer 2025 issue is online!
Read articles by @drsarahphillips.bsky.social and Daniel Tower; @daveckang.bsky.social, Jackie S. H. Wong, and @zenobiachan.bsky.social; Wu Riqiang; Nick Anderson and Daryl Press; and Henrik Hiim and Øystein Tunsjø
direct.mit.edu/isec/issue
The Summer 2025 issue is online!
Read articles by @drsarahphillips.bsky.social and Daniel Tower; @daveckang.bsky.social, Jackie S. H. Wong, and @zenobiachan.bsky.social; Wu Riqiang; Nick Anderson and Daryl Press; and Henrik Hiim and Øystein Tunsjø
direct.mit.edu/isec/issue
Volume 50 Issue 1 | International Security | MIT Press
direct.mit.edu
August 20, 2025 at 6:15 PM
***Announcement***
The Summer 2025 issue is online!
Read articles by @drsarahphillips.bsky.social and Daniel Tower; @daveckang.bsky.social, Jackie S. H. Wong, and @zenobiachan.bsky.social; Wu Riqiang; Nick Anderson and Daryl Press; and Henrik Hiim and Øystein Tunsjø
direct.mit.edu/isec/issue
The Summer 2025 issue is online!
Read articles by @drsarahphillips.bsky.social and Daniel Tower; @daveckang.bsky.social, Jackie S. H. Wong, and @zenobiachan.bsky.social; Wu Riqiang; Nick Anderson and Daryl Press; and Henrik Hiim and Øystein Tunsjø
direct.mit.edu/isec/issue
Reposted by Joshua Schwartz
🚨 It’s publication day!
THE ART OF COERCION is finally out.
When do threats work? When they are perceived as credibly *conditional*. Credible and painful punishments are not enough.
Threats fail if targets feel “damned if they do and damned if they don’t.”
shorturl.at/qa4T5
THE ART OF COERCION is finally out.
When do threats work? When they are perceived as credibly *conditional*. Credible and painful punishments are not enough.
Threats fail if targets feel “damned if they do and damned if they don’t.”
shorturl.at/qa4T5
The Art of Coercion by Reid B. C. Pauly | Paperback | Cornell University Press
The Art of Coercion presents a fresh explanation for the success—and failure—of coercive demands in international politics.Strong states are surprisingly bad at coercion. History shows they prevail...
www.cornellpress.cornell.edu
August 15, 2025 at 3:34 PM
🚨 It’s publication day!
THE ART OF COERCION is finally out.
When do threats work? When they are perceived as credibly *conditional*. Credible and painful punishments are not enough.
Threats fail if targets feel “damned if they do and damned if they don’t.”
shorturl.at/qa4T5
THE ART OF COERCION is finally out.
When do threats work? When they are perceived as credibly *conditional*. Credible and painful punishments are not enough.
Threats fail if targets feel “damned if they do and damned if they don’t.”
shorturl.at/qa4T5
Reposted by Joshua Schwartz
I sat down with @joshschwartz.bsky.social to discuss a bunch of big issues with drones: the frontlines in Ukraine, Russian targeting of Ukrainian cities, Operation Spiderweb, the Israel-Iran War, and U.S. investment decisions on drones.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=Femj...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=Femj...
Asymmetric Challenge: Stalemates, Strikes, and Strategy in the Age of Drones (Feat. Joshua Schwartz)
YouTube video by Lines on Maps Extra
www.youtube.com
July 18, 2025 at 3:02 PM
I sat down with @joshschwartz.bsky.social to discuss a bunch of big issues with drones: the frontlines in Ukraine, Russian targeting of Ukrainian cities, Operation Spiderweb, the Israel-Iran War, and U.S. investment decisions on drones.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=Femj...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=Femj...
Reposted by Joshua Schwartz
How can the United States adapt to the changing nature of war? Read the latest by @mchorowitz.bsky.social, @laurenakahn.bsky.social, and CMIST’s @joshschwartz.bsky.social in @foreignaffairs.com www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
What Drones Can—and Cannot—Do on the Battlefield
The Pentagon should learn from Israel and Ukraine.
www.foreignaffairs.com
July 16, 2025 at 2:01 PM
How can the United States adapt to the changing nature of war? Read the latest by @mchorowitz.bsky.social, @laurenakahn.bsky.social, and CMIST’s @joshschwartz.bsky.social in @foreignaffairs.com www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
Want to teach a rigorous—but fun + engaging—course on American foreign policy through the lens of film? I outline how to do so in a new article in @jpseeditors.bsky.social! From Dr. Strangelove & Battle of Algiers to Mulan & Star Trek, there's lots of connections
www.tandfonline.com/eprint/YX3CZ...
www.tandfonline.com/eprint/YX3CZ...
Popcorn and Politics: A Course on American Foreign Policy and Film
Integrating film into traditional political science courses can provide powerful benefits. Most notably, it can increase student excitement about and thus engagement with a course. This paper offer...
www.tandfonline.com
July 8, 2025 at 12:56 PM
Want to teach a rigorous—but fun + engaging—course on American foreign policy through the lens of film? I outline how to do so in a new article in @jpseeditors.bsky.social! From Dr. Strangelove & Battle of Algiers to Mulan & Star Trek, there's lots of connections
www.tandfonline.com/eprint/YX3CZ...
www.tandfonline.com/eprint/YX3CZ...
Reposted by Joshua Schwartz
How can the United States prepare for the future of warfare? Read the latest by @mchorowitz.bsky.social, @laurenakahn.bsky.social, and CMIST’s @joshschwartz.bsky.social in @foreignaffairs.com on how the U.S. can adapt to the changing nature of war www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
What Drones Can—and Cannot—Do on the Battlefield
The Pentagon should learn from Israel and Ukraine.
www.foreignaffairs.com
July 7, 2025 at 3:08 PM
How can the United States prepare for the future of warfare? Read the latest by @mchorowitz.bsky.social, @laurenakahn.bsky.social, and CMIST’s @joshschwartz.bsky.social in @foreignaffairs.com on how the U.S. can adapt to the changing nature of war www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
Reposted by Joshua Schwartz
"If the Pentagon does not adjust to the new realities of warfare, it will lose the ability to deter adversaries’ aggression before it occurs" write @mchorowitz.bsky.social, @laurenakahn.bsky.social, & @joshschwartz.bsky.social in @foreignaffairs.com. Read here:
www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
What Drones Can—and Cannot—Do on the Battlefield
The Pentagon should learn from Israel and Ukraine.
www.foreignaffairs.com
July 4, 2025 at 3:11 PM
"If the Pentagon does not adjust to the new realities of warfare, it will lose the ability to deter adversaries’ aggression before it occurs" write @mchorowitz.bsky.social, @laurenakahn.bsky.social, & @joshschwartz.bsky.social in @foreignaffairs.com. Read here:
www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
Reposted by Joshua Schwartz
“If the Pentagon does not adjust to the new realities of warfare, it will lose the ability to deter adversaries’ aggression before it occurs—and perhaps the ability to win wars,” warn @mchorowitz.bsky.social, @laurenakahn.bsky.social, and @joshschwartz.bsky.social.
What Drones Can—and Cannot—Do on the Battlefield
The Pentagon should learn from Israel and Ukraine.
www.foreignaffairs.com
July 4, 2025 at 1:43 PM
“If the Pentagon does not adjust to the new realities of warfare, it will lose the ability to deter adversaries’ aggression before it occurs—and perhaps the ability to win wars,” warn @mchorowitz.bsky.social, @laurenakahn.bsky.social, and @joshschwartz.bsky.social.
What does the Israel-Iran War / Russia-Ukraine War suggest about emerging tech and the future of warfare? Excited to have a new @foreignaffairs.com article w/ @mchorowitz.bsky.social + @laurenakahn.bsky.social on how to bring balance to the (military) force www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
What Drones Can—and Cannot—Do on the Battlefield
The Pentagon should learn from Israel and Ukraine.
www.foreignaffairs.com
July 4, 2025 at 12:51 PM
What does the Israel-Iran War / Russia-Ukraine War suggest about emerging tech and the future of warfare? Excited to have a new @foreignaffairs.com article w/ @mchorowitz.bsky.social + @laurenakahn.bsky.social on how to bring balance to the (military) force www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
So many questions about this attack, but one big one—Where is the highly-enriched uranium Iran had already produced?? Was it destroyed? If not, that seems like a huge problem for preventing Iran from getting a nuke in the short to medium term. There’s also a long-term issue with the attack (1/3)
June 22, 2025 at 1:49 PM
So many questions about this attack, but one big one—Where is the highly-enriched uranium Iran had already produced?? Was it destroyed? If not, that seems like a huge problem for preventing Iran from getting a nuke in the short to medium term. There’s also a long-term issue with the attack (1/3)
Reposted by Joshua Schwartz
How are drones transforming modern warfare? On today's episode of CBC's Front Burner, CMIST's @joshschwartz.bsky.social joins Jayme Poisson to explain how drones have become increasingly important to both sides of the Ukraine-Russia war and in conflicts around the world. www.cbc.ca/listen/cbc-p...
Cheap and deadly: How drones are reshaping war | Front Burner | CBC Podcasts | CBC Listen
On Sunday, Ukraine launched Operation Spider’s Web, a surprise drone attack that went deep inside Russia, reaching as far as Siberia for the first time.
Ukraine says 117 drones were smuggled into Ru...
www.cbc.ca
June 6, 2025 at 2:26 PM
How are drones transforming modern warfare? On today's episode of CBC's Front Burner, CMIST's @joshschwartz.bsky.social joins Jayme Poisson to explain how drones have become increasingly important to both sides of the Ukraine-Russia war and in conflicts around the world. www.cbc.ca/listen/cbc-p...
How are drones reshaping war in light of Ukraine's successful surprise attack against Russian airbases? I had an opportunity to join the @cbcnews-rss.bsky.social Front Burner podcast (Canada's version of the NYT Daily) to discuss
www.cbc.ca/listen/cbc-p...
www.cbc.ca/listen/cbc-p...
Cheap and deadly: How drones are reshaping war | Front Burner | CBC Podcasts | CBC Listen
On Sunday, Ukraine launched Operation Spider’s Web, a surprise drone attack that went deep inside Russia, reaching as far as Siberia for the first time.
Ukraine says 117 drones were smuggled into Ru...
www.cbc.ca
June 6, 2025 at 12:05 PM
How are drones reshaping war in light of Ukraine's successful surprise attack against Russian airbases? I had an opportunity to join the @cbcnews-rss.bsky.social Front Burner podcast (Canada's version of the NYT Daily) to discuss
www.cbc.ca/listen/cbc-p...
www.cbc.ca/listen/cbc-p...
Reposted by Joshua Schwartz
What explains the dramatic swings in US foreign policy we're seeing? Besides a democratic peace, I argue in a new co-authored @apsa-preprints.bsky.social that there is also a Right-Wing Peace and a Left-Wing Peace. Come for the experiments and stay for the MIDs analysis go.shr.lc/4jucw6O
The Left-Wing Peace & The Right-Wing Peace
How strong is the nexus between domestic and international politics? The democratic peace contends that democracies do not fight interstate wars against each other. We argue there is also a “left-wing...
go.shr.lc
June 1, 2025 at 3:50 PM
What explains the dramatic swings in US foreign policy we're seeing? Besides a democratic peace, I argue in a new co-authored @apsa-preprints.bsky.social that there is also a Right-Wing Peace and a Left-Wing Peace. Come for the experiments and stay for the MIDs analysis go.shr.lc/4jucw6O
Reposted by Joshua Schwartz
Does politics stop at the water's edge? Nope! Dom Tierney and I argue in a new @apsa-preprints.bsky.social working paper that domestic left-right divisions over culture war issues like immigration and LGBTQ rights are bleeding over into foreign policy. Read more below
New submission to APSA Preprints: The Left-Wing Peace & The Right-Wing Peace
Check it out here: https://dx.doi.org/10.33774/apsa-2025-pq9zd?rft_dat=source%3Ddrss
Check it out here: https://dx.doi.org/10.33774/apsa-2025-pq9zd?rft_dat=source%3Ddrss
June 1, 2025 at 3:56 PM
Does politics stop at the water's edge? Nope! Dom Tierney and I argue in a new @apsa-preprints.bsky.social working paper that domestic left-right divisions over culture war issues like immigration and LGBTQ rights are bleeding over into foreign policy. Read more below
Does politics stop at the water's edge? Nope! Dom Tierney and I argue in a new @apsa-preprints.bsky.social working paper that domestic left-right divisions over culture war issues like immigration and LGBTQ rights are bleeding over into foreign policy. Read more below
New submission to APSA Preprints: The Left-Wing Peace & The Right-Wing Peace
Check it out here: https://dx.doi.org/10.33774/apsa-2025-pq9zd?rft_dat=source%3Ddrss
Check it out here: https://dx.doi.org/10.33774/apsa-2025-pq9zd?rft_dat=source%3Ddrss
June 1, 2025 at 3:56 PM
Does politics stop at the water's edge? Nope! Dom Tierney and I argue in a new @apsa-preprints.bsky.social working paper that domestic left-right divisions over culture war issues like immigration and LGBTQ rights are bleeding over into foreign policy. Read more below
What explains the dramatic swings in US foreign policy we're seeing? Besides a democratic peace, I argue in a new co-authored @apsa-preprints.bsky.social that there is also a Right-Wing Peace and a Left-Wing Peace. Come for the experiments and stay for the MIDs analysis go.shr.lc/4jucw6O
The Left-Wing Peace & The Right-Wing Peace
How strong is the nexus between domestic and international politics? The democratic peace contends that democracies do not fight interstate wars against each other. We argue there is also a “left-wing...
go.shr.lc
June 1, 2025 at 3:50 PM
What explains the dramatic swings in US foreign policy we're seeing? Besides a democratic peace, I argue in a new co-authored @apsa-preprints.bsky.social that there is also a Right-Wing Peace and a Left-Wing Peace. Come for the experiments and stay for the MIDs analysis go.shr.lc/4jucw6O
Reposted by Joshua Schwartz
New submission to APSA Preprints: The Left-Wing Peace & The Right-Wing Peace
Check it out here: https://dx.doi.org/10.33774/apsa-2025-pq9zd?rft_dat=source%3Ddrss
Check it out here: https://dx.doi.org/10.33774/apsa-2025-pq9zd?rft_dat=source%3Ddrss
May 29, 2025 at 9:29 PM
New submission to APSA Preprints: The Left-Wing Peace & The Right-Wing Peace
Check it out here: https://dx.doi.org/10.33774/apsa-2025-pq9zd?rft_dat=source%3Ddrss
Check it out here: https://dx.doi.org/10.33774/apsa-2025-pq9zd?rft_dat=source%3Ddrss
Reposted by Joshua Schwartz
yes this is famously how free societies treat their universities
Linda McMahon: "Universities should continue to be able to do research as long as they're abiding by the laws and in sync, I think, with the administration and what the administration is trying to accomplish."
May 28, 2025 at 3:03 PM
yes this is famously how free societies treat their universities
It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, Mad World
responsiblestatecraft.org/trump-tariffs/
responsiblestatecraft.org/trump-tariffs/
The hidden costs of Trump's 'madman' approach to tariffs
The downsides of his trade policies are symptoms of a larger strategic flaw
responsiblestatecraft.org
May 13, 2025 at 9:12 PM
It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, Mad World
responsiblestatecraft.org/trump-tariffs/
responsiblestatecraft.org/trump-tariffs/
Does the madman theory of int'l politics justify Trump's trade war? I'm skeptical because trade wars are two-level games and the madman strategy is often unpopular among domestic audiences. Check out my take in Responsible Statecraft
responsiblestatecraft.org/trump-tariffs/
responsiblestatecraft.org/trump-tariffs/
The hidden costs of Trump's 'madman' approach to tariffs
The downsides of his trade policies are symptoms of a larger strategic flaw
responsiblestatecraft.org
May 12, 2025 at 12:44 PM
Does the madman theory of int'l politics justify Trump's trade war? I'm skeptical because trade wars are two-level games and the madman strategy is often unpopular among domestic audiences. Check out my take in Responsible Statecraft
responsiblestatecraft.org/trump-tariffs/
responsiblestatecraft.org/trump-tariffs/
Reposted by Joshua Schwartz
You have to wonder what Mark Carney's other two wishes were after rubbing that bottle
April 28, 2025 at 1:08 PM
You have to wonder what Mark Carney's other two wishes were after rubbing that bottle