Joshua Schwartz
@joshschwartz.bsky.social
Assistant Professor of Int'l Relations at Carnegie Mellon University | PhD at UPenn | Former Fellow at Harvard & MIT | I study things that go boom
joshuaaschwartz.com
joshuaaschwartz.com
Reposted by Joshua Schwartz
What factors increase the credibility and effectiveness of nuclear threats? New research by CMIST’s @joshschwartz.bsky.social and UPenn's @mchorowitz.bsky.social highlights the dangers of countries adopting automated nuclear systems for malign purposes.
Read: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Read: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Delegating Destruction: Coercive Threats and Automated Nuclear Systems | International Organization | Cambridge Core
Delegating Destruction: Coercive Threats and Automated Nuclear Systems
www.cambridge.org
February 2, 2026 at 6:05 PM
What factors increase the credibility and effectiveness of nuclear threats? New research by CMIST’s @joshschwartz.bsky.social and UPenn's @mchorowitz.bsky.social highlights the dangers of countries adopting automated nuclear systems for malign purposes.
Read: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Read: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Reposted by Joshua Schwartz
Automated nuclear weapons systems are not just a Hollywood plot device.
In this #Firstview article, @joshschwartz.bsky.social and @mchorowitz.bsky.social evaluate how they could impact the credibility and effectiveness of nuclear threats.
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
In this #Firstview article, @joshschwartz.bsky.social and @mchorowitz.bsky.social evaluate how they could impact the credibility and effectiveness of nuclear threats.
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Delegating Destruction: Coercive Threats and Automated Nuclear Systems | International Organization | Cambridge Core
Delegating Destruction: Coercive Threats and Automated Nuclear Systems
nam12.safelinks.protection.outlook.com
February 2, 2026 at 5:38 PM
Automated nuclear weapons systems are not just a Hollywood plot device.
In this #Firstview article, @joshschwartz.bsky.social and @mchorowitz.bsky.social evaluate how they could impact the credibility and effectiveness of nuclear threats.
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
In this #Firstview article, @joshschwartz.bsky.social and @mchorowitz.bsky.social evaluate how they could impact the credibility and effectiveness of nuclear threats.
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Reposted by Joshua Schwartz
#OpenAccess from @iojournal.bsky.social -
Delegating Destruction: Coercive Threats and Automated Nuclear Systems - https://cup.org/49YGNct
- @joshschwartz.bsky.social & @mchorowitz.bsky.social
#FirstView
Delegating Destruction: Coercive Threats and Automated Nuclear Systems - https://cup.org/49YGNct
- @joshschwartz.bsky.social & @mchorowitz.bsky.social
#FirstView
January 30, 2026 at 4:20 PM
#OpenAccess from @iojournal.bsky.social -
Delegating Destruction: Coercive Threats and Automated Nuclear Systems - https://cup.org/49YGNct
- @joshschwartz.bsky.social & @mchorowitz.bsky.social
#FirstView
Delegating Destruction: Coercive Threats and Automated Nuclear Systems - https://cup.org/49YGNct
- @joshschwartz.bsky.social & @mchorowitz.bsky.social
#FirstView
Reposted by Joshua Schwartz
“We find concerning evidence that automated nuclear weapons launch systems may enhance the credibility and effectiveness of nuclear threats,” write @joshschwartz.bsky.social, SSP visiting scholar, & @mchorowitz.bsky.social in their latest article for International Organization https://bit.ly/3LLxxPA
January 30, 2026 at 3:58 PM
“We find concerning evidence that automated nuclear weapons launch systems may enhance the credibility and effectiveness of nuclear threats,” write @joshschwartz.bsky.social, SSP visiting scholar, & @mchorowitz.bsky.social in their latest article for International Organization https://bit.ly/3LLxxPA
Interested in teaching an engaging but rigorous course on American foreign policy and film? Check out my guide for how to do so in @jpseeditors.bsky.social. First 50 readers get free access!
www.tandfonline.com/eprint/YX3CZ...
www.tandfonline.com/eprint/YX3CZ...
Popcorn and Politics: A Course on American Foreign Policy and Film
Integrating film into traditional political science courses can provide powerful benefits. Most notably, it can increase student excitement about and thus engagement with a course. This paper offer...
www.tandfonline.com
January 24, 2026 at 4:14 PM
Interested in teaching an engaging but rigorous course on American foreign policy and film? Check out my guide for how to do so in @jpseeditors.bsky.social. First 50 readers get free access!
www.tandfonline.com/eprint/YX3CZ...
www.tandfonline.com/eprint/YX3CZ...
@dandrezner.bsky.social We need the toddler-in-chief thread back for its pièce de résistance!
www.nytimes.com/2026/01/19/w...
www.nytimes.com/2026/01/19/w...
Denied Peace Prize, Trump Tells Norway He’ll Push for Greenland
www.nytimes.com
January 19, 2026 at 1:49 PM
@dandrezner.bsky.social We need the toddler-in-chief thread back for its pièce de résistance!
www.nytimes.com/2026/01/19/w...
www.nytimes.com/2026/01/19/w...
Wondering how domestic polarization is bleeding over into foreign policy? Interested in why Trump is cozying up to right-wing countries like El Salvador + Russia while menacing left-wing Venezuela + Denmark? Check out my updated working paper w/ Dom Tierney
preprints.apsanet.org/engage/apsa/...
preprints.apsanet.org/engage/apsa/...
The Ideological Peace
How does ideology impact international politics? Scholars have highlighted the role of ideological preferences about the appropriate process of policymaking, especially democracy versus nondemocracy. ...
preprints.apsanet.org
January 16, 2026 at 8:49 PM
Wondering how domestic polarization is bleeding over into foreign policy? Interested in why Trump is cozying up to right-wing countries like El Salvador + Russia while menacing left-wing Venezuela + Denmark? Check out my updated working paper w/ Dom Tierney
preprints.apsanet.org/engage/apsa/...
preprints.apsanet.org/engage/apsa/...
Reposted by Joshua Schwartz
"The use of history to shed light on current events can be dangerously misleading. The parallels are never exactly parallel." Read the latest from CMIST’s @joshschwartz.bsky.social and Paul Lendway at Stanford, via Pittsburgh Post-Gazette: www.post-gazette.com/opinion/insi...
Joshua Schwartz and Paul Lendway: Is Venezuela Iraq or Panama? Failure or success?
The Trump administration’s audacious military action against Venezuela has split commentators into two camps, depending on how they read the situation...
www.post-gazette.com
January 12, 2026 at 6:43 PM
"The use of history to shed light on current events can be dangerously misleading. The parallels are never exactly parallel." Read the latest from CMIST’s @joshschwartz.bsky.social and Paul Lendway at Stanford, via Pittsburgh Post-Gazette: www.post-gazette.com/opinion/insi...
Reposted by Joshua Schwartz
"However, neither Iraq nor Panama offers a perfect match to the present situation. The use of history to shed light on current events can be dangerously misleading. The parallels are never exactly parallel." @joshschwartz.bsky.social & Paul Lendway
www.post-gazette.com/opinion/insi...
www.post-gazette.com/opinion/insi...
Joshua Schwartz and Paul Lendway: Is Venezuela Iraq or Panama? Failure or success?
The Trump administration’s audacious military action against Venezuela has split commentators into two camps, depending on how they read the situation...
www.post-gazette.com
January 11, 2026 at 7:16 PM
"However, neither Iraq nor Panama offers a perfect match to the present situation. The use of history to shed light on current events can be dangerously misleading. The parallels are never exactly parallel." @joshschwartz.bsky.social & Paul Lendway
www.post-gazette.com/opinion/insi...
www.post-gazette.com/opinion/insi...
Reposted by Joshua Schwartz
Historical analogies are omnipresent in foreign policy debates—like accusations that Trump's Russia-Ukraine peace plan is akin to appeasing Hitler. But are analogies an effective rhetorical tool? Check out my new article w/ @chriswblair.bsky.social & Paul Lendway.
doi.org/10.1177/0022...
doi.org/10.1177/0022...
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
doi.org
December 8, 2025 at 1:12 PM
Historical analogies are omnipresent in foreign policy debates—like accusations that Trump's Russia-Ukraine peace plan is akin to appeasing Hitler. But are analogies an effective rhetorical tool? Check out my new article w/ @chriswblair.bsky.social & Paul Lendway.
doi.org/10.1177/0022...
doi.org/10.1177/0022...
Reposted by Joshua Schwartz
Do historical analogies shape public opinion about foreign policymaking? Read the latest research by @chriswblair.bsky.social, Paul Lendway, and CMIST's @joshschwartz.bsky.social in the Journal of Conflict Resolution. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Historical Analogies and Public Support for Foreign Policy Action - Christopher Blair, Paul Lendway, Joshua A. Schwartz, 2025
Politicians frequently use historical analogies to justify their preferred foreign policies. However, despite their prevalence, it remains unclear whether, how,...
journals.sagepub.com
December 8, 2025 at 3:04 PM
Do historical analogies shape public opinion about foreign policymaking? Read the latest research by @chriswblair.bsky.social, Paul Lendway, and CMIST's @joshschwartz.bsky.social in the Journal of Conflict Resolution. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Historical analogies are omnipresent in foreign policy debates—like accusations that Trump's Russia-Ukraine peace plan is akin to appeasing Hitler. But are analogies an effective rhetorical tool? Check out my new article w/ @chriswblair.bsky.social & Paul Lendway.
doi.org/10.1177/0022...
doi.org/10.1177/0022...
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
doi.org
December 8, 2025 at 1:12 PM
Historical analogies are omnipresent in foreign policy debates—like accusations that Trump's Russia-Ukraine peace plan is akin to appeasing Hitler. But are analogies an effective rhetorical tool? Check out my new article w/ @chriswblair.bsky.social & Paul Lendway.
doi.org/10.1177/0022...
doi.org/10.1177/0022...
Reposted by Joshua Schwartz
What real-world lessons, if any, can we draw from the recent nuclear film "A House of Dynamite?" CMIST's @joshschwartz.bsky.social cautions that the film’s core dilemma is a false one. Read his analysis, today in Modern War Institute mwi.westpoint.edu/the-false-ch...
The False Choice at the Heart of Netflix’s Nuclear War Thriller, “A House of Dynamite” - Modern War Institute
In Kathryn Bigelow’s new film, A House of Dynamite, a nuclear missile streaks toward Chicago. The president has minutes to decide whether to respond by launching America’s own nuclear weapons. It’s gr...
mwi.westpoint.edu
November 6, 2025 at 3:59 PM
What real-world lessons, if any, can we draw from the recent nuclear film "A House of Dynamite?" CMIST's @joshschwartz.bsky.social cautions that the film’s core dilemma is a false one. Read his analysis, today in Modern War Institute mwi.westpoint.edu/the-false-ch...
Netflix’s House of Dynamite is great drama, but terrible nuclear strategy. Hopefully real-world policymakers are more savvy than the fictional ones in the film. Our survival could depend on it! Check out my take t.co/eQbzUrXUFM
https://mwi.westpoint.edu/the-false-choice-at-the-heart-of-netflixs-nuclear-war-thriller-a-house-of-dynamite/
t.co
November 6, 2025 at 1:33 PM
Netflix’s House of Dynamite is great drama, but terrible nuclear strategy. Hopefully real-world policymakers are more savvy than the fictional ones in the film. Our survival could depend on it! Check out my take t.co/eQbzUrXUFM
Reposted by Joshua Schwartz
“History shows that staying power — not striking an invader’s homeland — is how the weak beat the strong.” Read the latest from CMIST’s @joshschwartz.bsky.social on why it is possible for Ukraine to win without attacking Russia, today in @post-gazette.com. www.post-gazette.com/opinion/gues...
Joshua A. Schwartz: Trump is wrong. Ukraine can win without attacking Russia
Since returning to the White House, President Trump has made ending the Russia-Ukraine War a signature foreign policy goal. But his central premise that...
www.post-gazette.com
September 11, 2025 at 4:06 PM
“History shows that staying power — not striking an invader’s homeland — is how the weak beat the strong.” Read the latest from CMIST’s @joshschwartz.bsky.social on why it is possible for Ukraine to win without attacking Russia, today in @post-gazette.com. www.post-gazette.com/opinion/gues...
Really grateful for @environmentalpol.bsky.social
shortlisting my co-authored piece on fossil fuel divestment and public opinion for the best article of the year award. Check it out for an example of a published paper that finds null effects
shortlisting my co-authored piece on fossil fuel divestment and public opinion for the best article of the year award. Check it out for an example of a published paper that finds null effects
Congratulations to CMIST’s Joshua A. Schwartz along with Paul Lendway & Abolfazl Nuri, whose article was shortlisted for the Environmental Politics Article of the Year Award 2024. Read their paper www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Fossil fuel divestment and public climate change policy preferences: an experimental test in three countries
Divestment is a prominent strategy championed by activists to induce positive social change. For example, the current fossil fuel divestment movement includes over 1,500 institutions that control $...
www.tandfonline.com
September 10, 2025 at 8:51 PM
Really grateful for @environmentalpol.bsky.social
shortlisting my co-authored piece on fossil fuel divestment and public opinion for the best article of the year award. Check it out for an example of a published paper that finds null effects
shortlisting my co-authored piece on fossil fuel divestment and public opinion for the best article of the year award. Check it out for an example of a published paper that finds null effects
Reposted by Joshua Schwartz
***Announcement***
The Summer 2025 issue is online!
Read articles by @drsarahphillips.bsky.social and Daniel Tower; @daveckang.bsky.social, Jackie S. H. Wong, and @zenobiachan.bsky.social; Wu Riqiang; Nick Anderson and Daryl Press; and Henrik Hiim and Øystein Tunsjø
direct.mit.edu/isec/issue
The Summer 2025 issue is online!
Read articles by @drsarahphillips.bsky.social and Daniel Tower; @daveckang.bsky.social, Jackie S. H. Wong, and @zenobiachan.bsky.social; Wu Riqiang; Nick Anderson and Daryl Press; and Henrik Hiim and Øystein Tunsjø
direct.mit.edu/isec/issue
Volume 50 Issue 1 | International Security | MIT Press
direct.mit.edu
August 20, 2025 at 6:15 PM
***Announcement***
The Summer 2025 issue is online!
Read articles by @drsarahphillips.bsky.social and Daniel Tower; @daveckang.bsky.social, Jackie S. H. Wong, and @zenobiachan.bsky.social; Wu Riqiang; Nick Anderson and Daryl Press; and Henrik Hiim and Øystein Tunsjø
direct.mit.edu/isec/issue
The Summer 2025 issue is online!
Read articles by @drsarahphillips.bsky.social and Daniel Tower; @daveckang.bsky.social, Jackie S. H. Wong, and @zenobiachan.bsky.social; Wu Riqiang; Nick Anderson and Daryl Press; and Henrik Hiim and Øystein Tunsjø
direct.mit.edu/isec/issue
Reposted by Joshua Schwartz
🚨 It’s publication day!
THE ART OF COERCION is finally out.
When do threats work? When they are perceived as credibly *conditional*. Credible and painful punishments are not enough.
Threats fail if targets feel “damned if they do and damned if they don’t.”
shorturl.at/qa4T5
THE ART OF COERCION is finally out.
When do threats work? When they are perceived as credibly *conditional*. Credible and painful punishments are not enough.
Threats fail if targets feel “damned if they do and damned if they don’t.”
shorturl.at/qa4T5
The Art of Coercion by Reid B. C. Pauly | Paperback | Cornell University Press
The Art of Coercion presents a fresh explanation for the success—and failure—of coercive demands in international politics.Strong states are surprisingly bad at coercion. History shows they prevail...
www.cornellpress.cornell.edu
August 15, 2025 at 3:34 PM
🚨 It’s publication day!
THE ART OF COERCION is finally out.
When do threats work? When they are perceived as credibly *conditional*. Credible and painful punishments are not enough.
Threats fail if targets feel “damned if they do and damned if they don’t.”
shorturl.at/qa4T5
THE ART OF COERCION is finally out.
When do threats work? When they are perceived as credibly *conditional*. Credible and painful punishments are not enough.
Threats fail if targets feel “damned if they do and damned if they don’t.”
shorturl.at/qa4T5
Reposted by Joshua Schwartz
I sat down with @joshschwartz.bsky.social to discuss a bunch of big issues with drones: the frontlines in Ukraine, Russian targeting of Ukrainian cities, Operation Spiderweb, the Israel-Iran War, and U.S. investment decisions on drones.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=Femj...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=Femj...
Asymmetric Challenge: Stalemates, Strikes, and Strategy in the Age of Drones (Feat. Joshua Schwartz)
YouTube video by Lines on Maps Extra
www.youtube.com
July 18, 2025 at 3:02 PM
I sat down with @joshschwartz.bsky.social to discuss a bunch of big issues with drones: the frontlines in Ukraine, Russian targeting of Ukrainian cities, Operation Spiderweb, the Israel-Iran War, and U.S. investment decisions on drones.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=Femj...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=Femj...
Reposted by Joshua Schwartz
How can the United States adapt to the changing nature of war? Read the latest by @mchorowitz.bsky.social, @laurenakahn.bsky.social, and CMIST’s @joshschwartz.bsky.social in @foreignaffairs.com www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
What Drones Can—and Cannot—Do on the Battlefield
The Pentagon should learn from Israel and Ukraine.
www.foreignaffairs.com
July 16, 2025 at 2:01 PM
How can the United States adapt to the changing nature of war? Read the latest by @mchorowitz.bsky.social, @laurenakahn.bsky.social, and CMIST’s @joshschwartz.bsky.social in @foreignaffairs.com www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
Want to teach a rigorous—but fun + engaging—course on American foreign policy through the lens of film? I outline how to do so in a new article in @jpseeditors.bsky.social! From Dr. Strangelove & Battle of Algiers to Mulan & Star Trek, there's lots of connections
www.tandfonline.com/eprint/YX3CZ...
www.tandfonline.com/eprint/YX3CZ...
Popcorn and Politics: A Course on American Foreign Policy and Film
Integrating film into traditional political science courses can provide powerful benefits. Most notably, it can increase student excitement about and thus engagement with a course. This paper offer...
www.tandfonline.com
July 8, 2025 at 12:56 PM
Want to teach a rigorous—but fun + engaging—course on American foreign policy through the lens of film? I outline how to do so in a new article in @jpseeditors.bsky.social! From Dr. Strangelove & Battle of Algiers to Mulan & Star Trek, there's lots of connections
www.tandfonline.com/eprint/YX3CZ...
www.tandfonline.com/eprint/YX3CZ...
Reposted by Joshua Schwartz
How can the United States prepare for the future of warfare? Read the latest by @mchorowitz.bsky.social, @laurenakahn.bsky.social, and CMIST’s @joshschwartz.bsky.social in @foreignaffairs.com on how the U.S. can adapt to the changing nature of war www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
What Drones Can—and Cannot—Do on the Battlefield
The Pentagon should learn from Israel and Ukraine.
www.foreignaffairs.com
July 7, 2025 at 3:08 PM
How can the United States prepare for the future of warfare? Read the latest by @mchorowitz.bsky.social, @laurenakahn.bsky.social, and CMIST’s @joshschwartz.bsky.social in @foreignaffairs.com on how the U.S. can adapt to the changing nature of war www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
Reposted by Joshua Schwartz
"If the Pentagon does not adjust to the new realities of warfare, it will lose the ability to deter adversaries’ aggression before it occurs" write @mchorowitz.bsky.social, @laurenakahn.bsky.social, & @joshschwartz.bsky.social in @foreignaffairs.com. Read here:
www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
What Drones Can—and Cannot—Do on the Battlefield
The Pentagon should learn from Israel and Ukraine.
www.foreignaffairs.com
July 4, 2025 at 3:11 PM
"If the Pentagon does not adjust to the new realities of warfare, it will lose the ability to deter adversaries’ aggression before it occurs" write @mchorowitz.bsky.social, @laurenakahn.bsky.social, & @joshschwartz.bsky.social in @foreignaffairs.com. Read here:
www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
Reposted by Joshua Schwartz
“If the Pentagon does not adjust to the new realities of warfare, it will lose the ability to deter adversaries’ aggression before it occurs—and perhaps the ability to win wars,” warn @mchorowitz.bsky.social, @laurenakahn.bsky.social, and @joshschwartz.bsky.social.
What Drones Can—and Cannot—Do on the Battlefield
The Pentagon should learn from Israel and Ukraine.
www.foreignaffairs.com
July 4, 2025 at 1:43 PM
“If the Pentagon does not adjust to the new realities of warfare, it will lose the ability to deter adversaries’ aggression before it occurs—and perhaps the ability to win wars,” warn @mchorowitz.bsky.social, @laurenakahn.bsky.social, and @joshschwartz.bsky.social.
What does the Israel-Iran War / Russia-Ukraine War suggest about emerging tech and the future of warfare? Excited to have a new @foreignaffairs.com article w/ @mchorowitz.bsky.social + @laurenakahn.bsky.social on how to bring balance to the (military) force www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
What Drones Can—and Cannot—Do on the Battlefield
The Pentagon should learn from Israel and Ukraine.
www.foreignaffairs.com
July 4, 2025 at 12:51 PM
What does the Israel-Iran War / Russia-Ukraine War suggest about emerging tech and the future of warfare? Excited to have a new @foreignaffairs.com article w/ @mchorowitz.bsky.social + @laurenakahn.bsky.social on how to bring balance to the (military) force www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...