John Kenny
@johnkenny.bsky.social
Postdoctoral researcher at the University of East Anglia
Pinned
John Kenny
@johnkenny.bsky.social
· Oct 2
Publics and UK parliamentarians underestimate the urgency of peaking global greenhouse gas emissions
Communications Earth & Environment - UK members of parliament overestimate the time available to mitigate climate change, with notable partisan differences, and a similar lack of knowledge is...
rdcu.be
New paper with @lucasgeese.bsky.social at @commsearth.nature.com
UK MPs + publics in Britain, Canada, Chile & Germany underestimated the urgency of peaking global GHG emissions when surveyed in 2023.
@tyndallcentre.bsky.social @cast-centre.bsky.social
@climateuea.bsky.social
rdcu.be/eI4J3
UK MPs + publics in Britain, Canada, Chile & Germany underestimated the urgency of peaking global GHG emissions when surveyed in 2023.
@tyndallcentre.bsky.social @cast-centre.bsky.social
@climateuea.bsky.social
rdcu.be/eI4J3
Reposted by John Kenny
New paper out with @stevefisher.bsky.social at @environmentalpol.bsky.social.
We use @ess-survey.bsky.social from 2016-17 and 2020-22 to show how climate worry rose across Europe, and in Western Europe especially so for left individuals and voters of left parties.
doi.org/10.1080/0964...
We use @ess-survey.bsky.social from 2016-17 and 2020-22 to show how climate worry rose across Europe, and in Western Europe especially so for left individuals and voters of left parties.
doi.org/10.1080/0964...
Europeans’ climate consciousness: increased yet more politicised
As climate change became more important to voters and political parties in the late 2010s in Europe, this paper asks whether aspects of public opinion on the issue also became more politicised, in ...
doi.org
December 17, 2025 at 7:17 PM
New paper out with @stevefisher.bsky.social at @environmentalpol.bsky.social.
We use @ess-survey.bsky.social from 2016-17 and 2020-22 to show how climate worry rose across Europe, and in Western Europe especially so for left individuals and voters of left parties.
doi.org/10.1080/0964...
We use @ess-survey.bsky.social from 2016-17 and 2020-22 to show how climate worry rose across Europe, and in Western Europe especially so for left individuals and voters of left parties.
doi.org/10.1080/0964...
Reposted by John Kenny
New paper, with @johnkenny.bsky.social, shows politicisation of climate change attitudes in Europe from 2016 to 2022 increased mostly because of greater climate consciousness among those on the left rather than less among those on the right:
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Europeans’ climate consciousness: increased yet more politicised
As climate change became more important to voters and political parties in the late 2010s in Europe, this paper asks whether aspects of public opinion on the issue also became more politicised, in ...
www.tandfonline.com
December 17, 2025 at 10:20 AM
New paper, with @johnkenny.bsky.social, shows politicisation of climate change attitudes in Europe from 2016 to 2022 increased mostly because of greater climate consciousness among those on the left rather than less among those on the right:
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
New paper out with @stevefisher.bsky.social at @environmentalpol.bsky.social.
We use @ess-survey.bsky.social from 2016-17 and 2020-22 to show how climate worry rose across Europe, and in Western Europe especially so for left individuals and voters of left parties.
doi.org/10.1080/0964...
We use @ess-survey.bsky.social from 2016-17 and 2020-22 to show how climate worry rose across Europe, and in Western Europe especially so for left individuals and voters of left parties.
doi.org/10.1080/0964...
Europeans’ climate consciousness: increased yet more politicised
As climate change became more important to voters and political parties in the late 2010s in Europe, this paper asks whether aspects of public opinion on the issue also became more politicised, in ...
doi.org
December 17, 2025 at 7:17 PM
New paper out with @stevefisher.bsky.social at @environmentalpol.bsky.social.
We use @ess-survey.bsky.social from 2016-17 and 2020-22 to show how climate worry rose across Europe, and in Western Europe especially so for left individuals and voters of left parties.
doi.org/10.1080/0964...
We use @ess-survey.bsky.social from 2016-17 and 2020-22 to show how climate worry rose across Europe, and in Western Europe especially so for left individuals and voters of left parties.
doi.org/10.1080/0964...
Reposted by John Kenny
Very pleased to see our new article out in JEPOP. It details some of the fascinating insights we gleaned from digitalising and cleaning almost 800 individual-level polls carried out by Gallup in Britain between 1955-1991.
For the historical polling nerds out there, an article about our project with @ropercenter.bsky.social that digitised ~800 surveys by Gallup poll in Britain between 1955 and 1991 has been published in JEPOP. The merged dataset contains over three-quarters of a million respondents.
Revealing long-term trajectories of public opinion and polling in Britain: a new resource of historical data from the Gallup Poll in Britain, 1955–1991
From the 1930s to early 2000s, the British affiliate and later subsidiary of the Gallup Organization conducted around three thousand surveys of public opinion in Great Britain. While the records of...
www.tandfonline.com
December 15, 2025 at 4:12 PM
Very pleased to see our new article out in JEPOP. It details some of the fascinating insights we gleaned from digitalising and cleaning almost 800 individual-level polls carried out by Gallup in Britain between 1955-1991.
Very pleased to see our new article out in JEPOP. It details some of the fascinating insights we gleaned from digitalising and cleaning almost 800 individual-level polls carried out by Gallup in Britain between 1955-1991.
For the historical polling nerds out there, an article about our project with @ropercenter.bsky.social that digitised ~800 surveys by Gallup poll in Britain between 1955 and 1991 has been published in JEPOP. The merged dataset contains over three-quarters of a million respondents.
Revealing long-term trajectories of public opinion and polling in Britain: a new resource of historical data from the Gallup Poll in Britain, 1955–1991
From the 1930s to early 2000s, the British affiliate and later subsidiary of the Gallup Organization conducted around three thousand surveys of public opinion in Great Britain. While the records of...
www.tandfonline.com
December 15, 2025 at 4:12 PM
Very pleased to see our new article out in JEPOP. It details some of the fascinating insights we gleaned from digitalising and cleaning almost 800 individual-level polls carried out by Gallup in Britain between 1955-1991.
Reposted by John Kenny
New blog post & case study: CAST affiliate, Dr John Kenny (@johnkenny.bsky.social) explores his climate change public opinion research and how his framework is shaping the design of public opinion surveys, on the UK Data Service's (@ukdsimpact.bsky.social) website. 📣
Read the blog post 👇
Read the blog post 👇
How we put together a framework for classifying climate change questions used in public opinions surveys – Data Impact blog @ 10
John Kenny, from the Tyndall Centre, introduces a new UK Data Service case study. The case study explores his climate change public opinion research and how his framework is shaping the design of European public opinion surveys.
blog.ukdataservice.ac.uk
December 10, 2025 at 12:00 PM
New blog post & case study: CAST affiliate, Dr John Kenny (@johnkenny.bsky.social) explores his climate change public opinion research and how his framework is shaping the design of public opinion surveys, on the UK Data Service's (@ukdsimpact.bsky.social) website. 📣
Read the blog post 👇
Read the blog post 👇
Was delighted to work on this impact case study with @ukdsimpact.bsky.social, which is based on our recent @environmentalpol.bsky.social article (doi.org/10.1080/0964...).
@cast-centre.bsky.social @tyndallcentre.bsky.social @climateuea.bsky.social @ueaenv.bsky.social
@cast-centre.bsky.social @tyndallcentre.bsky.social @climateuea.bsky.social @ueaenv.bsky.social
December 8, 2025 at 11:21 AM
Was delighted to work on this impact case study with @ukdsimpact.bsky.social, which is based on our recent @environmentalpol.bsky.social article (doi.org/10.1080/0964...).
@cast-centre.bsky.social @tyndallcentre.bsky.social @climateuea.bsky.social @ueaenv.bsky.social
@cast-centre.bsky.social @tyndallcentre.bsky.social @climateuea.bsky.social @ueaenv.bsky.social
Reposted by John Kenny
A recent report reveals both UK MPs and the public greatly misjudge the timeframe for #ClimateAction. Few are aware the IPCC indicates emissions must peak by 2025 to keep warming at 1.5°C. Learn more about the study ⬇️ tyndall.ac.uk/news/mps-and...
MPs and public overestimate time left for climate action, study finds - Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research
A new study has found that UK Members of Parliament (MPs) and the public overestimated the time left to meet a critical deadline for limiting global warming.
tyndall.ac.uk
November 11, 2025 at 9:06 AM
A recent report reveals both UK MPs and the public greatly misjudge the timeframe for #ClimateAction. Few are aware the IPCC indicates emissions must peak by 2025 to keep warming at 1.5°C. Learn more about the study ⬇️ tyndall.ac.uk/news/mps-and...
Reposted by John Kenny
Super excited to finally see this project out in the wild! What a journey it's been! Looking forward to see how people will use this awesome data. See thread below for more details from @jacobnyrup.bsky.social.
Paths to Power (PtP) is out in @bjpols.bsky.social! It is a database with data on cabinet members' social profile globally from 1966-2021.
This is a great team effort with @chknutsen.bsky.social, @peterla.bsky.social, @inalkristiansen.bsky.social. But many more helped us along the way 🙏
A short 🧵
This is a great team effort with @chknutsen.bsky.social, @peterla.bsky.social, @inalkristiansen.bsky.social. But many more helped us along the way 🙏
A short 🧵
Paths to Power: A New Dataset on the Social Profile of Governments | British Journal of Political Science | Cambridge Core
Paths to Power: A New Dataset on the Social Profile of Governments - Volume 55
www.cambridge.org
October 20, 2025 at 3:57 PM
Super excited to finally see this project out in the wild! What a journey it's been! Looking forward to see how people will use this awesome data. See thread below for more details from @jacobnyrup.bsky.social.
Reposted by John Kenny
A new CAST study has found that UK MPs and the public in the UK, Canada, Chile & Germany underestimated the urgency of peaking global GHG emissions. 📣
Read the paper in @commsearth.nature.com, co-authored by Dr John Kenny (@johnkenny.bsky.social) & Dr Lucas Geese (@lucasgeese.bsky.social) 👇
Read the paper in @commsearth.nature.com, co-authored by Dr John Kenny (@johnkenny.bsky.social) & Dr Lucas Geese (@lucasgeese.bsky.social) 👇
Publics and UK parliamentarians underestimate the urgency of peaking global greenhouse gas emissions
Communications Earth & Environment - UK members of parliament overestimate the time available to mitigate climate change, with notable partisan differences, and a similar lack of knowledge is...
rdcu.be
October 15, 2025 at 11:42 AM
A new CAST study has found that UK MPs and the public in the UK, Canada, Chile & Germany underestimated the urgency of peaking global GHG emissions. 📣
Read the paper in @commsearth.nature.com, co-authored by Dr John Kenny (@johnkenny.bsky.social) & Dr Lucas Geese (@lucasgeese.bsky.social) 👇
Read the paper in @commsearth.nature.com, co-authored by Dr John Kenny (@johnkenny.bsky.social) & Dr Lucas Geese (@lucasgeese.bsky.social) 👇
Reposted by John Kenny
Few realise how short the window really is. Science says global emissions must peak by 2025. Yet publics in 🇬🇧 & 🇩🇪 still believe there’s more time left.
New paper with @lucasgeese.bsky.social at @commsearth.nature.com
UK MPs + publics in Britain, Canada, Chile & Germany underestimated the urgency of peaking global GHG emissions when surveyed in 2023.
@tyndallcentre.bsky.social @cast-centre.bsky.social
@climateuea.bsky.social
rdcu.be/eI4J3
UK MPs + publics in Britain, Canada, Chile & Germany underestimated the urgency of peaking global GHG emissions when surveyed in 2023.
@tyndallcentre.bsky.social @cast-centre.bsky.social
@climateuea.bsky.social
rdcu.be/eI4J3
Publics and UK parliamentarians underestimate the urgency of peaking global greenhouse gas emissions
Communications Earth & Environment - UK members of parliament overestimate the time available to mitigate climate change, with notable partisan differences, and a similar lack of knowledge is...
rdcu.be
October 10, 2025 at 3:17 PM
Few realise how short the window really is. Science says global emissions must peak by 2025. Yet publics in 🇬🇧 & 🇩🇪 still believe there’s more time left.
There's some interesting MP polling by Pearson and Wager that is worth looking at: doi.org/10.1093/pa/g.... Climate Barometer also have a rich resource of MP polling over the last few years on climate issues (including some trackers) which may be if interest: climatebarometer.org/climate-baro...
Not so different: Comparing British MPs’ and voters’ attitudes to climate change
Abstract. There is a growing literature investigating the attitudes of political elites and citizens in a range of areas, and this article uses matched sur
doi.org
October 8, 2025 at 6:05 AM
There's some interesting MP polling by Pearson and Wager that is worth looking at: doi.org/10.1093/pa/g.... Climate Barometer also have a rich resource of MP polling over the last few years on climate issues (including some trackers) which may be if interest: climatebarometer.org/climate-baro...
Reposted by John Kenny
New paper with @lucasgeese.bsky.social at @commsearth.nature.com
UK MPs + publics in Britain, Canada, Chile & Germany underestimated the urgency of peaking global GHG emissions when surveyed in 2023.
@tyndallcentre.bsky.social @cast-centre.bsky.social
@climateuea.bsky.social
rdcu.be/eI4J3
UK MPs + publics in Britain, Canada, Chile & Germany underestimated the urgency of peaking global GHG emissions when surveyed in 2023.
@tyndallcentre.bsky.social @cast-centre.bsky.social
@climateuea.bsky.social
rdcu.be/eI4J3
Publics and UK parliamentarians underestimate the urgency of peaking global greenhouse gas emissions
Communications Earth & Environment - UK members of parliament overestimate the time available to mitigate climate change, with notable partisan differences, and a similar lack of knowledge is...
rdcu.be
October 2, 2025 at 11:06 AM
New paper with @lucasgeese.bsky.social at @commsearth.nature.com
UK MPs + publics in Britain, Canada, Chile & Germany underestimated the urgency of peaking global GHG emissions when surveyed in 2023.
@tyndallcentre.bsky.social @cast-centre.bsky.social
@climateuea.bsky.social
rdcu.be/eI4J3
UK MPs + publics in Britain, Canada, Chile & Germany underestimated the urgency of peaking global GHG emissions when surveyed in 2023.
@tyndallcentre.bsky.social @cast-centre.bsky.social
@climateuea.bsky.social
rdcu.be/eI4J3
Reposted by John Kenny
UK members of parliament overestimate the time available to mitigate climate change, with notable partisan differences, and a similar lack of knowledge is evident among the public in Britain, Canada, Chile, and Germany.
New paper with @lucasgeese.bsky.social at @commsearth.nature.com
UK MPs + publics in Britain, Canada, Chile & Germany underestimated the urgency of peaking global GHG emissions when surveyed in 2023.
@tyndallcentre.bsky.social @cast-centre.bsky.social
@climateuea.bsky.social
rdcu.be/eI4J3
UK MPs + publics in Britain, Canada, Chile & Germany underestimated the urgency of peaking global GHG emissions when surveyed in 2023.
@tyndallcentre.bsky.social @cast-centre.bsky.social
@climateuea.bsky.social
rdcu.be/eI4J3
Publics and UK parliamentarians underestimate the urgency of peaking global greenhouse gas emissions
Communications Earth & Environment - UK members of parliament overestimate the time available to mitigate climate change, with notable partisan differences, and a similar lack of knowledge is...
rdcu.be
October 2, 2025 at 4:08 PM
UK members of parliament overestimate the time available to mitigate climate change, with notable partisan differences, and a similar lack of knowledge is evident among the public in Britain, Canada, Chile, and Germany.
Reposted by John Kenny
A new UEA study has found that UK Members of Parliament (MPs) and the public overestimated the time left to meet a critical deadline for limiting global warming.
Read more 👉 bit.ly/3KAs1y2
#UKParliament #MPs #ClimateChange
@ukri.org
@climateuea.bsky.social
Read more 👉 bit.ly/3KAs1y2
#UKParliament #MPs #ClimateChange
@ukri.org
@climateuea.bsky.social
October 2, 2025 at 3:30 PM
A new UEA study has found that UK Members of Parliament (MPs) and the public overestimated the time left to meet a critical deadline for limiting global warming.
Read more 👉 bit.ly/3KAs1y2
#UKParliament #MPs #ClimateChange
@ukri.org
@climateuea.bsky.social
Read more 👉 bit.ly/3KAs1y2
#UKParliament #MPs #ClimateChange
@ukri.org
@climateuea.bsky.social
Reposted by John Kenny
Bit of an awkward coincidence that our paper comes out on the day Kemi Badenoch pledges to scrap the UK Climate Change Act, but perhaps provides also a bit of an explanation:
Many UK politicians, and Tories especially, still don't fully grasp the urgency of cutting greenhouse gas emissions!
👇👇👇👇👇👇
Many UK politicians, and Tories especially, still don't fully grasp the urgency of cutting greenhouse gas emissions!
👇👇👇👇👇👇
New paper with @lucasgeese.bsky.social at @commsearth.nature.com
UK MPs + publics in Britain, Canada, Chile & Germany underestimated the urgency of peaking global GHG emissions when surveyed in 2023.
@tyndallcentre.bsky.social @cast-centre.bsky.social
@climateuea.bsky.social
rdcu.be/eI4J3
UK MPs + publics in Britain, Canada, Chile & Germany underestimated the urgency of peaking global GHG emissions when surveyed in 2023.
@tyndallcentre.bsky.social @cast-centre.bsky.social
@climateuea.bsky.social
rdcu.be/eI4J3
Publics and UK parliamentarians underestimate the urgency of peaking global greenhouse gas emissions
Communications Earth & Environment - UK members of parliament overestimate the time available to mitigate climate change, with notable partisan differences, and a similar lack of knowledge is...
rdcu.be
October 2, 2025 at 1:06 PM
Bit of an awkward coincidence that our paper comes out on the day Kemi Badenoch pledges to scrap the UK Climate Change Act, but perhaps provides also a bit of an explanation:
Many UK politicians, and Tories especially, still don't fully grasp the urgency of cutting greenhouse gas emissions!
👇👇👇👇👇👇
Many UK politicians, and Tories especially, still don't fully grasp the urgency of cutting greenhouse gas emissions!
👇👇👇👇👇👇
Reposted by John Kenny
As part of our Infra4NextGen project, @ess-survey.bsky.social has just released a new data summary that brings together insights from the European Social Survey, European Values Study, and the International Social Survey Programme...
infra4nextgen.com/wp-content/u... (1/)
infra4nextgen.com/wp-content/u... (1/)
October 2, 2025 at 9:52 AM
As part of our Infra4NextGen project, @ess-survey.bsky.social has just released a new data summary that brings together insights from the European Social Survey, European Values Study, and the International Social Survey Programme...
infra4nextgen.com/wp-content/u... (1/)
infra4nextgen.com/wp-content/u... (1/)
New paper with @lucasgeese.bsky.social at @commsearth.nature.com
UK MPs + publics in Britain, Canada, Chile & Germany underestimated the urgency of peaking global GHG emissions when surveyed in 2023.
@tyndallcentre.bsky.social @cast-centre.bsky.social
@climateuea.bsky.social
rdcu.be/eI4J3
UK MPs + publics in Britain, Canada, Chile & Germany underestimated the urgency of peaking global GHG emissions when surveyed in 2023.
@tyndallcentre.bsky.social @cast-centre.bsky.social
@climateuea.bsky.social
rdcu.be/eI4J3
Publics and UK parliamentarians underestimate the urgency of peaking global greenhouse gas emissions
Communications Earth & Environment - UK members of parliament overestimate the time available to mitigate climate change, with notable partisan differences, and a similar lack of knowledge is...
rdcu.be
October 2, 2025 at 11:06 AM
New paper with @lucasgeese.bsky.social at @commsearth.nature.com
UK MPs + publics in Britain, Canada, Chile & Germany underestimated the urgency of peaking global GHG emissions when surveyed in 2023.
@tyndallcentre.bsky.social @cast-centre.bsky.social
@climateuea.bsky.social
rdcu.be/eI4J3
UK MPs + publics in Britain, Canada, Chile & Germany underestimated the urgency of peaking global GHG emissions when surveyed in 2023.
@tyndallcentre.bsky.social @cast-centre.bsky.social
@climateuea.bsky.social
rdcu.be/eI4J3
Reposted by John Kenny
The Challenge of Mobilizing Voters on Climate Policy Pledges When Climate is Low on the Political Agenda: Evidence from the 2024 UK General Election by @johnkenny.bsky.social in the Recent Elections in Europe: Trends and Challenges panel organized by @ecprpovb.bsky.social.
September 2, 2025 at 10:16 AM
The Challenge of Mobilizing Voters on Climate Policy Pledges When Climate is Low on the Political Agenda: Evidence from the 2024 UK General Election by @johnkenny.bsky.social in the Recent Elections in Europe: Trends and Challenges panel organized by @ecprpovb.bsky.social.
Our review article on the use of climate change questions in public opinion surveys is now available in the current issue of Environmental Politics.
Review Article:
A framework for classifying climate change questions used in public opinion surveys by John Kenny, Lucas Geese, Andrew Jordan & Irene Lorenzoni
Pages: 1114-1140
doi.org/10.1080/0964...
A framework for classifying climate change questions used in public opinion surveys by John Kenny, Lucas Geese, Andrew Jordan & Irene Lorenzoni
Pages: 1114-1140
doi.org/10.1080/0964...
A framework for classifying climate change questions used in public opinion surveys
Climate change is a significant site of political contestation, with public opinion frequently invoked to support claims for more (or less) action. Yet, ‘climate change public opinion’ is an umbrel...
doi.org
August 27, 2025 at 9:30 AM
Our review article on the use of climate change questions in public opinion surveys is now available in the current issue of Environmental Politics.
Reposted by John Kenny
📢 New Publication 📢
📄 Review article in Nature Climate Change
It examines how resistance to climate policy is reshaping politics & why populist right parties are the main beneficiaries?
(with Valentina Bosseti, Italo Colantone & Giorgio Musto)
Short 🧵
🔗 www.nature.com/articles/s41...
📄 Review article in Nature Climate Change
It examines how resistance to climate policy is reshaping politics & why populist right parties are the main beneficiaries?
(with Valentina Bosseti, Italo Colantone & Giorgio Musto)
Short 🧵
🔗 www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Green backlash and right-wing populism - Nature Climate Change
This Review considers research on the politics of climate policies. Climate policies, through their economic and cultural repercussions, impact public climate attitudes and voting behaviour, which in ...
www.nature.com
August 11, 2025 at 11:18 AM
📢 New Publication 📢
📄 Review article in Nature Climate Change
It examines how resistance to climate policy is reshaping politics & why populist right parties are the main beneficiaries?
(with Valentina Bosseti, Italo Colantone & Giorgio Musto)
Short 🧵
🔗 www.nature.com/articles/s41...
📄 Review article in Nature Climate Change
It examines how resistance to climate policy is reshaping politics & why populist right parties are the main beneficiaries?
(with Valentina Bosseti, Italo Colantone & Giorgio Musto)
Short 🧵
🔗 www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Reposted by John Kenny
SEMINAR: A framework for classifying climate change questions used in public opinion surveys 👥
Watch this live seminar at the University of Bologna, delivered by UEA's @johnkenny.bsky.social today
🕑2pm (UK time)
No need to register, just join online here: phd.unibo.it/pss/en/agend... #AcademicSky
Watch this live seminar at the University of Bologna, delivered by UEA's @johnkenny.bsky.social today
🕑2pm (UK time)
No need to register, just join online here: phd.unibo.it/pss/en/agend... #AcademicSky
A framework for classifying climate change questions used in public opinion surveys
John Kenny, Senior Research Associate, University of East Anglia
phd.unibo.it
May 28, 2025 at 10:24 AM
SEMINAR: A framework for classifying climate change questions used in public opinion surveys 👥
Watch this live seminar at the University of Bologna, delivered by UEA's @johnkenny.bsky.social today
🕑2pm (UK time)
No need to register, just join online here: phd.unibo.it/pss/en/agend... #AcademicSky
Watch this live seminar at the University of Bologna, delivered by UEA's @johnkenny.bsky.social today
🕑2pm (UK time)
No need to register, just join online here: phd.unibo.it/pss/en/agend... #AcademicSky
Reposted by John Kenny
New paper out at @electoralstudies.bsky.social with Michael Lewis-Beck. We show that political economy models - based on inflation rate, government/prime minister approval, and the number of terms in office - performed well in forecasting CON vote share ahead of the 2024 GE
doi.org/10.1016/j.el...
doi.org/10.1016/j.el...
April 15, 2025 at 3:11 PM
New paper out at @electoralstudies.bsky.social with Michael Lewis-Beck. We show that political economy models - based on inflation rate, government/prime minister approval, and the number of terms in office - performed well in forecasting CON vote share ahead of the 2024 GE
doi.org/10.1016/j.el...
doi.org/10.1016/j.el...
Reposted by John Kenny
In “The Authentic A**hole: Candidate Consistency, Causality, and the Vote,” @sofiabrei.bsky.social, @johnkenny.bsky.social, @jaclarner.bsky.social, Dieter Stiers, and Michael S. Lewis-Beck make use of a survey vignette experiment in Britain.
April 15, 2025 at 4:44 PM
In “The Authentic A**hole: Candidate Consistency, Causality, and the Vote,” @sofiabrei.bsky.social, @johnkenny.bsky.social, @jaclarner.bsky.social, Dieter Stiers, and Michael S. Lewis-Beck make use of a survey vignette experiment in Britain.