Steve Clark
@jagalytics.bsky.social
Partick Thistle and Data Driven Analysis. Stick him back on the pitch and tell him he's Einstein. https://jagalytics.substack.com/
It's panto season (in general, and particular in my house), so this week, we're looking at a very panto-villain-coded metric: The Captain Hook Coefficient.
December 5, 2025 at 6:29 PM
It's panto season (in general, and particular in my house), so this week, we're looking at a very panto-villain-coded metric: The Captain Hook Coefficient.
Reposted by Steve Clark
It's been a busy month moving 400 odd miles, but more or less ready to start my next adventure next week.
And any town that has a lemmings statue can't be all that bad.
And any town that has a lemmings statue can't be all that bad.
November 28, 2025 at 10:55 AM
It's been a busy month moving 400 odd miles, but more or less ready to start my next adventure next week.
And any town that has a lemmings statue can't be all that bad.
And any town that has a lemmings statue can't be all that bad.
Love these posts- and it’s always a thrill to see a player you like appear in this sort of analysis. Enoru keeps popping up when I look at the National League,so I appreciated seeing a more detailed breakdown. After another player I liked in the NL last year (Reyes Cleary) getting love on the
Another year, another collab with @ntt20.com
Five National League players that could be in the EFL in the near future.
open.substack.com/pub/ntt20/p/...
Five National League players that could be in the EFL in the near future.
open.substack.com/pub/ntt20/p/...
Transfer Targets: National League
With the transfer window fast approaching, Ryan Deeney profiles the National League performers who look primed for a move to the EFL
open.substack.com
November 28, 2025 at 8:03 AM
Love these posts- and it’s always a thrill to see a player you like appear in this sort of analysis. Enoru keeps popping up when I look at the National League,so I appreciated seeing a more detailed breakdown. After another player I liked in the NL last year (Reyes Cleary) getting love on the
The latest Jagalytics Power Ratings are up. Only QP and Morton added any ratings points this week - everyone else underperformed expectations, and so lost at least a few points.
November 12, 2025 at 10:59 PM
The latest Jagalytics Power Ratings are up. Only QP and Morton added any ratings points this week - everyone else underperformed expectations, and so lost at least a few points.
Almost game time, so just a short post. Coming back to my BOING model, giving a bit of the background and simulating the remainder of the season based on the evidence of the first third.
November 7, 2025 at 7:34 PM
Almost game time, so just a short post. Coming back to my BOING model, giving a bit of the background and simulating the remainder of the season based on the evidence of the first third.
I've added the latest round of fixtures, including Thistle's fabulous 5-0 win, into the Jagalytics Power Rating supercomputer (ed: not actually super). Thistle are up at 677, still around 50 behind St. Johnstone as the strongest team in the league.
November 5, 2025 at 7:51 PM
I've added the latest round of fixtures, including Thistle's fabulous 5-0 win, into the Jagalytics Power Rating supercomputer (ed: not actually super). Thistle are up at 677, still around 50 behind St. Johnstone as the strongest team in the league.
In the interests of matching the narrative on football analytics online this week, and the theme of the day, today’s post is all about set pieces…or dead (geddit) balls.
October 31, 2025 at 7:05 PM
In the interests of matching the narrative on football analytics online this week, and the theme of the day, today’s post is all about set pieces…or dead (geddit) balls.
In case you missed it, my latest post at The Thistle went out yesterday: This time, looking at the three types of keeper in the Championship - Sentinels, Builders and Watchdogs.
October 31, 2025 at 1:43 PM
In case you missed it, my latest post at The Thistle went out yesterday: This time, looking at the three types of keeper in the Championship - Sentinels, Builders and Watchdogs.
Latest Jagalytics Power Ratings are up - sorry for the delay; the data providers have taken a while to flow through info from the midweek game last week, and I haven't had time to tweak my code to adjust for it.
October 30, 2025 at 5:55 PM
Latest Jagalytics Power Ratings are up - sorry for the delay; the data providers have taken a while to flow through info from the midweek game last week, and I haven't had time to tweak my code to adjust for it.
A bit late, I’ve published my latest article, reading for the journey to The Lang Toon. This week: comparing our defensive midfield options.
October 25, 2025 at 8:18 AM
A bit late, I’ve published my latest article, reading for the journey to The Lang Toon. This week: comparing our defensive midfield options.
With the catch-up game tomorrow evening, I've run the Jagalytics Power Ratings again to show the impact of Thistle's win against Ross County, and the other weekend games.
October 20, 2025 at 12:48 PM
With the catch-up game tomorrow evening, I've run the Jagalytics Power Ratings again to show the impact of Thistle's win against Ross County, and the other weekend games.
Ready for another weekend, I'm going back to a topic I've explored before - and what I think is the best predictor of points accumulated rate. This week's post looks at ball progression
October 17, 2025 at 6:08 PM
Ready for another weekend, I'm going back to a topic I've explored before - and what I think is the best predictor of points accumulated rate. This week's post looks at ball progression
Based on the latest Jagalytics Power Ratings, here's the win chance for each of the weekend's games
October 17, 2025 at 8:59 AM
Based on the latest Jagalytics Power Ratings, here's the win chance for each of the weekend's games
I've updated my Jagalytics Power Ratings for the week up to last weekend's games. You can see them here.
October 16, 2025 at 7:25 AM
I've updated my Jagalytics Power Ratings for the week up to last weekend's games. You can see them here.
It's that time of the week, and Thistle fans are getting on buses to travel to the Paris of Inverclyde. So as you travel, why not read the latest Jagalytics post?
October 11, 2025 at 10:20 AM
It's that time of the week, and Thistle fans are getting on buses to travel to the Paris of Inverclyde. So as you travel, why not read the latest Jagalytics post?
Here are the latest Jagalytics Power Ratings, to include the weekend games. Thistle underperformed expectations (as did St. Johnstone), so we both lose a few ratings points: datawrapper.dwcdn.net/RRX2Z/1/
Jagalytics Power Rating (7 October)
Updated as of 07 October 2025
datawrapper.dwcdn.net
October 8, 2025 at 8:14 AM
Here are the latest Jagalytics Power Ratings, to include the weekend games. Thistle underperformed expectations (as did St. Johnstone), so we both lose a few ratings points: datawrapper.dwcdn.net/RRX2Z/1/
Reposted by Steve Clark
On this day 1896, the veteran WILLIE PAUL scores the 14th of his 15 hat-tricks for Thistle - no Jag in history scored more. Starting tomorrow, the great man's 20-part story will be re-published on the Thistle Archive throughout October. ⚽️⚽️⚽️
👉 thethistlearchive.net/match-1896-1...
👉 thethistlearchive.net/match-1896-1...
October 3, 2025 at 6:31 PM
On this day 1896, the veteran WILLIE PAUL scores the 14th of his 15 hat-tricks for Thistle - no Jag in history scored more. Starting tomorrow, the great man's 20-part story will be re-published on the Thistle Archive throughout October. ⚽️⚽️⚽️
👉 thethistlearchive.net/match-1896-1...
👉 thethistlearchive.net/match-1896-1...
A couple of weeks ago, I began the slow process of profiling Championship attackers, with the eventual aim of developing some attacking 'Archetypes' that are relevant to our league - descriptive images of the sort of players we all recognise that show up in their stats
October 3, 2025 at 6:08 PM
A couple of weeks ago, I began the slow process of profiling Championship attackers, with the eventual aim of developing some attacking 'Archetypes' that are relevant to our league - descriptive images of the sort of players we all recognise that show up in their stats
Lunchtime chart: I've rerun BOING, my Monte Carlo simulation of the remaining games of the season. You can see the results here: datawrapper.dwcdn.net/i84DU/1/
BOING Model - 2 October 2025
How likely are each team to finish in each position
datawrapper.dwcdn.net
October 2, 2025 at 11:50 AM
Lunchtime chart: I've rerun BOING, my Monte Carlo simulation of the remaining games of the season. You can see the results here: datawrapper.dwcdn.net/i84DU/1/
On this, it's worth noting that whilst the Power Ratings track somewhat with the league table, they're not the same. Thistle have been the second strongest team in the league for a couple of weeks, despite only hitting there in the 'real' table this week...
After last night's game (and the weekend matches too), I've updated the Jagalytics Power Ratings for the Championship. Thistle remain strong in second place of the ratings, and now have a score above where any team in the league started the season.
October 2, 2025 at 8:49 AM
On this, it's worth noting that whilst the Power Ratings track somewhat with the league table, they're not the same. Thistle have been the second strongest team in the league for a couple of weeks, despite only hitting there in the 'real' table this week...
After last night's game (and the weekend matches too), I've updated the Jagalytics Power Ratings for the Championship. Thistle remain strong in second place of the ratings, and now have a score above where any team in the league started the season.
October 1, 2025 at 8:03 AM
After last night's game (and the weekend matches too), I've updated the Jagalytics Power Ratings for the Championship. Thistle remain strong in second place of the ratings, and now have a score above where any team in the league started the season.
It's QF weekend, and the BOING is firmly taking root in our hearts and minds. So I'm going to do a handbrake turn, and post an article that doesn't look at the Sellick game at all.
September 19, 2025 at 7:21 PM
It's QF weekend, and the BOING is firmly taking root in our hearts and minds. So I'm going to do a handbrake turn, and post an article that doesn't look at the Sellick game at all.
I've extended my Jagalytics Power Rating to cover both of the top two leagues in Scotland, with a view to previewing Sunday's match. Remember, the ratings for each team started the season weighted by where Opta Analyst had them in the first week of the year.
September 17, 2025 at 4:42 PM
I've extended my Jagalytics Power Rating to cover both of the top two leagues in Scotland, with a view to previewing Sunday's match. Remember, the ratings for each team started the season weighted by where Opta Analyst had them in the first week of the year.
It's the most magical time of the year - Monday lunchtime on the day after all Championship teams have played at least 5 games...which means the first run of my BOING model: datawrapper.dwcdn.net/Y0xZf/1/
BOING Model Simulation
Using data up to and including 13 September 2025
datawrapper.dwcdn.net
September 15, 2025 at 11:47 AM
It's the most magical time of the year - Monday lunchtime on the day after all Championship teams have played at least 5 games...which means the first run of my BOING model: datawrapper.dwcdn.net/Y0xZf/1/
Right. Fun time's over. No more frivolous trips to empty stadiums in Hungary. It's back to the serious things of a) Championship football and b) Jagalytics articles. No messing around at the back there. Knuckle down and let's get going.
September 12, 2025 at 5:10 PM
Right. Fun time's over. No more frivolous trips to empty stadiums in Hungary. It's back to the serious things of a) Championship football and b) Jagalytics articles. No messing around at the back there. Knuckle down and let's get going.