Iyad El-Baghdadi
iyadelbaghdadi.bsky.social
Iyad El-Baghdadi
@iyadelbaghdadi.bsky.social
Founder & chair, Kawaakibi Foundation. Obsessed with the future of liberty in the MENA & the world. Studying dictators at the Jamal Khashoggi Disinfo Monitor.
Book: "The Middle East Crisis Factory" (Hurst, 2021) 🇵🇸🇳🇴
(Account managed by @kawaakibi.org)
Pinned
Here's a big-picture geopolitical thread on Israel's war on Iran - its possibilities, impossibilities, dynamics, and delusions. My goal is to give you a full big-picture view in one place, which is why this is a long thread. If you prefer drip-fed updates, skip this thread.
Reposted by Iyad El-Baghdadi
Another magisterial, must read thread from @iyadelbaghdadi.bsky.social, a man whose analytical precision and clarity of expression mark him out as something special. Big questions for all European leaders right now- if they give a heroes welcome to Trump respect will be very hard to recover.
So, the 12-day war between Israel (& the US) vs Iran seems to be over, and the ceasefire seems to be holding. Here's a thread assessing what has changed, what didn't change, and what may be next:
June 24, 2025 at 5:51 PM
So, the 12-day war between Israel (& the US) vs Iran seems to be over, and the ceasefire seems to be holding. Here's a thread assessing what has changed, what didn't change, and what may be next:
June 24, 2025 at 5:37 PM
Reposted by Iyad El-Baghdadi
Most excellent primer on Israel-Iran crisis (in other words, the global crisis that will impact us all, very soon) and how all the pieces fit together strategically, morally and psychologically…lots here to think about too using Iyad’s “open door”🚪 heuristic (brilliant) 🌟
Here's a big-picture geopolitical thread on Israel's war on Iran - its possibilities, impossibilities, dynamics, and delusions. My goal is to give you a full big-picture view in one place, which is why this is a long thread. If you prefer drip-fed updates, skip this thread.
June 20, 2025 at 9:20 PM
Reposted by Iyad El-Baghdadi
Broad, cogent analysis. Definitely worth a read.
Here's a big-picture geopolitical thread on Israel's war on Iran - its possibilities, impossibilities, dynamics, and delusions. My goal is to give you a full big-picture view in one place, which is why this is a long thread. If you prefer drip-fed updates, skip this thread.
June 20, 2025 at 5:01 PM
Reposted by Iyad El-Baghdadi
This has made a completely insane situation makes sense in its own insanity
Here's a big-picture geopolitical thread on Israel's war on Iran - its possibilities, impossibilities, dynamics, and delusions. My goal is to give you a full big-picture view in one place, which is why this is a long thread. If you prefer drip-fed updates, skip this thread.
June 19, 2025 at 3:40 PM
Reposted by Iyad El-Baghdadi
If you read anything today about Israels war on Iran let it be this.
Here's a big-picture geopolitical thread on Israel's war on Iran - its possibilities, impossibilities, dynamics, and delusions. My goal is to give you a full big-picture view in one place, which is why this is a long thread. If you prefer drip-fed updates, skip this thread.
June 19, 2025 at 11:06 AM
Reposted by Iyad El-Baghdadi
This is the best analysis of the Israel/Iran war I've seen. Do read it.
Here's a big-picture geopolitical thread on Israel's war on Iran - its possibilities, impossibilities, dynamics, and delusions. My goal is to give you a full big-picture view in one place, which is why this is a long thread. If you prefer drip-fed updates, skip this thread.
June 19, 2025 at 10:57 AM
Here's a big-picture geopolitical thread on Israel's war on Iran - its possibilities, impossibilities, dynamics, and delusions. My goal is to give you a full big-picture view in one place, which is why this is a long thread. If you prefer drip-fed updates, skip this thread.
June 19, 2025 at 10:53 AM
Reposted by Iyad El-Baghdadi
How Israel preys on minorities.

See the entire episode «Why War Between Syria and Israel is inevitable» with @iyadelbaghdadi.bsky.social on EON Podcast, link below.
May 1, 2025 at 8:23 AM
Reposted by Iyad El-Baghdadi
Our Chairman @iyadelbaghdadi.bsky.social shared a personal reflection on healing through spiritual practice and therapeutic tools - rooted in PTSD from exile and shaped by the political fallout of Jamal Khashoggi’s murder, when he became a target of the Saudi regime.
April 24, 2025 at 6:33 PM
Reposted by Iyad El-Baghdadi
Last week we attended @breakingconvention.bsky.social, Europe’s largest conference on psychedelic consciousness.

We attended as part of our ongoing interest in the use of psychedelic-assisted therapy to treat severe PTSD in activists and victims of violence and oppression in the MENA region.
April 24, 2025 at 6:29 PM
Reposted by Iyad El-Baghdadi
I read the words of our Palestinian colleague Rasha Abou Jalal from Gaza and I feel such shame that the world is allowing this to happen; that the U.S., under Democrats and Republicans, facilitates this campaign of terror.

Read Rasha’s full report 🔽
www.dropsitenews.com/p/palestinia...
March 18, 2025 at 9:20 PM
Reposted by Iyad El-Baghdadi
I’m convinced American exceptionalism is a big part of what made us vulnerable to Trump. We’re so used to thinking of ourselves as the Special Freedom Country that a lot of people find it inconceivable we could rapidly collapse into shabby despotism even as they watch it happen.
Real talk. I’ve lost all belief in American exceptionalism. There is no secret Liberty Sauce that makes us inherently better. We’re just human beings (derogatory). But it also means we’re human beings (laudatory), so I refuse to believe Republicans won politics forever and can rule as god kings.
March 14, 2025 at 1:42 PM
Reposted by Iyad El-Baghdadi
As Americans increasingly get their news from online shows, this media ecosystem becomes more influential. A new Media Matters’ study shows how overwhelmingly right-leaning this ecosystem is -- with nearly five times the following of left-leaning online shows. www.mediamatters.org/google/right...
March 14, 2025 at 2:13 PM
Reposted by Iyad El-Baghdadi
Check out the full episode where @iyadelbaghdadi.bsky.social presents his analysis on why he believes Israel, as an ethno-nationalist state, is poised to face a deep crisis within the next 15 years. Watch it here: m.youtube.com/watch?v=_0vl...
Israel as an ethno-nationalist state, won’t last beyond the 2030s | Iyad el-Baghdadi | UNAPOLOGETIC
YouTube video by Middle East Eye
m.youtube.com
March 12, 2025 at 2:23 PM
Reposted by Iyad El-Baghdadi
«But I think that the case can be made that the IDF actually does not know how to fight close quarters, commando-style urban warfare,» says our Chairman @iyadelbaghdadi.bsky.social in his interview with Middle East Eye.
March 12, 2025 at 2:23 PM
Reposted by Iyad El-Baghdadi
Friends in Oslo! Join us for the concert Songs of Liberation with Ramy Essam at Det Norske Teater on March 6th.

Kawaakibi will give a pre-talk about free speech, solidarity, and power.

We hope to see you there!
February 24, 2025 at 1:27 PM
Reposted by Iyad El-Baghdadi
The event is a part of the “SAYKOLUHJEE” story, made by Tani Dibasey in the SCENE3 universe.

More info and tickets here: t.co/2wEnoltYxi
https://www.scene3.no/songsofliberation
t.co
February 24, 2025 at 1:27 PM
Reposted by Iyad El-Baghdadi
🔴Trump's Middle East Riviera: What Next for Gaza?

Trump's proposal to physically remove 2.5 million is pure fantasy. But what does it reveal? @iyadelbaghdadi.bsky.social explains the state of play

bylinetimes.com/2025/02/10/t...
Trump's Middle East Riviera: What Next for Gaza?
Even if Jordan and Egypt somehow agreed to a US take over Gaza, who would physically remove 2.5 million Palestinians? Trump's proposal is pure fantasy - but what does it reveal?
bylinetimes.com
February 10, 2025 at 4:43 PM
Reposted by Iyad El-Baghdadi
Trump's Middle East Riviera has no real chance of happening, but does have the potential to jeopardise the current ceasefire and hostage deal, and further destabilise the region, writes @iyadelbaghdadi.bsky.social.

Read the full piece here:

kawaakibi.org/trumps-middl...
Trump's Middle East Riviera: What next for Gaza
This week US President Donald Trump said that he plans to take over Gaza, forcibly removing its Palestinian population to make way for a “Riviera of the Middle East”. This plan has no real chance of h...
kawaakibi.org
February 8, 2025 at 11:05 AM
Reposted by Iyad El-Baghdadi
This is a very important thread about Trump, Gaza, and Israel.
Hello everyone, emerging to drop some comments about Trump's recent statements about Gaza. I have limited time so I'd rather dump a quick analysis into a single meandering thread, sorry in advance
February 6, 2025 at 9:03 PM
Hello everyone, emerging to drop some comments about Trump's recent statements about Gaza. I have limited time so I'd rather dump a quick analysis into a single meandering thread, sorry in advance
February 6, 2025 at 7:12 PM
Reposted by Iyad El-Baghdadi
As this year’s Norad conference “Money Talks” took place this week, we’re resharing a segment from a keynote speech by our Chairman @iyadelbaghdadi.bsky.social last year:

“The greatest threat to democracy is not autocracy; it’s hypocrisy.”

www.youtube.com/watch?v=-e5R...
The greatest threat to democracy is not autocracy; it’s hypocrisy
YouTube video by Kawaakibi Foundation
www.youtube.com
January 31, 2025 at 2:20 PM
Reposted by Iyad El-Baghdadi
As Trump settles into the White House for the second time, is right-wing populism destined to keep growing?

@iyadelbaghdadi.bsky.social and @gatnash.com explore the structural reasons for its continued rise:
kawaakibi.org/seven-forces...
Seven forces driving the global rise of right-wing populism
As Trump begins his second term as President, the global rise of right-wing populism has never been more dangerous. Global shifts towards right-wing populism are symptoms of deeper, interconnected for...
kawaakibi.org
January 21, 2025 at 10:33 PM