Ivan U. KŁYSZCZ
@ivanklyszcz.com
Insights on int'l security, intel, Russia | Research Fellow @ICDS-Tallinn.bsky.social | ivanklyszcz.com | Tweets reflect my views only
Reposted by Ivan U. KŁYSZCZ
In this ICDS report, Ivan U. Kłyszcz shows how the chekist mindset still shapes information warfare, while Marek Kohv explores the use of sabotage — a tool to maximise impact and undermine foreign societies.
@ivanklyszcz.com
@ivanklyszcz.com
Confronting the Russian Hydra: Continuity and Innovation in the Grey Zone - International Centre for Defence and Security
The major threat to European security today is posed by Russia’s aggressive foreign policy, enacted in part by its intelligence services.
icds.ee
December 23, 2025 at 12:10 PM
In this ICDS report, Ivan U. Kłyszcz shows how the chekist mindset still shapes information warfare, while Marek Kohv explores the use of sabotage — a tool to maximise impact and undermine foreign societies.
@ivanklyszcz.com
@ivanklyszcz.com
‘…the [CN-RU energy] agreements are the product not of the natural development of economic interests, but of political games—and thus artificial conditions, which may change and force Beijing to ultimately reconsider its interest in Russian hydrocarbons.’ amwaj.media/en/article/s...
Deep Dive: The GCC-Russia battle for Chinese energy markets
Beijing and Moscow are maneuvering to boost Russian oil and natural gas exports to China and strengthen cooperation on liquefied natural gas (LNG). A string of new agreements inked in September could ...
amwaj.media
December 22, 2025 at 3:09 PM
‘…the [CN-RU energy] agreements are the product not of the natural development of economic interests, but of political games—and thus artificial conditions, which may change and force Beijing to ultimately reconsider its interest in Russian hydrocarbons.’ amwaj.media/en/article/s...
Early Christmas gift! 🎄
My book Russian Grand Strategy: The Quest for Major Power Status and a Multipolar World Order is set for publication with Cambridge University Press.
I will be promoting the book across my social media, so, apologies in advance for the self-promotion.
My book Russian Grand Strategy: The Quest for Major Power Status and a Multipolar World Order is set for publication with Cambridge University Press.
I will be promoting the book across my social media, so, apologies in advance for the self-promotion.
December 20, 2025 at 9:53 AM
Early Christmas gift! 🎄
My book Russian Grand Strategy: The Quest for Major Power Status and a Multipolar World Order is set for publication with Cambridge University Press.
I will be promoting the book across my social media, so, apologies in advance for the self-promotion.
My book Russian Grand Strategy: The Quest for Major Power Status and a Multipolar World Order is set for publication with Cambridge University Press.
I will be promoting the book across my social media, so, apologies in advance for the self-promotion.
My 2025 Russia-Africa in review for Riddle Russia: ridl.io/russia-afric...
Russia-Africa Ties Catch Global Tailwinds in 2025 – Riddle Russia
Ivan U. Klyszcz on Russia — Africa dynamics in 2025
ridl.io
December 18, 2025 at 5:36 PM
My 2025 Russia-Africa in review for Riddle Russia: ridl.io/russia-afric...
Reposted by Ivan U. KŁYSZCZ
"Hybrid and sabotage operations thrive because they exploit and capitalise on ambiguity, surprise, and the seams between civilian and military domains."
New report by Ivan U. Kłyszcz and Marek Kohv examines the legacy and future of Russian covert ops. @ivanklyszcz.com
New report by Ivan U. Kłyszcz and Marek Kohv examines the legacy and future of Russian covert ops. @ivanklyszcz.com
Confronting the Russian Hydra: Continuity and Innovation in the Grey Zone - International Centre for Defence and Security
The major threat to European security today is posed by Russia’s aggressive foreign policy, enacted in part by its intelligence services. This report draws attention to the services’ strategic culture...
icds.ee
December 15, 2025 at 11:26 AM
"Hybrid and sabotage operations thrive because they exploit and capitalise on ambiguity, surprise, and the seams between civilian and military domains."
New report by Ivan U. Kłyszcz and Marek Kohv examines the legacy and future of Russian covert ops. @ivanklyszcz.com
New report by Ivan U. Kłyszcz and Marek Kohv examines the legacy and future of Russian covert ops. @ivanklyszcz.com
'The Council is also sanctioning the International Russophile Movement for amplifying destabilising narratives globally on behalf of the Russian government'.
Council sanctions twelve individuals and two entities over information manipulation... www.consilium.europa.eu/fr/press/pre...
Council sanctions twelve individuals and two entities over information manipulation... www.consilium.europa.eu/fr/press/pre...
Russian hybrid threats: Council sanctions twelve individuals and two entities over information manipulation and cyber attacks
The Council adopted restrictive measures against an additional twelve individuals and two entities in view of Russia’s destabilising activities against the EU and its member states and partners.
www.consilium.europa.eu
December 15, 2025 at 8:09 PM
'The Council is also sanctioning the International Russophile Movement for amplifying destabilising narratives globally on behalf of the Russian government'.
Council sanctions twelve individuals and two entities over information manipulation... www.consilium.europa.eu/fr/press/pre...
Council sanctions twelve individuals and two entities over information manipulation... www.consilium.europa.eu/fr/press/pre...
‘The main task of the German soldiers in Poland will be "engineering activities," a spokesman for the defence ministry in Berlin said late Friday.’
Germany to send soldiers to fortify Poland border www.rfi.fr/en/internati...
Germany to send soldiers to fortify Poland border www.rfi.fr/en/internati...
Germany to send soldiers to fortify Poland border
Germany has said it will send a group of soldiers to Poland to help with a project to fortify the country's eastern border as worries mount about the threat from Russia.
www.rfi.fr
December 13, 2025 at 6:11 PM
‘The main task of the German soldiers in Poland will be "engineering activities," a spokesman for the defence ministry in Berlin said late Friday.’
Germany to send soldiers to fortify Poland border www.rfi.fr/en/internati...
Germany to send soldiers to fortify Poland border www.rfi.fr/en/internati...
‘The updated [EU sanctions] list includes John Mark Dougan […] [who participated in information operations] with the goal of “influencing elections, discrediting political figures and manipulating public discourse in Western countries.”’ www.rferl.org/a/eu-blackli...
Brussels Adds New Names To Blacklist In Latest Russia Sanctions Package
European Union ambassadors on December 10 decided on further sanctions against Russia, with a new package adding several individuals and entities to its sprawling blacklist adopted in response to the ...
www.rferl.org
December 10, 2025 at 4:34 PM
‘The updated [EU sanctions] list includes John Mark Dougan […] [who participated in information operations] with the goal of “influencing elections, discrediting political figures and manipulating public discourse in Western countries.”’ www.rferl.org/a/eu-blackli...
‘President Volodymyr Zelensky said on Tuesday he was ready to hold new elections in Ukraine, and that he expected to send Washington within a day revised proposals on ending the nearly four-year war with Russia.’ www.france24.com/en/live-news...
Zelensky says ready to hold Ukraine elections
President Volodymyr Zelensky said on Tuesday he was ready to hold new elections in Ukraine, and that he expected to send Washington within a day revised proposals on ending the nearly four-year war wi...
www.france24.com
December 9, 2025 at 9:15 PM
‘President Volodymyr Zelensky said on Tuesday he was ready to hold new elections in Ukraine, and that he expected to send Washington within a day revised proposals on ending the nearly four-year war with Russia.’ www.france24.com/en/live-news...
‘According to Costa, critical remarks by U.S. Vice President JD Vance and social media posts from President Donald Trump are no longer isolated outbursts but now constitute “the doctrine of the United States.”’ www.politico.eu/article/eu-c...
EU’s Costa warns US against interference in Europe
The European Council president said allies must respect each other’s sovereignty.
www.politico.eu
December 8, 2025 at 3:10 PM
‘According to Costa, critical remarks by U.S. Vice President JD Vance and social media posts from President Donald Trump are no longer isolated outbursts but now constitute “the doctrine of the United States.”’ www.politico.eu/article/eu-c...
‘The U.S. officials told their counterparts that if Europe does not meet the 2027 deadline, the U.S. may stop participating in some NATO defense coordination mechanisms’.
www.reuters.com/business/aer...
www.reuters.com/business/aer...
Exclusive: US sets 2027 deadline for Europe-led NATO defense, officials say
The United States wants Europe to take over the majority of NATO's conventional defense capabilities, from intelligence to missiles, by 2027, Pentagon officials told diplomats in Washington this week,...
www.reuters.com
December 6, 2025 at 9:47 AM
‘The U.S. officials told their counterparts that if Europe does not meet the 2027 deadline, the U.S. may stop participating in some NATO defense coordination mechanisms’.
www.reuters.com/business/aer...
www.reuters.com/business/aer...
‘US officials argued to [EU] member states that the [frozen RU] assets are needed to help secure a peace deal between Kyiv and Moscow and should not be used to prolong the war, said the diplomats, who spoke on the condition of anonymity.’ www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
US Urged Europeans to Oppose EU Plan for Loan to Support Ukraine
The US lobbied several countries in the European Union in an effort to block EU plans to use frozen Russian central bank assets to back a massive loan to Ukraine, according to European diplomats famil...
www.bloomberg.com
December 5, 2025 at 12:33 PM
‘US officials argued to [EU] member states that the [frozen RU] assets are needed to help secure a peace deal between Kyiv and Moscow and should not be used to prolong the war, said the diplomats, who spoke on the condition of anonymity.’ www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
‘While the Europeans have consistently praised Washington's new peace initiative, the document shows that in addition to Merz and Macron, other participants in the call also do not trust the two U.S. emissaries.’
www.spiegel.de/internationa...
www.spiegel.de/internationa...
Confidential Conference on Ukraine Peace: "We Must Not Leave Ukraine and Volodymyr Alone with These Guys"
DER SPIEGEL has obtained notes from a conference call involving EU leaders - including Germany's Friedrich Merz and France's Emmanuel Macron - showing just how little trust Europe has in Washington.
www.spiegel.de
December 4, 2025 at 5:06 PM
‘While the Europeans have consistently praised Washington's new peace initiative, the document shows that in addition to Merz and Macron, other participants in the call also do not trust the two U.S. emissaries.’
www.spiegel.de/internationa...
www.spiegel.de/internationa...
‘RESourceEU is part of a wider package being unveiled on Wednesday that the commission calls its Economic Security Doctrine, which is intended to make European firms more self-sufficient’.
EU moves to reduce reliance on China for rare earth supplies www.rfi.fr/en/internati...
EU moves to reduce reliance on China for rare earth supplies www.rfi.fr/en/internati...
EU moves to reduce reliance on China for rare earth supplies
Europe will on Wednesday unveil a plan to reduce its reliance on China for rare earths and other critical minerals, opening a fresh front in its effort to secure supplies needed for major industries.…
www.rfi.fr
December 3, 2025 at 8:40 PM
‘RESourceEU is part of a wider package being unveiled on Wednesday that the commission calls its Economic Security Doctrine, which is intended to make European firms more self-sufficient’.
EU moves to reduce reliance on China for rare earth supplies www.rfi.fr/en/internati...
EU moves to reduce reliance on China for rare earth supplies www.rfi.fr/en/internati...
‘[the 28-point plan] described the U.S. as a mediator between Russia and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, suggesting America no longer saw itself as a member of the alliance’. www.wsj.com/world/europe...
Trump’s Push to End the Ukraine War Is Sowing Fresh Fear About NATO’s Future
The U.S.’s latest efforts to end the conflict between Ukraine and Russia have jolted the trans-Atlantic alliance.
www.wsj.com
December 2, 2025 at 6:56 AM
‘[the 28-point plan] described the U.S. as a mediator between Russia and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, suggesting America no longer saw itself as a member of the alliance’. www.wsj.com/world/europe...
Utility rates in Russia rise over 40% since 2022 - intel www.ukrinform.net/rubric-econo...
Utility rates in Russia rise over 40% since 2022 - intel
In the Russian Federation, tariffs for housing and communal services have increased by more than 40% since 2022, and their next increase has been approved for 2026—after five years of full-scale war a...
www.ukrinform.net
November 30, 2025 at 2:39 PM
Utility rates in Russia rise over 40% since 2022 - intel www.ukrinform.net/rubric-econo...
‘Dmitriev was pushing a plan for U.S. companies to tap the roughly $300 billion of Russian central bank assets, frozen in Europe, for U.S.-Russian investment projects and a U.S.-led reconstruction of Ukraine.’
www.wsj.com/world/russia...
www.wsj.com/world/russia...
Make Money Not War: Trump’s Real Plan for Peace in Ukraine
The Kremlin pitched the White House on peace through business. To Europe’s dismay, the president and his envoy are on board.
www.wsj.com
November 29, 2025 at 12:13 PM
‘Dmitriev was pushing a plan for U.S. companies to tap the roughly $300 billion of Russian central bank assets, frozen in Europe, for U.S.-Russian investment projects and a U.S.-led reconstruction of Ukraine.’
www.wsj.com/world/russia...
www.wsj.com/world/russia...
🧐 Russia Is Building Su-35 Fighter Jets for Iran—Secret Files Reveal the Numbers and Delivery Timeline united24media.com/world/russia...
Russia Is Building Su-35 Fighter Jets for Iran—Secret Files Reveal the Numbers and Delivery Timeline
Iran may receive up to 50 Russian Su-35 jets by 2027. Such delivery would boost its air power and pose serious regional risks.
united24media.com
November 28, 2025 at 7:39 PM
🧐 Russia Is Building Su-35 Fighter Jets for Iran—Secret Files Reveal the Numbers and Delivery Timeline united24media.com/world/russia...
Reposted by Ivan U. KŁYSZCZ
In the Sahel multi-alignment can turn into a zero-sum game, jeopardising the EU’s stakes in the region. To mitigate the risk, the EU needs a selective approach, avoiding confrontation while advancing its interests, write Rossella Marangio & @ivanklyszcz.com ➡️ ow.ly/9G3U50XxtYv
The multi-aligned Sahel: Reframing the EU’s role in a crowded region
The Sahel remains strategic for the EU amid the threats posed by terrorism, criminal networks and rising geopolitical competition. As multi-alignment reshapes regional partnerships, the EU must place ...
ow.ly
November 26, 2025 at 2:14 PM
In the Sahel multi-alignment can turn into a zero-sum game, jeopardising the EU’s stakes in the region. To mitigate the risk, the EU needs a selective approach, avoiding confrontation while advancing its interests, write Rossella Marangio & @ivanklyszcz.com ➡️ ow.ly/9G3U50XxtYv
Europe thinks the unthinkable: Retaliating against Russia www.politico.eu/article/euro...
Europe thinks the unthinkable: Retaliating against Russia
Countries are looking at joint offensive cyber operations and surprise military drills as Moscow steps up its campaign to destabilize NATO allies.
www.politico.eu
November 27, 2025 at 1:27 PM
Europe thinks the unthinkable: Retaliating against Russia www.politico.eu/article/euro...
Trump's Ukraine plan: 'For Europe, this is the moment of truth: It must say no' www.lemonde.fr/en/opinion/a...
Trump's Ukraine plan: 'For Europe, this is the moment of truth: It must say no'
OP-ED. Five contributors, including historian Sylvain Kahn and geographer Béatrice Giblin, challenge the premise underlying Donald Trump's proposed 'peace plan' to end the war in Ukraine. They argue t...
www.lemonde.fr
November 25, 2025 at 7:45 PM
Trump's Ukraine plan: 'For Europe, this is the moment of truth: It must say no' www.lemonde.fr/en/opinion/a...
Reposted by Ivan U. KŁYSZCZ
The Sahel is now a crowded, multi-aligned arena where countries diversify partners while Russia, China, Türkiye, the UAE, India & Iran race for influence. The EU must stay engaged selectively: focusing on organised crime, energy/mining, justice & education 🔗 ow.ly/9G3U50XxtYv
November 25, 2025 at 2:42 PM
The Sahel is now a crowded, multi-aligned arena where countries diversify partners while Russia, China, Türkiye, the UAE, India & Iran race for influence. The EU must stay engaged selectively: focusing on organised crime, energy/mining, justice & education 🔗 ow.ly/9G3U50XxtYv
Echoing a point made by @aphclarkson.bsky.social, I believe that a lot of the panic in Europe over US dealings with Russia has proved misplaced. The US has not waged the leverage needed to ensure Moscow sticks to any point of the leaked deal. There is no ‘table’ for Europe to sit at. 1/2
November 22, 2025 at 5:30 PM
Echoing a point made by @aphclarkson.bsky.social, I believe that a lot of the panic in Europe over US dealings with Russia has proved misplaced. The US has not waged the leverage needed to ensure Moscow sticks to any point of the leaked deal. There is no ‘table’ for Europe to sit at. 1/2
‘[the plan] states that any future "significant, deliberate, and sustained armed attack" by Russia on Ukraine "shall be regarded as an attack threatening the peace and security of the transatlantic community," and the U.S. and its allies will respond accordingly, […].’ www.axios.com/2025/11/21/u...
Trump peace plan for Ukraine includes NATO-style security guarantee
Trump would be committing the U.S. to defend Ukraine if Russia attacks again.
www.axios.com
November 21, 2025 at 10:56 AM
‘[the plan] states that any future "significant, deliberate, and sustained armed attack" by Russia on Ukraine "shall be regarded as an attack threatening the peace and security of the transatlantic community," and the U.S. and its allies will respond accordingly, […].’ www.axios.com/2025/11/21/u...
Reuters: Russia Says It Held 'In-Depth' Talks With China on Missile Defence and Nuclear Issues www.usnews.com/news/world/a...
www.usnews.com
November 20, 2025 at 3:52 PM
Reuters: Russia Says It Held 'In-Depth' Talks With China on Missile Defence and Nuclear Issues www.usnews.com/news/world/a...