Ilmi
@ilmi.bsky.social
Climate fixer, finance wrangler, many-hat wearer, & Overton defenestrator. Hats: Sabin Center, Grantham Research Institute, Climate Technology Group, Adventure Capital, Carbon Tracker, CFRAC
This, more than any other data set anywhere right now, matters for climate. This thread contains the signal from the noise.
NEW from me: CO2 emissions in China have now been flat or falling for 18 months, the first time that energy demand growth at or above historical averages doesn't drive emissions up, thanks to the clean energy boom. 🧵👇
🇨🇳 📰 NEW | Analysis: #China’s #CO2 #emissions have now been flat or falling for 18 months
www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-chinas-co2-emissions-have-now-been-flat-or-falling-for-18-months/
@laurimyllyvirta.bsky.social w/ @carbonbrief.org
www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-chinas-co2-emissions-have-now-been-flat-or-falling-for-18-months/
@laurimyllyvirta.bsky.social w/ @carbonbrief.org
November 11, 2025 at 7:07 AM
This, more than any other data set anywhere right now, matters for climate. This thread contains the signal from the noise.
Reposted by Ilmi
China's power sector emissions have been falling for the past 18 months, but it has taken extremely large additions of clean energy to achieve this. This year will highly likely see a record amount of clean power added, sufficient to drive emissions down well into next year.
November 11, 2025 at 6:35 AM
China's power sector emissions have been falling for the past 18 months, but it has taken extremely large additions of clean energy to achieve this. This year will highly likely see a record amount of clean power added, sufficient to drive emissions down well into next year.
Reposted by Ilmi
Emissions from power generation, construction materials, transportation and steel all fell in January-September, but two major obstacles to emission reductions in China stand out: the chemical industry and lack of progress on switching to electric steelmaking.
November 11, 2025 at 6:35 AM
Emissions from power generation, construction materials, transportation and steel all fell in January-September, but two major obstacles to emission reductions in China stand out: the chemical industry and lack of progress on switching to electric steelmaking.
Reposted by Ilmi
Sounds like the squishes in the senate caucus are ready to pull the plug with no ACA changes. This is real. If you want to register your opinion you shld call yr senator in the next hour. They not only want to reopen w/nothing. They want cover from their colleagues who still want to hold out.
November 9, 2025 at 8:42 PM
Sounds like the squishes in the senate caucus are ready to pull the plug with no ACA changes. This is real. If you want to register your opinion you shld call yr senator in the next hour. They not only want to reopen w/nothing. They want cover from their colleagues who still want to hold out.
Reposted by Ilmi
“I want you to understand what it is like to live in Chicago during this time.”
aphyr.com/posts/397-i-...
aphyr.com/posts/397-i-...
November 9, 2025 at 5:26 PM
“I want you to understand what it is like to live in Chicago during this time.”
aphyr.com/posts/397-i-...
aphyr.com/posts/397-i-...
Reposted by Ilmi
BREAKING: Mark Wolf, appointed to the federal bench by Ronald Reagan, writes that he is resigning as a judge to have the freedom to speak out against the president's assault on the rule of law.
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2025/1...
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2025/1...
November 9, 2025 at 2:27 PM
BREAKING: Mark Wolf, appointed to the federal bench by Ronald Reagan, writes that he is resigning as a judge to have the freedom to speak out against the president's assault on the rule of law.
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2025/1...
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2025/1...
Reposted by Ilmi
The CO₂ₑ emissions cuts since Paris are nothing to scoff at.
And more needs to be done. Much more. Early investments matters.¹
But the long-term trend is quite a bit better than the NYT/ClimateActionTracker pathways show.
¹ gwagner.com/scenarios
And more needs to be done. Much more. Early investments matters.¹
But the long-term trend is quite a bit better than the NYT/ClimateActionTracker pathways show.
¹ gwagner.com/scenarios
Early Investment in Decarbonization Can Help Save Trillions in…
A net-zero world by 2100 is likely inevitable, but the next decade will be critical for securing a livable future.
gwagner.com
November 7, 2025 at 8:38 PM
The CO₂ₑ emissions cuts since Paris are nothing to scoff at.
And more needs to be done. Much more. Early investments matters.¹
But the long-term trend is quite a bit better than the NYT/ClimateActionTracker pathways show.
¹ gwagner.com/scenarios
And more needs to be done. Much more. Early investments matters.¹
But the long-term trend is quite a bit better than the NYT/ClimateActionTracker pathways show.
¹ gwagner.com/scenarios
Reposted by Ilmi
HE'S APPEALING TO THE SUPREME COURT OF THE UNITED STATES THAT HE BE ALLOWED TO STARVE AMERICANS
November 7, 2025 at 11:50 PM
HE'S APPEALING TO THE SUPREME COURT OF THE UNITED STATES THAT HE BE ALLOWED TO STARVE AMERICANS
It feels crazy to watch this and think about the Biden manufacturing boom stats. Just crazy.
Bessent: "I think that we're at the cusp of the liftoff. In 2026 and 2027 -- President Trump was committed to bringing manufacturing jobs back to America and this is the start."
November 8, 2025 at 12:46 AM
It feels crazy to watch this and think about the Biden manufacturing boom stats. Just crazy.
If this is really the incentive package necessary to motivate Elon then that would make him an extremely difficult-to-motivate person.
If Musk meets all the benchmarks of his new $1 trillion pay package from Tesla he will be paid $274 MILLION EVERY DAY FOR THE NEXT 10 YEARS
This is his part-time job
This is his part-time job
November 7, 2025 at 8:54 PM
If this is really the incentive package necessary to motivate Elon then that would make him an extremely difficult-to-motivate person.
Reposted by Ilmi
Your daily dose of climate hope. From the team at RMI: rmi.org/wp-content/u...
November 3, 2025 at 11:36 PM
Your daily dose of climate hope. From the team at RMI: rmi.org/wp-content/u...
I feel like humanity's "immiseration," rather than "demise," is bad enough to warrant an urgent response, don't you?
Ahead of this month's COP30 summit in Brazil, billionaire investor Bill Gates is advising world leaders that global warming "will not lead to humanity’s demise."
Is he right?
Is he right?
November 3, 2025 at 8:29 PM
I feel like humanity's "immiseration," rather than "demise," is bad enough to warrant an urgent response, don't you?
Reposted by Ilmi
The *size of the state is a residual in the process* because you can't know what the denominator you are working with ultimately is. But you can ensure that the system for funding your policy goals is efficient and robust, your goals are well-specified and that risks around them are monitored.
November 3, 2025 at 1:26 PM
The *size of the state is a residual in the process* because you can't know what the denominator you are working with ultimately is. But you can ensure that the system for funding your policy goals is efficient and robust, your goals are well-specified and that risks around them are monitored.
Mashallah
أنا اسمي زهران ممدان وعم رشّح حالي لأكون العمدة الجديد في مدينة نيويورك
November 2, 2025 at 12:02 AM
Mashallah
Reposted by Ilmi
Obama: "They never miss a chance to scapegoat minorities and blame DEI for every problem under the sun. You got a flat tire? Must be DEI. Your wife kicked you out? DEI. Who knew?"
November 1, 2025 at 11:29 PM
Obama: "They never miss a chance to scapegoat minorities and blame DEI for every problem under the sun. You got a flat tire? Must be DEI. Your wife kicked you out? DEI. Who knew?"
This is the nut of it.
For decades we have had climate technologies that save money now and climate technologies that are in need of commercialization. He was at the forefront of convincing everyone to focus on the ones that have a “green premium” which is just a “technology premium” that has nothing to do with green.
November 1, 2025 at 11:55 PM
This is the nut of it.
Reposted by Ilmi
For decades we have had climate technologies that save money now and climate technologies that are in need of commercialization. He was at the forefront of convincing everyone to focus on the ones that have a “green premium” which is just a “technology premium” that has nothing to do with green.
October 29, 2025 at 6:27 PM
For decades we have had climate technologies that save money now and climate technologies that are in need of commercialization. He was at the forefront of convincing everyone to focus on the ones that have a “green premium” which is just a “technology premium” that has nothing to do with green.
Been wondering what fills the seemingly inevitable vacuum of American soft power.
Between banning books, non-white people, genders, immigrants, comedians, journalism…
And then pushing AI which just regurgitates new ideas…
America is headed into a deep cultural recession. This place is bleak and getting increasingly boring.
And then pushing AI which just regurgitates new ideas…
America is headed into a deep cultural recession. This place is bleak and getting increasingly boring.
October 31, 2025 at 2:24 PM
Been wondering what fills the seemingly inevitable vacuum of American soft power.
Reposted by Ilmi
Still this: "I disliked Biden because [thing Trump did], and I missed Trump because [thing Biden did]. I voted for Trump again because I wanted [thing Harris promised], But I really hope that Trump doesn't [core Trump campaign promise]."
October 29, 2025 at 11:19 PM
Still this: "I disliked Biden because [thing Trump did], and I missed Trump because [thing Biden did]. I voted for Trump again because I wanted [thing Harris promised], But I really hope that Trump doesn't [core Trump campaign promise]."
Reposted by Ilmi
Here is how to use a whistle for ICE alert.
Neighborhoods all over are banding together, handing out whistles and instructing everyone.
This is where we are at. Nazi alert!
Neighborhoods all over are banding together, handing out whistles and instructing everyone.
This is where we are at. Nazi alert!
October 30, 2025 at 1:08 AM
Here is how to use a whistle for ICE alert.
Neighborhoods all over are banding together, handing out whistles and instructing everyone.
This is where we are at. Nazi alert!
Neighborhoods all over are banding together, handing out whistles and instructing everyone.
This is where we are at. Nazi alert!
Reposted by Ilmi
(5) Stop with the fucking “kitchen table issues!” Yes, people respond well to that line experimentally. But if they actually acted on it then Donald fucking Trump wouldn’t be president right now.
Try to have the faintest clue of what sort of apparatus his party network has actually built!
Try to have the faintest clue of what sort of apparatus his party network has actually built!
October 28, 2025 at 4:24 PM
(5) Stop with the fucking “kitchen table issues!” Yes, people respond well to that line experimentally. But if they actually acted on it then Donald fucking Trump wouldn’t be president right now.
Try to have the faintest clue of what sort of apparatus his party network has actually built!
Try to have the faintest clue of what sort of apparatus his party network has actually built!
Reposted by Ilmi
the democratic party’s basic problem is it has almost no control over how its message reaches the ears of voters, especially outside of presidential election years. but rather than devote serious time, attention and cash to that problem its consultants and pundits want to fight factional battles
October 27, 2025 at 6:29 PM
the democratic party’s basic problem is it has almost no control over how its message reaches the ears of voters, especially outside of presidential election years. but rather than devote serious time, attention and cash to that problem its consultants and pundits want to fight factional battles
Reposted by Ilmi
Guess what, you need government and the people who work for the government are committed enough to risk their lives for you without pay
NOAA hurricane hunters flying aboard a P-3 Orion aircraft ("Kermit") are monitoring Hurricane Melissa as most aircraft steer clear. The storm poses a catastrophic threat to Jamaica and Haiti.
The crew are among the many federal workers working without pay during the US government shutdown.
The crew are among the many federal workers working without pay during the US government shutdown.
October 27, 2025 at 8:05 AM
Guess what, you need government and the people who work for the government are committed enough to risk their lives for you without pay
Reposted by Ilmi
"The global oil market may be at a tipping point as signs of a significant supply glut emerge" writes the IEA.
Tepid demand due to "subpar economic conditions, increasing vehicle efficiencies, & robust electric vehicle sales in many markets." 😮
www.iea.org/commentaries...
Tepid demand due to "subpar economic conditions, increasing vehicle efficiencies, & robust electric vehicle sales in many markets." 😮
www.iea.org/commentaries...
As oil market surplus keeps rising, something’s got to give – Analysis - IEA
As oil market surplus keeps rising, something’s got to give - A commentary by Toril Bosoni
www.iea.org
October 27, 2025 at 7:24 AM
"The global oil market may be at a tipping point as signs of a significant supply glut emerge" writes the IEA.
Tepid demand due to "subpar economic conditions, increasing vehicle efficiencies, & robust electric vehicle sales in many markets." 😮
www.iea.org/commentaries...
Tepid demand due to "subpar economic conditions, increasing vehicle efficiencies, & robust electric vehicle sales in many markets." 😮
www.iea.org/commentaries...
Black Hawk Lotus is going to be bad.
Like what are we gonna do if there's basically a Beslan-level incident at a resort in a previously "safe" part of Mexico and there are hundreds of Americans held hostage? Is anyone prepared for that? Are we ready for the aftermath if it gets bloody? This can go so horribly wrong, so quickly.
October 25, 2025 at 8:40 PM
Black Hawk Lotus is going to be bad.