Gregory Poling
@gregpoling.bsky.social
Senior Fellow and Director, Southeast Asia Program and Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative, Center for Strategic and International Studies. Opinion my own, etc etc
Reposted by Gregory Poling
Some thoughts on the new 2025 National Security Strategy, particularly as it relates to Asia & Southeast Asia 🧵: www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/u...
www.whitehouse.gov
December 5, 2025 at 3:18 PM
Some thoughts on the new 2025 National Security Strategy, particularly as it relates to Asia & Southeast Asia 🧵: www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/u...
The subtle signs of being an elder millennial girl-dad...
December 5, 2025 at 3:35 PM
The subtle signs of being an elder millennial girl-dad...
Reposted by Gregory Poling
As far as I can see, this nat sec strategy is far harsher on Europe than on Russia. There is no mention of a threat from Russia or of deterrence, only that "re-establishing strategic stability" is a priority. Europe is cast as a major threat to freedom. A radical, dangerous document.
December 5, 2025 at 7:35 AM
As far as I can see, this nat sec strategy is far harsher on Europe than on Russia. There is no mention of a threat from Russia or of deterrence, only that "re-establishing strategic stability" is a priority. Europe is cast as a major threat to freedom. A radical, dangerous document.
Reposted by Gregory Poling
In a multipolar world, "the support of the global majority will be necessary for the success of most rules and institutions," write @gregpoling.bsky.social and Andreyka Natalegawa. Their new analysis uses data to unpack alignment with U.S. and Chinese leadership.
www.csis.org/analysis/glo...
www.csis.org/analysis/glo...
November 25, 2025 at 7:00 PM
In a multipolar world, "the support of the global majority will be necessary for the success of most rules and institutions," write @gregpoling.bsky.social and Andreyka Natalegawa. Their new analysis uses data to unpack alignment with U.S. and Chinese leadership.
www.csis.org/analysis/glo...
www.csis.org/analysis/glo...
Reposted by Gregory Poling
RM @meeks.house.gov: Ending TPS for Burma, in the middle of the conflict there, endangers the lives of many Burmese, including human rights and democracy activists. It's cruel and will undermine the fight for democracy in Burma. The admin must reconsider this terrible decision.
November 24, 2025 at 9:15 PM
RM @meeks.house.gov: Ending TPS for Burma, in the middle of the conflict there, endangers the lives of many Burmese, including human rights and democracy activists. It's cruel and will undermine the fight for democracy in Burma. The admin must reconsider this terrible decision.
I'm confident not a single Burma watcher in the US govt would assess that Myanmar "has made notable progress in governance and stability." Yet DHS is claiming as much in order to deport thousands to an active war zone.
US terminates temporarily legal status for Myanmar citizens reut.rs/48yZL8A
US terminates temporarily legal status for Myanmar citizens
The Trump administration is ending temporary legal status for citizens of Myanmar who are in the United States, the U.S. Department of Homeland Security said in a notice on Monday.
reut.rs
November 24, 2025 at 8:35 PM
I'm confident not a single Burma watcher in the US govt would assess that Myanmar "has made notable progress in governance and stability." Yet DHS is claiming as much in order to deport thousands to an active war zone.
Reposted by Gregory Poling
After 14 years, I think the time has come to acknowledge that the "Rebalance to Asia" has failed.
I've spent the last decade writing and thinking about how to make the rebalance successful, so this is a painful realization.
A thread on my new piece for RSIS...
I've spent the last decade writing and thinking about how to make the rebalance successful, so this is a painful realization.
A thread on my new piece for RSIS...
September 11, 2025 at 10:54 AM
After 14 years, I think the time has come to acknowledge that the "Rebalance to Asia" has failed.
I've spent the last decade writing and thinking about how to make the rebalance successful, so this is a painful realization.
A thread on my new piece for RSIS...
I've spent the last decade writing and thinking about how to make the rebalance successful, so this is a painful realization.
A thread on my new piece for RSIS...
Reposted by Gregory Poling
In case you missed it last week:
We gathered a few friends and colleagues to write about the extraordinary life of Jerome A. Cohen (1930-2025), renowned lawyer and scholar of Chinese law.
We gathered a few friends and colleagues to write about the extraordinary life of Jerome A. Cohen (1930-2025), renowned lawyer and scholar of Chinese law.
Remembering Jerome A. Cohen
Jerome Alan Cohen (July 1, 1930 – September 22, 2025) was a renowned American lawyer who was one of the foremost foreign scholars of Chinese law. After studying law at Yale, Cohen embarked on a career...
www.chinafile.com
October 14, 2025 at 9:31 PM
In case you missed it last week:
We gathered a few friends and colleagues to write about the extraordinary life of Jerome A. Cohen (1930-2025), renowned lawyer and scholar of Chinese law.
We gathered a few friends and colleagues to write about the extraordinary life of Jerome A. Cohen (1930-2025), renowned lawyer and scholar of Chinese law.
Reposted by Gregory Poling
"If there is any hope that the current civil war will lead to the reestablishment of a unified Myanmar, creative solutions will have to be found to resolve the conflicting claims in Shan State," writes CSIS's Michael Martin.
Read the full commentary: www.csis.org/analysis/dil...
Read the full commentary: www.csis.org/analysis/dil...
The Dilemma of Shan State for Myanmar’s Revolution
If there is any hope that the current civil war will lead to the reestablishment of a unified Myanmar, creative solutions will have to be found to resolve the conflicting claims in Shan State.
www.csis.org
October 8, 2025 at 2:00 PM
"If there is any hope that the current civil war will lead to the reestablishment of a unified Myanmar, creative solutions will have to be found to resolve the conflicting claims in Shan State," writes CSIS's Michael Martin.
Read the full commentary: www.csis.org/analysis/dil...
Read the full commentary: www.csis.org/analysis/dil...
Reposted by Gregory Poling
Horrific reporting from the AP on the Myanmar families watching their kids starve to death from Trump and Musk’s aid cuts apnews.com/article/myan...
Starving children screaming for food as US aid cuts unleash devastation and death across Myanmar
U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio has repeatedly said “no one has died" because of his government’s decision to gut its foreign aid program.
apnews.com
October 8, 2025 at 10:41 AM
Horrific reporting from the AP on the Myanmar families watching their kids starve to death from Trump and Musk’s aid cuts apnews.com/article/myan...
Reposted by Gregory Poling
"A clear pattern is emerging in Southeast Asian responses to U.S. economic pressure, with most states seeking to mitigate both the short- and long-term risks of partnering with the United States," notes @gregpoling.bsky.social.
Read more from @seasia.csis.org: www.csis.org/analysis/sou...
Read more from @seasia.csis.org: www.csis.org/analysis/sou...
October 7, 2025 at 7:00 PM
"A clear pattern is emerging in Southeast Asian responses to U.S. economic pressure, with most states seeking to mitigate both the short- and long-term risks of partnering with the United States," notes @gregpoling.bsky.social.
Read more from @seasia.csis.org: www.csis.org/analysis/sou...
Read more from @seasia.csis.org: www.csis.org/analysis/sou...
Reposted by Gregory Poling
Reposted by Gregory Poling
Remember, social media posts aren’t trade agreements.
Thank you for your attention to this matter!
Thank you for your attention to this matter!
July 23, 2025 at 1:21 PM
Remember, social media posts aren’t trade agreements.
Thank you for your attention to this matter!
Thank you for your attention to this matter!
Reposted by Gregory Poling
worth pointing out, again, that a 20% tariff on Vietnamese imports alone (our sixth-largest trading partner!) would have been considered the worst trade war in modern American history pre-Trump. Instead it is now treated as a "deal". How far we've fallen.
July 2, 2025 at 8:16 PM
worth pointing out, again, that a 20% tariff on Vietnamese imports alone (our sixth-largest trading partner!) would have been considered the worst trade war in modern American history pre-Trump. Instead it is now treated as a "deal". How far we've fallen.
Reposted by Gregory Poling
"Increased patrolling east of the shoal (..) suggests that China is using the nine-dash line rather than the territorial sea or another maritime zone from Scarborough as its imagined jurisdictional boundary” www.stripes.com/theaters/asi...
Scarborough Shoal a growing flashpoint between China and Philippines, think tank says
Scarborough Shoal has reemerged as the focal point of tensions between Manila and Beijing in the South China Sea, according to a report released Monday by the Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative.
www.stripes.com
June 17, 2025 at 8:57 AM
"Increased patrolling east of the shoal (..) suggests that China is using the nine-dash line rather than the territorial sea or another maritime zone from Scarborough as its imagined jurisdictional boundary” www.stripes.com/theaters/asi...
Tune in at 10am ET for the 15th(!!) @csis.org South China Sea Conference www.csis.org/events/fifte...
Fifteenth Annual South China Sea Conference | CSIS Events
The CSIS Southeast Asia Program and Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative are pleased to present the Fifteenth Annual South China Sea Conference.
www.csis.org
June 17, 2025 at 11:46 AM
Tune in at 10am ET for the 15th(!!) @csis.org South China Sea Conference www.csis.org/events/fifte...
Reposted by Gregory Poling
Logo is back up at the US Institute of Peace where it belongs — small but important court victory against DOGE’s illegal actions.
May 23, 2025 at 10:03 PM
Logo is back up at the US Institute of Peace where it belongs — small but important court victory against DOGE’s illegal actions.
Reposted by Gregory Poling
Closer examination of those visits suggests that China maintains exclusive access to some facilities, including the base’s largest pier. And recent photos of progress at a nearby air defense site only raise more questions about the true extent of Beijing’s military presence in the area.
A Tale of Two Reams: Questions Remain at Cambodia’s Growing Naval Base | Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative
After the official opening of Cambodian-Chinese joint facilities at Ream Naval Base in early April, the base quickly hosted visits from both Japan and Vietnam. But closer examination of those visits, ...
amti.csis.org
May 6, 2025 at 7:13 AM
Closer examination of those visits suggests that China maintains exclusive access to some facilities, including the base’s largest pier. And recent photos of progress at a nearby air defense site only raise more questions about the true extent of Beijing’s military presence in the area.
RFA services going dark as USAGM ignores a court order to disburse its Congressionally appropriated funding. www.rfa.org/english/abou...
RFA announces mass layoffs, shutdown of major language services
Uyghur, Tibetan, Burmese will halt content production, programming on May 9
www.rfa.org
May 2, 2025 at 4:12 PM
RFA services going dark as USAGM ignores a court order to disburse its Congressionally appropriated funding. www.rfa.org/english/abou...
Reposted by Gregory Poling
The Archive is troubled to learn that President Trump yesterday fired all nine members of the State Department's Advisory Committee on Historical Diplomatic Documentation, a statutory body that has operated without presidential interference for over 20 years. history.state.gov/about/hac/in...
May 1, 2025 at 3:27 PM
The Archive is troubled to learn that President Trump yesterday fired all nine members of the State Department's Advisory Committee on Historical Diplomatic Documentation, a statutory body that has operated without presidential interference for over 20 years. history.state.gov/about/hac/in...
April 29, 2025 at 4:56 PM
Reposted by Gregory Poling
1. We contacted the 100 largest American companies and asked a simple question:
Do you support the tariffs announced by President Trump on April 2?
These are tariffs that have already destroyed trillions of shareholder value
NOT ONE COMPANY WOULD ANSWER THE QUESTION
Do you support the tariffs announced by President Trump on April 2?
These are tariffs that have already destroyed trillions of shareholder value
NOT ONE COMPANY WOULD ANSWER THE QUESTION
Trump tariffs, corporations cower
During the Biden administration, corporate executives regularly expressed their displeasure with policies they opposed.
popular.info
April 7, 2025 at 12:49 PM
1. We contacted the 100 largest American companies and asked a simple question:
Do you support the tariffs announced by President Trump on April 2?
These are tariffs that have already destroyed trillions of shareholder value
NOT ONE COMPANY WOULD ANSWER THE QUESTION
Do you support the tariffs announced by President Trump on April 2?
These are tariffs that have already destroyed trillions of shareholder value
NOT ONE COMPANY WOULD ANSWER THE QUESTION
Thailand, India legitimize Min Aung Hlaing with these engagements at BIMSTEC. His junta controls a third of Myanmar; this isn't pragmatic engagement, it's picking the losing side in a civil war.
Modi meets Myanmar's Min Aung Hlaing, Bangladesh's Yunus
https://asia.nikkei.com/Politics/International-relations/Modi-meets-Myanmar-s-Min-Aung-Hlaing-Bangladesh-s-Yunus
https://asia.nikkei.com/Politics/International-relations/Modi-meets-Myanmar-s-Min-Aung-Hlaing-Bangladesh-s-Yunus
Modi meets Myanmar's Min Aung Hlaing, Bangladesh's Yunus
As part of Quad, Indian leader calls for extension of Myanmar ceasefire
asia.nikkei.com
April 4, 2025 at 11:25 AM
Thailand, India legitimize Min Aung Hlaing with these engagements at BIMSTEC. His junta controls a third of Myanmar; this isn't pragmatic engagement, it's picking the losing side in a civil war.
Reposted by Gregory Poling
Decades of national security expertise wiped away in Washington yesterday at the urging of a far-right conspiracist who was once banned from Uber for anti-Muslim rants and claimed 9/11 was an 'inside job.' wapo.st/3R3zRAu
Trump ousts members of National Security Council staff
The NSC shake-up followed a White House visit by Laura Loomer, a far-right activist who urged Trump to purge staff with hawkish foreign policy views.
wapo.st
April 4, 2025 at 6:27 AM
Decades of national security expertise wiped away in Washington yesterday at the urging of a far-right conspiracist who was once banned from Uber for anti-Muslim rants and claimed 9/11 was an 'inside job.' wapo.st/3R3zRAu
Pretty sure @wilsoncenter.org is mostly privately funded. This is absurd.
Another insanity in a sea of madness.
The gutting of the Wilson Center.
www.nytimes.com/2025/04/02/u...
The gutting of the Wilson Center.
www.nytimes.com/2025/04/02/u...
Musk’s Task Force Begins Shutting Down Foreign Policy Research Center
Mark Green, a Republican who once worked under President Trump, stepped down as head of the Wilson Center after employees of Elon Musk’s team visited the think tank.
www.nytimes.com
April 3, 2025 at 1:29 PM
Pretty sure @wilsoncenter.org is mostly privately funded. This is absurd.