FPLFutbolmetrix
@fplfutbolmetrix.bsky.social
FPL and SerieAFantasy account. Two top 2k finishes, once in distant FPL prehistory, once in 2023-2024. #AnalyticsFC, FPLReview Elite 1000
Pinned
Serie A Fantasy 2024-2025 Fixture Ticker (pinned)
docs.google.com
For the #SerieAFantasy fans on bluesky, here is my fixture ticker, which I will try to update weekly: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
@kuutteri.bsky.social @fplprop.bsky.social @fpljr.bsky.social
@kuutteri.bsky.social @fplprop.bsky.social @fpljr.bsky.social
#SerieAFantasy updated fixture ticker: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
Does not reflect possible doubles yet (FIO-INT in 24, BOL-MIL in 26). Keep an eye on announcements later today
Does not reflect possible doubles yet (FIO-INT in 24, BOL-MIL in 26). Keep an eye on announcements later today
Serie A Fantasy 2024-2025 Fixture Ticker (pinned)
docs.google.com
January 31, 2025 at 12:33 PM
#SerieAFantasy updated fixture ticker: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
Does not reflect possible doubles yet (FIO-INT in 24, BOL-MIL in 26). Keep an eye on announcements later today
Does not reflect possible doubles yet (FIO-INT in 24, BOL-MIL in 26). Keep an eye on announcements later today
GW24 is finally upon us, and managers can activate their Assistant Manager Chip. Check here my updated AM Chip Planning Spreadsheet: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
Assistant Manager Chip Planning Spreadsheet
docs.google.com
January 27, 2025 at 1:05 PM
GW24 is finally upon us, and managers can activate their Assistant Manager Chip. Check here my updated AM Chip Planning Spreadsheet: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
Keep in mind that there is a decent chance that GW24 or GW25 (or both!) will be doubles (make-up games for Fiorentina-Inter and Bologna-Milan). Inter almost surely through as top-8 in CL, so both midweeks free. Milan with a ~70% chance of making top 8.
January 24, 2025 at 1:28 PM
Keep in mind that there is a decent chance that GW24 or GW25 (or both!) will be doubles (make-up games for Fiorentina-Inter and Bologna-Milan). Inter almost surely through as top-8 in CL, so both midweeks free. Milan with a ~70% chance of making top 8.
#SerieAFantasy updated fixture ticker: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
Serie A Fantasy 2024-2025 Fixture Ticker (pinned)
docs.google.com
January 24, 2025 at 1:25 PM
#SerieAFantasy updated fixture ticker: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
Updated Assistant Manager Chip Planning spreadsheet: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
Some interesting moves in GW26: Moyes (vs MUN) now only 9% probability of table bonus, but Howe (vs NFO) up to 19% prob of bonus, EV with bonus 11.99 (!)
Some interesting moves in GW26: Moyes (vs MUN) now only 9% probability of table bonus, but Howe (vs NFO) up to 19% prob of bonus, EV with bonus 11.99 (!)
Assistant Manager Chip Planning Spreadsheet
docs.google.com
January 21, 2025 at 12:19 PM
Updated Assistant Manager Chip Planning spreadsheet: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
Some interesting moves in GW26: Moyes (vs MUN) now only 9% probability of table bonus, but Howe (vs NFO) up to 19% prob of bonus, EV with bonus 11.99 (!)
Some interesting moves in GW26: Moyes (vs MUN) now only 9% probability of table bonus, but Howe (vs NFO) up to 19% prob of bonus, EV with bonus 11.99 (!)
#SerieAFantasy: Updated fixture ticker ahead of DGW20: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
Serie A Fantasy 2024-2025 Fixture Ticker (pinned)
docs.google.com
January 9, 2025 at 12:13 PM
#SerieAFantasy: Updated fixture ticker ahead of DGW20: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
AM Chip Planning Spreadsheet, updated after GW19: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
Some comments to follow
Some comments to follow
Assistant Manager Chip Planning Spreadsheet
docs.google.com
January 2, 2025 at 1:53 PM
AM Chip Planning Spreadsheet, updated after GW19: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
Some comments to follow
Some comments to follow
Updated AM Chip Planning Spreadsheet, with results and league tables after GW17: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
December 24, 2024 at 11:14 AM
Updated AM Chip Planning Spreadsheet, with results and league tables after GW17: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
I posted a thread on the other place: a new AM chip planning spreadsheet
x.com/FPLFutbolmet...
x.com/FPLFutbolmet...
x.com
x.com
December 23, 2024 at 3:26 AM
I posted a thread on the other place: a new AM chip planning spreadsheet
x.com/FPLFutbolmet...
x.com/FPLFutbolmet...
#SerieAFantasy updated fixture ticker ahead of GW17. Just two more weeks before the BGW and DGW, plan wisely!
docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
Serie A Fantasy 2024-2025 Fixture Ticker (pinned)
docs.google.com
December 20, 2024 at 3:27 PM
#SerieAFantasy updated fixture ticker ahead of GW17. Just two more weeks before the BGW and DGW, plan wisely!
docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
#SerieAFantasy GW16. Pulisic -->Leao, 3FTs rolled. I was offline yesterday and missed Theo's likely benching news 😭 At least I avoided xMin fraud Lookman...
December 14, 2024 at 1:47 PM
#SerieAFantasy GW16. Pulisic -->Leao, 3FTs rolled. I was offline yesterday and missed Theo's likely benching news 😭 At least I avoided xMin fraud Lookman...
GW16. Rolled, Palmer cap. GL to all with same team as me
December 14, 2024 at 1:43 PM
GW16. Rolled, Palmer cap. GL to all with same team as me
I did some elaborations on the Assistant Manager EVs posted by @analyticf.pl below. Taking the current difference in league places, I have calculated the effective EV for each fixture for the home and away team (1/.
I calculated the EVs for the Assistant Manager in each fixture.
For now, not factored in probability of being 5 places below so:
Pts = EV if they not 5+ places below
Pts++ = EV if they are 5+ places below
From my team strength model
For now, not factored in probability of being 5 places below so:
Pts = EV if they not 5+ places below
Pts++ = EV if they are 5+ places below
From my team strength model
Assistant Manager EV
docs.google.com
December 12, 2024 at 3:33 PM
I did some elaborations on the Assistant Manager EVs posted by @analyticf.pl below. Taking the current difference in league places, I have calculated the effective EV for each fixture for the home and away team (1/.
Probably people have posted this already, but here are some quick and dirty calculations for Mystery Chip EVs in the upcoming gameweek: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
This is just taking into account the 1X2 probabilities (taken from Google), not goals scored and clean sheet points (1/
This is just taking into account the 1X2 probabilities (taken from Google), not goals scored and clean sheet points (1/
Mystery Chip quick and dirty calculations GW16
docs.google.com
December 12, 2024 at 4:25 AM
Probably people have posted this already, but here are some quick and dirty calculations for Mystery Chip EVs in the upcoming gameweek: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
This is just taking into account the 1X2 probabilities (taken from Google), not goals scored and clean sheet points (1/
This is just taking into account the 1X2 probabilities (taken from Google), not goals scored and clean sheet points (1/
#SerieAFantasy 4 FTs, 3.2ITB. I'm thinking of a couple of lateral moves to break out of the template:
A. DeGea+Dimarco --> Sommer+Gosens
B: Theo+Kvara --> Buongiorno+Leao
Thoughts?
A. DeGea+Dimarco --> Sommer+Gosens
B: Theo+Kvara --> Buongiorno+Leao
Thoughts?
December 6, 2024 at 12:40 PM
#SerieAFantasy 4 FTs, 3.2ITB. I'm thinking of a couple of lateral moves to break out of the template:
A. DeGea+Dimarco --> Sommer+Gosens
B: Theo+Kvara --> Buongiorno+Leao
Thoughts?
A. DeGea+Dimarco --> Sommer+Gosens
B: Theo+Kvara --> Buongiorno+Leao
Thoughts?
#SerieAFantasy GW15 deadline today. Updated fixture ticker: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
Serie A Fantasy 2024-2025 Fixture Ticker (pinned)
docs.google.com
December 6, 2024 at 11:46 AM
#SerieAFantasy GW15 deadline today. Updated fixture ticker: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
Distance to top 100k has gone from 88 to 94. A green is not always a green
GW13: 71 all out, 2.2M --> 2.0M. A green is a green, we move.
December 3, 2024 at 4:47 AM
Distance to top 100k has gone from 88 to 94. A green is not always a green
Reposted by FPLFutbolmetrix
🏆 Manager Rankings, December 2024 🏆
🥇 @tomdollimorefpl.bsky.social
🥈 Fábio Borges
🥉 John Walsh
Going forward rankings will be updated on fplresearch.com after every GW. Check your own rating here: fplresearch.com/tool
🥇 @tomdollimorefpl.bsky.social
🥈 Fábio Borges
🥉 John Walsh
Going forward rankings will be updated on fplresearch.com after every GW. Check your own rating here: fplresearch.com/tool
fplresearch.com - The home of FPL manager ratings
www.fplresearch.com
December 2, 2024 at 6:14 PM
🏆 Manager Rankings, December 2024 🏆
🥇 @tomdollimorefpl.bsky.social
🥈 Fábio Borges
🥉 John Walsh
Going forward rankings will be updated on fplresearch.com after every GW. Check your own rating here: fplresearch.com/tool
🥇 @tomdollimorefpl.bsky.social
🥈 Fábio Borges
🥉 John Walsh
Going forward rankings will be updated on fplresearch.com after every GW. Check your own rating here: fplresearch.com/tool
Over the next 6 weeks:
A: Saka+Bruno+Porro
B: Son+Mbeumo+Trent
Like for A, repost for B (or help me set up a poll, which I wasn't able to do...)
A: Saka+Bruno+Porro
B: Son+Mbeumo+Trent
Like for A, repost for B (or help me set up a poll, which I wasn't able to do...)
December 1, 2024 at 1:44 AM
Over the next 6 weeks:
A: Saka+Bruno+Porro
B: Son+Mbeumo+Trent
Like for A, repost for B (or help me set up a poll, which I wasn't able to do...)
A: Saka+Bruno+Porro
B: Son+Mbeumo+Trent
Like for A, repost for B (or help me set up a poll, which I wasn't able to do...)
#SerieAFantasy GW14 deadline today. Updated fixture ticker: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
Serie A Fantasy 2024-2025 Fixture Ticker (pinned)
docs.google.com
November 29, 2024 at 1:07 PM
#SerieAFantasy GW14 deadline today. Updated fixture ticker: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
Reposted by FPLFutbolmetrix
Remember new users are coming on daily, unsure of engagement. The more posts you like and reply to, the strong the platform becomes !
November 25, 2024 at 7:05 PM
Remember new users are coming on daily, unsure of engagement. The more posts you like and reply to, the strong the platform becomes !
We dig positive variance!
November 26, 2024 at 11:35 AM
We dig positive variance!
Reposted by FPLFutbolmetrix
November 21, 2024 at 9:36 PM
First weekly #SerieAFantasy recap on 🦋
GW13: 100 all out, OR 623-->559. Very strong week for the template, 💯 club good for just a small green.
GW13: 100 all out, OR 623-->559. Very strong week for the template, 💯 club good for just a small green.
November 26, 2024 at 12:25 AM
First weekly #SerieAFantasy recap on 🦋
GW13: 100 all out, OR 623-->559. Very strong week for the template, 💯 club good for just a small green.
GW13: 100 all out, OR 623-->559. Very strong week for the template, 💯 club good for just a small green.