Evan Scrimshaw
@escrimshaw.bsky.social
Political Writer | Freelance Sports Writer | Host Scrimshaw Show | Sports Enthusiast | Author, Salvation In The Storm | Professional Asshole
Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw
Seeing a lot of seething about the Carney/Smith MOU today. I share the frustration because it's all politics and I don't think its going to translate into tangible nice things for us but if you want a good take or two, check out @escrimshaw.bsky.social and @djclimenhaga.bsky.social #ableg #cdnpoli
November 27, 2025 at 10:27 PM
Seeing a lot of seething about the Carney/Smith MOU today. I share the frustration because it's all politics and I don't think its going to translate into tangible nice things for us but if you want a good take or two, check out @escrimshaw.bsky.social and @djclimenhaga.bsky.social #ableg #cdnpoli
Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw
Riverbend is 100% takeable. 100% @escrimshaw.bsky.social has some sound ideas on how. #cdnpoli #abpoli
Memo To The Liberals: How To Win Edmonton-Riverview
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Memo To The Liberals: How To Win Edmonton-Riverview
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Memo To The Liberals: How To Win Edmonton-Riverview
On The Upcoming Byelection
open.substack.com
November 10, 2025 at 8:02 PM
Riverbend is 100% takeable. 100% @escrimshaw.bsky.social has some sound ideas on how. #cdnpoli #abpoli
Memo To The Liberals: How To Win Edmonton-Riverview
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Memo To The Liberals: How To Win Edmonton-Riverview
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
FWIW, Edmonton-Riverbend projection in the model right now:
LPC: 46.2 (+1.4)
CPC: 44.6 (-5.7)
NDP: 8.0 (+3.8)
Others: 1.2 (+0.5)
(Changes since 2025 election)
Clearly a winnable target for the LPC and a high priority for the party
LPC: 46.2 (+1.4)
CPC: 44.6 (-5.7)
NDP: 8.0 (+3.8)
Others: 1.2 (+0.5)
(Changes since 2025 election)
Clearly a winnable target for the LPC and a high priority for the party
November 7, 2025 at 2:57 AM
FWIW, Edmonton-Riverbend projection in the model right now:
LPC: 46.2 (+1.4)
CPC: 44.6 (-5.7)
NDP: 8.0 (+3.8)
Others: 1.2 (+0.5)
(Changes since 2025 election)
Clearly a winnable target for the LPC and a high priority for the party
LPC: 46.2 (+1.4)
CPC: 44.6 (-5.7)
NDP: 8.0 (+3.8)
Others: 1.2 (+0.5)
(Changes since 2025 election)
Clearly a winnable target for the LPC and a high priority for the party
Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw
Xmas election glee in the media is unsettling, but it's not a given at all. @escrimshaw.bsky.social facting again. #cdnpoli
Models, Polls, And The Liberals On Majority’s Edge
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Models, Polls, And The Liberals On Majority’s Edge
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Models, Polls, And The Liberals On Majority’s Edge
Pre-Budget Model Update!
open.substack.com
November 3, 2025 at 9:37 PM
Xmas election glee in the media is unsettling, but it's not a given at all. @escrimshaw.bsky.social facting again. #cdnpoli
Models, Polls, And The Liberals On Majority’s Edge
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Models, Polls, And The Liberals On Majority’s Edge
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw
Do The Conservatives Actually Want An Election? @escrimshaw.bsky.social is not convinced. open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha... #cdnpoli
Do The Conservatives Actually Want An Election?
On Not Entirely Robust Assumptions
open.substack.com
October 31, 2025 at 1:22 AM
Do The Conservatives Actually Want An Election? @escrimshaw.bsky.social is not convinced. open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha... #cdnpoli
Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw
Do The Liberals Want An Election? @escrimshaw.bsky.social explains it all. And he's right. open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Do The Liberals Want An Election?
Questions To Which The Answer Is No
open.substack.com
October 22, 2025 at 9:14 PM
Do The Liberals Want An Election? @escrimshaw.bsky.social explains it all. And he's right. open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw
Election Timing: Still 2027 At The Earliest. And @escrimshaw.bsky.social is right on the nose. open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Election Timing: Still 2027 At The Earliest
Stop Buying Illogical Hype
open.substack.com
October 2, 2025 at 9:20 PM
Election Timing: Still 2027 At The Earliest. And @escrimshaw.bsky.social is right on the nose. open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw
Yep, Robertson needs to find his spine and tell the Toronto city council to honour the deal or no money. @escrimshaw.bsky.social explains the details.
Memo To Gregor Robertson: Toronto Can’t Be Allowed To Get Away With This open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Memo To Gregor Robertson: Toronto Can’t Be Allowed To Get Away With This open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Memo To Gregor Robertson: Toronto Can’t Be Allowed To Get Away With This
Time To Force Toronto’s Hand
open.substack.com
June 26, 2025 at 10:51 PM
Yep, Robertson needs to find his spine and tell the Toronto city council to honour the deal or no money. @escrimshaw.bsky.social explains the details.
Memo To Gregor Robertson: Toronto Can’t Be Allowed To Get Away With This open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Memo To Gregor Robertson: Toronto Can’t Be Allowed To Get Away With This open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw
Been on the road socatching up on @escrimshaw.bsky.social today. The Alberta pundit take isn't this dire. But I think the Ellerslie result was not good. Sure, NDP held and I don't think they lose #yeg, but they won't capture Calgary if something doesn't change.
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Alberta Byelections: If You Think This Is Fine You’re Not Paying Attention
In Defence Of Standards
open.substack.com
June 25, 2025 at 4:25 PM
Been on the road socatching up on @escrimshaw.bsky.social today. The Alberta pundit take isn't this dire. But I think the Ellerslie result was not good. Sure, NDP held and I don't think they lose #yeg, but they won't capture Calgary if something doesn't change.
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw
@escrimshaw.bsky.social is right. Bill C - 5 is going to end up in endless, and long, legal battles, which will defeat the purpose. The need for speed shouldn't blind people to the necessity of avoiding the same thing issues that caused the problem in the first place.
June 17, 2025 at 6:19 PM
@escrimshaw.bsky.social is right. Bill C - 5 is going to end up in endless, and long, legal battles, which will defeat the purpose. The need for speed shouldn't blind people to the necessity of avoiding the same thing issues that caused the problem in the first place.
Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw
@escrimshaw on how there's a better way to do this than C-5.
Bill C-5: Well Intentioned Disaster open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Bill C-5: Well Intentioned Disaster open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Bill C-5: Well Intentioned Disaster
Where Good Intentions Go To Die
open.substack.com
June 17, 2025 at 6:15 PM
@escrimshaw on how there's a better way to do this than C-5.
Bill C-5: Well Intentioned Disaster open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Bill C-5: Well Intentioned Disaster open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw
@escrimshaw.bsky.social has the right of it here. There has to be room for criticism. Leaders shouldn't insulate themselves. The civil service needs to be proactive and responsive.
Carney’s (Other) Needed Cultural Revolution open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Carney’s (Other) Needed Cultural Revolution open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Carney’s (Other) Needed Cultural Revolution
On How To Better Govern
open.substack.com
June 14, 2025 at 6:09 PM
@escrimshaw.bsky.social has the right of it here. There has to be room for criticism. Leaders shouldn't insulate themselves. The civil service needs to be proactive and responsive.
Carney’s (Other) Needed Cultural Revolution open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Carney’s (Other) Needed Cultural Revolution open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw
I want to be more optimistic but I agree with @escrimshaw.bsky.social that not much as changed. ABNDP is still crutching on "UCP bad", which everyone knows and few care about. We need a vision for the future.
Nenshi’s Dangerously Nothing NDP Leadership open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Nenshi’s Dangerously Nothing NDP Leadership open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Nenshi’s Dangerously Nothing NDP Leadership
On The Alberta NDP’s Crisis
open.substack.com
May 31, 2025 at 3:08 AM
I want to be more optimistic but I agree with @escrimshaw.bsky.social that not much as changed. ABNDP is still crutching on "UCP bad", which everyone knows and few care about. We need a vision for the future.
Nenshi’s Dangerously Nothing NDP Leadership open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Nenshi’s Dangerously Nothing NDP Leadership open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw
As @escrimshaw.bsky.social points out, we need a real plan and a serious discussion. Personally though, if it runs along the lines of anything other than "Canada is doing this for Canada", I won't be pleased.
Canada’s Foreign Policy Crossroads open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Canada’s Foreign Policy Crossroads open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Canada’s Foreign Policy Crossroads
On Missile Defence And Options
open.substack.com
May 22, 2025 at 5:39 PM
As @escrimshaw.bsky.social points out, we need a real plan and a serious discussion. Personally though, if it runs along the lines of anything other than "Canada is doing this for Canada", I won't be pleased.
Canada’s Foreign Policy Crossroads open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Canada’s Foreign Policy Crossroads open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw
And if you want to read about how stupid of an idea it is, I suggest this column from @escrimshaw.bsky.social scrimshawunscripted.substack.com/p/citizenshi...
Citizenship, And How To Fight Separatism
Lies Won’t Keep Alberta In Canada
scrimshawunscripted.substack.com
May 20, 2025 at 9:44 PM
And if you want to read about how stupid of an idea it is, I suggest this column from @escrimshaw.bsky.social scrimshawunscripted.substack.com/p/citizenshi...
Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw
I don't disagree with @escrimshaw.bsky.social on this but I don't trust the UCP. Would we be allowed by Alberta to keep citizenship is the question. They lie to us all the fucking time. So, 🤷♀️.
Citizenship, And How To Fight Separatism open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Citizenship, And How To Fight Separatism open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Citizenship, And How To Fight Separatism
Lies Won’t Keep Alberta In Canada
open.substack.com
May 20, 2025 at 8:43 PM
I don't disagree with @escrimshaw.bsky.social on this but I don't trust the UCP. Would we be allowed by Alberta to keep citizenship is the question. They lie to us all the fucking time. So, 🤷♀️.
Citizenship, And How To Fight Separatism open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Citizenship, And How To Fight Separatism open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw
The CPC learned nothing from their loss. Poilievre learned even less, if that's even possible, and @escrimshaw.bsky.social is right. This is very good news for the Liberals. Better than we cld've hoped for.
Conservatives Are Gaslighting Themselves open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Conservatives Are Gaslighting Themselves open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Conservatives Are Gaslighting Themselves
On The Big Mistake Conservatives Are Making
open.substack.com
May 19, 2025 at 8:31 PM
The CPC learned nothing from their loss. Poilievre learned even less, if that's even possible, and @escrimshaw.bsky.social is right. This is very good news for the Liberals. Better than we cld've hoped for.
Conservatives Are Gaslighting Themselves open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Conservatives Are Gaslighting Themselves open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw
All of this plus @escrimshaw.bsky.social explains what "tabling a budget" means in a way that the media doesn't bother to.
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Carney, Budgets, And A Rocky Week
Reflections On This Week
open.substack.com
May 17, 2025 at 5:30 PM
All of this plus @escrimshaw.bsky.social explains what "tabling a budget" means in a way that the media doesn't bother to.
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw
Party status is earned. They fucked this up themselves. This is little different from Poilievre thinking he should get a gimme re-do for a seat, imo, but @escrimshaw.bsky.social can explain it better.
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
NDP, Party Status, And The Entitlement Of The Powerless
On Don Davies’ Asinine Quotes
open.substack.com
May 10, 2025 at 5:56 PM
Party status is earned. They fucked this up themselves. This is little different from Poilievre thinking he should get a gimme re-do for a seat, imo, but @escrimshaw.bsky.social can explain it better.
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw
I hate Scott Moe. He's worse than useless and a terrible person to boot, but it does look like Carney is about to enlist Moe's terminal self-interest to fuck over Smith and that will be a goddamn pleasure to watch. @escrimshaw.bsky.social explains it all.
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Lessons For Next Time: How To Manage Alberta Independence
Smith And Moe Show Two Paths
open.substack.com
May 9, 2025 at 7:19 PM
I hate Scott Moe. He's worse than useless and a terrible person to boot, but it does look like Carney is about to enlist Moe's terminal self-interest to fuck over Smith and that will be a goddamn pleasure to watch. @escrimshaw.bsky.social explains it all.
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw
Yep. Agree with @escrimshaw.bsky.social here. And as a side note, I was just a lowly campaign manager in a not even possible to win AB riding this recent election, but I noted a marked difference in the party. Far more accessible and it really helped.
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Lessons For Next Time: Embrace Dissent
Learning From One Of Trudeau’s Errors
open.substack.com
May 7, 2025 at 8:32 PM
Yep. Agree with @escrimshaw.bsky.social here. And as a side note, I was just a lowly campaign manager in a not even possible to win AB riding this recent election, but I noted a marked difference in the party. Far more accessible and it really helped.
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw
Rational Albertans, and there are a few of us, know exactly what Smith's catering to batshit crazy is going to cost us. @escrimshaw.bsky.social is more generous than I am here but I hate Smith's treasonous ass, so there's that.
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Danielle Smith And The Fallacy Of An Independent Alberta
What Advocates For Alberta Miss
open.substack.com
May 6, 2025 at 1:51 AM
Rational Albertans, and there are a few of us, know exactly what Smith's catering to batshit crazy is going to cost us. @escrimshaw.bsky.social is more generous than I am here but I hate Smith's treasonous ass, so there's that.
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw
@escrimshaw.bsky.social with a fair assessment. Trudeau has a small handful of good social programs and the fact that it was him and not Andrew Scheer when covid hit going for his legacy, but that's it.
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Trudeau’s Weak Legacy Makes Carney’s Job Easier
On Polls And Policies
open.substack.com
May 4, 2025 at 8:53 PM
@escrimshaw.bsky.social with a fair assessment. Trudeau has a small handful of good social programs and the fact that it was him and not Andrew Scheer when covid hit going for his legacy, but that's it.
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw
@escrimshaw.bsky.social is one the best Canadian political analysts we have. This recap is just more proof.
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Election Recap: What The Fuck Just Happened
On A Wild Election
open.substack.com
April 29, 2025 at 3:23 PM
@escrimshaw.bsky.social is one the best Canadian political analysts we have. This recap is just more proof.
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Reposted by Evan Scrimshaw
A big thank you to Blanchet for this own goal. @escrimshaw.bsky.social explains it well.
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Blanchet’s Artificial Idiocy
On The Stupidest Quote Of The Election
open.substack.com
April 26, 2025 at 3:44 PM
A big thank you to Blanchet for this own goal. @escrimshaw.bsky.social explains it well.
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...