Emmy Probasco
@emmyprobasco.bsky.social
Technology and national security.
Reposted by Emmy Probasco
OK, counterpoint alert: I've just spent a profitable 20 minutes chatting with GPT-4.5 in Catalan, where it has corrected my errors, explained things and gave me a quiz. It's certainly not "PhD-level" but it was *great*. It's the kind of use case these things are really for.
August 8, 2025 at 6:32 PM
OK, counterpoint alert: I've just spent a profitable 20 minutes chatting with GPT-4.5 in Catalan, where it has corrected my errors, explained things and gave me a quiz. It's certainly not "PhD-level" but it was *great*. It's the kind of use case these things are really for.
Reposted by Emmy Probasco
Dario Amodei has an important op-ed in the NYT today about the proposed 10-year moratorium on states regulating AI. The moratorium sounds reasonable at first - avoiding a patchwork of state laws - but it's actually quite dangerous given how fast AI is moving.
www.nytimes.com/2025/06/05/o... 1/6
www.nytimes.com/2025/06/05/o... 1/6
Opinion | Anthropic C.E.O.: Don’t Let A.I. Companies off the Hook
www.nytimes.com
June 5, 2025 at 10:19 PM
Dario Amodei has an important op-ed in the NYT today about the proposed 10-year moratorium on states regulating AI. The moratorium sounds reasonable at first - avoiding a patchwork of state laws - but it's actually quite dangerous given how fast AI is moving.
www.nytimes.com/2025/06/05/o... 1/6
www.nytimes.com/2025/06/05/o... 1/6
Just got this from my mom. My work here is done.
May 23, 2025 at 6:22 PM
Just got this from my mom. My work here is done.
For those looking to use LLMs to summarize scientific (in this case medical) papers: "LLM summaries were twice as likely to contain generalized conclusions compared to the original abstracts, indicating an algorithmic overgeneralization tendency."
pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC...
pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC...
Generalization bias in large language model summarization of scientific research
Artificial intelligence chatbots driven by large language models (LLMs) have the potential to increase public science literacy and support scientific research, as they can quickly summarize complex sc...
pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
May 19, 2025 at 9:12 PM
For those looking to use LLMs to summarize scientific (in this case medical) papers: "LLM summaries were twice as likely to contain generalized conclusions compared to the original abstracts, indicating an algorithmic overgeneralization tendency."
pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC...
pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC...
In 1968, U.S. soldiers massacred hundreds of civilians in My Lai, Vietnam. The killing was interrupted by helicopter pilot Hugh Thompson Jr.
If pilots are to be replaced by AI, then we should ask, could AI on a drone do the same in a future war?
If pilots are to be replaced by AI, then we should ask, could AI on a drone do the same in a future war?
May 16, 2025 at 5:26 PM
In 1968, U.S. soldiers massacred hundreds of civilians in My Lai, Vietnam. The killing was interrupted by helicopter pilot Hugh Thompson Jr.
If pilots are to be replaced by AI, then we should ask, could AI on a drone do the same in a future war?
If pilots are to be replaced by AI, then we should ask, could AI on a drone do the same in a future war?
Wrote a thing on value-based choices when deploying AI. It's based on a military situation (a sci-fi version of the My Lai massacre) but I can't help but think this is a problem lots of leaders will face in more subtle, and less stressful, ways.
As military AI evolves, ethical dilemmas grow. Should drones merely inform soldiers, coach decisions, or enforce rules of war directly?
Read the new piece by Minji Jang & CSET's @emmyprobasco.bsky.social, out today in @warontherocks.bsky.social 👇
Read the new piece by Minji Jang & CSET's @emmyprobasco.bsky.social, out today in @warontherocks.bsky.social 👇
AI on the battlefield isn’t just about efficiency. It’s about ethics and agency. warontherocks.com/20...
May 13, 2025 at 1:35 PM
Wrote a thing on value-based choices when deploying AI. It's based on a military situation (a sci-fi version of the My Lai massacre) but I can't help but think this is a problem lots of leaders will face in more subtle, and less stressful, ways.
Reposted by Emmy Probasco
As military AI evolves, ethical dilemmas grow. Should drones merely inform soldiers, coach decisions, or enforce rules of war directly?
Read the new piece by Minji Jang & CSET's @emmyprobasco.bsky.social, out today in @warontherocks.bsky.social 👇
Read the new piece by Minji Jang & CSET's @emmyprobasco.bsky.social, out today in @warontherocks.bsky.social 👇
AI on the battlefield isn’t just about efficiency. It’s about ethics and agency. warontherocks.com/20...
Military AI: Angel of our Better Nature or Tool of Control? - War on the Rocks
March 16, 1968, is one of the darkest days in U.S. military history. On that day, the soldiers of C Company, 1st Battalion, 20th Infantry Regiment, who
warontherocks.com
May 9, 2025 at 1:17 PM
As military AI evolves, ethical dilemmas grow. Should drones merely inform soldiers, coach decisions, or enforce rules of war directly?
Read the new piece by Minji Jang & CSET's @emmyprobasco.bsky.social, out today in @warontherocks.bsky.social 👇
Read the new piece by Minji Jang & CSET's @emmyprobasco.bsky.social, out today in @warontherocks.bsky.social 👇
Reposted by Emmy Probasco
Bradford G. Smith’s case highlights key issues about the prospect that brain implants and AI will one day merge. www.technologyreview.com/2025/05/07/1...
This patient’s Neuralink brain implant gets a boost from generative AI
A patient who types with his brain thanks to a Neuralink implant is using AI chatbots to speed things up.
www.technologyreview.com
May 7, 2025 at 9:07 AM
Bradford G. Smith’s case highlights key issues about the prospect that brain implants and AI will one day merge. www.technologyreview.com/2025/05/07/1...
Reposted by Emmy Probasco
Erwin Chemerinsky and @tribelaw.bsky.social: We Should All Be Very, Very Afraid
www.nytimes.com/2025/04/09/o...
www.nytimes.com/2025/04/09/o...
Opinion | Trump’s Gulag Archipelago (Gift Article)
Trump is seeking to establish a truly chilling proposition: that no one can stop his administration from imprisoning anyone it wants, anywhere in the world.
www.nytimes.com
April 9, 2025 at 4:17 PM
Erwin Chemerinsky and @tribelaw.bsky.social: We Should All Be Very, Very Afraid
www.nytimes.com/2025/04/09/o...
www.nytimes.com/2025/04/09/o...
Reposted by Emmy Probasco
I'm super excited to see our #CSET report on **AI-enabled military decision support systems** being released today!
Great work by @emmyprobasco.bsky.social, @hlntnr.bsky.social, and Matthew Burtell!
Great work by @emmyprobasco.bsky.social, @hlntnr.bsky.social, and Matthew Burtell!
⭐️New Report⭐️
Using AI to make military decisions?
CSET’s @emmyprobasco.bsky.social, @hlntnr.bsky.social, Matthew Burtell, and @timrudner.bsky.social analyze the advantages and risks of AI for military decisionmaking. cset.georgetown.edu/publication/...
Using AI to make military decisions?
CSET’s @emmyprobasco.bsky.social, @hlntnr.bsky.social, Matthew Burtell, and @timrudner.bsky.social analyze the advantages and risks of AI for military decisionmaking. cset.georgetown.edu/publication/...
AI for Military Decision-Making | Center for Security and Emerging Technology
Artificial intelligence is reshaping military decision-making. This concise overview explores how AI-enabled systems can enhance situational awareness and accelerate critical operational decisions—eve...
cset.georgetown.edu
April 1, 2025 at 3:32 PM
I'm super excited to see our #CSET report on **AI-enabled military decision support systems** being released today!
Great work by @emmyprobasco.bsky.social, @hlntnr.bsky.social, and Matthew Burtell!
Great work by @emmyprobasco.bsky.social, @hlntnr.bsky.social, and Matthew Burtell!
Reposted by Emmy Probasco
⭐️New Report⭐️
Using AI to make military decisions?
CSET’s @emmyprobasco.bsky.social, @hlntnr.bsky.social, Matthew Burtell, and @timrudner.bsky.social analyze the advantages and risks of AI for military decisionmaking. cset.georgetown.edu/publication/...
Using AI to make military decisions?
CSET’s @emmyprobasco.bsky.social, @hlntnr.bsky.social, Matthew Burtell, and @timrudner.bsky.social analyze the advantages and risks of AI for military decisionmaking. cset.georgetown.edu/publication/...
AI for Military Decision-Making | Center for Security and Emerging Technology
Artificial intelligence is reshaping military decision-making. This concise overview explores how AI-enabled systems can enhance situational awareness and accelerate critical operational decisions—eve...
cset.georgetown.edu
April 1, 2025 at 3:01 PM
⭐️New Report⭐️
Using AI to make military decisions?
CSET’s @emmyprobasco.bsky.social, @hlntnr.bsky.social, Matthew Burtell, and @timrudner.bsky.social analyze the advantages and risks of AI for military decisionmaking. cset.georgetown.edu/publication/...
Using AI to make military decisions?
CSET’s @emmyprobasco.bsky.social, @hlntnr.bsky.social, Matthew Burtell, and @timrudner.bsky.social analyze the advantages and risks of AI for military decisionmaking. cset.georgetown.edu/publication/...
There are plenty of technical & financial hurdles to defense against “ballistic, hypersonic, and cruise missiles, and other advanced aerial attacks” #GoldenDome. But one thing is very different from Reagan’s days: the commercial space industry. A story in @csetgeorgetown.bsky.social charts: 🧵
March 31, 2025 at 1:51 PM
There are plenty of technical & financial hurdles to defense against “ballistic, hypersonic, and cruise missiles, and other advanced aerial attacks” #GoldenDome. But one thing is very different from Reagan’s days: the commercial space industry. A story in @csetgeorgetown.bsky.social charts: 🧵
Reposted by Emmy Probasco
In this month’s newsletter, CSET's @alexfriedland.bsky.social wrapped up all the latest AI & policy news:
1️⃣ GPT-4.5 & Claude 3.7 Sonnet
2️⃣ Recapping new misalignment research
3️⃣ DOD wants to speed up software acquisition
4️⃣ AI Action Plan recs
And much more! cset.georgetown.edu/newsletter/m...
1️⃣ GPT-4.5 & Claude 3.7 Sonnet
2️⃣ Recapping new misalignment research
3️⃣ DOD wants to speed up software acquisition
4️⃣ AI Action Plan recs
And much more! cset.georgetown.edu/newsletter/m...
OpenAI and Anthropic try to fend off competition with new models, ideas for the U.S. AI Action Plan, and important new misalignment research | Center for Security and Emerging Technology
Plus: DOD looks to accelerate software acquisition, Trump floats CHIPS repeal, White House tries to cut off maintenance of Chinese chip tools, and the confirmation hearing for new OSTP head
cset.georgetown.edu
March 20, 2025 at 8:24 PM
In this month’s newsletter, CSET's @alexfriedland.bsky.social wrapped up all the latest AI & policy news:
1️⃣ GPT-4.5 & Claude 3.7 Sonnet
2️⃣ Recapping new misalignment research
3️⃣ DOD wants to speed up software acquisition
4️⃣ AI Action Plan recs
And much more! cset.georgetown.edu/newsletter/m...
1️⃣ GPT-4.5 & Claude 3.7 Sonnet
2️⃣ Recapping new misalignment research
3️⃣ DOD wants to speed up software acquisition
4️⃣ AI Action Plan recs
And much more! cset.georgetown.edu/newsletter/m...
Reposted by Emmy Probasco
The future of AI leadership requires thoughtful policy. @CSETGeorgetown just submitted our response to @NSF's RFI on the Development of an Artificial Intelligence Action Plan. Here's what we recommend: 🧵[1/]
March 17, 2025 at 1:28 PM
The future of AI leadership requires thoughtful policy. @CSETGeorgetown just submitted our response to @NSF's RFI on the Development of an Artificial Intelligence Action Plan. Here's what we recommend: 🧵[1/]
Had fun chatting with Gen. Tim Haugh (US CYBERCOM/NSA about military applications of AI in Austin this Friday. Video ICYMI.
www.youtube.com/live/yIMRxOg...
www.youtube.com/live/yIMRxOg...
Joint Disruptive Defense (March 7)
YouTube video by Austin Tech Live
www.youtube.com
March 10, 2025 at 7:46 PM
Had fun chatting with Gen. Tim Haugh (US CYBERCOM/NSA about military applications of AI in Austin this Friday. Video ICYMI.
www.youtube.com/live/yIMRxOg...
www.youtube.com/live/yIMRxOg...
Check out the latest from @sambresnick.bsky.social and @colemcfaul.bsky.social on how “good enough” Chinese tech could come to dominate exquisite US tech in global adoption of AI www.barrons.com/articles/dee...
Chinese AI Is Following a Familiar Playbook. U.S. Firms Should Worry.
DeekSeek is following a trail blazed by Chinese companies such as Huawei, Sam Bresnick and Cole McFaul write in a guest commentary.
www.barrons.com
March 6, 2025 at 10:02 PM
Check out the latest from @sambresnick.bsky.social and @colemcfaul.bsky.social on how “good enough” Chinese tech could come to dominate exquisite US tech in global adoption of AI www.barrons.com/articles/dee...
Getting into the nitty gritty of energy and compute constraints for drones using AI in conflict arxiv.org/abs/2502.15737
A Performance Analysis of You Only Look Once Models for Deployment on Constrained Computational Edge Devices in Drone Applications
Advancements in embedded systems and Artificial Intelligence (AI) have enhanced the capabilities of Unmanned Aircraft Vehicles (UAVs) in computer vision. However, the integration of AI techniques o-nb...
arxiv.org
March 4, 2025 at 12:44 AM
Getting into the nitty gritty of energy and compute constraints for drones using AI in conflict arxiv.org/abs/2502.15737
Couldn’t help but go through the list of intelligence failures in this article and ask: would AI have exacerbated or addressed this risk? www.timesofisrael.com/the-intel-on...
The intel on Hamas attack plan was there, but IDF simply refused to believe it, probe finds
Investigation into failures by Military Intelligence Directorate shows IDF received plans detailing possible attack in 2022, but considered it unlikely, viewed Sinwar as pragmatist
www.timesofisrael.com
March 3, 2025 at 5:14 PM
Couldn’t help but go through the list of intelligence failures in this article and ask: would AI have exacerbated or addressed this risk? www.timesofisrael.com/the-intel-on...
Re-upping CSET's report on the space launch industry in light of the @washingtonpost.com article on government contracts for Tesla and SpaceX. Bottom line: USG funding is critical to the industry, & the market is concentrated (5 of every 6 launches are by SpaceX) cset.georgetown.edu/publication/...
Shaping the U.S. Space Launch Market | Center for Security and Emerging Technology
The United States leads the world in space launch by nearly every measure: number of launches, total mass to orbit, satellite count, and more. SpaceX’s emergence has provided regular, reliable, and re...
cset.georgetown.edu
February 26, 2025 at 4:00 PM
Re-upping CSET's report on the space launch industry in light of the @washingtonpost.com article on government contracts for Tesla and SpaceX. Bottom line: USG funding is critical to the industry, & the market is concentrated (5 of every 6 launches are by SpaceX) cset.georgetown.edu/publication/...
Timely webinar today: cset.georgetown.edu/event/how-th...
How the U.S. Government Hires, Uses, and Pays for AI Tools and Talent | Center for Security and Emerging Technology
On February 24, join CSET, the Beeck Center for Social Impact + Innovation, and Georgetown Law’s Institute for Technology Law and Policy for a discussion on the federal government's procurement and us...
cset.georgetown.edu
February 24, 2025 at 2:44 PM
Timely webinar today: cset.georgetown.edu/event/how-th...
What is the indirect rate for research grants from the private sector? I saw a few pharma companies are around 25%. I also saw a few big tech companies advertising between 0 and 5%. I get that the infrastructure needs may be different depending on the research but 5% and below seems cheap...
February 20, 2025 at 5:14 PM
What is the indirect rate for research grants from the private sector? I saw a few pharma companies are around 25%. I also saw a few big tech companies advertising between 0 and 5%. I get that the infrastructure needs may be different depending on the research but 5% and below seems cheap...
Good explanation of how the ways we discuss AI (i.e. "AGI" and vague goals) impede progress towards creating AI that benefits humanity.
Reminded me of what I call AI's Inigo Montoya problem: "You keep using that word. I do not think it means what you think it means" Bravo @borhane.bsky.social
Reminded me of what I call AI's Inigo Montoya problem: "You keep using that word. I do not think it means what you think it means" Bravo @borhane.bsky.social
I’m thrilled to share new work arguing that the research community should stop treating AGI as a North-Star goal! Debates about AGI miss the forest for the trees. 🧵
Blili-Hamelin et al. Stop Treating 'AGI' as the north-star goal of AI Research.pdf
bit.ly
February 20, 2025 at 4:40 PM
Good explanation of how the ways we discuss AI (i.e. "AGI" and vague goals) impede progress towards creating AI that benefits humanity.
Reminded me of what I call AI's Inigo Montoya problem: "You keep using that word. I do not think it means what you think it means" Bravo @borhane.bsky.social
Reminded me of what I call AI's Inigo Montoya problem: "You keep using that word. I do not think it means what you think it means" Bravo @borhane.bsky.social
‼️”there are only so many times that I can say that these systems are amazing, but get things wrong all the time in ways that matter, and so the best uses cases so far are things where the error rate doesn’t matter or where it’s easy to see.”‼️
www.ben-evans.com/benedictevan...
www.ben-evans.com/benedictevan...
The Deep Research problem — Benedict Evans
OpenAI’s Deep Research is built for me, and I can’t use it. It’s another amazing demo, until it breaks. But it breaks in really interesting ways.
www.ben-evans.com
February 18, 2025 at 3:22 PM
‼️”there are only so many times that I can say that these systems are amazing, but get things wrong all the time in ways that matter, and so the best uses cases so far are things where the error rate doesn’t matter or where it’s easy to see.”‼️
www.ben-evans.com/benedictevan...
www.ben-evans.com/benedictevan...