Ellen Peters
@ellenpeters.bsky.social
Prof SOJC and Psychology, Dir Ctr for Science Comm Research, UOregon. Studies decisions & communication. My book: Innumeracy in the Wild
Pinned
Ellen Peters
@ellenpeters.bsky.social
· Oct 9
The Behavioral Divide Episode 14: From Numbers to Meaning: Rethinking Risk Communication
YouTube video by Avantis Investors
www.youtube.com
How we communicate risk statistics can matter as much as what we communicate.
I was lucky enough to share this conversation with @hal-hershfield.bsky.social and Mark Meredith, founder of Meredith Wealth Planning.
Check it out: www.youtube.com/watch?v=pKHa...
#numeracy #risk
I was lucky enough to share this conversation with @hal-hershfield.bsky.social and Mark Meredith, founder of Meredith Wealth Planning.
Check it out: www.youtube.com/watch?v=pKHa...
#numeracy #risk
Reposted by Ellen Peters
A woman from the FDA’s Center for Devices & Radiological Health explains how her entire department was gutted
That means there’s no staff to alert you if your pacemaker is recalled
If an implantable device in your body is toxic or broken
This could have catastrophic health impacts & cost lives
That means there’s no staff to alert you if your pacemaker is recalled
If an implantable device in your body is toxic or broken
This could have catastrophic health impacts & cost lives
October 28, 2025 at 5:47 AM
A woman from the FDA’s Center for Devices & Radiological Health explains how her entire department was gutted
That means there’s no staff to alert you if your pacemaker is recalled
If an implantable device in your body is toxic or broken
This could have catastrophic health impacts & cost lives
That means there’s no staff to alert you if your pacemaker is recalled
If an implantable device in your body is toxic or broken
This could have catastrophic health impacts & cost lives
Super interesting test of single blind vs double blind review.
@angiefagerlin.bsky.social
@angiefagerlin.bsky.social
Today's HotFresh recommended paper is:
Pleskac, T. J., Kyung, E. J., Chapman, G. B., & Urminsky, O. (2025). Blinded versus Unblinded Review: A Field Study on the Equity of Peer-Review Processes. Management Science. doi.org/10.1287/mnsc...
Pleskac, T. J., Kyung, E. J., Chapman, G. B., & Urminsky, O. (2025). Blinded versus Unblinded Review: A Field Study on the Equity of Peer-Review Processes. Management Science. doi.org/10.1287/mnsc...
Blinded versus Unblinded Review: A Field Study on the Equity of Peer-Review Processes | Management Science
doi.org
October 25, 2025 at 5:42 PM
Super interesting test of single blind vs double blind review.
@angiefagerlin.bsky.social
@angiefagerlin.bsky.social
Reposted by Ellen Peters
Amidst a government shutdown in which the White House has proposed slashing federal support of science by billions of dollars, our #SCIMaP team continues to assess the impact of research cuts on communities nationwide.
Learn more about our efforts: scienceimpacts.org
With more to come...
a 🧵
Learn more about our efforts: scienceimpacts.org
With more to come...
a 🧵
October 24, 2025 at 7:12 PM
Amidst a government shutdown in which the White House has proposed slashing federal support of science by billions of dollars, our #SCIMaP team continues to assess the impact of research cuts on communities nationwide.
Learn more about our efforts: scienceimpacts.org
With more to come...
a 🧵
Learn more about our efforts: scienceimpacts.org
With more to come...
a 🧵
How we communicate risk statistics can matter as much as what we communicate.
I was lucky enough to share this conversation with @hal-hershfield.bsky.social and Mark Meredith, founder of Meredith Wealth Planning.
Check it out: www.youtube.com/watch?v=pKHa...
#numeracy #risk
I was lucky enough to share this conversation with @hal-hershfield.bsky.social and Mark Meredith, founder of Meredith Wealth Planning.
Check it out: www.youtube.com/watch?v=pKHa...
#numeracy #risk
The Behavioral Divide Episode 14: From Numbers to Meaning: Rethinking Risk Communication
YouTube video by Avantis Investors
www.youtube.com
October 9, 2025 at 3:21 AM
How we communicate risk statistics can matter as much as what we communicate.
I was lucky enough to share this conversation with @hal-hershfield.bsky.social and Mark Meredith, founder of Meredith Wealth Planning.
Check it out: www.youtube.com/watch?v=pKHa...
#numeracy #risk
I was lucky enough to share this conversation with @hal-hershfield.bsky.social and Mark Meredith, founder of Meredith Wealth Planning.
Check it out: www.youtube.com/watch?v=pKHa...
#numeracy #risk
Reposted by Ellen Peters
Best consideration deadline, Friday Oct 10:
#SCIMaP (scienceimacts.org) seeks to hire a Research Communications and Media Outreach Specialist at U-Maryland to facilitate public engagement related to federal investment in science and health research.
umd.wd1.myworkdayjobs.com/en-US/UMCP/j...
#SCIMaP (scienceimacts.org) seeks to hire a Research Communications and Media Outreach Specialist at U-Maryland to facilitate public engagement related to federal investment in science and health research.
umd.wd1.myworkdayjobs.com/en-US/UMCP/j...
October 8, 2025 at 7:03 PM
Best consideration deadline, Friday Oct 10:
#SCIMaP (scienceimacts.org) seeks to hire a Research Communications and Media Outreach Specialist at U-Maryland to facilitate public engagement related to federal investment in science and health research.
umd.wd1.myworkdayjobs.com/en-US/UMCP/j...
#SCIMaP (scienceimacts.org) seeks to hire a Research Communications and Media Outreach Specialist at U-Maryland to facilitate public engagement related to federal investment in science and health research.
umd.wd1.myworkdayjobs.com/en-US/UMCP/j...
Reposted by Ellen Peters
T. Joseph Mattingly estimates that the 2025 measles outbreak in Texas will cost $90M. Measles is expensive. It's also preventable. Vaccination increases productivity & reduces costs.
Vaccination is healthy for people & the economy.
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Vaccination is healthy for people & the economy.
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Penny wise, pound foolish: The cost of reduced support for measles prevention
Measles, a vaccine-preventable disease previously declared eliminated in the United States, is reemerging with over 1400 cases reported in 2025. This …
www.sciencedirect.com
October 8, 2025 at 12:05 PM
T. Joseph Mattingly estimates that the 2025 measles outbreak in Texas will cost $90M. Measles is expensive. It's also preventable. Vaccination increases productivity & reduces costs.
Vaccination is healthy for people & the economy.
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Vaccination is healthy for people & the economy.
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Reposted by Ellen Peters
New job 🚨:
Our #SCIMaP (scienceimpacts.org) team is searching for a Research Communications and Media Outreach Specialist to facilitate public engagement related to federal investment in science and health research.
Application review starts Oct 10:
umd.wd1.myworkdayjobs.com/en-US/UMCP/j...
Our #SCIMaP (scienceimpacts.org) team is searching for a Research Communications and Media Outreach Specialist to facilitate public engagement related to federal investment in science and health research.
Application review starts Oct 10:
umd.wd1.myworkdayjobs.com/en-US/UMCP/j...
Research Communications and Media Outreach Specialist
Job Description Summary Organization's Summary Statement: The Science & Community Impacts Mapping Project (SCIMaP: https://scienceimpacts.org/) is committed to visualizing and communicating the lo...
umd.wd1.myworkdayjobs.com
October 3, 2025 at 4:28 PM
New job 🚨:
Our #SCIMaP (scienceimpacts.org) team is searching for a Research Communications and Media Outreach Specialist to facilitate public engagement related to federal investment in science and health research.
Application review starts Oct 10:
umd.wd1.myworkdayjobs.com/en-US/UMCP/j...
Our #SCIMaP (scienceimpacts.org) team is searching for a Research Communications and Media Outreach Specialist to facilitate public engagement related to federal investment in science and health research.
Application review starts Oct 10:
umd.wd1.myworkdayjobs.com/en-US/UMCP/j...
NSF invests in science, technology, and education in all 50 states. Cutting it this much will cause substantial losses to communities around the US
New from #SCIMaP - analysis of the White House’s Proposed FY 2026 National Science Foundation Budget.
Take-home: Slashing NSF by >50% will lead to ~$11 billion in economic loss and extensive job loss and reduced training opportunities in communities nationwide.
Report: osf.io/e8rnc
a 🧵
Take-home: Slashing NSF by >50% will lead to ~$11 billion in economic loss and extensive job loss and reduced training opportunities in communities nationwide.
Report: osf.io/e8rnc
a 🧵
September 25, 2025 at 10:58 PM
NSF invests in science, technology, and education in all 50 states. Cutting it this much will cause substantial losses to communities around the US
Reposted by Ellen Peters
“What we’re seeing is an unprecedented attempt to silence disfavored speech by the government,” said Brendan Nyhan, a political scientist at Dartmouth College. “Donald Trump is trying to dictate what Americans can say.” https://to.pbs.org/46AYg7U
Trump's moves against media outlets mirror authoritarian approaches to silencing dissent
Since taking office in January, President Donald Trump has waged an aggressive campaign against the media unlike any in modern U.S. history, making moves similar to those of authoritarian leaders that...
to.pbs.org
September 19, 2025 at 12:15 AM
“What we’re seeing is an unprecedented attempt to silence disfavored speech by the government,” said Brendan Nyhan, a political scientist at Dartmouth College. “Donald Trump is trying to dictate what Americans can say.” https://to.pbs.org/46AYg7U
🚨 New in J of Risk Research
💡 Neg affect-risk perc correlated in 6 waves Yr1 COVID consistent w affect heuristic
💡 Affect preceded risk perc btw waves
💡But paths of risk perc to affect were stronger
💡Why? Waves were 2–22 wk apart and strength of affect-risk relation stronger w less time for thinking
💡 Neg affect-risk perc correlated in 6 waves Yr1 COVID consistent w affect heuristic
💡 Affect preceded risk perc btw waves
💡But paths of risk perc to affect were stronger
💡Why? Waves were 2–22 wk apart and strength of affect-risk relation stronger w less time for thinking
September 10, 2025 at 3:27 PM
🚨 New in J of Risk Research
💡 Neg affect-risk perc correlated in 6 waves Yr1 COVID consistent w affect heuristic
💡 Affect preceded risk perc btw waves
💡But paths of risk perc to affect were stronger
💡Why? Waves were 2–22 wk apart and strength of affect-risk relation stronger w less time for thinking
💡 Neg affect-risk perc correlated in 6 waves Yr1 COVID consistent w affect heuristic
💡 Affect preceded risk perc btw waves
💡But paths of risk perc to affect were stronger
💡Why? Waves were 2–22 wk apart and strength of affect-risk relation stronger w less time for thinking
It’s hard to make good decisions if you don’t understand numbers.
This numeracy shapes the quality of our daily lives in ways we might not realize.
Many thanks to the American Psychological Association's award-winning podcast: at.apa.org/qz2
#numeracy #math #numbers #decisionmaking #psychology
This numeracy shapes the quality of our daily lives in ways we might not realize.
Many thanks to the American Psychological Association's award-winning podcast: at.apa.org/qz2
#numeracy #math #numbers #decisionmaking #psychology
August 21, 2025 at 3:33 PM
It’s hard to make good decisions if you don’t understand numbers.
This numeracy shapes the quality of our daily lives in ways we might not realize.
Many thanks to the American Psychological Association's award-winning podcast: at.apa.org/qz2
#numeracy #math #numbers #decisionmaking #psychology
This numeracy shapes the quality of our daily lives in ways we might not realize.
Many thanks to the American Psychological Association's award-winning podcast: at.apa.org/qz2
#numeracy #math #numbers #decisionmaking #psychology
Reposted by Ellen Peters
The White House FY26 budget proposal slashes NIH funding of medical research and will lead to economic and job losses in community nationwide. Our (updated) #SCIMaP analysis now includes state-level scorecards
Go to scienceimpacts.org/fy26
Click on any state (or House District) to learn more.
Go to scienceimpacts.org/fy26
Click on any state (or House District) to learn more.
SCIMaP - Impacts of Federal Cuts to Science and Medical Research
View Projected Impact of the FY2026 Budget Cuts to the NIH
scienceimpacts.org
August 17, 2025 at 11:36 PM
The White House FY26 budget proposal slashes NIH funding of medical research and will lead to economic and job losses in community nationwide. Our (updated) #SCIMaP analysis now includes state-level scorecards
Go to scienceimpacts.org/fy26
Click on any state (or House District) to learn more.
Go to scienceimpacts.org/fy26
Click on any state (or House District) to learn more.
Reposted by Ellen Peters
Longer posts soon on recent exec orders that threaten the vitality of America's research capacity, but wanted to step back and highlight the release of in-depth analyses that directly confront the economic impacts of administration decisions building on viz at scienceimpacts.org
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a 🧵
SCIMaP - Impacts of Federal Cuts to Science and Medical Research
Developed by an interdisciplinary research team, this website shows how funding cuts reduce economic activity and employment nationwide
scienceimpacts.org
August 9, 2025 at 8:06 AM
Longer posts soon on recent exec orders that threaten the vitality of America's research capacity, but wanted to step back and highlight the release of in-depth analyses that directly confront the economic impacts of administration decisions building on viz at scienceimpacts.org
a 🧵
a 🧵
Reposted by Ellen Peters
📣 New preprint from the SCIMaP team!
Across three studies, we show that communicating the economic impact of NIH funding cuts—especially with interactive quizzes and maps—decreases approval and motivates action to oppose the cuts, across the political spectrum. 🧵 1/8
osf.io/preprints/ps...
Across three studies, we show that communicating the economic impact of NIH funding cuts—especially with interactive quizzes and maps—decreases approval and motivates action to oppose the cuts, across the political spectrum. 🧵 1/8
osf.io/preprints/ps...
OSF
osf.io
August 4, 2025 at 9:52 PM
📣 New preprint from the SCIMaP team!
Across three studies, we show that communicating the economic impact of NIH funding cuts—especially with interactive quizzes and maps—decreases approval and motivates action to oppose the cuts, across the political spectrum. 🧵 1/8
osf.io/preprints/ps...
Across three studies, we show that communicating the economic impact of NIH funding cuts—especially with interactive quizzes and maps—decreases approval and motivates action to oppose the cuts, across the political spectrum. 🧵 1/8
osf.io/preprints/ps...
Reposted by Ellen Peters
As Trump and his allies in Congress try to gut public funding for PBS, watch this 1971 clip of Rev. Jesse Jackson and the kids of Sesame Street.
This is why we need public broadcasting.
This is why we need public broadcasting.
July 16, 2025 at 7:01 PM
As Trump and his allies in Congress try to gut public funding for PBS, watch this 1971 clip of Rev. Jesse Jackson and the kids of Sesame Street.
This is why we need public broadcasting.
This is why we need public broadcasting.
Reposted by Ellen Peters
Um, that's not science
Makary: "We have a lot of data and it may not necessarily be the traditional 50 year randomized control trial follow up. It's data from families that say their kids have been acting with bad behavior ... and they eliminate the petroleum-based food dyes and the behavior improves. That is data."
July 15, 2025 at 2:44 AM
Um, that's not science
We just went to Dishoom but didn't get to play. Now I want to go back!
More than what you give people, it is how you package it.
Dave Trott shows how important it is (a) to know your audience, and (b) how what you offer is framed:
buff.ly/pfScrGh
Dave Trott shows how important it is (a) to know your audience, and (b) how what you offer is framed:
buff.ly/pfScrGh
July 15, 2025 at 12:00 PM
We just went to Dishoom but didn't get to play. Now I want to go back!
Reposted by Ellen Peters
Experiencing extreme weather events alone isn't enough to drive support for climate policies. People need to believe these events are actually linked to climate change. This is why effective climate communication is so important. Another valuable contribution from the TISP consortium! 👏
🚨 How do exposure to extreme weather events and the subjective attribution of these events to climate change relate to climate policy support across the world? 🔥🌎
Find out more in our OA article published in Nature Climate Change 👇 1/7 🧵 www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Find out more in our OA article published in Nature Climate Change 👇 1/7 🧵 www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Extreme weather event attribution predicts climate policy support across the world - Nature Climate Change
Literature produced inconsistent findings regarding the links between extreme weather events and climate policy support across regions, populations and events. This global study offers a holistic asse...
www.nature.com
July 1, 2025 at 3:23 PM
Experiencing extreme weather events alone isn't enough to drive support for climate policies. People need to believe these events are actually linked to climate change. This is why effective climate communication is so important. Another valuable contribution from the TISP consortium! 👏
Great advice from @americanredcross.bsky.social about what to look for and what to do when temperatures and humidity get high. www.redcross.org/get-help/how... h/t @maibached.bsky.social
Heat Check
www.redcross.org
June 25, 2025 at 7:22 PM
Great advice from @americanredcross.bsky.social about what to look for and what to do when temperatures and humidity get high. www.redcross.org/get-help/how... h/t @maibached.bsky.social
Reposted by Ellen Peters
Vaccination schedules on the CDC website have already started changing under RFK Jr. So we published a guide to the evidence-based vaccine recommendations in place *before* all 17 members of the advisory panel were abruptly dismissed by the new admin. www.scientificamerican.com/article/see-... 🧪
Here’s Your Cheat Sheet for Vaccine Recommendations Backed by Science
These graphics will guide you through science-based vaccine guidelines for children and adults
www.scientificamerican.com
June 25, 2025 at 11:49 AM
Vaccination schedules on the CDC website have already started changing under RFK Jr. So we published a guide to the evidence-based vaccine recommendations in place *before* all 17 members of the advisory panel were abruptly dismissed by the new admin. www.scientificamerican.com/article/see-... 🧪
Reposted by Ellen Peters
The #SCIMaP team announces a major update: an analysis of the economic impacts of the White House's NIH FY26 budget.
Bottom-line, we estimate $46B in total economic loss, 202K lost jobs, and impacts in communities nationwide.
Interactive map and shareable report:
scienceimpacts.org/fy26
a 🧵
Bottom-line, we estimate $46B in total economic loss, 202K lost jobs, and impacts in communities nationwide.
Interactive map and shareable report:
scienceimpacts.org/fy26
a 🧵
June 23, 2025 at 7:10 PM
The #SCIMaP team announces a major update: an analysis of the economic impacts of the White House's NIH FY26 budget.
Bottom-line, we estimate $46B in total economic loss, 202K lost jobs, and impacts in communities nationwide.
Interactive map and shareable report:
scienceimpacts.org/fy26
a 🧵
Bottom-line, we estimate $46B in total economic loss, 202K lost jobs, and impacts in communities nationwide.
Interactive map and shareable report:
scienceimpacts.org/fy26
a 🧵
Reposted by Ellen Peters
Major update to #SCIMaP visualization of impacts of cuts to federally supported health research. Map now includes information on future economic losses (impact of proposed reduction of NIH IDC to 15%) and current economic losses (impact of terminated NIH grants).
scienceimpacts.org
scienceimpacts.org
May 28, 2025 at 2:17 AM
Major update to #SCIMaP visualization of impacts of cuts to federally supported health research. Map now includes information on future economic losses (impact of proposed reduction of NIH IDC to 15%) and current economic losses (impact of terminated NIH grants).
scienceimpacts.org
scienceimpacts.org
Reposted by Ellen Peters
June 2, 2025 at 5:59 PM
Reposted by Ellen Peters
Joint w/@asinclair.bsky.social and the #SCIMaP team: brief correspondence in @nathumbehav.nature.com on the impact of NIH indirect cost cuts on the economy and employment, impacts that will only worsen given similar proposals for NSF/DOE + overall science proposal.
rdcu.be/eo3Hp
rdcu.be/eo3Hp
NIH indirect cost cuts will affect the economy and employment
Nature Human Behaviour - NIH indirect cost cuts will affect the economy and employment
rdcu.be
June 2, 2025 at 11:29 AM
Joint w/@asinclair.bsky.social and the #SCIMaP team: brief correspondence in @nathumbehav.nature.com on the impact of NIH indirect cost cuts on the economy and employment, impacts that will only worsen given similar proposals for NSF/DOE + overall science proposal.
rdcu.be/eo3Hp
rdcu.be/eo3Hp
We review pros+cons of communicating geohazard risks w/#s + theory-based strategies: 1) provide #s, 2) make #s manageable, 3) make #s meaningful, and 4) don’t let stories displace #s
www.tandfonline.com/eprint/7AUDR...
@universityoforegon.bsky.social @uosojc.bsky.social
w/ @ashliblow.bsky.social
www.tandfonline.com/eprint/7AUDR...
@universityoforegon.bsky.social @uosojc.bsky.social
w/ @ashliblow.bsky.social
The power of numbers in natural hazard communication
Challenges and opportunities exist when communicating geohazard risks with numeric evidence. Public innumeracy and experts’ concerns about providing numbers, for example, suggest not showing them. ...
www.tandfonline.com
May 31, 2025 at 2:44 PM
We review pros+cons of communicating geohazard risks w/#s + theory-based strategies: 1) provide #s, 2) make #s manageable, 3) make #s meaningful, and 4) don’t let stories displace #s
www.tandfonline.com/eprint/7AUDR...
@universityoforegon.bsky.social @uosojc.bsky.social
w/ @ashliblow.bsky.social
www.tandfonline.com/eprint/7AUDR...
@universityoforegon.bsky.social @uosojc.bsky.social
w/ @ashliblow.bsky.social