ElectionCord
@electioncord.com
US Political Consulting & Analysis Through a Demographic Lens
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https://electioncord.com/
Join Discord Here: https://discord.gg/Yqh4EmBVRR
https://electioncord.com/
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Opinion: 5 Measured and Reasonable Takes on the 2025 Election Cycle – ELECTIONCORD
electioncord.com
NEW ARTICLE OUT: We have an opinion piece by @corncobanalysis.bsky.social going over 5 takes he has over the results we saw on Tuesday, and what this could mean for 2026 and beyond.
LINK: electioncord.com/opinion-5-me...
LINK: electioncord.com/opinion-5-me...
NEW ARTICLE OUT: After the 2025 Elections in New Jersey and New York (City), we took a look at two Congressional Districts to watch for 2026, one where the incumbent is retiring (NJ-12), and one where the incumbent is getting a serious challenger (NY-10).
LINK: electioncord.com/a-snapshot-o...
LINK: electioncord.com/a-snapshot-o...
A Snapshot of New York and New Jersey Post-2025 – ELECTIONCORD
electioncord.com
November 11, 2025 at 3:58 AM
NEW ARTICLE OUT: After the 2025 Elections in New Jersey and New York (City), we took a look at two Congressional Districts to watch for 2026, one where the incumbent is retiring (NJ-12), and one where the incumbent is getting a serious challenger (NY-10).
LINK: electioncord.com/a-snapshot-o...
LINK: electioncord.com/a-snapshot-o...
Are you running for office and looking to get a boost in your campaign? Consider working with us! We are focused on maximizing a campaign's resources, by having a focus on what the demographics are of the area you're running in. (1/2)
Sample Strategy For A Congressional Race – ELECTIONCORD
electioncord.com
November 11, 2025 at 3:27 AM
Are you running for office and looking to get a boost in your campaign? Consider working with us! We are focused on maximizing a campaign's resources, by having a focus on what the demographics are of the area you're running in. (1/2)
While I won't really comment on what I think about the government shutdown possibly ending, one thing that's for sure is that any Democrat looking to get into office should make healthcare a central part of their campaign. It's a winning issue for Democrats, and unbelievably, healthcare is popular.
November 10, 2025 at 5:07 AM
While I won't really comment on what I think about the government shutdown possibly ending, one thing that's for sure is that any Democrat looking to get into office should make healthcare a central part of their campaign. It's a winning issue for Democrats, and unbelievably, healthcare is popular.
Reposted by ElectionCord
I just want to point out that we have polling averages, and they're completely unbiased and not manipulated for any one side. I'm sure they aren't completely perfect, but we try to ensure the most accurate numbers possible.
LINK: electioncord.com/poll-tracker/
LINK: electioncord.com/poll-tracker/
November 5, 2025 at 7:30 PM
I just want to point out that we have polling averages, and they're completely unbiased and not manipulated for any one side. I'm sure they aren't completely perfect, but we try to ensure the most accurate numbers possible.
LINK: electioncord.com/poll-tracker/
LINK: electioncord.com/poll-tracker/
We have a ton of our maps on our website, electioncord.com, using our 100K Districts from our 100K District Project. From Presidential Results to demographics like ethnicity and education. What we want to know is, is there any maps that you want to see added?
November 9, 2025 at 2:16 AM
We have a ton of our maps on our website, electioncord.com, using our 100K Districts from our 100K District Project. From Presidential Results to demographics like ethnicity and education. What we want to know is, is there any maps that you want to see added?
Minor Update: On our Tabula America Index map, we put the legend in the map itself, rather than it being below the map. The map tries to show what the demographics are of each 100K District in just one map.
Link to check it out: electioncord.com/demographics/
Link to check it out: electioncord.com/demographics/
November 8, 2025 at 5:57 AM
Minor Update: On our Tabula America Index map, we put the legend in the map itself, rather than it being below the map. The map tries to show what the demographics are of each 100K District in just one map.
Link to check it out: electioncord.com/demographics/
Link to check it out: electioncord.com/demographics/
Just for giggles, I took the race and gender numbers, and put them in Redistricter's election shifter. I used Texas 2024 as a baseline, and Democrats would actually win Texas by 3%. Here's our 100K District map of the state in that simulated election, along with the shifts. (1/2)
November 7, 2025 at 8:36 PM
Just for giggles, I took the race and gender numbers, and put them in Redistricter's election shifter. I used Texas 2024 as a baseline, and Democrats would actually win Texas by 3%. Here's our 100K District map of the state in that simulated election, along with the shifts. (1/2)
ElectionCord has hit 500 followers on BlueSky! Completely crazy, considering we were at 200 only a couple of days ago. Thanks to everyone who's followed recently, and we are just getting started. (1/2)
November 7, 2025 at 4:51 PM
ElectionCord has hit 500 followers on BlueSky! Completely crazy, considering we were at 200 only a couple of days ago. Thanks to everyone who's followed recently, and we are just getting started. (1/2)
Reposted by ElectionCord
NEW ARTICLE OUT: We have an opinion piece by @corncobanalysis.bsky.social going over 5 takes he has over the results we saw on Tuesday, and what this could mean for 2026 and beyond.
LINK: electioncord.com/opinion-5-me...
LINK: electioncord.com/opinion-5-me...
Opinion: 5 Measured and Reasonable Takes on the 2025 Election Cycle – ELECTIONCORD
electioncord.com
November 6, 2025 at 7:20 PM
NEW ARTICLE OUT: We have an opinion piece by @corncobanalysis.bsky.social going over 5 takes he has over the results we saw on Tuesday, and what this could mean for 2026 and beyond.
LINK: electioncord.com/opinion-5-me...
LINK: electioncord.com/opinion-5-me...
Just to add onto this, we took a look at the major polls for the VA and NJ Elections, and ranked them by how accurate they were. On the left is VA Gov, and on the right is NJ Gov. (1/2)
November 6, 2025 at 11:35 PM
Just to add onto this, we took a look at the major polls for the VA and NJ Elections, and ranked them by how accurate they were. On the left is VA Gov, and on the right is NJ Gov. (1/2)
NEW ARTICLE OUT: We have an opinion piece by @corncobanalysis.bsky.social going over 5 takes he has over the results we saw on Tuesday, and what this could mean for 2026 and beyond.
LINK: electioncord.com/opinion-5-me...
LINK: electioncord.com/opinion-5-me...
Opinion: 5 Measured and Reasonable Takes on the 2025 Election Cycle – ELECTIONCORD
electioncord.com
November 6, 2025 at 7:20 PM
NEW ARTICLE OUT: We have an opinion piece by @corncobanalysis.bsky.social going over 5 takes he has over the results we saw on Tuesday, and what this could mean for 2026 and beyond.
LINK: electioncord.com/opinion-5-me...
LINK: electioncord.com/opinion-5-me...
This was the Pres24->Gov25 Shift with the data on DRA with our 100K districts. Somehow it does seem that Sears did marginally better in rural areas but Spanberger destroyed her in NoVa, Richmond, and did marginally better in the college towns and Virginia Beach.
November 6, 2025 at 6:17 AM
This was the Pres24->Gov25 Shift with the data on DRA with our 100K districts. Somehow it does seem that Sears did marginally better in rural areas but Spanberger destroyed her in NoVa, Richmond, and did marginally better in the college towns and Virginia Beach.
YouGov still showing they're the best because they're asking what matters
A quarter of Americans would be willing to live in a murder house today.yougov.com/society/arti...
November 5, 2025 at 11:23 PM
YouGov still showing they're the best because they're asking what matters
According to @VoteHub, if you combine NJ-18, NJ-19, and NJ-20 from our 100K District Project, areas of Passaic County that are all majority Hispanic, they shifted from D+13 to D+46, absolutely insane.
LINK to our 100K Districts: electioncord.com/demographics/
LINK to our 100K Districts: electioncord.com/demographics/
November 5, 2025 at 10:33 PM
According to @VoteHub, if you combine NJ-18, NJ-19, and NJ-20 from our 100K District Project, areas of Passaic County that are all majority Hispanic, they shifted from D+13 to D+46, absolutely insane.
LINK to our 100K Districts: electioncord.com/demographics/
LINK to our 100K Districts: electioncord.com/demographics/
Bold strategy, considering Trump's current approval ratings with the economy and healthcare are -17% and -23% respectively, also @navigatorsurvey.bsky.social's new poll today had Democrats up 15% when asked "Who do you trust more to handle Healthcare?"
November 5, 2025 at 8:19 PM
Bold strategy, considering Trump's current approval ratings with the economy and healthcare are -17% and -23% respectively, also @navigatorsurvey.bsky.social's new poll today had Democrats up 15% when asked "Who do you trust more to handle Healthcare?"
I just want to point out that we have polling averages, and they're completely unbiased and not manipulated for any one side. I'm sure they aren't completely perfect, but we try to ensure the most accurate numbers possible.
LINK: electioncord.com/poll-tracker/
LINK: electioncord.com/poll-tracker/
November 5, 2025 at 7:30 PM
I just want to point out that we have polling averages, and they're completely unbiased and not manipulated for any one side. I'm sure they aren't completely perfect, but we try to ensure the most accurate numbers possible.
LINK: electioncord.com/poll-tracker/
LINK: electioncord.com/poll-tracker/
One thing that Democrats cannot do after these results is rest on their laurels after these results. It's good, but they can still maximize these shifts by getting people to turn out! (1/2)
November 5, 2025 at 6:07 PM
One thing that Democrats cannot do after these results is rest on their laurels after these results. It's good, but they can still maximize these shifts by getting people to turn out! (1/2)
Reposted by ElectionCord
Neither they nor Trafalgar have yet to say anything about how they blew the polling (yet again).
AtlasIntel, btw, massively botched the NJ -and to a lesser extent, NY City - elections bluevirginia.us/2025/11/va-e...
November 5, 2025 at 5:02 PM
Neither they nor Trafalgar have yet to say anything about how they blew the polling (yet again).
In short, if I had to characterize the major elections and why Democrats won:
VA: Big turnout margins and big shifts back to Dems in places like Loudoun County
NJ: Hispanic shifts back to Democrats, particularly in the NYC suburbs
NYC: Young people and minorities were Mamdani's coalition
VA: Big turnout margins and big shifts back to Dems in places like Loudoun County
NJ: Hispanic shifts back to Democrats, particularly in the NYC suburbs
NYC: Young people and minorities were Mamdani's coalition
November 5, 2025 at 5:59 AM
In short, if I had to characterize the major elections and why Democrats won:
VA: Big turnout margins and big shifts back to Dems in places like Loudoun County
NJ: Hispanic shifts back to Democrats, particularly in the NYC suburbs
NYC: Young people and minorities were Mamdani's coalition
VA: Big turnout margins and big shifts back to Dems in places like Loudoun County
NJ: Hispanic shifts back to Democrats, particularly in the NYC suburbs
NYC: Young people and minorities were Mamdani's coalition
Reposted by ElectionCord
With the upcoming elections tomorrow, be sure to check out the BEST place to talk about elections, ElectionCord's Discord! We will be in VC, live-reacting to everything, and quickly analyzing what this means for 2026 and beyond.
LINK: discord.gg/Yqh4EmBVRR
LINK: discord.gg/Yqh4EmBVRR
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November 4, 2025 at 1:58 AM
With the upcoming elections tomorrow, be sure to check out the BEST place to talk about elections, ElectionCord's Discord! We will be in VC, live-reacting to everything, and quickly analyzing what this means for 2026 and beyond.
LINK: discord.gg/Yqh4EmBVRR
LINK: discord.gg/Yqh4EmBVRR
The big county I was waiting for in New Jersey, Passaic County, which is 42% Hispanic. We have 95% of the vote in and this is what it will end up:
2020 President: D+16
2024 President: R+3
2025 Governor: D+15
There is a ton of evidence that Hispanics in 2025 shifted hard back to Democrats.
2020 President: D+16
2024 President: R+3
2025 Governor: D+15
There is a ton of evidence that Hispanics in 2025 shifted hard back to Democrats.
November 5, 2025 at 4:33 AM
The big county I was waiting for in New Jersey, Passaic County, which is 42% Hispanic. We have 95% of the vote in and this is what it will end up:
2020 President: D+16
2024 President: R+3
2025 Governor: D+15
There is a ton of evidence that Hispanics in 2025 shifted hard back to Democrats.
2020 President: D+16
2024 President: R+3
2025 Governor: D+15
There is a ton of evidence that Hispanics in 2025 shifted hard back to Democrats.
Yep, Dems fundamentally are the party that benefits the most from high turnout, what some people I think forgot was that turnout went DOWN between 2020 and 2024!
high turnout bad for Dems believers in shambles
Holy shit, the Prop 50 turnout was massive! NYT projecting 10.6 million votes, CA GOV 2022 was 10.9M votes.
November 5, 2025 at 4:27 AM
Yep, Dems fundamentally are the party that benefits the most from high turnout, what some people I think forgot was that turnout went DOWN between 2020 and 2024!
Riverside County looking great for prop 50
November 5, 2025 at 4:18 AM
Riverside County looking great for prop 50
Prop 50 is outperforming Harris by 7 points by Orange County
November 5, 2025 at 4:13 AM
Prop 50 is outperforming Harris by 7 points by Orange County
NYTimes and NBC has called Prop 50 with uh 0 votes in... yea it won't be close if there's a call at poll closing
November 5, 2025 at 4:02 AM
NYTimes and NBC has called Prop 50 with uh 0 votes in... yea it won't be close if there's a call at poll closing