Dan Turner
dtturner.bsky.social
Dan Turner
@dtturner.bsky.social
Sheffield-based researcher. Interested in regional growth, populism and political economy.
Reposted by Dan Turner
Why even bother with long-run economic change & industrial policy if you don't get the chance to see it through?

Biden went all in on economic change, giving other progressives confidence to back things like industrial policy. But after the Democrats loss many are questioning whether it's worth it?
🗽 | NEW REPORT: Why are progressives losing elections, even when the economy is growing? We went to Washington to speak to Biden's former White House staff and other officials to find out where it all went wrong.

Read here: www.ippr.org/articles/its...
June 5, 2025 at 9:51 AM
Great to contribute to Sam’s excellent Substack today, setting out some of the arguments from our recent working paper on Bidenomics and what it might mean for the U.K. 👇
New post just out:

"Running Hot"

A guest post today from Ed Balls (yes that one) + his research colleague Dan Turner.

It looks at why the US economy has grown so much faster than the UK's (pre-Trump). And what Rachel Reeves can learn from that.

(Free to read)

open.substack.com/pub/samf/p/r...
Running Hot
What Rachel Reeves can learn from the Biden administration
open.substack.com
May 20, 2025 at 7:50 AM
Any recommendations on role of wealth effects in driving recent (post-2008) US growth?

Struck that average real consumption is up about a third (left) while real terms wealth is up about 80% since 2009 (right). Or $4trn extra C for $77bn extra wealth (all real)
April 16, 2025 at 8:30 AM
Great to see coverage of our new working paper in Martin Wolf's FT column today: www.ft.com/content/7c0c...

Full paper available here: www.hks.harvard.edu/centers/mrcb...
Global turmoil makes Britain’s productivity predicament even worse
The situation is dire and only active policymaking is going to make a difference
www.ft.com
April 14, 2025 at 10:56 AM
1/ Today, we publish a new working paper: what should the UK learn from Bidenomics?

At its core are 15 interviews—including 5 former Council of Economic Advisers members (3 of them Chairs), 4 former NEC Directors & 2 former Cabinet members.

www.hks.harvard.edu/centers/mrcb...
What should the UK learn from “Bidenomics”?
www.hks.harvard.edu
April 8, 2025 at 7:06 AM
Reposted by Dan Turner
Here is what I've been working on for the last few months: we are launching the Centre for British Progress to make the progressive case for growth.

Our founding essay describes how Britain once drove our collective progress, and how we must rediscover this dynamism.
💫 We’re launching the Centre for British Progress

Our founding essay: Rediscovering British Progress is a case for growth that drives shared progress, rooted in Britain's values and industrial heritage.

It all starts with a postcard from 1870 👇

britishprogress.org/articles/red...
April 3, 2025 at 9:13 AM
Reposted by Dan Turner
This is mortifying. It's the kind of calculation you would normally make about a dictatorship.

open.substack.com/pub/christin...
March 28, 2025 at 7:50 PM
OBR still leading the pack for optimism about real GDP in 2029, even after downward revisions; and RDEL growth path has become *more* front-loaded over the parliament - both should raise eyebrows about whether today's forecast will survive contact with (i) reality and (ii) politics
March 26, 2025 at 4:21 PM
Reposted by Dan Turner
It's a very sad day. Just notified that @iza.org is closing its doors as of 31 December 2025. At a time when labor is under attack and technological change moves at an ever-faster pace, I can't help but think that this is a short-sighted decision. My heart goes out to those folks who work there.
February 24, 2025 at 3:37 PM
Reposted by Dan Turner
EVENT: What next for devolution and regional growth?

Join us for the inaugural @faerfield.bsky.social lecture with Dr Nik Johnson, @officialedballs.bsky.social, Nora Senior CBE,
@dtturner.bsky.social & @bobbyduffy.bsky.social

Register your interest in attending ➡️ docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...
February 11, 2025 at 4:34 PM
Reposted by Dan Turner
▶️ Here's a 1-minute summary of our new paper showing the places being left behind by English devolution.

📄 The Intersection of Productivity and Governance Capacity in Spatial Inequality: The Case of England’s Devolution Periphery

👥 Jack Newman & Charlotte Hoole

🖇️ doi.org/10.1080/2158...
December 20, 2024 at 9:36 AM
My initial reaction to the English devo white paper: it's constitutional, not than economic or administrative; it's historic, grasping nettles avoided in the 1970s (Redcliffe-Maud) and 1990s; and it sets up mayors are preeminent English gov players, despite warm wards to local authorities.
December 16, 2024 at 2:29 PM
English devolution white paper has been released; www.gov.uk/government/p...

Exec summary promises "the biggest transfer of power out of Westminster to England’s regions this century"
​​English Devolution White Paper​: Power and partnership: Foundations for growth
​​The government’s proposals to empower local leaders and communities to drive growth and raise living standards across the country.​
www.gov.uk
December 16, 2024 at 1:47 PM
White smoke on Local Growth Plans, as West Yorkshire become the first to publish their plan (in draft, ahead of the Combined Authority Board next week).

Leans heavily on existing WY Plan, even getting into things like policing and crime

westyorkshire.moderngov.co.uk/documents/s3...
westyorkshire.moderngov.co.uk
December 5, 2024 at 4:10 PM
Bright and crisp day at the Royal Society for @centrepropolicy.bsky.social’s Inclusive Growth Conference. Will keep a thread going here of the day
November 28, 2024 at 11:12 AM
The Employment White Paper is out.

It's got the crispest summary of the gov's approach to more, better jobs I've seen; a welcome focus on devolution (after decades of DWP as a hold-out); and - for Whitehall watchers - a bumper four-way foreword:

www.gov.uk/government/p...
November 26, 2024 at 2:12 PM
Reposted by Dan Turner
🚨New #IGConf24 speaker announcement!

We are excited to announce that Devolution Minister,
@jimmcmahon.co.uk is joining us as our keynote speaker this Thursday.

🎟️Spaces are limited, get your free ticket and find our full programme here: progressive-policy.net/events/inclu...
November 25, 2024 at 8:42 AM
Really interesting paper ahead of the anticipated Employment White Paper over the next fortnight. Pairs well with IFS work on UK exceptionalism post-covid on health-related benefits. Together, they imply we may not get as much growth from "welfare to work" plans as hoped

ifs.org.uk/publications...
November 20, 2024 at 10:34 AM