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dmarthal.bsky.social
dmarthal
@dmarthal.bsky.social
380 followers 2.4K following 440 posts
Applied Mathematician learning how to make things learn. Tell me about your Probabilistic Model Based Reinforcement Learning! I have two amazing labradoodles and an even more amazing human family!
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Reposted by dmarthal
susanrinkunas.com
five months of @autonomynews.co. :') we've got a story coming out tomorrow and multiple investigations in the works. Can we get 50 people to drop us $5? Or 5 people to give $50??
autonomynews.co Autonomy News @autonomynews.co · 7d
Autonomy News launched five months ago today!

Help us celebrate and keep this worker-owned publication going for the next five months by dropping $5, $50, or $500 (👀) in our Tip Jar:
Tip Jar
Support our work with a one-time gift. We will never put our reporting or analysis behind a paywall, and your support makes that possible. If you want to help fund Autonomy News without becoming an a...
www.autonomynews.co
November 4, 2025 at 5:38 PM
Reposted by dmarthal
costasamaras.com
it’s time
Giant skeleton 75% off selling for $75
November 1, 2025 at 4:07 AM
Reposted by dmarthal
lethalityjane.bsky.social
Posting as a total shot in the dark -

Does anyone in Western Washington have an electric piano with weighted keys that they no longer use and would be willing to give away for free?

I have a ten year old ADHD kid whose heart is set on one for Christmas but it's just not in our budget this year.
October 19, 2025 at 2:07 PM
Reposted by dmarthal
edzitron.com
Tomorrow: The AI Bubble is built on impossible promises. GPUs die in 5 years, nobody has built a 1GW data center, and they have the power to do so. Stargate Abilene won't have enough power before 2028.

Here's a link for $10 off premium.

edzitronswheresyouredatghostio.outpost.pub/public/promo...
Everybody is very casual with how they talk about Sam Altman’s theoretical promises of trillions of dollars of data center infrastructure, and I'm not sure anybody realizes how difficult even the very basics of this plan will be. Nevertheless, everybody is happily publishing stories about how “Stargate Abilene Texas - OpenAI’s massive data center with Oracle - is open,” by which they mean two buildings, and I’m not even confident both of them are providing compute to OpenAI yet. There are six more of them that need to get built for this thing to start rocking at 1.2GW - even though it’s only 1.1GW according to my sources in Abilene. But, hey, sorry - one minute - while we’re on that subject, did anybody visiting Abilene in the last week or so ever ask whether they’ll have enough power there? Don’t worry, you don’t need to look - I’m sure you were just about to, and had simply been busy! - but I did the hard work for you and read up on it, and it turns out that Stargate Abilene only has 200 megawatts of power - a 200 megawatt substation that, according to my sources, has only been built within the last couple of months, with 350 Megawatt of gas turbine generators that connect to a natural gas power plant that might get built by the end of the year in the event that one of the multiple construction firms involved . Said turbine is extremely expensive, featuring volatile pricing (for context, volatility fell in Q2 2025…to 69% annualized, meaning that if you had these prices across the entirety of a year you’d see swings of 69% up or down) and even more volatile environmental consequences, and is, while permitted for it (this will download the PDF of the permit), impractical and expensive to use long-term. Analyst James van Geelen, founder of Citrini Research recently said on Bloomberg’s Odd Lots podcast that these are “not the really good natural gas turbines” because the really good ones would take seven years to deliver due to a natural gas turbine shortage. But th… Stargate Abilene does not have sufficient power to run at even half of its supposed IT load of 1.2GW, and at its present capacity - assuming that the gas turbines function at full power - can only hope to run 370MW to 460MW of IT load. I’ve seen article after article about the gas turbines and their use of fracked gas - a disgusting and wasteful act typical of OpenAI - but nobody appears to have asked “how much power does a 1.2GW data center require?” and then chased it with “how much power does Stargate Abilene have?” The answer is not enough, and the significance of said “not enough” is remarkable. Today, I’m going to tell you, at length, how impossible the future of generative AI is. Gigawatt data centers are a ridiculous pipe dream, one that runs face-first into the walls of reality. The world’s governments and media have been far too cavalier with the term “gigawatt,” casually breezing by the fact that Altman’s plans require 17 or more nuclear reactors’ worth of power, as if building power is quick and easy and cheap and just happens. I believe that many of you think that this is an issue of permitting - of simply throwing enough money at the problem - when we are in the midst of a shortage in the electrical grade steel and transformers required to expand America (and the world’s) power grid. I realize it’s easy to get blinded by the constant drumbeat of “gargoyle-like tycoon cabal builds 1 gigawatt data center” and feel that they will simply overwhelm the problem with money, but no, I’m afraid that isn’t the case at all, and all of this is so silly, so ridiculous, so cartoonishly bad that it threatens even the seemingly-infinite wealth of Elon Musk, with xAI burning over a billion dollars a month and planning to spend tens of billions of dollars building the Colossus 2 data center, dragging two billion dollars from SpaceX in his desperate quest to burn as much money as possible for no reason. This is the age of hubris - a time in which we are going to watc…
October 9, 2025 at 11:28 PM
Reposted by dmarthal
simonwillison.net
I figured out a uv recipe for running tests for any project with pyproject.toml or setuppy using any Python version:

uv run --python 3.14 --isolated --with-editable '.[test]' pytest

I've wrapped it in a uv-test script:

uv-test -p 3.11

Full details here: til.simonwillison.net/python/uv-te...
setup.py
October 9, 2025 at 3:40 AM
Reposted by dmarthal
avehtari.bsky.social
I'm looking for a doctoral student with Bayesian background to work on Bayesian workflow and cross-validation (see my publication list users.aalto.fi/~ave/publica... for my recent work) at Aalto University.

Apply through the ELLIS PhD program (dl October 31) ellis.eu/news/ellis-p...
ELLIS PhD Program: Call for Applications 2025
The ELLIS mission is to create a diverse European network that promotes research excellence and advances breakthroughs in AI, as well as a pan-European PhD program to educate the next generation of AI...
ellis.eu
October 6, 2025 at 9:28 AM
Reposted by dmarthal
bobkopp.net
I sent him an email, since he clearly hadn’t seen it…
To The.Secretary@hq.doe.gov Dear Secretary Wright, I saw that you stated in a press conference yesterday that "there is no disagreement with what's in the [Climate Working Group] report." You probably have not seen our 85+ climate expert review of the Climate Working Group report, which was submitted as a public comment on August 30, but which appears not yet to have been processed for posting on Regulations.gov. You can find our review here: https://doi.org/10.22541/essoar.175745244.41950365/v As explained at great length in the 450+ pages of our review, the Climate Working Group report currently fails to adequately represent the scientific understanding of climate change, and it would require very substantial revision before it could be relied upon by any federal agency or other entity. I hope that you find that our extensive expert review adequately addresses the question you raised in your press conference, "If the data and what we've said is wrong- as I read in countless newspaper articles, it's discredited data - what in the climate report is wrong?" Sincerely, Robert E. Kopp, Ph.D. Distinguished Professor, Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences Rutgers University
September 26, 2025 at 6:38 PM
Reposted by dmarthal
rodneyabrooks.bsky.social
In 2011 I wrote a review of Alan Turing's 1948 paper Intelligent Machinery where he considered the case for embodied intelligence. My review was intended for a 2012 centenary celebration of Turing's birth, but no proceedings were published. So here it is. rodneybrooks.com/alan-turing-...
Alan Turing on Embodied Intelligence – Rodney Brooks
rodneybrooks.com
September 21, 2025 at 12:00 AM
Reposted by dmarthal
hadivafaii.bsky.social
Join 170+ interdisciplinary researchers from around the world who are pursuing a deeper, first-principles understanding of AI and active learning 🧠🤖🧠📈

💬 Join the conversation on Slack: join.slack.com/t/sensorimot...
🌍 Our website: sensorimotorai.github.io

See you on Slack!

🧵[5/5]
Join Sensorimotor AI on Slack
Slack is a new way to communicate with your team. It’s faster, better organized, and more secure than email.
join.slack.com
September 17, 2025 at 4:32 PM
dmarthal.bsky.social
My youngest daughter "discovered" the transitive property of holding hands: "Dada, when you are holding my hand down the stairs, I am holding your hand down the stairs!"
September 16, 2025 at 1:42 PM
Reposted by dmarthal
djnavarro.net
It’s been a little overshadowed by the slightly unexpected mental health issues that hit me very hard yesterday afternoon, but for what it’s worth here’s the GAMLSS regression post I’ve been working on for the past month #rstats

blog.djnavarro.net/posts/2025-0...
GAMLSS, NHANES, and my own personal hell – Notes from a data witch
Fiiiiiiinally she writes the cursed GAMLSS post. Oh and it’s also about the NHANES data set I guess
blog.djnavarro.net
September 8, 2025 at 11:13 PM
Reposted by dmarthal
drkath.bsky.social
There is, as of right now, no coverage of this protest on the WaPo website or in their @washingtonpost.com feed.

So, if you (you reading this) want people to SEE this protest, you must share it.
freedcproject.bsky.social Free DC @freedcproject.bsky.social · Sep 6
People from all over are showing up for DC. This is not a moment. It’s a movement. We are united in our demands. We are all DC! #FreeDC
September 6, 2025 at 6:14 PM
Reposted by dmarthal
lolapatolla.bsky.social
This is Harper.
We rescued her from being given away online for free.
B/c dogs given away for free in NC can end up in bad situations.
She needed help & now she needs vet care & a forever home who understands beagles.
If you’d like ta help, we thank you ♥️
www.rescuecoop.org/donate
September 5, 2025 at 12:18 PM
Reposted by dmarthal
refreshingtime.bsky.social
is that good
nihilamacabre.bsky.social minty tear gas @nihilamacabre.bsky.social · Sep 1
Somebody is throwing things out of a window of the White House

wtaf
September 1, 2025 at 6:46 PM
Reposted by dmarthal
chelseaparlett.bsky.social
I’m especially proud of this article I wrote about Gaussian Processes for the Recast blog! 🥳

GPs are super interesting, but it’s not easy to wrap your head around them at first 🤔

This is a medium level (more intuition than math) introduction to GPs for time series.

getrecast.com/gaussian-pro...
A Gaussian process showing that the allowed time series are forced to be compatible with data
August 29, 2025 at 5:11 PM
Reposted by dmarthal
amandalitman.bsky.social
A 20 point swing toward Democrats. Ready to run for office? @runforsomething.net will help. runforwhat.net
August 27, 2025 at 1:29 AM
dmarthal.bsky.social
the only thing better than TS getting engaged will be when they have their wedding on a day where Trump wants to announce something 🤣
August 26, 2025 at 6:13 PM
Reposted by dmarthal
merveille.bsky.social
Hi, are you an academic biology lab in the Boston area? I am a lab manager at a local biotech and I will be getting rid of a lot consumables in the near future (as will many of my colleagues, unfortunately). If you would be interested in free consumables, please reach out to me!
August 7, 2025 at 4:24 AM
Reposted by dmarthal
jeremycaradonnayyj.bsky.social
Folks, give @victoria.ca a follow on this platform.

Our comms team is facing the reality of going from 40,000 X followers to 978 Bluesky followers. We’re doing the right thing by ditching the toxic platform, but we need those followers back.

bsky.app/profile/vict...
bsky.app
August 7, 2025 at 2:59 AM
dmarthal.bsky.social
@chadtopaz.bsky.social You know about this? 🤣
August 8, 2025 at 12:41 AM
Reposted by dmarthal
authorkaraj.bsky.social
RFK Jr. backs down all the time when he gets push back, so if anyone wants to call, here's the HHS number 1-877-696-6775.
I'd also call your senators/reps as well.
phillewis.bsky.social Phil Lewis @phillewis.bsky.social · Aug 5
WASHINGTON (AP) — Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announces he will cancel $500 million in vaccine development projects.
August 5, 2025 at 11:00 PM
Reposted by dmarthal
balthasarbickel.bsky.social
Exciting new opening @nccrlanguage.bsky.social with the option of permanent extension. If you work in cutting-edge stats and are interested in joining a highly inter-disciplinary, vibrant community, don't hesitate to apply at tinyurl.com/3fxwjk8e
UZH: Statistician
Within the National Center of Competence in Research (NCCR) Evolving Language and its 46 different research groups from a large variety of disciplines across Switzerland, and the University of Zurich ...
tinyurl.com
July 18, 2025 at 12:06 PM
dmarthal.bsky.social
So who is doing the "Start with a Gaussian Process, but when the data gets big, switch over to a deep neural network and retain consistency" work?
July 19, 2025 at 2:32 PM