Luke
@dluke87.bsky.social
Jalen Coker and Jordan Whittington fan club president. Acting manager of the 2025 Drew Lock Revenge Campaign. Host of the Fantasy Index Podcast. Primary exports are dad noises and pictures of funny faces my kids made.
Jonathan Taylor's last 11 games:
1370 yards rushing
6.0ypc
28 receptions
210 yards receiving
20 touchdowns (18 rush, 2 rec)
No other running back has even 1,050 yards rushing over their last 11 games. Only three (Jahmyr Gibbs, James Cook, Josh Jacobs) have more than 10 TDs.
1370 yards rushing
6.0ypc
28 receptions
210 yards receiving
20 touchdowns (18 rush, 2 rec)
No other running back has even 1,050 yards rushing over their last 11 games. Only three (Jahmyr Gibbs, James Cook, Josh Jacobs) have more than 10 TDs.
October 27, 2025 at 5:35 PM
Jonathan Taylor's last 11 games:
1370 yards rushing
6.0ypc
28 receptions
210 yards receiving
20 touchdowns (18 rush, 2 rec)
No other running back has even 1,050 yards rushing over their last 11 games. Only three (Jahmyr Gibbs, James Cook, Josh Jacobs) have more than 10 TDs.
1370 yards rushing
6.0ypc
28 receptions
210 yards receiving
20 touchdowns (18 rush, 2 rec)
No other running back has even 1,050 yards rushing over their last 11 games. Only three (Jahmyr Gibbs, James Cook, Josh Jacobs) have more than 10 TDs.
Insights and forecasting on slot route rates for Jerry Jeudy, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Jakobi Meyers, Jauan Jennings, Deebo Samuel, Zay Flowers, Ladd McConkey, Luther Burden, Puka Nacua and more 👇 fantasyindex.com/2025/07/23/a...
Assorted Musings: WR Route Percentages - A grab bag of observations from recent usage data - Fantasy Index
A grab bag of observations from recent usage data
fantasyindex.com
July 23, 2025 at 10:10 PM
Insights and forecasting on slot route rates for Jerry Jeudy, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Jakobi Meyers, Jauan Jennings, Deebo Samuel, Zay Flowers, Ladd McConkey, Luther Burden, Puka Nacua and more 👇 fantasyindex.com/2025/07/23/a...
Never stop, Jim Harbaugh. Never stop and never change bsky.app/profile/coac...
Jim Harbaugh at practice looking like the President in the dressing room at the Miss USA pageant
July 23, 2025 at 10:07 PM
Never stop, Jim Harbaugh. Never stop and never change bsky.app/profile/coac...
Startup draft two-parter of the pod. Part I is rounds 1-15 and discusses Nabers, Bowers, Saquon, Bucky Irving, Rashee Rice, Kyler Murray, Dak Prescott, Egbuka, Odunze, DK Metcalf, JJMC and a shit ton more. Beers from @deepellum.bsky.social Brewing and others open.spotify.com/episode/4jx1...
Ep. 13: Analyzing Startup ADP - Part I
Drinkin' Dynasty · Episode
open.spotify.com
July 7, 2025 at 6:13 PM
Startup draft two-parter of the pod. Part I is rounds 1-15 and discusses Nabers, Bowers, Saquon, Bucky Irving, Rashee Rice, Kyler Murray, Dak Prescott, Egbuka, Odunze, DK Metcalf, JJMC and a shit ton more. Beers from @deepellum.bsky.social Brewing and others open.spotify.com/episode/4jx1...
Best remaining fits for Keenan Allen in 2025:
1. Steelers (How these two aren't openly flirting already is a real mystery)
2. Cardinals (Real thin after MHJ/McBride)
3. Jets (eh why not, sure fine)
4. Lions? (Thanks Tim Patrick bye Tim Patrick)
5. Packers (Contending team makes contender move)
1. Steelers (How these two aren't openly flirting already is a real mystery)
2. Cardinals (Real thin after MHJ/McBride)
3. Jets (eh why not, sure fine)
4. Lions? (Thanks Tim Patrick bye Tim Patrick)
5. Packers (Contending team makes contender move)
June 2, 2025 at 6:34 PM
Best remaining fits for Keenan Allen in 2025:
1. Steelers (How these two aren't openly flirting already is a real mystery)
2. Cardinals (Real thin after MHJ/McBride)
3. Jets (eh why not, sure fine)
4. Lions? (Thanks Tim Patrick bye Tim Patrick)
5. Packers (Contending team makes contender move)
1. Steelers (How these two aren't openly flirting already is a real mystery)
2. Cardinals (Real thin after MHJ/McBride)
3. Jets (eh why not, sure fine)
4. Lions? (Thanks Tim Patrick bye Tim Patrick)
5. Packers (Contending team makes contender move)
Best remaining fits for Amari Cooper in 2025:
1. Raiders (rookie Dont'e Thornton gonna eat a ton of snaps otherwise)
2. Bills (Keon Coleman doesn't belong outside full-time)
3. Steelers (plz god halp us)
4. Saints (What do they *really* have in Olave/Shaheed? 🤔
5. Jets (play action bombs 4 dayz)
1. Raiders (rookie Dont'e Thornton gonna eat a ton of snaps otherwise)
2. Bills (Keon Coleman doesn't belong outside full-time)
3. Steelers (plz god halp us)
4. Saints (What do they *really* have in Olave/Shaheed? 🤔
5. Jets (play action bombs 4 dayz)
June 2, 2025 at 6:21 PM
Best remaining fits for Amari Cooper in 2025:
1. Raiders (rookie Dont'e Thornton gonna eat a ton of snaps otherwise)
2. Bills (Keon Coleman doesn't belong outside full-time)
3. Steelers (plz god halp us)
4. Saints (What do they *really* have in Olave/Shaheed? 🤔
5. Jets (play action bombs 4 dayz)
1. Raiders (rookie Dont'e Thornton gonna eat a ton of snaps otherwise)
2. Bills (Keon Coleman doesn't belong outside full-time)
3. Steelers (plz god halp us)
4. Saints (What do they *really* have in Olave/Shaheed? 🤔
5. Jets (play action bombs 4 dayz)
Lou & Lu' crack a few and hash out which of fantasy's top rookies will find their way to immediate production- and which won't. Omarion Hampton, TreVeyon Henderson, Travis Hunter, Tyler Warren, Kaleb Johnson, Quinshon Judkins, RJ Harvey and more this week open.spotify.com/episode/0bR1...
Spotify
open.spotify.com
May 31, 2025 at 1:00 AM
Lou & Lu' crack a few and hash out which of fantasy's top rookies will find their way to immediate production- and which won't. Omarion Hampton, TreVeyon Henderson, Travis Hunter, Tyler Warren, Kaleb Johnson, Quinshon Judkins, RJ Harvey and more this week open.spotify.com/episode/0bR1...
A visualization of just how much more valuable the Cowboys are to the rest of the NFL than they are to Dallas these days #jerryjones #americasteam
May 29, 2025 at 2:15 PM
A visualization of just how much more valuable the Cowboys are to the rest of the NFL than they are to Dallas these days #jerryjones #americasteam
Lou and me talk out 2025 usage and the dynasty startup price tag of one Ashton Jeanty in Episode 9 of Drinkin' Dynasty creators.spotify.com/pod/show/luk...
Ep. 9: The Ashton Jeanty Episode by Drinkin' Dynasty
Bijan Robinson and Caleb Williams were dynasty's last two consensus #1 picks. Both saw their dynasty values slip over tumultuous rookie seasons; one a little, one a lot. Poised to head into September ...
creators.spotify.com
May 27, 2025 at 4:18 PM
Lou and me talk out 2025 usage and the dynasty startup price tag of one Ashton Jeanty in Episode 9 of Drinkin' Dynasty creators.spotify.com/pod/show/luk...
I hate to be a fantasy Grinch and all, but with peak hype season around the corner it bears saying out loud: One of the Liam Coen Jaguars or the Ben Johnson Bears are likely to fail, quickly.
But goddamnit if I don’t want to believe anyway. www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cqe4...
But goddamnit if I don’t want to believe anyway. www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cqe4...
What Will Liam Coen's Offense Look Like?
YouTube video by GenJag
www.youtube.com
May 27, 2025 at 4:45 AM
I hate to be a fantasy Grinch and all, but with peak hype season around the corner it bears saying out loud: One of the Liam Coen Jaguars or the Ben Johnson Bears are likely to fail, quickly.
But goddamnit if I don’t want to believe anyway. www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cqe4...
But goddamnit if I don’t want to believe anyway. www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cqe4...
Omarion Hampton, Tet McMillan, TreVeyon Henderson, Quinshon Judkins, RJ Harvey. Dynasty darlings all - but what will their rookie numbers really look like? We talk 2025 range of outcomes for the cream of this year’s rookie crop in E10 of Drinkin’ Dynasty! youtube.com/live/Z0YWGNt...
Drinkin' Dynasty, Ep. 10: 2025 Production for Top 12 Rookies
Last year's galactic first round rookies gave us 2024's QB5 (Jayden Daniels), the WR7 (Malik Nabers, WR4 (Brian Thomas Jr.), WR12 (Ladd McConkey) and the TE1 (Brock Bowers). But even an off the chart...
youtube.com
May 24, 2025 at 7:57 PM
Omarion Hampton, Tet McMillan, TreVeyon Henderson, Quinshon Judkins, RJ Harvey. Dynasty darlings all - but what will their rookie numbers really look like? We talk 2025 range of outcomes for the cream of this year’s rookie crop in E10 of Drinkin’ Dynasty! youtube.com/live/Z0YWGNt...
Big news: I’ve decided I’ll be pronouncing Bluesky ‘blooski’ from now on, like brewski. Probably with a heavy Minnesota accent most of the time
May 15, 2025 at 2:58 PM
Big news: I’ve decided I’ll be pronouncing Bluesky ‘blooski’ from now on, like brewski. Probably with a heavy Minnesota accent most of the time
Breathlessly yammering about the top 60ish rookies in fantasy football around some recent ADP data anyone? fantasyindex.com/2025/05/11/m...
FI 2025 Rookie Draft Results - Six leagues' worth of ADP data, crunched - Fantasy Index
Six leagues' worth of ADP data, crunched
fantasyindex.com
May 14, 2025 at 6:20 PM
Breathlessly yammering about the top 60ish rookies in fantasy football around some recent ADP data anyone? fantasyindex.com/2025/05/11/m...
Bucky Irving. Braelon Allen. Isaac Guerendo. Theo Johnson. Jordan Whittington. Jalen Coker. All were taken outside the top 36 in last year's rookie drafts. Lou & Lu' go spelunking for dynasty treasure in the briny depths of the 2025 rookie class, tonight at 10pm EST youtube.com/live/bbkNc-P...
Drinkin' Dynasty, Ep. 8: Rookie Drafts, Round 4 & Beyond
YouTube video by RLD Fantasy
youtube.com
May 13, 2025 at 8:12 PM
Bucky Irving. Braelon Allen. Isaac Guerendo. Theo Johnson. Jordan Whittington. Jalen Coker. All were taken outside the top 36 in last year's rookie drafts. Lou & Lu' go spelunking for dynasty treasure in the briny depths of the 2025 rookie class, tonight at 10pm EST youtube.com/live/bbkNc-P...
The 2025 NFL Draft is a wrap, we've got the first three rounds of FIDD rookie draft ADP and we're not afraid to use it! Shedeur Sanders, Jaxson Dart, Tyler Shough, Cam Skattebo, Emeka Egbuka, Omarion Hampton, Jack Bech and mucho more! open.spotify.com/episode/2LWV...
Episode 7: Rookie Drafts, Rounds 1-3
Drinkin' Dynasty · Episode
open.spotify.com
May 11, 2025 at 10:36 PM
The 2025 NFL Draft is a wrap, we've got the first three rounds of FIDD rookie draft ADP and we're not afraid to use it! Shedeur Sanders, Jaxson Dart, Tyler Shough, Cam Skattebo, Emeka Egbuka, Omarion Hampton, Jack Bech and mucho more! open.spotify.com/episode/2LWV...
Discussing the Jameis Winston signing and fantasy implications for Darius Slayton, Theo Johnson and Malik Nabers with the IDP Center - with a shoutout for the ConkDaddy signing with the Chargers at the end youtu.be/SgNgUGsoS9A?...
Jameis Winston to the NY Giants! Fantasy Fallout: Redraft / Dynasty Stocks Up or Down?
YouTube video by The IDP Center
youtu.be
March 22, 2025 at 5:50 PM
Discussing the Jameis Winston signing and fantasy implications for Darius Slayton, Theo Johnson and Malik Nabers with the IDP Center - with a shoutout for the ConkDaddy signing with the Chargers at the end youtu.be/SgNgUGsoS9A?...
WR Catch Rate (min. 60 targets)
(Rashee Rice, 82.8 on 29 tgts; average depth of target 4.8)
ARSB, 81.5; aDOT 8.3
Pop Douglas 80.5; aDOT 5.6
Shakir 80.3; aDOT 5.3
(Whittington, 79.3 on 29 tgts; aDOT 5.8)
Thielen 78.7; aDOT 11.7 👀
(Olave, 76.2 on 42 tgts; aDOT 11.1)
(Mims, 75.9 on 54 tgts; aDOT 7.0)
(Rashee Rice, 82.8 on 29 tgts; average depth of target 4.8)
ARSB, 81.5; aDOT 8.3
Pop Douglas 80.5; aDOT 5.6
Shakir 80.3; aDOT 5.3
(Whittington, 79.3 on 29 tgts; aDOT 5.8)
Thielen 78.7; aDOT 11.7 👀
(Olave, 76.2 on 42 tgts; aDOT 11.1)
(Mims, 75.9 on 54 tgts; aDOT 7.0)
March 17, 2025 at 6:15 PM
WR Catch Rate (min. 60 targets)
(Rashee Rice, 82.8 on 29 tgts; average depth of target 4.8)
ARSB, 81.5; aDOT 8.3
Pop Douglas 80.5; aDOT 5.6
Shakir 80.3; aDOT 5.3
(Whittington, 79.3 on 29 tgts; aDOT 5.8)
Thielen 78.7; aDOT 11.7 👀
(Olave, 76.2 on 42 tgts; aDOT 11.1)
(Mims, 75.9 on 54 tgts; aDOT 7.0)
(Rashee Rice, 82.8 on 29 tgts; average depth of target 4.8)
ARSB, 81.5; aDOT 8.3
Pop Douglas 80.5; aDOT 5.6
Shakir 80.3; aDOT 5.3
(Whittington, 79.3 on 29 tgts; aDOT 5.8)
Thielen 78.7; aDOT 11.7 👀
(Olave, 76.2 on 42 tgts; aDOT 11.1)
(Mims, 75.9 on 54 tgts; aDOT 7.0)
WR Targets Per Route Run
Puka Nacua, 0.36
Rashee Rice 0.35
Malik Nabers 0.33
Drake London 0.3
Josh Downs 👀 0.3
D. Wicks 👀 0.29
CD Lamb 0.29
Mike Evans 0.29
Nico Collins 0.28
ARSB 0.28
Khalil Shakir 0.28
Chris Godwin 0.28
Davante Adams, Jennings, AJ Brown, MARVIN MIMS👀, A. Mitchell, Kupp Sutton 0.27
Puka Nacua, 0.36
Rashee Rice 0.35
Malik Nabers 0.33
Drake London 0.3
Josh Downs 👀 0.3
D. Wicks 👀 0.29
CD Lamb 0.29
Mike Evans 0.29
Nico Collins 0.28
ARSB 0.28
Khalil Shakir 0.28
Chris Godwin 0.28
Davante Adams, Jennings, AJ Brown, MARVIN MIMS👀, A. Mitchell, Kupp Sutton 0.27
March 17, 2025 at 5:58 PM
WR Targets Per Route Run
Puka Nacua, 0.36
Rashee Rice 0.35
Malik Nabers 0.33
Drake London 0.3
Josh Downs 👀 0.3
D. Wicks 👀 0.29
CD Lamb 0.29
Mike Evans 0.29
Nico Collins 0.28
ARSB 0.28
Khalil Shakir 0.28
Chris Godwin 0.28
Davante Adams, Jennings, AJ Brown, MARVIN MIMS👀, A. Mitchell, Kupp Sutton 0.27
Puka Nacua, 0.36
Rashee Rice 0.35
Malik Nabers 0.33
Drake London 0.3
Josh Downs 👀 0.3
D. Wicks 👀 0.29
CD Lamb 0.29
Mike Evans 0.29
Nico Collins 0.28
ARSB 0.28
Khalil Shakir 0.28
Chris Godwin 0.28
Davante Adams, Jennings, AJ Brown, MARVIN MIMS👀, A. Mitchell, Kupp Sutton 0.27
TE Target Percentage
Trey McBride, 26.5%
Brock Bowers 23.6
Evan Engram 👀 23.5
Travis Kelce 22.0
David Njoku 21.0
George Kittle 19.4
Jonnu Smith 18.4 ("only" jumps to 20.8 from week 5 on)
Cade Otton 18.1
Dalton Kincaid 👀 18.1
Dallas Goedert 18.0
Hunter Henry 17.6
Zach Ertz 16.8
Trey McBride, 26.5%
Brock Bowers 23.6
Evan Engram 👀 23.5
Travis Kelce 22.0
David Njoku 21.0
George Kittle 19.4
Jonnu Smith 18.4 ("only" jumps to 20.8 from week 5 on)
Cade Otton 18.1
Dalton Kincaid 👀 18.1
Dallas Goedert 18.0
Hunter Henry 17.6
Zach Ertz 16.8
March 17, 2025 at 5:57 PM
TE Target Percentage
Trey McBride, 26.5%
Brock Bowers 23.6
Evan Engram 👀 23.5
Travis Kelce 22.0
David Njoku 21.0
George Kittle 19.4
Jonnu Smith 18.4 ("only" jumps to 20.8 from week 5 on)
Cade Otton 18.1
Dalton Kincaid 👀 18.1
Dallas Goedert 18.0
Hunter Henry 17.6
Zach Ertz 16.8
Trey McBride, 26.5%
Brock Bowers 23.6
Evan Engram 👀 23.5
Travis Kelce 22.0
David Njoku 21.0
George Kittle 19.4
Jonnu Smith 18.4 ("only" jumps to 20.8 from week 5 on)
Cade Otton 18.1
Dalton Kincaid 👀 18.1
Dallas Goedert 18.0
Hunter Henry 17.6
Zach Ertz 16.8
QB ADJ Completion Percentage (filtering out drops, throwaways/spikes, batted balls etc.)
Tua Tagovailoa, 81.3%
Burrow 80.8
Geno Smith 79.9
Mayfield 79.6
Hurts 👀 79.6
Goff 79.4
DIMES 78.6
Mahomes 78.2
Minshew 77.8
Russ 77.7
Maye 77.6
Darnold 77.5
Carr 77.2
Tua Tagovailoa, 81.3%
Burrow 80.8
Geno Smith 79.9
Mayfield 79.6
Hurts 👀 79.6
Goff 79.4
DIMES 78.6
Mahomes 78.2
Minshew 77.8
Russ 77.7
Maye 77.6
Darnold 77.5
Carr 77.2
March 17, 2025 at 5:50 PM
QB ADJ Completion Percentage (filtering out drops, throwaways/spikes, batted balls etc.)
Tua Tagovailoa, 81.3%
Burrow 80.8
Geno Smith 79.9
Mayfield 79.6
Hurts 👀 79.6
Goff 79.4
DIMES 78.6
Mahomes 78.2
Minshew 77.8
Russ 77.7
Maye 77.6
Darnold 77.5
Carr 77.2
Tua Tagovailoa, 81.3%
Burrow 80.8
Geno Smith 79.9
Mayfield 79.6
Hurts 👀 79.6
Goff 79.4
DIMES 78.6
Mahomes 78.2
Minshew 77.8
Russ 77.7
Maye 77.6
Darnold 77.5
Carr 77.2
Let's puke out some stats and factoids, shall we. I'll go first:
Worst CPOE (completion % over expected) of any QB to start 10+ games in 2024: Anthony Richardson, -6.1%
Only other QB to play 10+ games to come in under -1%: Aaron Rodgers, -3.1%
Worst CPOE (completion % over expected) of any QB to start 10+ games in 2024: Anthony Richardson, -6.1%
Only other QB to play 10+ games to come in under -1%: Aaron Rodgers, -3.1%
March 17, 2025 at 5:43 PM
Let's puke out some stats and factoids, shall we. I'll go first:
Worst CPOE (completion % over expected) of any QB to start 10+ games in 2024: Anthony Richardson, -6.1%
Only other QB to play 10+ games to come in under -1%: Aaron Rodgers, -3.1%
Worst CPOE (completion % over expected) of any QB to start 10+ games in 2024: Anthony Richardson, -6.1%
Only other QB to play 10+ games to come in under -1%: Aaron Rodgers, -3.1%
My childrens’ ability to eat *just* the noodles from Panda Express chow mein is frankly prodigious
March 16, 2025 at 10:30 PM
My childrens’ ability to eat *just* the noodles from Panda Express chow mein is frankly prodigious
Matt Stafford staying put for 2025:
February 28, 2025 at 6:27 PM
Matt Stafford staying put for 2025:
I was already effectively done with Twitter but now I'm irritated with myself for not having deactivated it exactly 30 days before the inauguration. This bullfrog-looking weirdo really just hit two sieg heils back to back *and has the nerve to eyeroll at people wondering aloud if he's a nazi*
January 21, 2025 at 4:02 PM
I was already effectively done with Twitter but now I'm irritated with myself for not having deactivated it exactly 30 days before the inauguration. This bullfrog-looking weirdo really just hit two sieg heils back to back *and has the nerve to eyeroll at people wondering aloud if he's a nazi*
Diontae Johnson this season:
- Traded for Donte Jackson, currently PFF's #188 CB
- Was the WR5 in fantasy from weeks 3-6, 306 yards 3 TDs (69 yards *total* in other 10 games)
- Traded *with* an early 2025 6th rd pick for very late 2025 5th
- Dumped by two contenders with WR needs in last 4 wks
- Traded for Donte Jackson, currently PFF's #188 CB
- Was the WR5 in fantasy from weeks 3-6, 306 yards 3 TDs (69 yards *total* in other 10 games)
- Traded *with* an early 2025 6th rd pick for very late 2025 5th
- Dumped by two contenders with WR needs in last 4 wks
January 15, 2025 at 10:15 PM
Diontae Johnson this season:
- Traded for Donte Jackson, currently PFF's #188 CB
- Was the WR5 in fantasy from weeks 3-6, 306 yards 3 TDs (69 yards *total* in other 10 games)
- Traded *with* an early 2025 6th rd pick for very late 2025 5th
- Dumped by two contenders with WR needs in last 4 wks
- Traded for Donte Jackson, currently PFF's #188 CB
- Was the WR5 in fantasy from weeks 3-6, 306 yards 3 TDs (69 yards *total* in other 10 games)
- Traded *with* an early 2025 6th rd pick for very late 2025 5th
- Dumped by two contenders with WR needs in last 4 wks