Dan Goldstein
@dggoldst.bsky.social
Partner Research Manager at Microsoft Research NYC. AI, Economics, Decision Science.
It's so cold that soap bubbles freeze then burst, leaving behind frozen skeletons
January 24, 2026 at 3:42 PM
It's so cold that soap bubbles freeze then burst, leaving behind frozen skeletons
Reposted by Dan Goldstein
Today's SJDM Featured Paper is: DeKay, M. L. (in press). Risky-choice framing effects persist when option descriptions are matched and complete: A replication and extension of DeKay and Dou (2024). Psychonomic Bulletin & Review. osf.io/preprints/ps...
OSF
osf.io
January 9, 2026 at 7:20 PM
Today's SJDM Featured Paper is: DeKay, M. L. (in press). Risky-choice framing effects persist when option descriptions are matched and complete: A replication and extension of DeKay and Dou (2024). Psychonomic Bulletin & Review. osf.io/preprints/ps...
Reposted by Dan Goldstein
Today's SJDM Featured Paper is: Dietvorst, B. J. (in press). Understanding people's preferences for predictions: People prioritize being right over minimizing how wrong they are in expectation. Management Science. doi.org/10.1287/mnsc...
January 8, 2026 at 1:32 PM
Today's SJDM Featured Paper is: Dietvorst, B. J. (in press). Understanding people's preferences for predictions: People prioritize being right over minimizing how wrong they are in expectation. Management Science. doi.org/10.1287/mnsc...
About a year ago I stumbled across one of the best teaching examples of selection effects ever
January 6, 2026 at 4:52 PM
About a year ago I stumbled across one of the best teaching examples of selection effects ever
Inflation has me constantly thinking "ha ha funny!" before realizing it's not an error
January 5, 2026 at 10:46 PM
Inflation has me constantly thinking "ha ha funny!" before realizing it's not an error
I'm suddenly inspired to launch a suburban mall flower shop called Fleurs du Mall. Who wants in?
January 5, 2026 at 2:02 PM
I'm suddenly inspired to launch a suburban mall flower shop called Fleurs du Mall. Who wants in?
Reposted by Dan Goldstein
fun(?) little webapp to plot daylight length D(t) and D'(t) for anywhere on the globe at any time (t) in the year
lalten.org/daylight
sanity checks:
- reproduce solstices as D'(t) crossing y=0
- equator has flat D(t), D'(t)
[cc @dggoldst.bsky.social who frequently posts about D''(t) ]
lalten.org/daylight
sanity checks:
- reproduce solstices as D'(t) crossing y=0
- equator has flat D(t), D'(t)
[cc @dggoldst.bsky.social who frequently posts about D''(t) ]
January 3, 2026 at 5:32 PM
fun(?) little webapp to plot daylight length D(t) and D'(t) for anywhere on the globe at any time (t) in the year
lalten.org/daylight
sanity checks:
- reproduce solstices as D'(t) crossing y=0
- equator has flat D(t), D'(t)
[cc @dggoldst.bsky.social who frequently posts about D''(t) ]
lalten.org/daylight
sanity checks:
- reproduce solstices as D'(t) crossing y=0
- equator has flat D(t), D'(t)
[cc @dggoldst.bsky.social who frequently posts about D''(t) ]
Reposted by Dan Goldstein
The Society for Judgment and Decision Making is pleased to announce that the latest newsletter is ready for download:
sjdm.org/newsletters/
This issue contains announcements, conferences, and jobs!
sjdm.org/newsletters/
This issue contains announcements, conferences, and jobs!
December 31, 2025 at 1:38 AM
The Society for Judgment and Decision Making is pleased to announce that the latest newsletter is ready for download:
sjdm.org/newsletters/
This issue contains announcements, conferences, and jobs!
sjdm.org/newsletters/
This issue contains announcements, conferences, and jobs!
My kids and I made a cube out of paper and hot glue because it seemed like a very Saturday December 20th thing to do
December 20, 2025 at 7:55 PM
My kids and I made a cube out of paper and hot glue because it seemed like a very Saturday December 20th thing to do
They make planes so big nowadays
December 19, 2025 at 1:14 AM
They make planes so big nowadays
There will soon be proctoring center franchises in which people will take tests, do job interviews, and complete paid surveys without access to AI.
They'll be strategically placed so that most people will live within a short distance of a proctoring center.
They'll be strategically placed so that most people will live within a short distance of a proctoring center.
We need better ways to tell computers and humans apart
Article: The potential existential threat of large language models to online survey research
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
Article: The potential existential threat of large language models to online survey research
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
December 18, 2025 at 1:25 PM
There will soon be proctoring center franchises in which people will take tests, do job interviews, and complete paid surveys without access to AI.
They'll be strategically placed so that most people will live within a short distance of a proctoring center.
They'll be strategically placed so that most people will live within a short distance of a proctoring center.
Returning from Bielefeld. Pretty sure, but not positive, it exists.
There's a joke in Germany that Bielefeld doesn't exist. I have evidence that it may not be a joke after all.
December 18, 2025 at 12:03 PM
Returning from Bielefeld. Pretty sure, but not positive, it exists.
We need better ways to tell computers and humans apart
Article: The potential existential threat of large language models to online survey research
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
Article: The potential existential threat of large language models to online survey research
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
December 18, 2025 at 11:43 AM
We need better ways to tell computers and humans apart
Article: The potential existential threat of large language models to online survey research
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
Article: The potential existential threat of large language models to online survey research
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
Back in Germany after many years and the express train is 18 minutes late. So this is how it ends.
December 12, 2025 at 10:29 AM
Back in Germany after many years and the express train is 18 minutes late. So this is how it ends.
Reposted by Dan Goldstein
The original post above is missing a question mark. At least you know it wasn't AI generated!
December 6, 2025 at 4:30 PM
The original post above is missing a question mark. At least you know it wasn't AI generated!
Want to be an intern at Microsoft Research in the Computational Social Science group in NYC (Jake Hofman, David Rothschild, Dan Goldstein)
Follow this link and do your thing! Deadline approaching soonish!
apply.careers.microsoft.com/careers/job/...
Follow this link and do your thing! Deadline approaching soonish!
apply.careers.microsoft.com/careers/job/...
Research Intern - Computational Social Science | Microsoft Careers
Research Interns put inquiry and theory into practice. Alongside fellow doctoral candidates and some of the world's best researchers, Research Interns learn, collaborate, and network for life. Researc...
apply.careers.microsoft.com
December 5, 2025 at 11:35 PM
Want to be an intern at Microsoft Research in the Computational Social Science group in NYC (Jake Hofman, David Rothschild, Dan Goldstein)
Follow this link and do your thing! Deadline approaching soonish!
apply.careers.microsoft.com/careers/job/...
Follow this link and do your thing! Deadline approaching soonish!
apply.careers.microsoft.com/careers/job/...
Happy Friday to all who celebrate
December 5, 2025 at 10:49 PM
Happy Friday to all who celebrate
A classmate of my 11-year-old daughter said he'd give her a pack of Sour Patch Kids if she could get his pedometer to 67,000. Enter the reciprocating saw.
December 4, 2025 at 1:41 AM
A classmate of my 11-year-old daughter said he'd give her a pack of Sour Patch Kids if she could get his pedometer to 67,000. Enter the reciprocating saw.
In 2020, my friend @jasndoc.bsky.social wrote a fictional dialog between R and STATA. In 2023 I said in a few years AI could make it into a stunning movie with spoken parts. It's here.
sora.chatgpt.com/p/s_692d0b8c...
sora.chatgpt.com/p/s_692d0b8c...
dggoldst on Sora
R (at the river Eure): We are statisticians. We come to take over statistical computing.
STATA corp: What CEO has sent you?
R: We have no master, we are all equal.
-Dudo de Sancto Quintino, late 10...
sora.chatgpt.com
December 1, 2025 at 3:45 AM
In 2020, my friend @jasndoc.bsky.social wrote a fictional dialog between R and STATA. In 2023 I said in a few years AI could make it into a stunning movie with spoken parts. It's here.
sora.chatgpt.com/p/s_692d0b8c...
sora.chatgpt.com/p/s_692d0b8c...
Tom Stoppard always made me think. This quote above all.
November 29, 2025 at 8:19 PM
Tom Stoppard always made me think. This quote above all.
It's the holidays and our 11-year-old is making her little cousins play the prisoners' dilemma
November 29, 2025 at 1:18 AM
It's the holidays and our 11-year-old is making her little cousins play the prisoners' dilemma
electoral districts should be determined by an algorithm with proven guarantees and it is cruel not to let the theoretical computer scientists design it because they have been waiting their whole lives for an opportunity like this
California Republican suddenly supporting a national partisan gerrymandering ban. IT’S GAME THEORY BABY THINK OF THE STRATEGERY, WE PLAYING DEFECT-DEFECT NOT DEFECT-COOPERATE, IT’S TIT FOR TAT, CONSIDER THE INCENTIVES
November 27, 2025 at 11:14 AM
electoral districts should be determined by an algorithm with proven guarantees and it is cruel not to let the theoretical computer scientists design it because they have been waiting their whole lives for an opportunity like this
There's a joke in Germany that Bielefeld doesn't exist. I have evidence that it may not be a joke after all.
November 26, 2025 at 2:03 PM
There's a joke in Germany that Bielefeld doesn't exist. I have evidence that it may not be a joke after all.
I don't usually fly Delta but when I do I wonder if it's called that because the flight is the delta between you and your destination
November 25, 2025 at 4:32 AM
I don't usually fly Delta but when I do I wonder if it's called that because the flight is the delta between you and your destination
The Delta airlines boarding song is Despacito, which literally means slowly and is not how you want people to board a plane
November 25, 2025 at 12:46 AM
The Delta airlines boarding song is Despacito, which literally means slowly and is not how you want people to board a plane