Denis Tull
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denistull.bsky.social
Denis Tull
@denistull.bsky.social
Researcher I Conflict I Intervention I Politics I Sahel
@swp-mea.bsky.social I @megatrends-afrika.de
https://www.swp-berlin.org/en/researcher/denis-m-tull
Views strictly my own
Reposted by Denis Tull
While the French Presidency is concerned about the inertia of platforms against AI-amplified information manipulation, the French foreign digital interference watchdog will deploy a dedicated centre of excellence to provide information stakeholders with ready-to-use tools to detect and analyse them.
Alors que l'Élysée s'inquiète de l'inertie des plateformes contre les manipulations de l'information amplifiées par l'IA, @viginum.bsky.social va déployer un centre d'excellence qui fournira des outils aux acteurs de l'information pour détecter et analyser ces tentatives de déstabilisation.
Viginum lance un centre pour lutter contre la désinformation par l'IA - LA LETTRE
Alors que l'Élysée s'inquiète de l'inertie des plateformes contre les manipulations de l'information amplifiées par l'IA, le service de lutte contre les ingérences numériques étrangères va déployer
www.lalettre.fr
December 18, 2025 at 7:07 AM
In which Godfrey Maringira argues that a military coup in #Zimbabwe is very likely in the near future.
#Zimbabwe 🇿🇼 faces a contested succession as President #Mnangagwa seeks to extend his rule beyond 2028, opposed by military elites aligned with VP #Chiwenga.

Godfrey Maringira analyses why the #military remains the decisive force, sidelining elections.

Read more, here: t1p.de/lyn2q
The Leadership Succession in Zimbabwe: Military Generals in the Political Arena
Zimbabwe faces contested leadership succession as President Mnangagwa seeks to extend his rule beyond 2028, facing opposition from military...
www.megatrends-afrika.de
December 17, 2025 at 2:37 PM
Reposted by Denis Tull
Great summary, also for naming more than the usual suspects (UAE...). Advice to democrats worldwide includes: "to reclaim the narrative. Pro-democracy actors need to make democratic values culturally relevant, meet citizens where they are, and show them how democracy improves everyday life."
🚨 Out now 🚨 The Illiberal International - How Authoritarian Cooperation Is Reshaping the Global Order 🧨

"Democrats are playing by the rules of a game that no longer exists."

To read, go here 👇
www.foreignaffairs.com/china/illibe...
The Illiberal International
Authoritarian cooperation is reshaping the global order.
www.foreignaffairs.com
December 17, 2025 at 8:13 AM
Reposted by Denis Tull
A drone strike on a U.N. facility in war-torn Sudan left six peacekeepers dead, U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres said.
UN chief says 6 peacekeepers killed in drone strike on a UN facility in Sudan
A drone strike on a U.N. facility in war-torn Sudan left six peacekeepers dead, U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres said.
bit.ly
December 13, 2025 at 8:30 PM
Reposted by Denis Tull
#Tanzanie Un mois après la victoire de Samia Suluhu Hassan, élue présidente le 1er novembre avec plus de 97 % des voix, et des manifestations qui ont fait des centaines de morts, les jeunes Tanzanien·nes veulent faire « renaître » leur pays⤵️
📌 #genztanzania🇹🇿 #haijaisha #humanrights
En Tanzanie, la GenZ est déterminée - Témoignages
Un mois après la proclamation de la victoire de Samia Suluhu Hassan, élue présidente le 1er novembre avec plus de 97 % des voix, et des manifestations qui ont fait des centaines de morts, les (…)
afriquexxi.info
December 8, 2025 at 7:42 AM
Reposted by Denis Tull
Seven German journalism students tracked Russian-crewed freighters lurking off the Dutch and German coast—and connected them to drone swarms over military bases. (Hank Van Ess)
December 12, 2025 at 4:43 AM
Reposted by Denis Tull
Can #Mauritius 🇲🇺 continue to be “a friend to all”?

In their new policy brief Benedikt Erforth, Roukaya Kasenally, and Hangwei Li explore how deepening ties with #India are placing new pressures on Mauritius’s traditionally balanced foreign policy.

Read more, here: t1p.de/3zpxz
India's Engagement with Mauritius amid the New Maritime Geopolitics
India’s growing footprint in the Indian Ocean is reshaping the partnership with Mauritius. This policy brief explores how Mauritius can balance...
www.megatrends-afrika.de
December 11, 2025 at 10:02 AM
#Tanzania: after having killed 700 people and imprisoned 1,700 (UN estimates), the government declares protests called for to denounce the violent suppression of demonstrations around elections in October, arguing they would amount to a "coup"

www.reuters.com/business/med...
Tanzania urges citizens to stay home ahead of expected protests
Tanzania’s government warned on Monday that protests planned for Tuesday would be unlawful and amounted to an attempted coup, as security forces deployed heavily in major cities.
www.reuters.com
December 9, 2025 at 1:22 PM
Reposted by Denis Tull
Congratulations to @ailitripp.bsky.social for her new book, Why African Autocracies Promote Women as Leaders (OUP, 2025). Learn more about this important scholarship in our latest blog post: www.afpol.org/blog/new-boo...
New Book: Why African Autocracies Promote Women as Leaders by Aili Mari Tripp
Why African Autocracies Promote Women as Leaders (Oxford University Press, 2025) by Aili Mari Tripp contrasts authoritarian countries with democracies in Africa to explain how and why autocracies prom...
www.afpol.org
December 9, 2025 at 9:49 AM
Reposted by Denis Tull
Holy moly, do people still think the U.S. is an ally of Europe? It is now an officially stated foreign policy goal to undermine the EU and centrist European governments that don't ideologically align with MAGA.
Europeans are waking up this morning to find the new US National Security Strategy (quietly) released. And what it has to say on Europe could not be clearer. On the „stark prospect of civilizations erasure“ for example. 👇
December 5, 2025 at 5:42 AM
This is yet another example of how African citizens are lured to #Russia to be enrolled in the war against #Ukraine. @rfi previously reported on similar stories in #Cameroon.

www.nytimes.com/2025/11/29/w...
Lured by Jobs, They Ended Up ‘Going to War’ for Russia
www.nytimes.com
December 3, 2025 at 2:02 PM
The UK and the Netherlands are withdrawing a combined $2.2 billion in support for the TotalEnergies-led #Mozambique LNG project, after both hired firms to probe human rights concerns surrounding the development.

www.ft.com/content/b2ea...
UK withdraws financing for Total’s Mozambique LNG development
French company’s project has been dogged by controversy over environmental, human rights and security issues
www.ft.com
December 2, 2025 at 7:15 AM
Reposted by Denis Tull
📢 Wissenschaftler:in (d/m/w) bei Megatrends Afrika
@swp-berlin.org

🔎 regionale Expertise, abgeschlossene Promotion, Erfahrung mit Drittmittelprojekten, in der Leitung von Teams und in der wissenschaftlichen Politikberatung

🗓️Bewerbungsfrist: 16.12.2025
👉Details: www.swp-berlin.org/karriere/ste...
Wissenschaftler:in (d/m/w) für das Projekt „Megatrends Afrika: Kooperation mit Afrika in Zeiten globaler Disruption“.
Wir suchen zum nächstmöglichen Zeitpunkt (vorbehaltlich der Bewilligung durch die Zuwendungsgeber) eine:nWissenschaftler:in (d/m/w)für das von...
www.swp-berlin.org
November 28, 2025 at 9:59 AM
Reposted by Denis Tull
Gestern sprach ich mit dem Sicherheitshalber Podcast über den Krieg in #Sudan, dessen Ursachen, externe Unterstützer und Perspektiven.
Vielen Dank für das Interesse!
November 25, 2025 at 1:23 PM
European Peace Facility: Council adopts assistance measures in support of the armed forces of #Chad #EPF 24/11/25
November 25, 2025 at 7:45 AM
On the occasion of the AU-EU summit in Angola, colleagues Mark Schrolle und Anni Verhoeven have written a primer about the state of economic relations between both regions, with plenty of hard facts.
25 years of partnership between the #AU and #EU: The EU remains Africa’s most important economic partner by far. With the #AUEU25 summit starting today, @mschrll.bsky.social and Ann-Marie Verhoeven identify ways to make trade and economic ties more equitable and mutually beneficial. t1p.de/d78he
Assessing 25 Years of Partnership between the AU and EU: From Strong Economic Ties to Mutually Beneficial Relations
In this Spotlight, Mark Schrolle and Ann-Marie Verhoeven examine the current state of EU–AU trade and investment relations and identify avenues...
www.megatrends-afrika.de
November 24, 2025 at 1:39 PM
Reposted by Denis Tull
A normal country has a functioning counter-espionage service.

In France, the most watched news channel hires the former head of Russia Today as a commentator with no consequences.
Combien de temps va-t-on encore tolérer cette propagande ?
#VincentBolloréIsAKremlinAsset
November 24, 2025 at 6:11 AM
Reposted by Denis Tull
🧵Ahead of the #AUEU25 Summit, we invite you to revisit some of our research on how Europe–Africa relations are evolving today and in the future. @denistull.bsky.social
and @karolineeickhoff.bsky.social outline strategic trends shaping cooperation by 2030.

Read more, here: t1p.de/anutl
Mapping the Future of Europe-Africa Relations
Exploring Europe-Africa relations for 2030, the Megatrends Afrika project analyzes emerging trends, including political instability in Europe...
www.megatrends-afrika.de
November 19, 2025 at 8:40 AM
Reposted by Denis Tull
South Africa advocates for #debt sustainability for low-income countries at the upcoming #G20 summit on 22–23 November.

Earlier this year, our @karolineeickhoff.bsky.social examined what the #AU could achieve in the negotiations. Read her analysis here: www.megatrends-afrika.de/en/publicati...
G20 Debt Negotiations: What Can the African Union Achieve?
Public debt is rising globally and several countries in Africa are facing debt distress. To advance African priorities during the South African...
www.megatrends-afrika.de
November 17, 2025 at 1:41 PM
Reposted by Denis Tull
#UN peacekeeping resources in #Africa have declined sharply since the 2014–15 peak. Uniformed #personnel dropped by nearly two-thirds, and the annual #budget was cut by more than half.

Read more on the shifting landscape of foreign intervention in Africa, here: t1p.de/vrprt
November 17, 2025 at 8:19 AM
Reposted by Denis Tull
25 Years of Partnership between the #AU and #EU: Why respectful communication matters.
In this interview, Senegalese lawyer Ibrahima Kane outlines Africa’s priorities for the upcoming #AUEU25 Summit and reminds us that how we talk is as vital as what we negotiate.
Read more, here: t1p.de/a1u6j
Assessing 25 Years of Partnership between the AU and EU: No More Business as Usual
Ahead of the African Union–European Union Summit on 24–25 November in Angola, Senegalese lawyer Ibrahima Kane reflects on Europe’s fading moral...
www.megatrends-afrika.de
November 14, 2025 at 11:36 AM
Reposted by Denis Tull
Had the pleasure to discuss Germany’s defence plans in “Le PodKast” with @helkohl.bsky.social.
(In French)

podcast.ausha.co/le-podkast/s...
S5 E16 Défense : être prêts avant Poutine | Ausha
Les services de sécurité allemands mettent en garde : la Russie pourrait être capable de mener une attaque sur un pays de l'OTAN en 2029. Alors l'Allemagne se prépare à répondre à cette menace : réfor...
podcast.ausha.co
November 14, 2025 at 9:35 AM