OMAR HALABY
@democraticsyrian.bsky.social
REFUGEE, DOCTOR, WRITER, FOR A FREE UNITED CIVIL SYRIA
The Syrianization of Iran
How sovereignty turns into brokerage and why this matters in the U.S–China energy war.
#Iran #Geopolitics #PoliticalEconomy #China #US #Sanctions #EnergySecurity
How sovereignty turns into brokerage and why this matters in the U.S–China energy war.
#Iran #Geopolitics #PoliticalEconomy #China #US #Sanctions #EnergySecurity
The Syrianization of Iran
Sovereignty as a Tradable Commodity in the New Cold War
medium.com
January 24, 2026 at 7:58 PM
The Syrianization of Iran
How sovereignty turns into brokerage and why this matters in the U.S–China energy war.
#Iran #Geopolitics #PoliticalEconomy #China #US #Sanctions #EnergySecurity
How sovereignty turns into brokerage and why this matters in the U.S–China energy war.
#Iran #Geopolitics #PoliticalEconomy #China #US #Sanctions #EnergySecurity
As #Syria celebrates 1 year since Syrians regained their freedom, I met the #ForeignMinister of #Syria, H.E. Asaad al-Shaibani. We discussed security challenges for Syria and our joint fight against #terrorism, a priority for Syria and #Europe. #EU #GIS #MOI
lnkd.in/e-B8-Z_D
lnkd.in/e-B8-Z_D
December 12, 2025 at 9:49 PM
From Raqqa to Damascus
How a defeated caliphate returned as a myth and why ideology, not territory, now carries power.
#Geopolitics #PoliticalTheory #MiddleEast #Ideology #Power #Islamism #ModernPolitics #jihadism #Syria
How a defeated caliphate returned as a myth and why ideology, not territory, now carries power.
#Geopolitics #PoliticalTheory #MiddleEast #Ideology #Power #Islamism #ModernPolitics #jihadism #Syria
The Return of the Caliphate
From Raqqa to Damascus: Ideology as the Vessel of Collective Power
medium.com
December 12, 2025 at 9:39 PM
From Raqqa to Damascus
How a defeated caliphate returned as a myth and why ideology, not territory, now carries power.
#Geopolitics #PoliticalTheory #MiddleEast #Ideology #Power #Islamism #ModernPolitics #jihadism #Syria
How a defeated caliphate returned as a myth and why ideology, not territory, now carries power.
#Geopolitics #PoliticalTheory #MiddleEast #Ideology #Power #Islamism #ModernPolitics #jihadism #Syria
“The Intrusion Age: Europe’s Strategic Adulthood Test”, why low-cost intrusions, manpower politics, procurement dependency, and nuclear silence are converging into a new sovereignty stress test for Europe.
#Europe #NATO #Security #Germany #France #Ukraine #Geopolitics
#Europe #NATO #Security #Germany #France #Ukraine #Geopolitics
The Intrusion Age: Europe’s Strategic Adulthood Test
Europe is no longer living in a stable security climate.
It is entering a weather system.
medium.com
December 7, 2025 at 10:09 AM
My analysis and opinion about Europe after the American umbrella and why this moment is less about budgets and more about sovereignty.
#Europe #NATO #Transatlantic #Security #Deterrence #Russia #Geopolitics
#Europe #NATO #Transatlantic #Security #Deterrence #Russia #Geopolitics
After the Umbrella: Europe’s Sovereignty Shock and the End of Slow Politics
For decades, Europe lived inside a strategic arrangement that felt less like policy than climate — something assumed, stable, rarely…
medium.com
December 6, 2025 at 10:13 PM
My analysis and opinion about Europe after the American umbrella and why this moment is less about budgets and more about sovereignty.
#Europe #NATO #Transatlantic #Security #Deterrence #Russia #Geopolitics
#Europe #NATO #Transatlantic #Security #Deterrence #Russia #Geopolitics
Some regimes don’t need their dictators anymore.
They’ve already built the institutional afterlife.
#Syria #Authoritarianism #PoliticalTheory #TransitionalJustice
They’ve already built the institutional afterlife.
#Syria #Authoritarianism #PoliticalTheory #TransitionalJustice
The Architecture of Survival: How Regimes Outlive Their Dictators
After Assad: The Battle Against the Renovated Regime
medium.com
December 6, 2025 at 8:30 AM
Some regimes don’t need their dictators anymore.
They’ve already built the institutional afterlife.
#Syria #Authoritarianism #PoliticalTheory #TransitionalJustice
They’ve already built the institutional afterlife.
#Syria #Authoritarianism #PoliticalTheory #TransitionalJustice
Reposted by OMAR HALABY
#Russia says its #Hmeimim & #Tartus bases in #Syria remain fully operational and key to stability. Moscow signals readiness to amend agreements and expand support in defense, water & agriculture as it adapts to new political dynamics.
#MiddleEast
#MiddleEast
December 4, 2025 at 11:49 AM
#Russia says its #Hmeimim & #Tartus bases in #Syria remain fully operational and key to stability. Moscow signals readiness to amend agreements and expand support in defense, water & agriculture as it adapts to new political dynamics.
#MiddleEast
#MiddleEast
Who Needs a God-King? How Ancient Societies Solved a Problem the Modern World Still Can’t Crack. #PoliticalTheory #Governance #InternationalRelations #PoliticalPhilosophy #Statecraft
The Sacred Ruler Problem: Why Societies Deified Power — and Why the Modern World Still Hasn’t…
Modern political culture carries a confident moral reflex: no one should be sacred.
medium.com
December 5, 2025 at 1:17 PM
Who Needs a God-King? How Ancient Societies Solved a Problem the Modern World Still Can’t Crack. #PoliticalTheory #Governance #InternationalRelations #PoliticalPhilosophy #Statecraft
Syria’s “sovereign wealth fund” isn’t a recovery tool. It’s a gatekeeper architecture, designed to centralize assets, bypass oversight, and make authoritarian rule investable. This is not sovereignty. It’s state capture with a modern logo.
#Syria #PoliticalEconomy #SovereignWealthFund #Alsharaa
#Syria #PoliticalEconomy #SovereignWealthFund #Alsharaa
Investable Authoritarianism
The Syrian Sovereign Fund as Infrastructure for State Capture
When a political system runs out of credible stories, it borrows new language. In Syria today, that language is “sovereign wealth fund” —…
medium.com
December 5, 2025 at 8:15 AM
Syria’s “sovereign wealth fund” isn’t a recovery tool. It’s a gatekeeper architecture, designed to centralize assets, bypass oversight, and make authoritarian rule investable. This is not sovereignty. It’s state capture with a modern logo.
#Syria #PoliticalEconomy #SovereignWealthFund #Alsharaa
#Syria #PoliticalEconomy #SovereignWealthFund #Alsharaa
Reposted by OMAR HALABY
The Israeli incursion into S. Syria wasn't just a tactical move; it was a system shock. My latest analysis explores the "architecture of partial autonomy," the "social reflex," and the high cost of misreading a fragmented ecosystem.
#Syria #Israel #Geopolitics #Security #Strategy #Gaza #Levant
#Syria #Israel #Geopolitics #Security #Strategy #Gaza #Levant
Perturbing the Ecosystem: The Structural Cost of Israeli Incursion in Southern Syria
The recent Israeli movement into southern Syria — initially visible around Beit Jann and plausibly further towards Damascus — reads like a…
medium.com
November 29, 2025 at 12:59 PM
Ex-regime figures and jihadist commanders are being recycled into suits and posts , as alliances harden from a brutal state into warlordism. Contracts and appointments launder reputations; justice still an illusion in the middle east.
Oh this I didn't know...in Jableh a former regime officer made it to Parliament..
October 24, 2025 at 11:51 AM
Ex-regime figures and jihadist commanders are being recycled into suits and posts , as alliances harden from a brutal state into warlordism. Contracts and appointments launder reputations; justice still an illusion in the middle east.
Why did a crisis intervention in Syria harden into something permanent? This essay traces the machinery: long leases at Tartus/Hmeimim, “reconciliation zone” policing, 50-year resource concessions, and asset shelter. #Syria #RussiaInSyria #Geopolitics #ContractualEmpire #ResourceExtraction
The Syria Gambit: How Military Intervention Becomes Permanent Extraction
Part I: The Architecture of “Invited Permanence”
medium.com
October 24, 2025 at 11:13 AM
Why did a crisis intervention in Syria harden into something permanent? This essay traces the machinery: long leases at Tartus/Hmeimim, “reconciliation zone” policing, 50-year resource concessions, and asset shelter. #Syria #RussiaInSyria #Geopolitics #ContractualEmpire #ResourceExtraction
Power first, rules later—that’s Syria’s loop. My new piece makes a realist case for bounded order: rules that price coercion and bind rulers.
#Syria #Legitimacy #RuleOfLaw #Governance #PoliticalEconomy
#Syria #Legitimacy #RuleOfLaw #Governance #PoliticalEconomy
The Manufacture of Legitimacy: Syria’s Perpetual Political Transition
Thesis: In Syria, rulers have repeatedly taken power first and searched for legitimacy later. The result is a cycle of constitutional…
medium.com
October 10, 2025 at 2:13 PM
Power first, rules later—that’s Syria’s loop. My new piece makes a realist case for bounded order: rules that price coercion and bind rulers.
#Syria #Legitimacy #RuleOfLaw #Governance #PoliticalEconomy
#Syria #Legitimacy #RuleOfLaw #Governance #PoliticalEconomy
What if Syria’s crisis is best explained by class? I trace a 3,000-year alliance between Damascus merchant capital and state power—and its costs for workers, peasants, and democracy. #Syria #Damascus #ClassPolitics #PoliticalEconomy #History #Revolution
The Damascus Bourgeoisie and Power: A 3,000-Year Alliance Between Capital and Authority
Introduction
medium.com
October 1, 2025 at 12:59 PM
What if Syria’s crisis is best explained by class? I trace a 3,000-year alliance between Damascus merchant capital and state power—and its costs for workers, peasants, and democracy. #Syria #Damascus #ClassPolitics #PoliticalEconomy #History #Revolution
Dictators or terrorists? In the Middle East, the same puppet masters often script both. 🎭
#MiddleEast #Geopolitics #Extremism #Authoritarianism #ThePuppetMasters
#MiddleEast #Geopolitics #Extremism #Authoritarianism #ThePuppetMasters
The Puppet Masters: How Middle Eastern Regimes Create Their Own Enemies
When Your Opposition Works for You
medium.com
September 6, 2025 at 2:17 PM
Dictators or terrorists? In the Middle East, the same puppet masters often script both. 🎭
#MiddleEast #Geopolitics #Extremism #Authoritarianism #ThePuppetMasters
#MiddleEast #Geopolitics #Extremism #Authoritarianism #ThePuppetMasters
Reposted by OMAR HALABY
Now they’re coming after families
What the UK government’s suspension of family reunion means for vulnerable children and women
@nicolakellywrites.bsky.social
notanothersnowflake.substack.com/p/now-theyre...
What the UK government’s suspension of family reunion means for vulnerable children and women
@nicolakellywrites.bsky.social
notanothersnowflake.substack.com/p/now-theyre...
Now they're coming after families
If today’s announcement felt like another crossing of the Rubicon, that's because it is.
notanothersnowflake.substack.com
September 1, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Now they’re coming after families
What the UK government’s suspension of family reunion means for vulnerable children and women
@nicolakellywrites.bsky.social
notanothersnowflake.substack.com/p/now-theyre...
What the UK government’s suspension of family reunion means for vulnerable children and women
@nicolakellywrites.bsky.social
notanothersnowflake.substack.com/p/now-theyre...
Syria doesn’t need “federalism” or “soft state” experiments. These are just blueprints for permanent chaos, militias, foreign meddling, and endless economic collapse.
#Syria #MiddleEast #StateFailure #Federalism #Geopolitics
#Syria #MiddleEast #StateFailure #Federalism #Geopolitics
The Soft State Trap: How Syria’s “Peace” Plans Guarantee Permanent War
Why every proposal for Syrian federalism is actually a blueprint for Lebanese-style paralysis
medium.com
August 31, 2025 at 8:23 AM
Syria doesn’t need “federalism” or “soft state” experiments. These are just blueprints for permanent chaos, militias, foreign meddling, and endless economic collapse.
#Syria #MiddleEast #StateFailure #Federalism #Geopolitics
#Syria #MiddleEast #StateFailure #Federalism #Geopolitics
My latest article explores why short-term leadership changes cannot bring lasting peace and how regional integration could offer a sustainable future.
#MiddleEast #Peace #RegionalIntegration #Syria #Israel #Palestine #OttomanHistory #FutureOfTheRegion #ConflictResolution #Geopolitics
#MiddleEast #Peace #RegionalIntegration #Syria #Israel #Palestine #OttomanHistory #FutureOfTheRegion #ConflictResolution #Geopolitics
Breaking the Supremacist Cycle: From Zionist Extremism to Regional Partnership
The Historical Foundation: Ottoman Pluralism vs. Colonial Division
medium.com
August 30, 2025 at 7:21 PM
My latest article explores why short-term leadership changes cannot bring lasting peace and how regional integration could offer a sustainable future.
#MiddleEast #Peace #RegionalIntegration #Syria #Israel #Palestine #OttomanHistory #FutureOfTheRegion #ConflictResolution #Geopolitics
#MiddleEast #Peace #RegionalIntegration #Syria #Israel #Palestine #OttomanHistory #FutureOfTheRegion #ConflictResolution #Geopolitics
From the Crusades to the War on Terror — Syria is where the strategy of divide & rule unravels.
#syria #middleeast #politics
#syria #middleeast #politics
The Syrian Impasse: How a Millennium-Old Strategy Faces Its Greatest Test
Executive Summary
medium.com
August 28, 2025 at 1:19 PM
From the Crusades to the War on Terror — Syria is where the strategy of divide & rule unravels.
#syria #middleeast #politics
#syria #middleeast #politics
Syria’s military is fractured, foreign-controlled, and dysfunctional. Dr. Kamal Allabwani proposes a federal army as a path to sovereignty and democratic transition.
The Syrian Federal Army Proposal: A Critical Analysis of Post-Assad Military Restructuring
Based on the analysis and proposals of Dr. Kamal Allabwani
medium.com
August 28, 2025 at 12:26 PM
Syria’s military is fractured, foreign-controlled, and dysfunctional. Dr. Kamal Allabwani proposes a federal army as a path to sovereignty and democratic transition.
Syria’s future isn’t decided on the battlefield but in the calculations of intelligence agencies. Warlords, proxies & managed chaos keep the country weak — but a national democratic alternative is still possible.
#Syria #MiddleEast #Geopolitics #Intelligence #Democracy #Warlords
#Syria #MiddleEast #Geopolitics #Intelligence #Democracy #Warlords
Syria’s Political Chessboard: Intelligence Calculations and the Future of Power
Introduction
medium.com
August 20, 2025 at 3:40 PM
Syria’s future isn’t decided on the battlefield but in the calculations of intelligence agencies. Warlords, proxies & managed chaos keep the country weak — but a national democratic alternative is still possible.
#Syria #MiddleEast #Geopolitics #Intelligence #Democracy #Warlords
#Syria #MiddleEast #Geopolitics #Intelligence #Democracy #Warlords
Syria’s “Morsi Scenario”: a managed fall, Islamist rise, and looming collapse. Why warlordism kills peace.
#syria #israel #turkey #lebanon #peace
#syria #israel #turkey #lebanon #peace
Syria’s Post-Assad Transition: The Morsi Scenario and Regional Security Implications
Syria’s post-Assad path mirrors Egypt’s “Morsi Scenario.” True stability needs dismantling warlords & restoring sovereignty
medium.com
August 20, 2025 at 1:47 PM
Pravda PT says that Ahmad Muaffaq Zaidan was appointed as an advisor to Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa. more about Zaidan in my article.
#Syria #Israel #Geopolitics #MiddleEast #HTS #Jihad #Hezbollah #WarInSyria #ForeignPolicy
#Syria #Israel #Geopolitics #MiddleEast #HTS #Jihad #Hezbollah #WarInSyria #ForeignPolicy
The Shadow Architect: How Qatar’s Ideological Strategist Forged the Modern Islamist Playbook In…
In the marble corridors of Doha’s diplomatic quarter, where oil money meets geopolitical ambition, one Syrian exile has quietly emerged as…
medium.com
August 2, 2025 at 7:16 PM
Pravda PT says that Ahmad Muaffaq Zaidan was appointed as an advisor to Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa. more about Zaidan in my article.
#Syria #Israel #Geopolitics #MiddleEast #HTS #Jihad #Hezbollah #WarInSyria #ForeignPolicy
#Syria #Israel #Geopolitics #MiddleEast #HTS #Jihad #Hezbollah #WarInSyria #ForeignPolicy