Dave Trotter
davetrotter.bsky.social
Dave Trotter
@davetrotter.bsky.social
Recovering political data analyst. My YouTube channel is @votingtrends. American-Slovak citizen.
If Mamdani gets over 50% tonight, especially if he gets 55%+, that should be the green light for AOC to run for the Senate in 2028.
November 4, 2025 at 10:58 PM
To put what we are seeing in Virginia in perspective, this could be the biggest Democratic victory in the governor's race since 1961, when Albertis Harrison won 63.9% of the vote. If not, then 1985 when Gerald Baliles won 55.2%.
November 4, 2025 at 5:05 PM
As of the updates that I have in VA (which doesn't include all the states, mind you), Democrats, at this point, should get between 53.2% and 59.8% of the vote. I don't have data from Fairfax County yet.
November 4, 2025 at 4:59 PM
The stats on @statenavigate.org how that 26,904 in Loudon County have already voted today. The number in Chesterfield County is 23,714.

I don't like making predictions, or saying things like "blowout"...but...
November 4, 2025 at 3:50 PM
Reposted by Dave Trotter
Chaz and his State Navigate team will be doing great work on Election Day and Night

He will be tracking turnout in Virginia

I’ll also post periodically about turnout

Personally won’t go too overboard with the analysis

We will find out results starting at 7

docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
State Navigate VA Election Day Vote Tracker (pre-poll close)
docs.google.com
November 4, 2025 at 1:57 PM