Jake Nichol, PhD
@complemental.bsky.social
CompSci PhD in causal discovery for Earth science via UNM. Postdoc at a national lab researching causal discovery, sciML, and trustworthy ML
🌶️Born and raised in New Mexico
🎶Trying to make a dollar out of what makes sense
[Machine] Learn to Save Earth 🌎🌏🌍
🌶️Born and raised in New Mexico
🎶Trying to make a dollar out of what makes sense
[Machine] Learn to Save Earth 🌎🌏🌍
Pinned
Space‐Time Causal Discovery in Earth System Science: A Local Stencil Learning Approach
We introduce Causal Space-Time Stencil Learning (CaStLe) for learning local causal dynamical structure underlying space-time data CaStLe enables previously infeasible analyses of grid-cell-level ...
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
Published in JGR:MLC! We introduce CaStLe (Causal Space-Time Stencil Learning), a method for grid-level space-time causal discovery that scales efficiently in high-dimensional Earth system data. It enables causal analysis of grid-level processes like eruption plumes.
#EarthScience #CausalDiscovery
#EarthScience #CausalDiscovery
Reposted by Jake Nichol, PhD
Dr. Jane Goodall filmed an interview with Netflix in March 2025 that she understood would only be released after her death.
October 5, 2025 at 9:08 AM
Dr. Jane Goodall filmed an interview with Netflix in March 2025 that she understood would only be released after her death.
Reposted by Jake Nichol, PhD
There is "no room for indifference or resignation."
Pope Leo nails the climate message.
Pope Leo nails the climate message.
October 3, 2025 at 2:31 AM
There is "no room for indifference or resignation."
Pope Leo nails the climate message.
Pope Leo nails the climate message.
What’s your sign?
September 29, 2025 at 7:33 PM
What’s your sign?
Reposted by Jake Nichol, PhD
New Mexico's economy is a fraction of the size of New York City's.
If they can enact universal childcare — and relieve working families of a crushing cost burden — surely we can too.
It's just a question of political will.
If they can enact universal childcare — and relieve working families of a crushing cost burden — surely we can too.
It's just a question of political will.
New Mexico will be the first state to make child care free
The program, which is expected to save families $12,000 per child annually, is available to all residents regardless of income.
19thnews.org
September 12, 2025 at 3:15 PM
New Mexico's economy is a fraction of the size of New York City's.
If they can enact universal childcare — and relieve working families of a crushing cost burden — surely we can too.
It's just a question of political will.
If they can enact universal childcare — and relieve working families of a crushing cost burden — surely we can too.
It's just a question of political will.
Reposted by Jake Nichol, PhD
I want to clarify that my example here is actually what I think is one of the best use cases of LLMs (as a sort of search and parsing tool).
The problem is handing everyone the keys to a very confident-sounding implementation of that. It takes subject matter experts to verify the results.
The problem is handing everyone the keys to a very confident-sounding implementation of that. It takes subject matter experts to verify the results.
September 2, 2025 at 9:16 PM
I want to clarify that my example here is actually what I think is one of the best use cases of LLMs (as a sort of search and parsing tool).
The problem is handing everyone the keys to a very confident-sounding implementation of that. It takes subject matter experts to verify the results.
The problem is handing everyone the keys to a very confident-sounding implementation of that. It takes subject matter experts to verify the results.
Reposted by Jake Nichol, PhD
Our paper aims to provide an ML-based view of mid-latitude S2S predictability that could help open new scientific pathways and increase our ability to handle weather-related risks.
Check it out here! doi.org/10.1175/AIES...
Check it out here! doi.org/10.1175/AIES...
doi.org
August 19, 2025 at 9:13 PM
Our paper aims to provide an ML-based view of mid-latitude S2S predictability that could help open new scientific pathways and increase our ability to handle weather-related risks.
Check it out here! doi.org/10.1175/AIES...
Check it out here! doi.org/10.1175/AIES...
Reposted by Jake Nichol, PhD
I know many are asking what is going on with the Rio Grande and why our river is dry. Here’s what’s going on ⬇️ #SaveTheRioGrande
Rep. Stansbury on the Dry Rio Grande
YouTube video by Rep. Melanie Stansbury
youtu.be
August 18, 2025 at 4:25 AM
I know many are asking what is going on with the Rio Grande and why our river is dry. Here’s what’s going on ⬇️ #SaveTheRioGrande
Reposted by Jake Nichol, PhD
Climate models since the 1970s nailed it—most predicted global warming almost exactly as it happened.
August 18, 2025 at 12:17 AM
Climate models since the 1970s nailed it—most predicted global warming almost exactly as it happened.
Published in JGR:MLC! We introduce CaStLe (Causal Space-Time Stencil Learning), a method for grid-level space-time causal discovery that scales efficiently in high-dimensional Earth system data. It enables causal analysis of grid-level processes like eruption plumes.
#EarthScience #CausalDiscovery
#EarthScience #CausalDiscovery
Space‐Time Causal Discovery in Earth System Science: A Local Stencil Learning Approach
We introduce Causal Space-Time Stencil Learning (CaStLe) for learning local causal dynamical structure underlying space-time data CaStLe enables previously infeasible analyses of grid-cell-level ...
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
July 11, 2025 at 8:19 PM
Published in JGR:MLC! We introduce CaStLe (Causal Space-Time Stencil Learning), a method for grid-level space-time causal discovery that scales efficiently in high-dimensional Earth system data. It enables causal analysis of grid-level processes like eruption plumes.
#EarthScience #CausalDiscovery
#EarthScience #CausalDiscovery
Reposted by Jake Nichol, PhD
Reposted by Jake Nichol, PhD
There’s so much happening right now, I thought I’d put together a running thread on the dismantling of #climate and research and knowledge infrastructure in the United States 🧵
May 7, 2025 at 12:11 PM
There’s so much happening right now, I thought I’d put together a running thread on the dismantling of #climate and research and knowledge infrastructure in the United States 🧵
Reposted by Jake Nichol, PhD
"Uncertainty is the most rational position to embrace, and unlike optimism or pessimism, it does not entrench us in complacency or inaction."
No Straight Road Takes You There by Rebecca Solnit review – an activist’s antidote to despair @theguardian.com @rebeccasolnit.bsky.social
No Straight Road Takes You There by Rebecca Solnit review – an activist’s antidote to despair @theguardian.com @rebeccasolnit.bsky.social
No Straight Road Takes You There by Rebecca Solnit review – an activist’s antidote to despair
Hope is no casual platitude in this inspiring collection of essays; it’s the realistic mindset with which to approach existential challenges
www.theguardian.com
May 22, 2025 at 8:21 PM
"Uncertainty is the most rational position to embrace, and unlike optimism or pessimism, it does not entrench us in complacency or inaction."
No Straight Road Takes You There by Rebecca Solnit review – an activist’s antidote to despair @theguardian.com @rebeccasolnit.bsky.social
No Straight Road Takes You There by Rebecca Solnit review – an activist’s antidote to despair @theguardian.com @rebeccasolnit.bsky.social
Reposted by Jake Nichol, PhD
#CausalityCrisis
We face increasingly serious crises due to lack of incorporation of causality into political structures and processes, more simply, inadequate policy-making, including election of policy makers ... something like that
We face increasingly serious crises due to lack of incorporation of causality into political structures and processes, more simply, inadequate policy-making, including election of policy makers ... something like that
January 6, 2025 at 12:50 AM
#CausalityCrisis
We face increasingly serious crises due to lack of incorporation of causality into political structures and processes, more simply, inadequate policy-making, including election of policy makers ... something like that
We face increasingly serious crises due to lack of incorporation of causality into political structures and processes, more simply, inadequate policy-making, including election of policy makers ... something like that
Unadulterated racism.
Exclusive: Navajo Code Talkers disappear from military websites after Trump DEI order
Navajo Code Talkers get "DEI" label as military info disappears under Trump order
Also vanishing: The Civil War regiment from "Glory," women pilots from WWII and a Medal of Honor winner.
www.axios.com
March 17, 2025 at 7:10 PM
Unadulterated racism.
Reposted by Jake Nichol, PhD
Computers are accusing humans of terrorism
March 12, 2025 at 7:59 PM
Computers are accusing humans of terrorism
Reposted by Jake Nichol, PhD
It’s late at night. But I’ve got to say this. We can endure. This is by far not the worst that has happened to a country, or even in ours. But it will take a broad and committed movement. I am confident.
February 23, 2025 at 5:55 AM
It’s late at night. But I’ve got to say this. We can endure. This is by far not the worst that has happened to a country, or even in ours. But it will take a broad and committed movement. I am confident.
Reposted by Jake Nichol, PhD
From reddit: a letter from a postdoc who survived the Bolsonaro years. This is helpful framing for how to science in this administration. 🧪
www.reddit.com/r/labrats/s/...
www.reddit.com/r/labrats/s/...
From the labrats community on Reddit
Explore this post and more from the labrats community
www.reddit.com
February 12, 2025 at 8:01 PM
From reddit: a letter from a postdoc who survived the Bolsonaro years. This is helpful framing for how to science in this administration. 🧪
www.reddit.com/r/labrats/s/...
www.reddit.com/r/labrats/s/...
Reposted by Jake Nichol, PhD
December 6, 2024 at 8:05 PM
Reposted by Jake Nichol, PhD
How well do climate modes explain precipitation variability? 'This outcome provides a clear rationale to limit expectations of predictability from modes of variability in all but a few select regions and seasons.' www.nature.com/articles/s41...
How well do climate modes explain precipitation variability? - npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science - How well do climate modes explain precipitation variability?
www.nature.com
December 5, 2024 at 12:29 AM
How well do climate modes explain precipitation variability? 'This outcome provides a clear rationale to limit expectations of predictability from modes of variability in all but a few select regions and seasons.' www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Reposted by Jake Nichol, PhD
The inconvenient reality of AI-assisted embryo selection in IVF @natureportfolio.bsky.social
AI is being hyped for its potential to revolutionize assisted reproduction, including embryo selection.
The inflated expectations of new technologies are not always justified.
Full article:
rdcu.be/dVGjL
AI is being hyped for its potential to revolutionize assisted reproduction, including embryo selection.
The inflated expectations of new technologies are not always justified.
Full article:
rdcu.be/dVGjL
The inconvenient reality of AI-assisted embryo selection in IVF
Nature Medicine - Artificial intelligence is being hyped for its potential to revolutionize assisted reproduction, including embryo selection — but a new study reveals that the inflated...
rdcu.be
December 5, 2024 at 12:21 AM
The inconvenient reality of AI-assisted embryo selection in IVF @natureportfolio.bsky.social
AI is being hyped for its potential to revolutionize assisted reproduction, including embryo selection.
The inflated expectations of new technologies are not always justified.
Full article:
rdcu.be/dVGjL
AI is being hyped for its potential to revolutionize assisted reproduction, including embryo selection.
The inflated expectations of new technologies are not always justified.
Full article:
rdcu.be/dVGjL
Up next: which Hogwarts house does your bsky profile say you belong to?
December 4, 2024 at 11:36 PM
Up next: which Hogwarts house does your bsky profile say you belong to?
Struggling to get my latex compiling on AGU’s submission system. Compiles fine in Overleaf -_-
December 4, 2024 at 9:27 PM
Struggling to get my latex compiling on AGU’s submission system. Compiles fine in Overleaf -_-
The project funding my dissertation (CLDERA) was covered briefly by the NYT. Exciting to see our work get recognized! www.nytimes.com/2024/11/28/c...
The U.S. Is Building an Early Warning System to Detect Geoengineering
Balloon launches from around the world are part of a new kind of global alarm system: One that can detect if another country tries to dim the sun.
www.nytimes.com
December 4, 2024 at 5:51 PM
The project funding my dissertation (CLDERA) was covered briefly by the NYT. Exciting to see our work get recognized! www.nytimes.com/2024/11/28/c...