Clemens Jarnach
@clemensjarnach.bsky.social
Political Sociologist & Data Scientist | PhD, University of Oxford | 🔬📊🌍
Read more on → http://medium.com/@clemensjarnach
Read more on → http://medium.com/@clemensjarnach
Pinned
Prince Andrew - remember him? - was patron of many charities until he ‘stepped back’ from everything after his Newsnight interview.
Did he help his #charity patronees?
Nope: not according to new (complicated) analysis from Giving Evidence.
THREAD:
Did he help his #charity patronees?
Nope: not according to new (complicated) analysis from Giving Evidence.
THREAD:
Do Royals as patrons help charities raise money? We set out to test that using difference-in-differences analysis.
Our findings: Prince Andrew’s patronage had no detectable effect on charities’ revenue. Full details here 👉
Our findings: Prince Andrew’s patronage had no detectable effect on charities’ revenue. Full details here 👉
Reposted by Clemens Jarnach
"The more misinformation is repeated the more likely people are to believe it."
In the latest episode of The We Society podcast, Will Hutton is joined by @profsanderlinden.bsky.social to discuss how we can inoculate ourselves against misinformation.
🎙️ media.leverhulme.ac.uk/podcast/sand...
In the latest episode of The We Society podcast, Will Hutton is joined by @profsanderlinden.bsky.social to discuss how we can inoculate ourselves against misinformation.
🎙️ media.leverhulme.ac.uk/podcast/sand...
October 27, 2025 at 1:17 PM
"The more misinformation is repeated the more likely people are to believe it."
In the latest episode of The We Society podcast, Will Hutton is joined by @profsanderlinden.bsky.social to discuss how we can inoculate ourselves against misinformation.
🎙️ media.leverhulme.ac.uk/podcast/sand...
In the latest episode of The We Society podcast, Will Hutton is joined by @profsanderlinden.bsky.social to discuss how we can inoculate ourselves against misinformation.
🎙️ media.leverhulme.ac.uk/podcast/sand...
Reposted by Clemens Jarnach
Lauren Davis Jarnach explores the 1910 Arizona constitutional convention and how the breakdown of parliamentary procedure had profound effects for democracy.
lawandhistoryreview.org/article/laur...
lawandhistoryreview.org/article/laur...
Lauren Davis Jarnach–Negotiating the Arizona Constitution: The Role of Parliamentary Procedure in Ensuring Democratic Textual Outcomes – Law & History Review
lawandhistoryreview.org
July 31, 2025 at 11:25 AM
Lauren Davis Jarnach explores the 1910 Arizona constitutional convention and how the breakdown of parliamentary procedure had profound effects for democracy.
lawandhistoryreview.org/article/laur...
lawandhistoryreview.org/article/laur...
I hate being “that reviewer,” but today I was the stereotypical reviewer 2. Sorry. #whoknowsknows #peerreview
August 3, 2025 at 5:50 PM
I hate being “that reviewer,” but today I was the stereotypical reviewer 2. Sorry. #whoknowsknows #peerreview
Reposted by Clemens Jarnach
I had a great time celebrating the opening of the first gallery exhibition I helped to curate. ‘After the Assembly: Constituting India’ is on at the SOAS Gallery until Sept. 20.
July 25, 2025 at 10:08 AM
I had a great time celebrating the opening of the first gallery exhibition I helped to curate. ‘After the Assembly: Constituting India’ is on at the SOAS Gallery until Sept. 20.
Women working from home during COVID-19 faced a 40% increase in odds of IPV (Intimate Partner Violence) compared to working in-person (Miall, et al., 2023).
Link: doi.org/10.1186/s128...
#IPV #RemoteWork #Sociology
Link: doi.org/10.1186/s128...
#IPV #RemoteWork #Sociology
Working from home and intimate partner violence among cis-women during the COVID-19 pandemic: evidence from a global, cross-sectional study - BMC Public Health
Background Intimate partner violence (IPV) may have been exacerbated during the COVID-19 pandemic. This analysis aimed to determine how employment disruption during COVID-19, including working from ho...
doi.org
July 25, 2025 at 1:12 PM
Women working from home during COVID-19 faced a 40% increase in odds of IPV (Intimate Partner Violence) compared to working in-person (Miall, et al., 2023).
Link: doi.org/10.1186/s128...
#IPV #RemoteWork #Sociology
Link: doi.org/10.1186/s128...
#IPV #RemoteWork #Sociology
@walesroyals.bsky.social Let’s talk!
Prince William is reportedly taking "forensic interest" in our research finding that Royal patronages have no discernible effect(!) - things I never thought I'd see 👇
@kensingtonpalace.bsky.social: we're happy to talk.
www.gbnews.com/royal/prince...
@kensingtonpalace.bsky.social: we're happy to talk.
www.gbnews.com/royal/prince...
July 16, 2025 at 4:28 PM
@walesroyals.bsky.social Let’s talk!
Reposted by Clemens Jarnach
I bet that you've never got the term "linear regression difference-in-differences analyses" into GB News, like @clemensjarnach.bsky.social & I just have! 🤣👍🏽
#econ
#econ
July 15, 2025 at 8:52 AM
I bet that you've never got the term "linear regression difference-in-differences analyses" into GB News, like @clemensjarnach.bsky.social & I just have! 🤣👍🏽
#econ
#econ
Reposted by Clemens Jarnach
Some coverage of Giving Evidence's new report about Prince Andrew's #charity patronages claims that we found "a rise in profits". The concept of profit is normally meaningless in relation to charities: we looked at revenue.
www.skynews.com.au/lifestyle/ce...
www.skynews.com.au/lifestyle/ce...
Major sign Prince Andrew still ‘toxic’ despite attempts at comeback
Prince Andrew has been left red faced after several charities he once supported as patron saw a rise in profits after he stepped down from royal duties.
www.skynews.com.au
July 14, 2025 at 8:50 PM
Some coverage of Giving Evidence's new report about Prince Andrew's #charity patronages claims that we found "a rise in profits". The concept of profit is normally meaningless in relation to charities: we looked at revenue.
www.skynews.com.au/lifestyle/ce...
www.skynews.com.au/lifestyle/ce...
I'm on GB News! Send help!
July 14, 2025 at 9:35 PM
I'm on GB News! Send help!
Could parliamentary procedure be so complex that it confuses even those in power?
This intriguing paper by @laurenjarnach.bsky.social (shameless promotion for my wife's work) delves into the vital role of parliamentary procedure in democratic outcomes.
lawandhistoryreview.org/article/laur...
This intriguing paper by @laurenjarnach.bsky.social (shameless promotion for my wife's work) delves into the vital role of parliamentary procedure in democratic outcomes.
lawandhistoryreview.org/article/laur...
Lauren Davis Jarnach–Negotiating the Arizona Constitution: The Role of Parliamentary Procedure in Ensuring Democratic Textual Outcomes – Law & History Review
lawandhistoryreview.org
July 14, 2025 at 10:09 AM
Could parliamentary procedure be so complex that it confuses even those in power?
This intriguing paper by @laurenjarnach.bsky.social (shameless promotion for my wife's work) delves into the vital role of parliamentary procedure in democratic outcomes.
lawandhistoryreview.org/article/laur...
This intriguing paper by @laurenjarnach.bsky.social (shameless promotion for my wife's work) delves into the vital role of parliamentary procedure in democratic outcomes.
lawandhistoryreview.org/article/laur...
Reposted by Clemens Jarnach
After the Assembly: Constituting India is opening THIS WEEK (July 17) at the @soasgallery.bsky.social
The PACT team is launching its research on the Indian Constitution and teasing its digital database with an exhibition featuring documents, art, and films relating to the team's research.
The PACT team is launching its research on the Indian Constitution and teasing its digital database with an exhibition featuring documents, art, and films relating to the team's research.
After the Assembly: Constituting India
‘After the Assembly: Constituting India’ commemorates the 75th anniversary of the Constitution of India, the longest living constitution in the global South.
www.soas.ac.uk
July 14, 2025 at 10:06 AM
After the Assembly: Constituting India is opening THIS WEEK (July 17) at the @soasgallery.bsky.social
The PACT team is launching its research on the Indian Constitution and teasing its digital database with an exhibition featuring documents, art, and films relating to the team's research.
The PACT team is launching its research on the Indian Constitution and teasing its digital database with an exhibition featuring documents, art, and films relating to the team's research.
Reposted by Clemens Jarnach
My paper 'Negotiating the Arizona Constitution'—on the role parliamentary procedure plays in ensuring democratic textual outcomes and trust in governing texts—is out on the Docket @lawandhistrev.bsky.social today!
Lauren Davis Jarnach–Negotiating the Arizona Constitution: The Role of Parliamentary Procedure in Ensuring Democratic Textual Outcomes – Law & History Review
lawandhistoryreview.org
July 13, 2025 at 2:56 PM
My paper 'Negotiating the Arizona Constitution'—on the role parliamentary procedure plays in ensuring democratic textual outcomes and trust in governing texts—is out on the Docket @lawandhistrev.bsky.social today!
First time my research has been featured in a major UK newspaper!
It’s about Prince Andrew — you may have heard of him.
Please check it out: www.thetimes.com/uk/royal-fam...
Full details here if you're interested: giving-evidence.com/2025/07/12/p...
#PrinceAndrew #Royals #TheTimes
It’s about Prince Andrew — you may have heard of him.
Please check it out: www.thetimes.com/uk/royal-fam...
Full details here if you're interested: giving-evidence.com/2025/07/12/p...
#PrinceAndrew #Royals #TheTimes
July 12, 2025 at 2:24 PM
First time my research has been featured in a major UK newspaper!
It’s about Prince Andrew — you may have heard of him.
Please check it out: www.thetimes.com/uk/royal-fam...
Full details here if you're interested: giving-evidence.com/2025/07/12/p...
#PrinceAndrew #Royals #TheTimes
It’s about Prince Andrew — you may have heard of him.
Please check it out: www.thetimes.com/uk/royal-fam...
Full details here if you're interested: giving-evidence.com/2025/07/12/p...
#PrinceAndrew #Royals #TheTimes
Do Royals as patrons help charities raise money? We set out to test that using difference-in-differences analysis.
Our findings: Prince Andrew’s patronage had no detectable effect on charities’ revenue. Full details here 👉
Our findings: Prince Andrew’s patronage had no detectable effect on charities’ revenue. Full details here 👉
Prince Andrew - remember him? - was patron of many charities until he ‘stepped back’ from everything after his Newsnight interview.
Did he help his #charity patronees?
Nope: not according to new (complicated) analysis from Giving Evidence.
THREAD:
Did he help his #charity patronees?
Nope: not according to new (complicated) analysis from Giving Evidence.
THREAD:
July 12, 2025 at 1:45 PM
Do Royals as patrons help charities raise money? We set out to test that using difference-in-differences analysis.
Our findings: Prince Andrew’s patronage had no detectable effect on charities’ revenue. Full details here 👉
Our findings: Prince Andrew’s patronage had no detectable effect on charities’ revenue. Full details here 👉
Reposted by Clemens Jarnach
The Duke of York’s departure from his charities five years ago has had no overall effect on their income, a new report has revealed
Prince Andrew giving up patronage of charities had no impact
www.thetimes.com
July 11, 2025 at 6:17 PM
The Duke of York’s departure from his charities five years ago has had no overall effect on their income, a new report has revealed
With *Prince Andrew*'s step back, his charity patronages ended abruptly. We seized this rare 'natural experiment' to investigate if royal patronage measurably impacts charity revenue. Our findings are coming very soon: stay tuned!
The FBI has dropped its case against Prince Andrew: maybe he'll resume public duties. He was patron of loads of charities: Giving Evidence is publishing *very soon* research on whether that helped. Stay tuned.
www.giving-evidence.com/andrew
HT @clemensjarnach.bsky.social who did the heavy lifting.
www.giving-evidence.com/andrew
HT @clemensjarnach.bsky.social who did the heavy lifting.
Was Prince Andrew any good as a charity patron? We’re finding out
Do UK royal patrons help charities? Giving Evidence looked at this question in 2019/2020 and could find no evidence that they do – at least, not that they help to raise revenue. In other word…
www.giving-evidence.com
July 9, 2025 at 10:53 AM
With *Prince Andrew*'s step back, his charity patronages ended abruptly. We seized this rare 'natural experiment' to investigate if royal patronage measurably impacts charity revenue. Our findings are coming very soon: stay tuned!
Reposted by Clemens Jarnach
Germany gears up for returning museum-held objects to their country of origin.
Notice how this does not make the sky fall down etc etc.
Notice how this does not make the sky fall down etc etc.
Historical breakthrough for German colonial restitution policy: Under guidance of @diplo.de, museums in Berlin, Munich, Stuttgart & Bremen ready for „first wave“ of return to Cameroon.
@profdanhicks.bsky.social @kilderbenhauser.bsky.social @michmo.bsky.social @he-mel.bsky.social @rhoelzl.bsky.social
@profdanhicks.bsky.social @kilderbenhauser.bsky.social @michmo.bsky.social @he-mel.bsky.social @rhoelzl.bsky.social
July 3, 2025 at 10:46 PM
Germany gears up for returning museum-held objects to their country of origin.
Notice how this does not make the sky fall down etc etc.
Notice how this does not make the sky fall down etc etc.
German BSW voters definitely judge books by their cover. 📚Unsurprising, but still interesting: people are voting primarily for her, not the party’s policies. 🗳️
New research by @wurthmann.bsky.social & @sarahwagner.bsky.social (2025) on BSW voters. #GermanPolitics
New research by @wurthmann.bsky.social & @sarahwagner.bsky.social (2025) on BSW voters. #GermanPolitics
Our newest piece on BSW is now published. We show that when attitudes toward Wagenknecht come into the game, policies are no longer that meaningful in predicting behaviour. Personalisation in a personalised party! What a surprise! 😀
@sarahwagner.bsky.social
www.tandfonline.com/doi/epdf/10....
@sarahwagner.bsky.social
www.tandfonline.com/doi/epdf/10....
July 3, 2025 at 11:01 AM
German BSW voters definitely judge books by their cover. 📚Unsurprising, but still interesting: people are voting primarily for her, not the party’s policies. 🗳️
New research by @wurthmann.bsky.social & @sarahwagner.bsky.social (2025) on BSW voters. #GermanPolitics
New research by @wurthmann.bsky.social & @sarahwagner.bsky.social (2025) on BSW voters. #GermanPolitics
🔔 Thrilled to share some big news: It's official, I'm now Dr. Jarnach! 🎉 My Oxford DPhil is complete! The news about my dissertation passing examination came a couple of weeks ago, and it's finally sunk in. #PhDone #PhDLife #Oxford
@sociologyoxford.bsky.social
@ox.ac.uk @greentempleton.bsky.social
@sociologyoxford.bsky.social
@ox.ac.uk @greentempleton.bsky.social
June 27, 2025 at 1:37 PM
🔔 Thrilled to share some big news: It's official, I'm now Dr. Jarnach! 🎉 My Oxford DPhil is complete! The news about my dissertation passing examination came a couple of weeks ago, and it's finally sunk in. #PhDone #PhDLife #Oxford
@sociologyoxford.bsky.social
@ox.ac.uk @greentempleton.bsky.social
@sociologyoxford.bsky.social
@ox.ac.uk @greentempleton.bsky.social
Just finished my PhD on how online information influences voting behaviour. This NYT article "A.I. Is Starting to Wear Down Democracy" is a good read.
www.nytimes.com/2025/06/26/t...
www.nytimes.com/2025/06/26/t...
A.I. Is Starting to Wear Down Democracy
www.nytimes.com
June 26, 2025 at 11:27 AM
Just finished my PhD on how online information influences voting behaviour. This NYT article "A.I. Is Starting to Wear Down Democracy" is a good read.
www.nytimes.com/2025/06/26/t...
www.nytimes.com/2025/06/26/t...
🗳️ Germany’s 2025 Federal Election
1/ Gender divide at the ballot box:
Women leaned towards SPD, Greens, and the Die Linke, while men favoured CDU/CSU and AfD. Crucial questions: What drives young men towards the populist far-right? AND what drives young women to the left? #GermanyElection2025
1/ Gender divide at the ballot box:
Women leaned towards SPD, Greens, and the Die Linke, while men favoured CDU/CSU and AfD. Crucial questions: What drives young men towards the populist far-right? AND what drives young women to the left? #GermanyElection2025
February 24, 2025 at 1:17 PM
🗳️ Germany’s 2025 Federal Election
1/ Gender divide at the ballot box:
Women leaned towards SPD, Greens, and the Die Linke, while men favoured CDU/CSU and AfD. Crucial questions: What drives young men towards the populist far-right? AND what drives young women to the left? #GermanyElection2025
1/ Gender divide at the ballot box:
Women leaned towards SPD, Greens, and the Die Linke, while men favoured CDU/CSU and AfD. Crucial questions: What drives young men towards the populist far-right? AND what drives young women to the left? #GermanyElection2025
Reposted by Clemens Jarnach
NEW: updated long-run gap in voting between young men and women in Germany:
Gender divide continues to widen, but contrary to what is often assumed, young men continue to vote roughly in line with the overall population, while young women have swung sharply left.
www.ft.com/content/29fd...
Gender divide continues to widen, but contrary to what is often assumed, young men continue to vote roughly in line with the overall population, while young women have swung sharply left.
www.ft.com/content/29fd...
February 24, 2025 at 9:16 AM
NEW: updated long-run gap in voting between young men and women in Germany:
Gender divide continues to widen, but contrary to what is often assumed, young men continue to vote roughly in line with the overall population, while young women have swung sharply left.
www.ft.com/content/29fd...
Gender divide continues to widen, but contrary to what is often assumed, young men continue to vote roughly in line with the overall population, while young women have swung sharply left.
www.ft.com/content/29fd...
Reposted by Clemens Jarnach
Why does 25% AfD among young men spark a thousand "what is going on with young men?" posts yet Die Linke 34% among young women generates...nothing at all?
Yes, young men voting for the radical right is an important phenomenon. But so is young women going rad left *at even higher rates*.
Yes, young men voting for the radical right is an important phenomenon. But so is young women going rad left *at even higher rates*.
February 24, 2025 at 10:58 AM
Why does 25% AfD among young men spark a thousand "what is going on with young men?" posts yet Die Linke 34% among young women generates...nothing at all?
Yes, young men voting for the radical right is an important phenomenon. But so is young women going rad left *at even higher rates*.
Yes, young men voting for the radical right is an important phenomenon. But so is young women going rad left *at even higher rates*.
Reposted by Clemens Jarnach
NEW on our site
Our data shows that people are turning away from the news, with interest in news falling and news avoidance rising. A new piece by our researcher Craig T. Robertson explains why this is happening and what publishers can do about it
reutersinstitute.politics.ox.ac.uk/news/people-...
Our data shows that people are turning away from the news, with interest in news falling and news avoidance rising. A new piece by our researcher Craig T. Robertson explains why this is happening and what publishers can do about it
reutersinstitute.politics.ox.ac.uk/news/people-...
People are turning away from the news. Here’s why it may be happening
Our data shows a ten-year trend towards disengagement from online news, with interest in news falling and news avoidance rising.
reutersinstitute.politics.ox.ac.uk
February 21, 2025 at 12:02 PM
NEW on our site
Our data shows that people are turning away from the news, with interest in news falling and news avoidance rising. A new piece by our researcher Craig T. Robertson explains why this is happening and what publishers can do about it
reutersinstitute.politics.ox.ac.uk/news/people-...
Our data shows that people are turning away from the news, with interest in news falling and news avoidance rising. A new piece by our researcher Craig T. Robertson explains why this is happening and what publishers can do about it
reutersinstitute.politics.ox.ac.uk/news/people-...