Carl W. Brown, Jr.
@carlwbrownjr.bsky.social
iPoll Question-level Acquisitions Manager
Roper Center for Public Opinion Research at Cornell University
Roper Center for Public Opinion Research at Cornell University
Reposted by Carl W. Brown, Jr.
can repeat a little insight, as a treat
November 12, 2025 at 9:39 PM
can repeat a little insight, as a treat
...if it was really "artificial intelligence" it would be asking us the questions.
October 24, 2025 at 10:44 PM
...if it was really "artificial intelligence" it would be asking us the questions.
Reposted by Carl W. Brown, Jr.
do you know who struggled with ecological fallacies, the onceler
October 24, 2025 at 8:59 PM
do you know who struggled with ecological fallacies, the onceler
Reposted by Carl W. Brown, Jr.
you (normal): there's a new CBS/YouGov poll of NYC, I wonder what the results show
me (not normal) there's a new CBS/YouGov poll of NYC and they're incorporating RBS text-to-web along with panel
www.cbsnews.com/news/cbs-new...
me (not normal) there's a new CBS/YouGov poll of NYC and they're incorporating RBS text-to-web along with panel
www.cbsnews.com/news/cbs-new...
September 15, 2025 at 9:35 PM
you (normal): there's a new CBS/YouGov poll of NYC, I wonder what the results show
me (not normal) there's a new CBS/YouGov poll of NYC and they're incorporating RBS text-to-web along with panel
www.cbsnews.com/news/cbs-new...
me (not normal) there's a new CBS/YouGov poll of NYC and they're incorporating RBS text-to-web along with panel
www.cbsnews.com/news/cbs-new...
Reposted by Carl W. Brown, Jr.
Wowzers:
Note at the top of ARG's new release:
Note at the top of ARG's new release:
April 21, 2025 at 6:08 PM
Wowzers:
Note at the top of ARG's new release:
Note at the top of ARG's new release:
Wowzers:
Note at the top of ARG's new release:
Note at the top of ARG's new release:
April 21, 2025 at 6:08 PM
Wowzers:
Note at the top of ARG's new release:
Note at the top of ARG's new release:
Reposted by Carl W. Brown, Jr.
...early Babylonian polling is all in cuneiform, and they only poll on wedge issues.
April 9, 2025 at 12:27 AM
...early Babylonian polling is all in cuneiform, and they only poll on wedge issues.
...early Babylonian polling is all in cuneiform, and they only poll on wedge issues.
April 9, 2025 at 12:27 AM
...early Babylonian polling is all in cuneiform, and they only poll on wedge issues.
Reposted by Carl W. Brown, Jr.
On #MLKDay, we reflect on #PublicOpinion trends during the #CivilRights Movement and today. How has progress been perceived over the decades?
The Roper Center identifies and makes available all surveys of Black Americans in our #RoperiPoll search platform free to the public.
ropercenter.cornell....
The Roper Center identifies and makes available all surveys of Black Americans in our #RoperiPoll search platform free to the public.
ropercenter.cornell....
January 20, 2025 at 1:00 PM
On #MLKDay, we reflect on #PublicOpinion trends during the #CivilRights Movement and today. How has progress been perceived over the decades?
The Roper Center identifies and makes available all surveys of Black Americans in our #RoperiPoll search platform free to the public.
ropercenter.cornell....
The Roper Center identifies and makes available all surveys of Black Americans in our #RoperiPoll search platform free to the public.
ropercenter.cornell....
Reposted by Carl W. Brown, Jr.
How it started. How it’s going
January 9, 2025 at 12:56 AM
How it started. How it’s going
Reposted by Carl W. Brown, Jr.
There's never been a lot of evidence for "shy Trump voters" (in the sense of "take polls but hide their support"... nonresponse is a different issue), but this is one of those instances where you do see a possible desirability effect.
Others are qs asking about, eg, people's happiness or finances.
Others are qs asking about, eg, people's happiness or finances.
Another wrinkle in Americans' views about capital punishment is possible social desirability bias in surveys done on the phone with a live interviewer: "The public consistently expresses more support for the death penalty online than on the phone." www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
December 23, 2024 at 3:13 PM
There's never been a lot of evidence for "shy Trump voters" (in the sense of "take polls but hide their support"... nonresponse is a different issue), but this is one of those instances where you do see a possible desirability effect.
Others are qs asking about, eg, people's happiness or finances.
Others are qs asking about, eg, people's happiness or finances.
Reposted by Carl W. Brown, Jr.
Dorking out so hard in the Cornell archives right now. From NORC’s early newsletter “The Sampler”!
December 5, 2024 at 8:19 PM
Dorking out so hard in the Cornell archives right now. From NORC’s early newsletter “The Sampler”!
Reposted by Carl W. Brown, Jr.
Elmo Roper, our founder and one of the pioneers of modern polling, came to the same conclusion after 1960.
He helped invent market research and went back into it after a quarter-century of horse-race polling... not because of a big miss, that was 1948. 😁
www.politico.com/news/2024/11...
He helped invent market research and went back into it after a quarter-century of horse-race polling... not because of a big miss, that was 1948. 😁
www.politico.com/news/2024/11...
Ann Selzer leaving election polling after Iowa whiff
The legendary pollster is ending her relationship with the Des Moines Register, which dates back to 1997.
www.politico.com
November 18, 2024 at 2:43 AM
Elmo Roper, our founder and one of the pioneers of modern polling, came to the same conclusion after 1960.
He helped invent market research and went back into it after a quarter-century of horse-race polling... not because of a big miss, that was 1948. 😁
www.politico.com/news/2024/11...
He helped invent market research and went back into it after a quarter-century of horse-race polling... not because of a big miss, that was 1948. 😁
www.politico.com/news/2024/11...
Elmo Roper, our founder and one of the pioneers of modern polling, came to the same conclusion after 1960.
He helped invent market research and went back into it after a quarter-century of horse-race polling... not because of a big miss, that was 1948. 😁
www.politico.com/news/2024/11...
He helped invent market research and went back into it after a quarter-century of horse-race polling... not because of a big miss, that was 1948. 😁
www.politico.com/news/2024/11...
Ann Selzer leaving election polling after Iowa whiff
The legendary pollster is ending her relationship with the Des Moines Register, which dates back to 1997.
www.politico.com
November 18, 2024 at 2:43 AM
Elmo Roper, our founder and one of the pioneers of modern polling, came to the same conclusion after 1960.
He helped invent market research and went back into it after a quarter-century of horse-race polling... not because of a big miss, that was 1948. 😁
www.politico.com/news/2024/11...
He helped invent market research and went back into it after a quarter-century of horse-race polling... not because of a big miss, that was 1948. 😁
www.politico.com/news/2024/11...
Reposted by Carl W. Brown, Jr.
holiday by sample frame
halloween: address-based
christmas: list-based
april fool's: random digit dialing
thanksgiving: recontact (highly weighted)
st patrick's: river
NYE: snowball
halloween: address-based
christmas: list-based
april fool's: random digit dialing
thanksgiving: recontact (highly weighted)
st patrick's: river
NYE: snowball
October 31, 2024 at 1:48 PM
holiday by sample frame
halloween: address-based
christmas: list-based
april fool's: random digit dialing
thanksgiving: recontact (highly weighted)
st patrick's: river
NYE: snowball
halloween: address-based
christmas: list-based
april fool's: random digit dialing
thanksgiving: recontact (highly weighted)
st patrick's: river
NYE: snowball
Reposted by Carl W. Brown, Jr.
October 18, 2024 at 1:39 PM
Reposted by Carl W. Brown, Jr.
As a non-profit, we are grateful for the support of our member organizations. Please help us welcome our #NewMembers to #RoperiPoll: Citadel, The Military College of South Carolina, @unlincoln.bsky.social, & AdventHealth University!
October 4, 2024 at 1:00 PM
As a non-profit, we are grateful for the support of our member organizations. Please help us welcome our #NewMembers to #RoperiPoll: Citadel, The Military College of South Carolina, @unlincoln.bsky.social, & AdventHealth University!
Reposted by Carl W. Brown, Jr.
lo! propensity voters
October 1, 2024 at 11:09 PM
lo! propensity voters
Reposted by Carl W. Brown, Jr.
Thanks to partners Cornell Center for Social Sciences, Cornell Center for Data Science for Enterprise and Society, and the Cornell Office of the Vice President for Research and Innovation.
2/2
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September 25, 2024 at 1:31 PM
Thanks to partners Cornell Center for Social Sciences, Cornell Center for Data Science for Enterprise and Society, and the Cornell Office of the Vice President for Research and Innovation.
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Reposted by Carl W. Brown, Jr.
The Thought Summit on The Future of Survey Science concludes today on the Cornell campus. Leaders in the field and National Science Foundation (NSF) representatives are working to bridge the gaps between ideas, infrastructure, and collaboration.
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September 25, 2024 at 1:31 PM
The Thought Summit on The Future of Survey Science concludes today on the Cornell campus. Leaders in the field and National Science Foundation (NSF) representatives are working to bridge the gaps between ideas, infrastructure, and collaboration.
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Bluesky now has over 10 million users, and I was #976,275!
September 16, 2024 at 10:40 PM
Bluesky now has over 10 million users, and I was #976,275!
@aedwardslevy.bsky.social
...found the Trump-James Earl Jones connection.
...found the Trump-James Earl Jones connection.
September 11, 2024 at 2:05 AM
@aedwardslevy.bsky.social
...found the Trump-James Earl Jones connection.
...found the Trump-James Earl Jones connection.
Reposted by Carl W. Brown, Jr.
once again wondering whether everyone who thinks all polling is Bad would have preferred the discourse over the past few years without any quantitative way of demonstrating that, e.g., overturning Roe was consistently unpopular with most Americans
August 26, 2024 at 12:58 PM
once again wondering whether everyone who thinks all polling is Bad would have preferred the discourse over the past few years without any quantitative way of demonstrating that, e.g., overturning Roe was consistently unpopular with most Americans
Reposted by Carl W. Brown, Jr.
As Election Day gets closer and closer it is worth repeating @APStylebook's recommendation to always rigorously inspect a poll’s methodology when discussing or reporting its findings. For more on understanding polling, see our polling fundamentals page: https://bit.ly/3YQRWGO
August 26, 2024 at 1:00 PM
As Election Day gets closer and closer it is worth repeating @APStylebook's recommendation to always rigorously inspect a poll’s methodology when discussing or reporting its findings. For more on understanding polling, see our polling fundamentals page: https://bit.ly/3YQRWGO