Tsachy Mishal
@capitalobserver.bsky.social
Pinned
My stock of the year for 2025 is the health insurer $CI (latest closing price $281.86). They have a reliable, steady business model, that is more predictable than most of their peers. The entire industry has become less cyclical, but $CI is even less cyclical
How long would Bitcoin need to be flat/down for before we stop hearing about it all the time?
November 21, 2025 at 4:16 PM
How long would Bitcoin need to be flat/down for before we stop hearing about it all the time?
$CI led with this in their UBS presentation. It's a significant statement from a company with a 12% FCF yield. They have the cash to back up their statement
November 12, 2025 at 4:14 PM
$CI led with this in their UBS presentation. It's a significant statement from a company with a 12% FCF yield. They have the cash to back up their statement
In the next season of Fauda, Doron will attempt to do the impossible, rescue a value investor from himself
October 29, 2025 at 10:00 AM
In the next season of Fauda, Doron will attempt to do the impossible, rescue a value investor from himself
Reposted by Tsachy Mishal
October 13, 2025 at 6:54 PM
Russell 2000/ S&P 600
To be in the S&P 600 you have to be profitable. Recently, profitability is a liability
To be in the S&P 600 you have to be profitable. Recently, profitability is a liability
October 12, 2025 at 6:55 PM
Russell 2000/ S&P 600
To be in the S&P 600 you have to be profitable. Recently, profitability is a liability
To be in the S&P 600 you have to be profitable. Recently, profitability is a liability
I believe AI is a negative for tech companies that make money from ads
- There will be greater competition from new players like OpenAI
- AI is a massive additional cost, even in a world where they keep the same ad dollars they otherwise would have gotten
- There will be greater competition from new players like OpenAI
- AI is a massive additional cost, even in a world where they keep the same ad dollars they otherwise would have gotten
October 12, 2025 at 4:14 PM
I believe AI is a negative for tech companies that make money from ads
- There will be greater competition from new players like OpenAI
- AI is a massive additional cost, even in a world where they keep the same ad dollars they otherwise would have gotten
- There will be greater competition from new players like OpenAI
- AI is a massive additional cost, even in a world where they keep the same ad dollars they otherwise would have gotten
There are only 2 possible reasons the "ceasefire now" crowd isn't celebrating the ceasefire via Coleman Hughes
- They are more bothered about Trump getting credit than they are about the suffering in Gaza
- They were rooting for Hamas
- They are more bothered about Trump getting credit than they are about the suffering in Gaza
- They were rooting for Hamas
October 12, 2025 at 1:46 PM
There are only 2 possible reasons the "ceasefire now" crowd isn't celebrating the ceasefire via Coleman Hughes
- They are more bothered about Trump getting credit than they are about the suffering in Gaza
- They were rooting for Hamas
- They are more bothered about Trump getting credit than they are about the suffering in Gaza
- They were rooting for Hamas
Reposted by Tsachy Mishal
So, with luck and determination, we could get to relive the 2007/8 credit crisis and the 2000 dotcom bust at the same time. Don't let the naysayers tell you we can no longer do stuff.
October 10, 2025 at 8:57 AM
So, with luck and determination, we could get to relive the 2007/8 credit crisis and the 2000 dotcom bust at the same time. Don't let the naysayers tell you we can no longer do stuff.
What else could potato chips be made of? Mars grown potatoes?
Lay’s is America’s top-selling brand of potato chips. Its maker doesn’t think it has been clear enough to consumers the chips are made with farm-grown potatoes.
PepsiCo’s Plan to Boost Lay’s Sales: ‘Real Potatoes’
The soda and snacks giant is giving products a MAHA-era makeover with natural ingredients.
on.wsj.com
October 9, 2025 at 10:04 PM
What else could potato chips be made of? Mars grown potatoes?
Pretty amazing that there isn't a single post in my Bluesky feed about the peace deal, while my Twitter feed is 90% filled with Israel/Hamas. The tribalism is insane
October 9, 2025 at 1:10 AM
Pretty amazing that there isn't a single post in my Bluesky feed about the peace deal, while my Twitter feed is 90% filled with Israel/Hamas. The tribalism is insane
Reposted by Tsachy Mishal
Never forget...
October 6, 2025 at 6:47 PM
Never forget...
A DEI professor at a Canadian university thinks synagogues are fair game. She has since deleted her account. This is what the more educated people in the Free Palestine movement want to do to Jews. Never mind the common man
October 5, 2025 at 11:52 AM
A DEI professor at a Canadian university thinks synagogues are fair game. She has since deleted her account. This is what the more educated people in the Free Palestine movement want to do to Jews. Never mind the common man
Bill Clinton got Israel to agree to a two state solution. It has always been the Palestinians that cannot accept the existence of Israel
September 29, 2025 at 6:55 PM
Bill Clinton got Israel to agree to a two state solution. It has always been the Palestinians that cannot accept the existence of Israel
$NVDA found some loose change between the cushions
Nvidia, the world’s dominant maker of artificial intelligence chips, said on Thursday that it would invest $5 billion in its struggling rival, Intel, a deal that illustrates how booming demand for A.I. is reshaping the global technology industry.
Nvidia to Buy $5 Billion Stake in Intel, Giving Rival a Lifeline
The deal between the chipmakers, whose fortunes have diverged sharply, includes plans to collaborate on technology to power artificial intelligence.
nyti.ms
September 18, 2025 at 1:20 PM
$NVDA found some loose change between the cushions
Let's say OpenAI is wildly successful and this contract works out well for $ORCL. Why would OpenAI renew it, and give $ORCL great economics, once it has the financial strength to pay for it's own capex
September 11, 2025 at 12:24 AM
Let's say OpenAI is wildly successful and this contract works out well for $ORCL. Why would OpenAI renew it, and give $ORCL great economics, once it has the financial strength to pay for it's own capex
The better SSS for some clothing retailers has been inconsistent with what we are seeing in other parts of the consumer economy. Wondering if the end of de minimus took some biz away from the likes of Temu/Shein & gave it to US retailers
September 7, 2025 at 1:30 PM
The better SSS for some clothing retailers has been inconsistent with what we are seeing in other parts of the consumer economy. Wondering if the end of de minimus took some biz away from the likes of Temu/Shein & gave it to US retailers
The better SSS for some clothing retailers has been inconsistent with what we are seeing in other parts of the consumer economy. Wondering if the end of de minimus took some biz away from the likes of Temu/Shein & gave it to US retailers
September 7, 2025 at 1:28 PM
The better SSS for some clothing retailers has been inconsistent with what we are seeing in other parts of the consumer economy. Wondering if the end of de minimus took some biz away from the likes of Temu/Shein & gave it to US retailers
Started a position in $CHTR as they begin winding down their multi year elevated capex plans and the stock trades down to near multi year lows. $CHTR is currently a mid double digit FCF yield and should be closer to 20% once the elevated capex is reduced in a year or two
September 5, 2025 at 5:26 PM
Started a position in $CHTR as they begin winding down their multi year elevated capex plans and the stock trades down to near multi year lows. $CHTR is currently a mid double digit FCF yield and should be closer to 20% once the elevated capex is reduced in a year or two
Where is that buyback money coming from?
August 19, 2025 at 6:54 PM
Where is that buyback money coming from?
Where are we in the cycle when Bitty is giving stock market advice www.youtube.com/watch?v=wU1l...
Joey Bada$$ Talks New Project, Coming For The West Coast, The 'Big 3', Fatherhood, Therapy + More
YouTube video by Breakfast Club Power 105.1 FM
www.youtube.com
August 19, 2025 at 6:50 PM
Where are we in the cycle when Bitty is giving stock market advice www.youtube.com/watch?v=wU1l...
Citron...LOL
Hindsight bias at it's best
Hindsight bias at it's best
“A sizable rotation” out of momentum/growth/ tech, says Vital Knowledge, after “red flags were flown over the past few days.”
1. $CRWV earnings
2. $CSCO guidance
3. $AMAT guidance
4. Citron, on $PLTR
5. $META AI restructuring
1. $CRWV earnings
2. $CSCO guidance
3. $AMAT guidance
4. Citron, on $PLTR
5. $META AI restructuring
August 19, 2025 at 6:41 PM
Citron...LOL
Hindsight bias at it's best
Hindsight bias at it's best
Headlines I love to see. If this doesn't say load up the truck, I don't know what does
Health Insurers Are Becoming Chronically Uninvestible -- Heard on the Street -- WSJ
Health Insurers Are Becoming Chronically Uninvestible -- Heard on the Street -- WSJ
July 10, 2025 at 2:56 PM
Headlines I love to see. If this doesn't say load up the truck, I don't know what does
Health Insurers Are Becoming Chronically Uninvestible -- Heard on the Street -- WSJ
Health Insurers Are Becoming Chronically Uninvestible -- Heard on the Street -- WSJ
For anyone that that owns $CRWV (not as a trade), it is an absolute no brainer to do a stock replacement with $CORZ. The problem is that anybody who owns $CRWV, as an investment, probably can't do the math to figure this out
July 7, 2025 at 2:27 PM
For anyone that that owns $CRWV (not as a trade), it is an absolute no brainer to do a stock replacement with $CORZ. The problem is that anybody who owns $CRWV, as an investment, probably can't do the math to figure this out
Reposted by Tsachy Mishal
July has historically seen the best 1st day of any month. Performance from 1989 - 2024 can be seen in the attached chart. Note the last 14 years in a row have closed higher!
July 1, 2025 at 12:30 PM
July has historically seen the best 1st day of any month. Performance from 1989 - 2024 can be seen in the attached chart. Note the last 14 years in a row have closed higher!
$ELV is trading at less than 10X 2026 estimates. They do have some risk from tougher Medicare rules. If the management is flexible & changes it's capital allocation priorities from acquisitions to buybacks would be a great buy. Even if you zeroed out Medicare profits the shares would still be cheap
June 25, 2025 at 1:24 PM
$ELV is trading at less than 10X 2026 estimates. They do have some risk from tougher Medicare rules. If the management is flexible & changes it's capital allocation priorities from acquisitions to buybacks would be a great buy. Even if you zeroed out Medicare profits the shares would still be cheap