Caleb Weiss
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calebweiss.bsky.social
Caleb Weiss
@calebweiss.bsky.social
Defections Program Lead for Uganda at Bridgeway Foundation. Kampala-based. Editor @LongWarJournal. Focused on jihadism and political violence in Africa.
Looks like ISCAP (aka ADF) attempted to conduct a suicide bombing today just south of Kampala, targeting congregants at today's #Uganda Martyrs' Day celebrations. The bomber - a woman previously known to security - and her boda driver were the only casualties.
June 3, 2025 at 3:47 PM
Evergreen tweet. Macawisley have been effective when used properly, but there is a huge looming question over their long-term security implications given how often clans within this wider mobilization turn their guns on each other.
April 15, 2025 at 10:43 PM
Missed this at the time, but it is important to note that the reported incident that ISCAP beheaded 70 Christians in a church is likely fake news. ISCAP still beheads or kills dozens of Congolese Christians a month, however, which certainly gets hardly any headlines so the wider point here is valid.
Central Africa | The Islamic State’s Central Africa Province (ISCAP) has escalated attacks in the DRC, with 70 Christians beheaded in Mayba. UN efforts to verify the atrocity face delays as the region is destabilized by M23 rebels, linked to Rwanda. Jihadist groups expand across Sub-Saharan Africa.
Why is the beheading of Christians not making headlines?
The Congolese chapter of Islamic State has a ruthless way of stopping outsiders reporting their presence to the authorities. Under the edicts of their founder, Jamil Mukulu, who once lived as a cleric in London, anyone who strays across them in their forest hideouts should be killed on sight. “Slaughter him or her, behead them immediately,” Mukulu once commanded. “Never give it a second thought, do not hesitate.” His acolytes take him at his word, even when it’s not just one hapless villager who runs into them, but dozens. Last month, they beheaded seventy Christians in Mayba in the eastern Congo, according to the Catholic charity Aid to the Church in Need, which campaigns on behalf of persecuted Christians worldwide. The charity said the corpses of the victims, including women, children and elderly, were dumped in a nearby evangelical church. Even in a world accustomed to IS horrors, such atrocities would normally make headlines, as they used to in IS’s old killing fields in Syria and Iraq. Not so when they happen in the Congo, where violence has long been the norm. There are so many different armed groups that even the most diligent foreign editor struggles to make sense of it. A three-sided civil war is hard enough to explain. A 120-sided one? Forget it. The only attention the murdered Christians have had in Britain is via the Catholic peer Lord Alton of Liverpool. “What are we doing to confirm those reports?” he asked the Upper House. “Have we raised this with the International Criminal Court and the African Union to ensure that those responsible for this terrible atrocity are brought to justice?” His questions are unlikely to get satisfactory answers. While another Christian charity, Open Doors UK, is “100 percent confident” that the incident occurred, Monusco, the Congo’s UN peacekeeping force, is still trying to confirm it a month later. The alleged culprits, who act under the banner of Islamic State’s Central Africa Province, have vanished into the bush. And even if Monusco knew where they were, it has bigger threats to worry about. In January, the Rwandan-backed M23 rebel group launched a brazen offensive in the eastern DRC, capturing the regional capital, Goma, and sparking fighting that has killed 3,000 civilians and thirteen UN peacekeepers, and forced nearly half a million to flee their homes. The black IS flag flutters over trouble­spots across the region, from Somalia and Mozambique to Mali and Niger It is in such anarchy that groups such as IS, which have failed to regain their strongholds in the Middle East, now see a future. A decade ago, the group’s only significant presence in sub-Saharan Africa was in Nigeria, where Boko Haram pledged fealty. Now the black IS flag flutters over trouble spots across the region, from Somalia and gas-rich northern Mozambique to the coup-ridden Sahel nations of Mali, Burkina Faso and Niger. Ever since the beginning of the War on Terror, security officials have warned that Africa’s impoverished central belt — home to nearly a dozen failed states and much of the “bottom billion” of the world’s population, many of them Muslim — could become jihadism’s last redoubt. With Donald Trump abandoning America’s role as world policeman, and Europe pre-occupied with its own security challenges, that seems more probable than ever. Congo’s jihadists started life as a militant Islamist sect in neighboring Uganda in the 1990s, operating under the innocuous name of Allied Democratic Forces (ADF). They were funded by the Congolese dictator Mobutu Sese Seko and Sudan’s Omar al-Bashir, to be pawns in regional mischief-making. Clashes with Ugandan troops then forced the ADF over the border into eastern Congo, where it embraced full-blown jihadism and is now — despite stiff competition — the most violent of the region’s armed groups. Its founder, Mukulu, was born a Christian, David Steven, but converted to radical Islam and traveled to Sudan, where he is thought to have met Osama bin Laden. In 2010, the foreign office launched an investigation into UN claims that he was raising funds for the group while working in London. Since 2015, he has been in jail in Uganda, awaiting trial on terrorism charges, but his group has gone from strength to strength, with up to 2,000 followers. Like Boko Haram, it recruits and kidnaps child soldiers and sees schools as targets for headline-grabbing atrocities. Death class Despite the hopes of Lord Alton, it is unlikely that the ADF’s henchmen will ever face justice. In Nigeria and Somalia, Islamist militants are chased — with limited effectiveness — by western-backed government forces. In the Sahel, they have to contend with Russian-backed Wagner mercenaries. But in the eastern Congo, UN and Congolese government forces have their hands full dealing with the chaos caused by the M23 incursion. The M23 — widely seen as a proxy force for Rwandan leader Paul Kagame — claims to be chasing Hutu genocidaires who fled into eastern Congo after slaughtering half a million Tutsis in 1994. Most analysts, though, think that Kagame is using this as cover for a landgrab on the eastern Congo’s mineral assets, which include rare earth deposits. Will Brown, a senior policy fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations, likens M23 to Vladimir Putin’s “Little Green Men” who took Crimea in 2014. There, though, the comparison ends. For much as the West disapproves of M23, there is a limit to how much they want to alienate Kagame. While activists criticize his human rights record, Rwanda has prospered under his rule. In contrast to many of its neighbors, aid has been spent well, corruption tamed and governance improved. Rwanda’s battle-hardened army is also highly capable and has been helping with counter-insurgency operations in the Central African Republic, Benin and Mozambique, to name but a few. Kagame is increasingly seen as the region’s policeman, for better or worse. All of this means the West has little leverage over Rwanda as it stirs chaos in the eastern DRC, beyond a few threats of sanctions — most of which will seem even weaker given America’s growing rift with Europe. A new war in the Congo may be just the first of many across Africa — and for every strongman like Kagame flexing his muscles, there will be an IS franchise wielding their machetes. The post Why is the beheading of Christians not making headlines? appeared first on The Spectator World.
thespectator.com
April 15, 2025 at 2:59 AM
1. Some numbers on Islamic State Central Africa Province #Congo operational claims and propaganda releases in 2024:

292 total claims - the highest yearly total. For comparison, 2023 just recorded 126, while 2022 had 156. Dec. 2024 the highest, with 42 claims; May had 41.
January 11, 2025 at 6:59 PM
Latest at LongWarJournal: AQAP gave significant praise to Shabaab for recent operations in Somalia and for expanding the jihad in wider East Africa. Just another data point for the mutual support and admiration between the two AQ branches. www.longwarjournal.org/archives/202...
Analysis: AQAP praises Shabaab’s activities in East Africa
In the latest issue of its Sada al-Malahem magazine, Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) heaped significant praise on recent operations conducted by Shabaab, Al Qaeda’s branch in East Africa. The...
www.longwarjournal.org
December 3, 2024 at 3:08 PM
The Islamic State has since claimed this. Worrying that ISCAP is again returning to areas it was previously driven out of, highlighting its highly adaptable nature.
December 3, 2024 at 1:50 PM
Reposted by Caleb Weiss
Ivory Coast confirms arrest of six suspected members of the Islamic State group medafricatimes.com/37582-ivory-...
Ivory Coast confirms arrest of six suspected members of the Islamic State group – Medafrica Times
medafricatimes.com
November 26, 2024 at 2:59 PM
Reposted by Caleb Weiss
Might be useful ...

African Jihadist Research Starter Pack

(if I accidentally missed anyone for some reason, please drop me line)

go.bsky.app/FD75pM7
November 23, 2024 at 9:37 PM
Also included in the new UN report on Somalia is that there is still no evidence for the rumors of infighting between Shabaab's emir, Ahmed Diriye (Abu Ubaidah), and one of its senior most officials Mahad Karate. In fact, it notes Karate is still a "close confidante" of Diriye.
November 23, 2024 at 6:25 PM
Reposted by Caleb Weiss
All of this very much mirrors what I wrote about IS Somalia back in September ctc.westpoint.edu/islamic-stat...
November 20, 2024 at 11:47 AM
All of this very much mirrors what I wrote about IS Somalia back in September ctc.westpoint.edu/islamic-stat...
November 20, 2024 at 11:47 AM
Authorities in Congo want to create a "prison intelligence service." This is likely needed given the spate of prison breaks in the country. And specifically for ISCAP/ADF, would potentially help dismantle its expansive prison networks in both the east and in Kinshasa. actualite.cd/2024/11/18/r...
RDC : Les États généraux de la justice recommandent un service de renseignement pénitentiaire pour lutter contre les réseaux criminels en prison
Lors des États généraux de la justice en RDC, la création d’un service de renseignement pénitentiaire a été proposée pour répondre aux défis croissants posés par les réseaux criminels opérant à partir...
actualite.cd
November 18, 2024 at 3:06 PM
La Fondation Bridgeway apporte son assistance humanitaire aux 118 ex-otages des ADF à Bunia www.radiookapi.net/2024/11/17/a...
La Fondation Bridgeway apporte son assistance humanitaire aux 118 ex-otages des ADF à Bunia
La Fondation Bridgeway a remis samedi 16 novembre des produits vivriers et non-vivriers aux 118 ex-otages des rebelles des ADF, regroupés à Diango dans la périphérie de Bunia. Ces personnes liberées d...
www.radiookapi.net
November 18, 2024 at 9:37 AM
One of my biggest pet peeves is outlets or people calling groups clearly within a wider group/hierarchical apparatus as “linked,” instead of its appropriate designation as that group’s regional wing. Also see Shabaab being called “AQ-linked.” ADF = ISCAP, as Shabaab is the rep for AQ East Africa.
November 17, 2024 at 7:11 AM
As the Islamic State’s Central Africa Province is pushing further into newer areas of Congo’s Ituri Province, it has clashed with the FRPI militia in areas the latter effectively controls. Locals are now asking the Congolese military to also intervene www.radiookapi.net/2024/11/10/a...
Confrontés à la menace des ADF, les habitants de Walendu-Bindi (Ituri) appellent au déploiement des FARDC
L'absence des Forces armées de la République démocratique du Congo (FARDC) dans six groupements de Walendu-Bindi, au sud du territoire d’Irumu en Ituri, suscite une vive inquiétude parmi la population...
www.radiookapi.net
November 13, 2024 at 6:21 PM
Reposted by Caleb Weiss
Starter packs everywhere, we also have one. Me and Pieter @p-vanostaeyen.bsky.social have decided to create a pack with people delving into extremities. Mainly jihad, but only only. The list will be updated once more folks appear here from the Devil app.
go.bsky.app/Re1A5NG
November 13, 2024 at 2:56 PM
For the third time since August, the Islamic State has claimed another dubious attack inside #Uganda. This time stating it killed 4 and freed a prisoner in Kyankwanzi District. Local sources have again confirmed this is false - and the lack of any local reporting suggests so too.
November 8, 2024 at 8:48 PM