Brian Fremeau
@bcfremeau.bsky.social
College football possession efficiency, FEI ratings, and data visualization enthusiast. Post an interesting chart, I'm probably going to like it. Post a college football dataviz, hello new best friend.
https://www.bcftoys.com
https://www.bcftoys.com
Pinned
Brian Fremeau
@bcfremeau.bsky.social
· Jul 31
We’re back and (hopefully) better than ever. Let me know if anything on the relaunched site is wonky or anything, and let’s get the 2025 college football data season rolling: bcftoys.com
There were two point-after attempts returned for 2-point defensive scores in the FBS regular season (753 games).
There were three point-after attempts returned for 2-point defensive scores in the FBS bowl season (35 games).
There were three point-after attempts returned for 2-point defensive scores in the FBS bowl season (35 games).
January 3, 2026 at 2:22 PM
There were two point-after attempts returned for 2-point defensive scores in the FBS regular season (753 games).
There were three point-after attempts returned for 2-point defensive scores in the FBS bowl season (35 games).
There were three point-after attempts returned for 2-point defensive scores in the FBS bowl season (35 games).
First final four of the CFP era that won’t include Ohio State, Alabama, or Georgia.
January 2, 2026 at 4:54 AM
First final four of the CFP era that won’t include Ohio State, Alabama, or Georgia.
When they tell you who they are, believe them.
January 1, 2026 at 11:13 PM
When they tell you who they are, believe them.
That 16-play, 84-yard field goal drive by Indiana was the longest (in terms of number of plays) against Alabama this season.
January 1, 2026 at 9:43 PM
That 16-play, 84-yard field goal drive by Indiana was the longest (in terms of number of plays) against Alabama this season.
Coming into the game, Texas Tech led the nation this season starting non-garbage drives on average *11.4 yards closer* to the end zone than their opponents.
Through three quarters today, Tech's drives on average started *25.3 yards further* from the end zone than Oregon's.
Through three quarters today, Tech's drives on average started *25.3 yards further* from the end zone than Oregon's.
January 1, 2026 at 7:44 PM
Coming into the game, Texas Tech led the nation this season starting non-garbage drives on average *11.4 yards closer* to the end zone than their opponents.
Through three quarters today, Tech's drives on average started *25.3 yards further* from the end zone than Oregon's.
Through three quarters today, Tech's drives on average started *25.3 yards further* from the end zone than Oregon's.
Had no idea that punting across the line of scrimmage is by far the most catastrophic penalty yardage-wise in football. 50+ yards for harmless boneheadedness is pretty steep.
December 31, 2025 at 6:26 PM
Had no idea that punting across the line of scrimmage is by far the most catastrophic penalty yardage-wise in football. 50+ yards for harmless boneheadedness is pretty steep.
Tennessee's offense didn't see the field over the final 11:40 of the game. Vols had a kickoff return touchdown sandwiched between 12- and 13-play Illinois field goal drives.
December 31, 2025 at 2:06 AM
Tennessee's offense didn't see the field over the final 11:40 of the game. Vols had a kickoff return touchdown sandwiched between 12- and 13-play Illinois field goal drives.
FEI ratings and supporting metrics are updated through Week 18 (last week's bowls): bcftoys.com/2025-fei
Game projections for this week's bowls and CFP quarterfinal games: bcftoys.com/2025-gp
Game projections for this week's bowls and CFP quarterfinal games: bcftoys.com/2025-gp
December 29, 2025 at 1:03 PM
FEI ratings and supporting metrics are updated through Week 18 (last week's bowls): bcftoys.com/2025-fei
Game projections for this week's bowls and CFP quarterfinal games: bcftoys.com/2025-gp
Game projections for this week's bowls and CFP quarterfinal games: bcftoys.com/2025-gp
…who did NOT die
December 28, 2025 at 1:34 AM
…who did NOT die
I don't know what it's called, but I think I just saw the opposite of "ball don't lie" in the Pitt/ECU game.
December 27, 2025 at 6:25 PM
I don't know what it's called, but I think I just saw the opposite of "ball don't lie" in the Pitt/ECU game.
I mean to post a screen shot lol not a video
December 24, 2025 at 12:25 AM
FEI ratings and supporting metrics are updated through Week 17 (last week's bowls and CFP 1st Round games): bcftoys.com/2025-fei
Game projections for this week's bowls: bcftoys.com/2025-gp
Game projections for this week's bowls: bcftoys.com/2025-gp
December 22, 2025 at 12:56 PM
FEI ratings and supporting metrics are updated through Week 17 (last week's bowls and CFP 1st Round games): bcftoys.com/2025-fei
Game projections for this week's bowls: bcftoys.com/2025-gp
Game projections for this week's bowls: bcftoys.com/2025-gp
Watching playoff football
I can't go to a bad movie by myself. What, am I gonna make sarcastic remarks to strangers? / S02E11 The Chinese Restaurant
December 20, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Watching playoff football
Has the "Field Goal Range" line ever been less useful in a broadcast than in this A&M/Miami game?
December 20, 2025 at 7:02 PM
Has the "Field Goal Range" line ever been less useful in a broadcast than in this A&M/Miami game?
Game total unders are 14-0 since rivalry weekend
9-0 in Championship Week
2-0 in Week 16 (Army/Navy and UW/Boise)
3-0 in Week 17 bowls through 12/17
9-0 in Championship Week
2-0 in Week 16 (Army/Navy and UW/Boise)
3-0 in Week 17 bowls through 12/17
Game total unders were 9-0 in championship week
Game total unders are 6-0 in championship week so far.
December 18, 2025 at 3:37 PM
Game total unders are 14-0 since rivalry weekend
9-0 in Championship Week
2-0 in Week 16 (Army/Navy and UW/Boise)
3-0 in Week 17 bowls through 12/17
9-0 in Championship Week
2-0 in Week 16 (Army/Navy and UW/Boise)
3-0 in Week 17 bowls through 12/17
Reposted by Brian Fremeau
Weekly FEI ratings progressions chart for the 2025 CFP field, and weekly ratings progressions for every team: bcftoys.com/2025-wfei
(Preseason projections progress from 100% to 0% weight over the course of the season).
(Preseason projections progress from 100% to 0% weight over the course of the season).
December 16, 2025 at 12:33 PM
Weekly FEI ratings progressions chart for the 2025 CFP field, and weekly ratings progressions for every team: bcftoys.com/2025-wfei
(Preseason projections progress from 100% to 0% weight over the course of the season).
(Preseason projections progress from 100% to 0% weight over the course of the season).
Weekly FEI ratings progressions chart for the 2025 CFP field, and weekly ratings progressions for every team: bcftoys.com/2025-wfei
(Preseason projections progress from 100% to 0% weight over the course of the season).
(Preseason projections progress from 100% to 0% weight over the course of the season).
December 16, 2025 at 12:33 PM
Weekly FEI ratings progressions chart for the 2025 CFP field, and weekly ratings progressions for every team: bcftoys.com/2025-wfei
(Preseason projections progress from 100% to 0% weight over the course of the season).
(Preseason projections progress from 100% to 0% weight over the course of the season).
FEI ratings and supporting metrics are updated through Week 16 (Army/Navy, UW/Boise) results: bcftoys.com/2025-fei
Game projections for this week's bowls and the first round CFP matchups (two big projected margins, two *very* small projected margins): bcftoys.com/2025-gp
Game projections for this week's bowls and the first round CFP matchups (two big projected margins, two *very* small projected margins): bcftoys.com/2025-gp
December 15, 2025 at 1:26 PM
FEI ratings and supporting metrics are updated through Week 16 (Army/Navy, UW/Boise) results: bcftoys.com/2025-fei
Game projections for this week's bowls and the first round CFP matchups (two big projected margins, two *very* small projected margins): bcftoys.com/2025-gp
Game projections for this week's bowls and the first round CFP matchups (two big projected margins, two *very* small projected margins): bcftoys.com/2025-gp
Did Navy just punch its ticket to the CFP by scoring on 4th-and-goal to take the lead against its rival?
December 13, 2025 at 10:55 PM
Did Navy just punch its ticket to the CFP by scoring on 4th-and-goal to take the lead against its rival?
Highlighted by @heycg.bsky.social in his terrific substack newsletter, the NCAA publishes the "nitty gritty" data that every selection committee it oversees uses in its process: stats.ncaa.org/selection_ra...
Why doesn't the CFP do the same?
Why doesn't the CFP do the same?
stats.ncaa.org
December 12, 2025 at 6:43 PM
Highlighted by @heycg.bsky.social in his terrific substack newsletter, the NCAA publishes the "nitty gritty" data that every selection committee it oversees uses in its process: stats.ncaa.org/selection_ra...
Why doesn't the CFP do the same?
Why doesn't the CFP do the same?
Reposted by Brian Fremeau
Playing with some different ways to visualize game performances versus game outcomes, feedback always welcome.
Chart data on top informs FEI/OFEI/DFEI ratings, chart data on the bottom informs EWD/GWD/AWD data.
Note this is a 2024 team's data, if you're wondering. Any guesses?
Chart data on top informs FEI/OFEI/DFEI ratings, chart data on the bottom informs EWD/GWD/AWD data.
Note this is a 2024 team's data, if you're wondering. Any guesses?
December 12, 2025 at 3:32 AM
Playing with some different ways to visualize game performances versus game outcomes, feedback always welcome.
Chart data on top informs FEI/OFEI/DFEI ratings, chart data on the bottom informs EWD/GWD/AWD data.
Note this is a 2024 team's data, if you're wondering. Any guesses?
Chart data on top informs FEI/OFEI/DFEI ratings, chart data on the bottom informs EWD/GWD/AWD data.
Note this is a 2024 team's data, if you're wondering. Any guesses?
Playing with some different ways to visualize game performances versus game outcomes, feedback always welcome.
Chart data on top informs FEI/OFEI/DFEI ratings, chart data on the bottom informs EWD/GWD/AWD data.
Note this is a 2024 team's data, if you're wondering. Any guesses?
Chart data on top informs FEI/OFEI/DFEI ratings, chart data on the bottom informs EWD/GWD/AWD data.
Note this is a 2024 team's data, if you're wondering. Any guesses?
December 12, 2025 at 3:32 AM
Playing with some different ways to visualize game performances versus game outcomes, feedback always welcome.
Chart data on top informs FEI/OFEI/DFEI ratings, chart data on the bottom informs EWD/GWD/AWD data.
Note this is a 2024 team's data, if you're wondering. Any guesses?
Chart data on top informs FEI/OFEI/DFEI ratings, chart data on the bottom informs EWD/GWD/AWD data.
Note this is a 2024 team's data, if you're wondering. Any guesses?
I wouldn’t recommend selecting teams based exclusively on a data output like game rating averages, or even a blended one with other good metrics.
I *would* recommend using well designed dashboards with all the relevant data to support informed discussions and team selections.
I *would* recommend using well designed dashboards with all the relevant data to support informed discussions and team selections.
FEI Game Ratings (opponent-adjusted single-game possession efficiency) comparison of the Last Four In and First Four Out of the 2025 CFP at-large field bcftoys.com/2025-gr
December 8, 2025 at 1:56 PM
I wouldn’t recommend selecting teams based exclusively on a data output like game rating averages, or even a blended one with other good metrics.
I *would* recommend using well designed dashboards with all the relevant data to support informed discussions and team selections.
I *would* recommend using well designed dashboards with all the relevant data to support informed discussions and team selections.
FEI Game Ratings (opponent-adjusted single-game possession efficiency) comparison of the Last Four In and First Four Out of the 2025 CFP at-large field bcftoys.com/2025-gr
December 8, 2025 at 11:48 AM
FEI Game Ratings (opponent-adjusted single-game possession efficiency) comparison of the Last Four In and First Four Out of the 2025 CFP at-large field bcftoys.com/2025-gr
Housekeeping note: As with last season, I plan on updating FEI ratings weekly through the postseason (i.e. Week 16 ratings after next weekend's games, Week 17 ratings after the CFP first round, etc).
December 7, 2025 at 10:12 PM
Housekeeping note: As with last season, I plan on updating FEI ratings weekly through the postseason (i.e. Week 16 ratings after next weekend's games, Week 17 ratings after the CFP first round, etc).