Annie Duke
@annieduke.com
Speaker/writer/student of decision science. New book #QUIT out now! Author of #ThinkinginBets & #HowToDecide. I used to play poker. Navigating uncertainty.
Reposted by Annie Duke
Games help us understand life, @annieduke.com tells @jennygrankin.bsky.social—the best games involve the two things that characterize life and provide the context for the decisions we make—skill, and luck:
buff.ly/yMQsF7u
buff.ly/yMQsF7u
August 11, 2025 at 5:53 AM
Games help us understand life, @annieduke.com tells @jennygrankin.bsky.social—the best games involve the two things that characterize life and provide the context for the decisions we make—skill, and luck:
buff.ly/yMQsF7u
buff.ly/yMQsF7u
Reposted by Annie Duke
Ever wish you could hack #DecisionMaking?
Expert @annieduke.com shares practical and powerful strategies for making better choices for a better life! Her @psychologytoday.com interview starts here: www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/much... #Thinking #SelfHelp #CognitiveScience #Success @AllDecisionEd
Expert @annieduke.com shares practical and powerful strategies for making better choices for a better life! Her @psychologytoday.com interview starts here: www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/much... #Thinking #SelfHelp #CognitiveScience #Success @AllDecisionEd
August 15, 2025 at 4:19 AM
Ever wish you could hack #DecisionMaking?
Expert @annieduke.com shares practical and powerful strategies for making better choices for a better life! Her @psychologytoday.com interview starts here: www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/much... #Thinking #SelfHelp #CognitiveScience #Success @AllDecisionEd
Expert @annieduke.com shares practical and powerful strategies for making better choices for a better life! Her @psychologytoday.com interview starts here: www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/much... #Thinking #SelfHelp #CognitiveScience #Success @AllDecisionEd
Reposted by Annie Duke
After every decision we make, we have an opportunity to learn how we can reduce uncertainty when making future decisions.
Great insight by @annieduke.com in conversation with @jennygrankin.bsky.social:
buff.ly/m8HslTO
Great insight by @annieduke.com in conversation with @jennygrankin.bsky.social:
buff.ly/m8HslTO
August 18, 2025 at 5:53 AM
After every decision we make, we have an opportunity to learn how we can reduce uncertainty when making future decisions.
Great insight by @annieduke.com in conversation with @jennygrankin.bsky.social:
buff.ly/m8HslTO
Great insight by @annieduke.com in conversation with @jennygrankin.bsky.social:
buff.ly/m8HslTO
Reposted by Annie Duke
It’s VITAL we teach students 🎓 to make quality decisions.🧠 Learn more in this powerful @psychtoday.bsky.social interview 🎙️with scientist+pro @annieduke.com ♠️: www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/much... ...& from her nonprofit @AllDecisionEd (loaded with resources & support)!
#TellEWA #EdChat
#TellEWA #EdChat
August 19, 2025 at 7:56 PM
It’s VITAL we teach students 🎓 to make quality decisions.🧠 Learn more in this powerful @psychtoday.bsky.social interview 🎙️with scientist+pro @annieduke.com ♠️: www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/much... ...& from her nonprofit @AllDecisionEd (loaded with resources & support)!
#TellEWA #EdChat
#TellEWA #EdChat
Reposted by Annie Duke
Persistence is not always a virtue.
A good heuristic: when you consider quitting is likely the point at which you should quit, @annieduke.com tells @jennygrankin.bsky.social:
buff.ly/Q43aQQ4
A good heuristic: when you consider quitting is likely the point at which you should quit, @annieduke.com tells @jennygrankin.bsky.social:
buff.ly/Q43aQQ4
August 22, 2025 at 5:52 AM
Persistence is not always a virtue.
A good heuristic: when you consider quitting is likely the point at which you should quit, @annieduke.com tells @jennygrankin.bsky.social:
buff.ly/Q43aQQ4
A good heuristic: when you consider quitting is likely the point at which you should quit, @annieduke.com tells @jennygrankin.bsky.social:
buff.ly/Q43aQQ4
Reposted by Annie Duke
“For something as important as decision making, we spend remarkably little time teaching people how to do it.”
Matt Grawitch’s latest post builds on @annieduke.com’s framework, suggesting it embraces more explicitly real life emotion, complexity and change:
buff.ly/NJECv7R
Matt Grawitch’s latest post builds on @annieduke.com’s framework, suggesting it embraces more explicitly real life emotion, complexity and change:
buff.ly/NJECv7R
September 2, 2025 at 10:35 AM
“For something as important as decision making, we spend remarkably little time teaching people how to do it.”
Matt Grawitch’s latest post builds on @annieduke.com’s framework, suggesting it embraces more explicitly real life emotion, complexity and change:
buff.ly/NJECv7R
Matt Grawitch’s latest post builds on @annieduke.com’s framework, suggesting it embraces more explicitly real life emotion, complexity and change:
buff.ly/NJECv7R
Reposted by Annie Duke
Thinking about quitting? 🤔Hold that thought 💭and check out this @psychologytoday.com interview,🎙️ where the brilliant @annieduke.com ♣️helps you decide what to do about it: www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/much... #DecisionEd #IQuit #DecisionMaking @AllDecisionEd
September 5, 2025 at 4:34 PM
Thinking about quitting? 🤔Hold that thought 💭and check out this @psychologytoday.com interview,🎙️ where the brilliant @annieduke.com ♣️helps you decide what to do about it: www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/much... #DecisionEd #IQuit #DecisionMaking @AllDecisionEd
Reposted by Annie Duke
It may go against your intuition, but good decision making is not measured by its *outcome*—it’s a case of adopting a sound framework as a basis for the *process*, argues @annieduke.com: buff.ly/ciaElUt
September 7, 2025 at 6:56 PM
It may go against your intuition, but good decision making is not measured by its *outcome*—it’s a case of adopting a sound framework as a basis for the *process*, argues @annieduke.com: buff.ly/ciaElUt
Reposted by Annie Duke
Classic example of "outcome bias," or what @annieduke.com calls "resulting." To avoid reckless decision processes, read my blog TEAMpubilchealth.substack.com .
www.wsj.com/politics/ele...
www.wsj.com/politics/ele...
Harris Calls Decision to Let Biden Run Again Reckless in New Memoir
The former vice president defends Biden’s mental acuity but says the choice to run shouldn’t have been ‘left to an individual’s ego.’
www.wsj.com
September 10, 2025 at 3:42 PM
Classic example of "outcome bias," or what @annieduke.com calls "resulting." To avoid reckless decision processes, read my blog TEAMpubilchealth.substack.com .
www.wsj.com/politics/ele...
www.wsj.com/politics/ele...
Reposted by Annie Duke
Thanks to the @forbes.com Expert Panel for including #ThinkingInBets in their article on "20 Resources To Hone Your Leadership Skills" as "a game-changer for decision making under uncertainty."
www.forbes.com/councils/for...
h/t to @juliarafalbaer.bsky.social #leadership
www.forbes.com/councils/for...
h/t to @juliarafalbaer.bsky.social #leadership
March 22, 2025 at 3:46 PM
Thanks to the @forbes.com Expert Panel for including #ThinkingInBets in their article on "20 Resources To Hone Your Leadership Skills" as "a game-changer for decision making under uncertainty."
www.forbes.com/councils/for...
h/t to @juliarafalbaer.bsky.social #leadership
www.forbes.com/councils/for...
h/t to @juliarafalbaer.bsky.social #leadership
Reposted by Annie Duke
For Anyone Following Netflix’s Success: I just finished (& ❤️d) @reedhastings.bsky.social’s 📕No Rules Rules (re. Netflix), where Chapter 6 is about thinking 🧠in terms of placing bets. A FANTASTIC🤩 book for learning such decision strategies is @annieduke.com's 📕Thinking in Bets.🏆⭐️ #Netflix #GreatBooks
September 29, 2025 at 8:35 PM
For Anyone Following Netflix’s Success: I just finished (& ❤️d) @reedhastings.bsky.social’s 📕No Rules Rules (re. Netflix), where Chapter 6 is about thinking 🧠in terms of placing bets. A FANTASTIC🤩 book for learning such decision strategies is @annieduke.com's 📕Thinking in Bets.🏆⭐️ #Netflix #GreatBooks
I joined Justin Thomson of @troweprice.bsky.social on his podcast to discuss the science of decision-making and how it can be applied to #investing Listen to the latest episode of “The Angle from T. Rowe Price" today. ⬇️ trowe.com/4nmtM0t
Beyond Luck—Behavioral Science and the Art of Decision Making with Annie Duke
The Angle podcast brings you sharp insights on the forces shaping financial markets. With dynamic perspectives from the T. Rowe Price global investing team and special guests, curious investors can ga...
trowe.com
October 6, 2025 at 9:37 PM
I joined Justin Thomson of @troweprice.bsky.social on his podcast to discuss the science of decision-making and how it can be applied to #investing Listen to the latest episode of “The Angle from T. Rowe Price" today. ⬇️ trowe.com/4nmtM0t
Enjoyed collaborating with @jennygrankin.bsky.social for @psychologytoday.com on how to help you make winning decisions. Hope you enjoy the 7-part series, too.
New @psychologytoday.com interview series with world poker champ & cognitive science expert Dr. @annieduke.com helps you make winning decisions: www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/much... ♠️♥️♣️♦️
How to Make Winning Decisions: Luck and Uncertainty
Lessons from cognitive scientist (and World Poker Champion), Annie Duke, PhD.
www.psychologytoday.com
August 7, 2025 at 6:44 PM
Enjoyed collaborating with @jennygrankin.bsky.social for @psychologytoday.com on how to help you make winning decisions. Hope you enjoy the 7-part series, too.
Join me tonight on Zoom for an "ask me anything."
I'm so excited for my next live, 3-week cohort-based course on Making Better Decisions with Maven from April 28- May 15. If you have any Qs about the course-please come and ask!
Register here! docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...
I'm so excited for my next live, 3-week cohort-based course on Making Better Decisions with Maven from April 28- May 15. If you have any Qs about the course-please come and ask!
Register here! docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...
Annie Duke's AMA for Maven Course: Make Better Decisions
Ask Me Anything!
Event Timing: Thursday, April 3, 2025; 6:00 PM ET
Event Address: A Zoom link will be sent to registrants
Course Dates: April 28-May 15
docs.google.com
April 3, 2025 at 4:24 PM
Join me tonight on Zoom for an "ask me anything."
I'm so excited for my next live, 3-week cohort-based course on Making Better Decisions with Maven from April 28- May 15. If you have any Qs about the course-please come and ask!
Register here! docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...
I'm so excited for my next live, 3-week cohort-based course on Making Better Decisions with Maven from April 28- May 15. If you have any Qs about the course-please come and ask!
Register here! docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...
Thanks to the @forbes.com Expert Panel for including #ThinkingInBets in their article on "20 Resources To Hone Your Leadership Skills" as "a game-changer for decision making under uncertainty."
www.forbes.com/councils/for...
h/t to @juliarafalbaer.bsky.social #leadership
www.forbes.com/councils/for...
h/t to @juliarafalbaer.bsky.social #leadership
March 22, 2025 at 3:46 PM
Thanks to the @forbes.com Expert Panel for including #ThinkingInBets in their article on "20 Resources To Hone Your Leadership Skills" as "a game-changer for decision making under uncertainty."
www.forbes.com/councils/for...
h/t to @juliarafalbaer.bsky.social #leadership
www.forbes.com/councils/for...
h/t to @juliarafalbaer.bsky.social #leadership
Sharing this cause for a good friend, today. Donate if you can!
www.givengain.com/project/char...
www.givengain.com/project/char...
Running for Change: Support Bay Cove Human Services
Hi everyone.The last few years have been a long journey. While in prison I became a runner. When I found out last year that I had been denied a hearing by the Supreme Court and might have to go back t...
www.givengain.com
March 20, 2025 at 5:24 PM
Sharing this cause for a good friend, today. Donate if you can!
www.givengain.com/project/char...
www.givengain.com/project/char...
Reposted by Annie Duke
Reposted by Annie Duke
One thing to learn from Thinking in Bets by @annieduke.com is how every product-related decision is a bet.
Building a feature, defining experiments, scoping MVP, you name it.
What follows, in the vast majority of cases, smaller bet will be smarter.
In other words: build less.
Building a feature, defining experiments, scoping MVP, you name it.
What follows, in the vast majority of cases, smaller bet will be smarter.
In other words: build less.
March 7, 2025 at 1:27 PM
One thing to learn from Thinking in Bets by @annieduke.com is how every product-related decision is a bet.
Building a feature, defining experiments, scoping MVP, you name it.
What follows, in the vast majority of cases, smaller bet will be smarter.
In other words: build less.
Building a feature, defining experiments, scoping MVP, you name it.
What follows, in the vast majority of cases, smaller bet will be smarter.
In other words: build less.
Reposted by Annie Duke
“When we finally quit, we realize we should have done it long ago.” ~ @annieduke.com
It always surprises me in how many contexts it stands true.
Pulling a plug on a new product idea? Check.
Finally, letting an underperformed go? Check.
Heck, my marriage... Check.
It always surprises me in how many contexts it stands true.
Pulling a plug on a new product idea? Check.
Finally, letting an underperformed go? Check.
Heck, my marriage... Check.
March 11, 2025 at 11:34 AM
“When we finally quit, we realize we should have done it long ago.” ~ @annieduke.com
It always surprises me in how many contexts it stands true.
Pulling a plug on a new product idea? Check.
Finally, letting an underperformed go? Check.
Heck, my marriage... Check.
It always surprises me in how many contexts it stands true.
Pulling a plug on a new product idea? Check.
Finally, letting an underperformed go? Check.
Heck, my marriage... Check.
Reposted by Annie Duke
Critical Thinking skills are sorely lacking in the West.
Probabilistic resources:
alliancefordecisioneducation.org
@annieduke.com book "Quit"
The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck (David Spiegelhalter 2025)
Risk Savvy: How to Make Good Decisions (Gerd Gigerenzer)
Probabilistic resources:
alliancefordecisioneducation.org
@annieduke.com book "Quit"
The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck (David Spiegelhalter 2025)
Risk Savvy: How to Make Good Decisions (Gerd Gigerenzer)
February 6, 2025 at 12:28 AM
Critical Thinking skills are sorely lacking in the West.
Probabilistic resources:
alliancefordecisioneducation.org
@annieduke.com book "Quit"
The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck (David Spiegelhalter 2025)
Risk Savvy: How to Make Good Decisions (Gerd Gigerenzer)
Probabilistic resources:
alliancefordecisioneducation.org
@annieduke.com book "Quit"
The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck (David Spiegelhalter 2025)
Risk Savvy: How to Make Good Decisions (Gerd Gigerenzer)
Reposted by Annie Duke
Did you know former pro poker player ♠️ @annieduke.com has her PhD in #CognitivePsychology & writes about #DecisionScience? I'm so pumped to read her books! 🤩📚🔖 www.today.com/video/annie-...
February 19, 2025 at 11:44 PM
Did you know former pro poker player ♠️ @annieduke.com has her PhD in #CognitivePsychology & writes about #DecisionScience? I'm so pumped to read her books! 🤩📚🔖 www.today.com/video/annie-...
Decision-making in venture capital is filled with cognitive traps.
I had a fascinating conversation with @aurenh.bsky.social about loss aversion, mental accounting, and knowing when to trust your gut.
Check out our full discussion on World of DaaS: www.worldofdaas.com/p/annie-duke
I had a fascinating conversation with @aurenh.bsky.social about loss aversion, mental accounting, and knowing when to trust your gut.
Check out our full discussion on World of DaaS: www.worldofdaas.com/p/annie-duke
Author & Poker Champion Annie Duke
winning bets: decision science in venture capital
www.worldofdaas.com
February 25, 2025 at 6:06 PM
Decision-making in venture capital is filled with cognitive traps.
I had a fascinating conversation with @aurenh.bsky.social about loss aversion, mental accounting, and knowing when to trust your gut.
Check out our full discussion on World of DaaS: www.worldofdaas.com/p/annie-duke
I had a fascinating conversation with @aurenh.bsky.social about loss aversion, mental accounting, and knowing when to trust your gut.
Check out our full discussion on World of DaaS: www.worldofdaas.com/p/annie-duke
Reposted by Annie Duke
"I am not in the business of telling people what to decide, but in helping people with how to decide," @annieduke.com writes.
"That is what I did this week when two government workers (independently) sought me out for help." wapo.st/4jJg0mW
"That is what I did this week when two government workers (independently) sought me out for help." wapo.st/4jJg0mW
Opinion | Should you take the Musk buyout? Here’s a test.
How to decide whether the “deferred resignation” offer makes sense for you.
wapo.st
February 3, 2025 at 8:06 PM
"I am not in the business of telling people what to decide, but in helping people with how to decide," @annieduke.com writes.
"That is what I did this week when two government workers (independently) sought me out for help." wapo.st/4jJg0mW
"That is what I did this week when two government workers (independently) sought me out for help." wapo.st/4jJg0mW
You don’t want to miss my conversation with journalist & author Bina Venkatarama on this week’s episode of The Decision Education Podcast! We explore the difficulty of delaying gratification, the power of gamification, & more. Listen now!
alliancefordecisioneducation.org/podcasts/epi...
alliancefordecisioneducation.org/podcasts/epi...
Episode 035: Your Future Self Will Thank You with Bina Venkataraman
Annie Duke speaks with journalist and author Bina Venkataraman about the barriers to making long-term decisions.
alliancefordecisioneducation.org
February 5, 2025 at 5:56 PM
You don’t want to miss my conversation with journalist & author Bina Venkatarama on this week’s episode of The Decision Education Podcast! We explore the difficulty of delaying gratification, the power of gamification, & more. Listen now!
alliancefordecisioneducation.org/podcasts/epi...
alliancefordecisioneducation.org/podcasts/epi...
Reposted by Annie Duke
The highest compliment from someone who disagrees with you is not “You were right.” It’s “You made me think.”
Good arguments help us recognize complexity where we once saw simplicity.
The ultimate purpose of debate is not to produce consensus. It’s to promote critical thinking.
Good arguments help us recognize complexity where we once saw simplicity.
The ultimate purpose of debate is not to produce consensus. It’s to promote critical thinking.
January 29, 2025 at 1:58 PM
The highest compliment from someone who disagrees with you is not “You were right.” It’s “You made me think.”
Good arguments help us recognize complexity where we once saw simplicity.
The ultimate purpose of debate is not to produce consensus. It’s to promote critical thinking.
Good arguments help us recognize complexity where we once saw simplicity.
The ultimate purpose of debate is not to produce consensus. It’s to promote critical thinking.