Jordan Nafa
@ajordannafa.com
Bayesian Statistician and Data Scientist in the Gaming/Entertainment Industry | Bayesian Statistics, Causal Inference, R, Python, Stan, Decision Theory, Guitar | Former Political Scientist
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Jordan Nafa
@ajordannafa.com
· Aug 20
Dariia Mykhailyshyna - Workshops for Ukraine
Feedback on the past workshops (if you want to learn how to make wordclouds, check out Text Data Analysis workshop below)
sites.google.com
Are you interested in Bayesian Optimization? Do you think multi-arm bandits are cool? Do you like donating to good causes? We'll, I'm super excited to say I'll be hosting a charity workshop on Bayesian Optimization with Multi-Arm Bandits on October 23rd.
sites.google.com/view/dariia-...
sites.google.com/view/dariia-...
A 50 year mortgage is fucking stupid for the same reason an 84 month auto loan is fucking stupid: if you think you need either of them, you cannot afford the thing you're trying to buy.
A 50 yr mortgage allows interest & fees to accrue over 50 yrs
A $500K payment isn’t significantly reduced beyond $100 -$150 & leaves them house poor.
W/o a $10K sales price reduction per $100K at set interest rates or a rate decrease to lower payments $500-$1K, only the banks win.
#Trumpflation
A $500K payment isn’t significantly reduced beyond $100 -$150 & leaves them house poor.
W/o a $10K sales price reduction per $100K at set interest rates or a rate decrease to lower payments $500-$1K, only the banks win.
#Trumpflation
November 15, 2025 at 4:53 AM
A 50 year mortgage is fucking stupid for the same reason an 84 month auto loan is fucking stupid: if you think you need either of them, you cannot afford the thing you're trying to buy.
Isn't this the guy who was going to blow his brains out on live television if Mamdani was elected Mayor? Still waiting on him to make good on that.
Dershowitz: The predecessor on your show described Epstein as a convicted pedophile. He pleaded guilty to one count of having sex for money with a 17-year-and-10-month-old person. That’s not a pedophile.
November 15, 2025 at 3:16 AM
Isn't this the guy who was going to blow his brains out on live television if Mamdani was elected Mayor? Still waiting on him to make good on that.
Writing matplotlib code is a lot like Javascript in the sense that if you can't vibe code yourself 90% of the way to a working solution for any given problem, it's probably not worth doing.
November 15, 2025 at 2:58 AM
Writing matplotlib code is a lot like Javascript in the sense that if you can't vibe code yourself 90% of the way to a working solution for any given problem, it's probably not worth doing.
This is not a left right issue. It's a people who approve of fucking children versus people who think that is abhorrent and should be severely punished.
“Re ‘There are a lot of people on your side who will be in the Epstein Files too!’: No there aren't, my side is the ‘People Who Don't Fuck Children’ side, anyone not on this side can get all the way into the bin, what side are YOU on, exactly?” — John Scalzi
November 15, 2025 at 2:43 AM
This is not a left right issue. It's a people who approve of fucking children versus people who think that is abhorrent and should be severely punished.
LMFAO. This is what we call playing both sides of the field 🤣🤣🤣
Hold up
November 15, 2025 at 2:36 AM
LMFAO. This is what we call playing both sides of the field 🤣🤣🤣
"Moments later armed agents began separating the workers..."
Some literal Nazi shit right there
Some literal Nazi shit right there
“Inside her purse, she said, were her work permit, Social Security card& a letter from her lawyer on Cornell Law School stationery stating that Ms. Lopez had a pending asylum appeal & was “lawfully in the United States and cannot be removed.”
Moments later, armed agents began separating the workers”
Moments later, armed agents began separating the workers”
November 15, 2025 at 2:27 AM
"Moments later armed agents began separating the workers..."
Some literal Nazi shit right there
Some literal Nazi shit right there
Was using Gemini Pro in Copilot for code review today, and it's nice that it tells me my code isn't trash before telling me all the things I need to fix, where to vectorize, and shaming me for not having complete unit tests yet.
November 14, 2025 at 9:58 PM
Was using Gemini Pro in Copilot for code review today, and it's nice that it tells me my code isn't trash before telling me all the things I need to fix, where to vectorize, and shaming me for not having complete unit tests yet.
Technology has gone too far and we need to burn it all down with fire.
this is combining like three different black mirror episodes into one bad idea, all the way down to a guy who looks vaguely like Domhnall Gleeson
Nightmarish idea for a startup tbh
November 14, 2025 at 3:25 PM
Technology has gone too far and we need to burn it all down with fire.
On one downside, my city MPG in the new Mustang is soooo much worse than my I4 Mustang was and the city/highway differential is wild. On the upside, I don't drive anywhere because I live ~4 minutes from everything so I only have to get gas once a month
November 14, 2025 at 2:28 PM
On one downside, my city MPG in the new Mustang is soooo much worse than my I4 Mustang was and the city/highway differential is wild. On the upside, I don't drive anywhere because I live ~4 minutes from everything so I only have to get gas once a month
Reposted by Jordan Nafa
There is no way to fix our politics that doesn't involve a lot of powerful people going to prison.
November 13, 2025 at 2:28 PM
There is no way to fix our politics that doesn't involve a lot of powerful people going to prison.
Reposted by Jordan Nafa
Earnest post: there is increasingly direct evidence that Trump participated in child sex trafficking or at least knew about it.
He should resign, be impeached and removed from office, and prosecuted.
Even if you don’t think that WILL happen it’s important to say publicly that it SHOULD happen.
He should resign, be impeached and removed from office, and prosecuted.
Even if you don’t think that WILL happen it’s important to say publicly that it SHOULD happen.
November 12, 2025 at 3:04 PM
Earnest post: there is increasingly direct evidence that Trump participated in child sex trafficking or at least knew about it.
He should resign, be impeached and removed from office, and prosecuted.
Even if you don’t think that WILL happen it’s important to say publicly that it SHOULD happen.
He should resign, be impeached and removed from office, and prosecuted.
Even if you don’t think that WILL happen it’s important to say publicly that it SHOULD happen.
This is precisely why you don't negotiate with bullies, terrorists, Russian assets, or Republicans. The moment you show any weakness or give an inch, you've lost.
Ppl need to understand what's happening here.
The GOP response to the shutdown was: You're gonna cave, or we're going to hurt vulnerable people by shutting off SNAP. The Dems, unwilling to let that happen, caved.
Having watched that, the GOP is now saying: "Give us what we want on abortion or ..."
The GOP response to the shutdown was: You're gonna cave, or we're going to hurt vulnerable people by shutting off SNAP. The Dems, unwilling to let that happen, caved.
Having watched that, the GOP is now saying: "Give us what we want on abortion or ..."
NEWS: Senate Republicans are threatening to block the extension of Affordable Care Act subsidies—unless Democrats agree to tougher abortion restrictions.
November 12, 2025 at 1:22 AM
This is precisely why you don't negotiate with bullies, terrorists, Russian assets, or Republicans. The moment you show any weakness or give an inch, you've lost.
Anti-lock breaks are good, planned obsolescence of consumer appliances because the manufacturer just stops maintaining the software is bad. But it's not the technological advancements that are the problem here, it's that manufacturers are being anti-consumer dicks.
November 11, 2025 at 9:52 PM
Anti-lock breaks are good, planned obsolescence of consumer appliances because the manufacturer just stops maintaining the software is bad. But it's not the technological advancements that are the problem here, it's that manufacturers are being anti-consumer dicks.
Draining my custom loops today so I can move them down to the house since I have the day off and strongly considering finally adding some additional drain points to the loops whilr I have them emptied to make this a less time consuming/labor intensive process 😮💨
November 11, 2025 at 6:00 PM
Draining my custom loops today so I can move them down to the house since I have the day off and strongly considering finally adding some additional drain points to the loops whilr I have them emptied to make this a less time consuming/labor intensive process 😮💨
Exactly this. Democrats are comically bad at messaging, part 1423
November 11, 2025 at 3:33 PM
Exactly this. Democrats are comically bad at messaging, part 1423
Reposted by Jordan Nafa
instead of saying this was good strategy, maybe senate dems should say: "the republicans were going to kill people by starving them to death, and because we aren't monsters, we decided to let this fight go. We'll keep fighting. Stop electing monsters."
November 11, 2025 at 1:42 PM
instead of saying this was good strategy, maybe senate dems should say: "the republicans were going to kill people by starving them to death, and because we aren't monsters, we decided to let this fight go. We'll keep fighting. Stop electing monsters."
You can always trust Americans to build more housing, just as soon as they've exhausted every other possible option, regardless of how unlikely it may be to actually solve the problem, multiple times over 🤦♂️
November 11, 2025 at 2:16 AM
You can always trust Americans to build more housing, just as soon as they've exhausted every other possible option, regardless of how unlikely it may be to actually solve the problem, multiple times over 🤦♂️
Well, this turned into a multi-hour project because I had to disassemble it and carry the pieces seperately because it wouldn't fit through the gate 😮💨 Some of the screws holding it together, particularly in the top, have straight up disintegrated 😬
November 9, 2025 at 8:26 PM
Well, this turned into a multi-hour project because I had to disassemble it and carry the pieces seperately because it wouldn't fit through the gate 😮💨 Some of the screws holding it together, particularly in the top, have straight up disintegrated 😬
Today in home improvement activities, trying to get this DIYed generator case the previous owners built and left behind to the curb since bulk trash day is tomorrow. The wood on the inside is decomposing, so this will be fun 😬. Now accepting bets for whether it falls apart before we get to the curb
November 9, 2025 at 6:34 PM
Today in home improvement activities, trying to get this DIYed generator case the previous owners built and left behind to the curb since bulk trash day is tomorrow. The wood on the inside is decomposing, so this will be fun 😬. Now accepting bets for whether it falls apart before we get to the curb
Reposted by Jordan Nafa
I struggle to think of a statistical "method" that has been more damaging to psychology (and related disciplines) than mediation analysis based on observational data. IMHO all such manuscripts should be desk rejected.
November 9, 2025 at 2:59 PM
I struggle to think of a statistical "method" that has been more damaging to psychology (and related disciplines) than mediation analysis based on observational data. IMHO all such manuscripts should be desk rejected.
Sellers left a 50" early 2000s 720P plasma screen TV on the wall upstairs and I've been trying to figure out what to do with it for two weeks since I realized you can't bulk trash TVs. My wife and I can't even lift it off the wall. Just going to have a new one delivered to get rid of this one 😮💨
November 9, 2025 at 4:49 PM
Sellers left a 50" early 2000s 720P plasma screen TV on the wall upstairs and I've been trying to figure out what to do with it for two weeks since I realized you can't bulk trash TVs. My wife and I can't even lift it off the wall. Just going to have a new one delivered to get rid of this one 😮💨
So the little Marshall bluetooth speakers definitely live up to the name.
November 9, 2025 at 2:47 PM
So the little Marshall bluetooth speakers definitely live up to the name.
Severely reduced FAA capacity going into the holiday season seems not great. My condolences to people with holiday travel plans 😬
US airlines cancelled 780 flights, or 3% of total scheduled, on Friday, Nov. 7, the first day of the FAA’s shutdown-related flight cuts. Cuts will step up to 10% of flights at 40 key airports over the next week.
Safe travels everyone.
www.instagram.com/reel/DQxDlXR...
Safe travels everyone.
www.instagram.com/reel/DQxDlXR...
November 8, 2025 at 4:07 AM
Severely reduced FAA capacity going into the holiday season seems not great. My condolences to people with holiday travel plans 😬
I, for one, am looking forward to seeing Alan Dershowitz prove that he's a man of his word
For the first time in my lifetime, voters in NYC have elected someone other than the biggest asshole in the race as mayor.
November 5, 2025 at 4:13 AM
I, for one, am looking forward to seeing Alan Dershowitz prove that he's a man of his word