Armands Astukevics
aastukevich.bsky.social
Armands Astukevics
@aastukevich.bsky.social
Researcher at Centre for East European Policy Studies, Riga
Reposted by Armands Astukevics
CDU/CSU &SPD have just proposed a sea change in German fiscal policy:

- defence spending above 1% of GDP exempt from debt brake
- 10-year €500bn special fund for infrastructure
- looser debt rules for states
- further debt-brake reform in new Bundestag
March 4, 2025 at 6:40 PM
Reposted by Armands Astukevics
This is Mzia Gabeshia, a 74-year-old solo protester at Martvili City Hall who is there every day regardless of weather conditions. She says she is fighting for political prisoners, for justice, and for accountability. #GeorgiaProtests
📷 Salome Kinkladze
February 19, 2025 at 10:45 AM
Very sad news. Belarus Hajun project has been an invaluable (and unique) source of information on the activities of Belarusian security forces and the Russian military in Belarus. Its loss will be felt.
Wishing safety to all the volunteers who risked their lives to bring this information to light.
One of the best Russian military monitoring groups, the Belarusian Hajun Project, has shut down following a Telegram leak. So far, the regime arrested one resident of Mozyr, but tens have asked for help from BYSOL.

A huge loss for the Belarusian opposition…

zerka1o-news.xyz/news/life/90...
Утечка данных из бота «Гаюна»: начались первые задержания
ГУБОПиК показал первого задержанного из-за утечки. Команда Digital Intelligence Team его опознала.
zerka1o-news.xyz
February 7, 2025 at 2:27 PM
Reposted by Armands Astukevics
Today’s damage to a subsea cable in the Baltic Sea is the latest incident affecting the critical infrastructure of EU Member States.

Tomorrow, I will discuss with Foreign Ministers how to better deter and respond to hybrid threats amid Russia's intensified campaign.
January 26, 2025 at 6:17 PM
Reposted by Armands Astukevics
Putin’s cousin, Anna Tsivileva, seems to have shit the bed a bit during a recent State Duma roundtable, disclosing some MIA numbers that the authorities would rather keep quiet.

ru.krymr.com/a/news-ukrai...
Минобороны РФ получило 48 тысяч заявок на ДНК-экспертизу от родственников пропавших без вести на войне против Украины
Глава комитета Госдумы РФ по обороне Андрей Картаполов после этого попросил не называть цифры без вести «отсутствующих»
ru.krymr.com
December 4, 2024 at 10:54 PM
Reposted by Armands Astukevics
“There will be no lesson today.

The teacher is on strike.

Georgia will not be Russia.”

An inscription on one of the Georgian school boards this morning.
November 29, 2024 at 8:05 AM
Reposted by Armands Astukevics
A Russian spy ring was tasked with kidnapping and/or murdering my two colleagues, Christo Grozev and Roman Dobrokhotov, a UK court has now heard. www.thetimes.com/uk/crime/art...
Russian spying ring ‘planned honeytrap to bait journalists’
Two Bulgarian men have pleaded guilty to spying for Russians in the UK
www.thetimes.com
November 29, 2024 at 12:17 AM
Reposted by Armands Astukevics
President-elect Trump has nominated Keith Kellogg as special envoy for Ukraine and Russia. This is a strong start for negotiations, in my view, as he is a good pick to enforce Trump’s “Peace Through Strength” policy. Watch his recent interview on Fox News:

www.foxnews.com/video/636505...
We're on the 'precipice of WW III,' retired Gen. Keith Kellogg warns | Fox News Video
Fox News' Greg Palkot provides details on the latest escalation between Russia and Ukraine. Lt. Gen. Keith Kellogg (Ret.) provides analysis.
www.foxnews.com
November 28, 2024 at 12:24 AM
Reposted by Armands Astukevics
A DHL flight departing from Leipzig has crashed - weeks after German authorities warned of Russian parcel bombs on DHL flights.

Let's await the facts from the investigation.

But: because our adversaries are targeting companies, they'll have to ramp up monitoring.

www.politico.eu/article/priv...
Private companies need to get better at monitoring threats
Almost any company is now at risk of geopolitically motivated harm, and it’s imperative they understand the risks they face.
www.politico.eu
November 25, 2024 at 7:36 AM
Reposted by Armands Astukevics
Christmas has come early in Russia, where this senator is giving the gift everyone wants: a beautifully wrapped rocket
November 23, 2024 at 1:47 AM
Reposted by Armands Astukevics
For folks interested in reading on the Russian approach to escalation, deterrence via intimidation versus through limited use of force, concepts of dosed or deterrent damage, etc. warontherocks.com/2022/09/esca...
Escalation Management and Nuclear Employment in Russian Military Strategy - War on the Rocks
Editor’s Note: After the Russian military collapse in and around Kharkiv Oblast, there is now renewed concern that Russian leaders could behave
warontherocks.com
November 22, 2024 at 1:49 PM
Reposted by Armands Astukevics
Doubling down on threats by Putin, spokesman Peskov says Russia “working through mechanisms” to warn Ukrainians “if new ballistic missile attacks are planned.” As a matter of record, Ukr civilians are well used to Russian ballistic missiles, if not quite IRBM used Thurs.
November 22, 2024 at 10:32 AM
Not a great outlook for Russia when even its own propaganda media has to report news like this.
About half of the Airbus A320 neo and A321 neo airliners in Russia are now grounded due to lack of servicing related to sanctions, Kommersant says

The paper says that almost all A320/321 neo - around 10% of foreign airliners in Russia - will be out of action by 2026
www.kommersant.ru/doc/7312839
Двигатели выводят из оборота
В РФ по техническим причинам перестал летать каждый второй Airbus neo
www.kommersant.ru
November 22, 2024 at 10:26 AM