Stefan Wolff
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stefwolff.bsky.social
Stefan Wolff
@stefwolff.bsky.social
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Stefan Wolff is a German political scientist. He is a specialist in international security, particularly in the management, settlement and prevention of ethnic conflicts. He is currently Professor of International Security at the University of Birmingham in the United Kingdom. Born in 1969, He studied as an undergraduate at the University of Leipzig and holds a Master's degree from Magdalene College, Cambridge, and a PhD from the London School of Economics, where he studied under the supervision of Brendan O'Leary. His doctoral thesis, dated 2000, was titled Managing disputed territories, external minorities and the stability of conflict settlements: A comparative analysis of six cases. .. more

Political science 84%
Sociology 11%
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stefwolff.bsky.social
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 16h
The fighting in Ukraine is likely to continue unabated for the time being as neither of the warring sides, nor their backers, appear exhausted enough for peace: bit.ly/4azaQrU
The fall of Siversk caps a difficult year for Ukraine
What the end of the war will look like is as unclear as when and how the sides will get there.
bit.ly

stefwolff.bsky.social
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 6d
Internal divisions over Ukraine funding and Mercosur trade deal expose limitations of EU leadership in a world carved up by Washington, Moscow and Beijing: bit.ly/3MEtWD1
A fudge on Ukraine and a delay on Mercosur: how the EU procrastinates and fails to prove Trump wrong
By Richard Whitman & Stefan Wolff
www.navigatingthevortex.com

Reposted by Stefan Wolff

rgwhitman.bsky.social
Richard G. Whitman @rgwhitman.bsky.social · 7d
EU agrees €90 billion loan to Ukraine, but squabbles over frozen Russian assets expose the bloc’s deep divisions - my analysis with @stefwolff.bsky.social theconversation.com/eu-agrees-90...
EU agrees €90 billion loan to Ukraine, but squabbles over frozen Russian assets expose the bloc’s deep divisions
To placate pro-Moscow governments in Hungary, Slovakia and Czechia, the EU had to include an ‘opt-out’ clause for its support for Ukraine.
theconversation.com

stefwolff.bsky.social
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 15d
For Europe, deterring Russia and appeasing the US have become existential priorities in a bigger game in which Ukraine might end up as yet another bargaining chip: bit.ly/4abQ8xV
New US national security strategy adds to Ukraine’s woes and exacerbates Europe’s dilemmas
By Tetyana Malyarenko & Stefan Wolff
bit.ly

Reposted by Stefan Wolff, Gwendolyn Sasse

zois.bsky.social
Zentrum für Osteuropa- und internationale Studien (ZOiS) @zois.bsky.social · 15d
Russian repression against Crimean #Tatars in occupied Ukraine follows a pattern.
Using a new geo-coded event dataset, researchers Elmira Muratova & @felixschulte.bsky.social map human rights violations & explain why repression is often carried out on Thursdays. More on the #KonKoop DataLab blog ⤵️
Thursdays are for Searches: The Russian Repression Calendar in Occupied Crimea - KonKoop
Authoritarian control follows a grim calculus. The literature on state repression shows that coercion is not random but operates under a highly strategic logic. Russia’s repressive campaign in its occupied territories in Ukraine is no exception. Shortly after the illegal occupation and annexation of Crimea in February and March 2014,…
konkoop.de

Reposted by Stefan Wolff

fpcthinktank.bsky.social
Foreign Policy Centre @fpcthinktank.bsky.social · 25d
🔎🇬🇪 New Expert Briefing | Georgia’s Political Landscape in Focus: A critical point for #democracy
On 11 Nov, FPC convened a parliamentary roundtable chaired by @joepowell.bsky.social MP featuring:
Eka Gigauri
Nino Evgenidze
Prof @stefwolff.bsky.social

📖 Read key insights: fpc.org.uk/wp-content/u...

Substack
Navigating the Vortex | Ethnopolitics Edition | Episode 1

George Kyris, The Recognition of a Right to Statehood and Palestine On 14 November 2025, we spoke to George Kyris about his article on “The Recognition of a Right to Statehood and Palestine”.

Reposts 0 29d

stefwolff.bsky.social
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 29d
Available now: The first episode of Navigating the Vortex | Ethnopolitics Edition featuring an interview with @georgekyris.bsky.social on the recognition of Palestine: bit.ly/4rp2ZTq
Navigating the Vortex | Ethnopolitics Edition | Episode 1
George Kyris, The Recognition of a Right to Statehood and Palestine
bit.ly

stefwolff.bsky.social
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · Nov 26
The amateurish nature of a process that produced Trump’s 28-point plan should be the real worry for Ukraine and its partners: bit.ly/483wTFp
Trump’s 28-point plan was the result of a well-timed Russian move.
For now, however, it is unlikely to work out the way the Kremlin had planned.
bit.ly

stefwolff.bsky.social
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · Nov 22
Talk of Ukraine’s political and military collapse may turn into a self-fulfilling prophecy playing into Putin's hands: bit.ly/4rf5bwV
As US and Russia negotiate again behind Kyiv’s back, Ukrainian and European weakness is exposed
By Tetyana Malyarenko and Stefan Wolff
bit.ly

stefwolff.bsky.social
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · Nov 16
The continuation of Russia’s war against Ukraine serves Chinese interests in several important ways: bit.ly/4p66agW

stefwolff.bsky.social
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · Nov 15
Tolerating corruption is a luxury that Ukraine can no longer afford if it wants to survive as an independent country — the latest from Tetyana Malyarenko and me: bit.ly/3WXZJk5
Ukraine's latest corruption scandal not only threatens to derail Zelensky’s government. It also undermines Kyiv's war effort.
By Tetyana Malyarenko & Stefan Wolff
bit.ly

stefwolff.bsky.social
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · Nov 6
The EU needs to decide how to balance holding the line on its membership standards while enabling Ukraine to hold the line against Russia: bit.ly/47FcYeq
The EU's assessment of Ukraine's progress toward membership is decidedly mixed. The report caps a bad month for Kyiv.
By Tetyana Malyarenko & Stefan Wolff
bit.ly

Reposted by Stefan Wolff

congeostrategy.bsky.social
Council on Geostrategy @congeostrategy.bsky.social · Oct 31
🇬🇧 should ‘think beyond the current geographic extent of the coalition, and consider how links with nations in the South Caucasus and Central Asia can be consolidated and expanded to strengthen it,’ says @stefwolff.bsky.social, @unibirmingham.bsky.social

#BigAsk #BritainsWorld
How should Britain cultivate the Coalition of the Willing?
The Big Ask | No. 44.2025
www.britainsworld.org.uk

Reposted by Richard Whitman

stefwolff.bsky.social
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · Oct 28
As Trump flip-flops and the coalition of the willing is unlikely to go beyond securing Ukraine’s immediate survival, a credible pathway to ending the war with a just and stable peace is still lacking -- my latest analysis with @rgwhitman.bsky.social for @navvortex.bsky.social : bit.ly/43IOKP9
Despite another week of diplomatic whiplash, an end to the fighting in Ukraine is not in sight
By Richard Whitman & Stefan Wolff
www.navigatingthevortex.com

Reposted by Stefan Wolff

jonty98.bsky.social
Jonty Este @jonty98.bsky.social · Oct 22
Great piece from @stefwolff.bsky.social on @ConversationUK. Thanks to @alastaircampbell2.bsky.social and @rory-stewart.bsky.social for the mention. As ever, Stefan's analysis of thie complex and fast-moving issue is spot on.
theconversation.com/trumps-heate...
Trump’s heated White House meeting with Zelensky shows how well Putin is playing the US president
It looked as if the US might supply Ukraine with game-changing new weapons. Then the Russian president phoned Donald Trump.
theconversation.com

stefwolff.bsky.social
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · Oct 21
Three key take-aways from the Trump-Putin-Zelensky diplomatic flurry over the past few weeks: bit.ly/3KY7HqK

stefwolff.bsky.social
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · Oct 20
Unsurprisingly, Putin gets Trump to pivot again: bit.ly/42NC9Kd

stefwolff.bsky.social
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · Oct 16
Recognising a Russian sphere of influence would most likely encourage dreams of further expansion in the Kremlin: bit.ly/4hfvKgV

Reposted by Stefan Wolff

polstudiesassoc.bsky.social
Political Studies Association @polstudiesassoc.bsky.social · Oct 14
Following the announcement of this year’s #NobelPeacePrize winner, María Corina Machado, leader of Venzuela’s opposition movement, PSA Trustee @stefwolff.bsky.social reflects on the competition and controversies surrounding the prize @uk.theconversation.com
Donald Trump would have been an unsuitable choice for the 2025 Nobel peace prize – but he may be a more serious contender in 2026
The peace prize rules made it hard for the US president to win this year. But that doesn’t rule him out for 2026.
buff.ly

stefwolff.bsky.social
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · Oct 14
I was interviewed yesterday by @newstalkfm.bsky.social on Trump's Middle East diplomacy www.newstalk.com/podcasts/new...
Could Dead Cat Diplomacy Actually Work? | Newstalk
It was an extraordinary day in the Middle East. Hostages returned home to scenes of jubilation an...
www.newstalk.com

stefwolff.bsky.social
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · Oct 11
If Trump wants to be a serious contender for the 2026 Nobel peace Prize, he needs to double down on his peace-making efforts and prevent his grandiose claims from being proven wrong: bit.ly/4q1ntkN

stefwolff.bsky.social
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · Oct 6
BASEES Call for Papers deadline extended to 24 October 2025! Join us at the University of Birmingham, 10-12 April 2026: basees.org/news-1/2025/....
Call for Papers - BASEES 2026 Annual Conference, University of Birmingham, 10-12 April 2026 — Basees
basees.org

stefwolff.bsky.social
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · Sep 29
Despite spending millions on vote buying and disinformation, Russia has not been able to turn Moldova into a country in which a majority of the population would want to jeopardise their European future: bit.ly/4nzhP7S

Reposted by Richard Whitman

stefwolff.bsky.social
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · Sep 26
Time is running out for Europe to prevent Russia from broadening its war against Ukraine into a full-blown military confrontation with the west: my latest analysis with @rgwhitman.bsky.social: bit.ly/42e0qZB

stefwolff.bsky.social
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · Sep 24
Increasing Russian provocations and Trump wishing everyone ‘good luck’ mean that muddling through is no longer an option for Europe: bit.ly/3IDtdQy
Ukraine’s coalition of allies needs to be more than willing — it needs to get ready
Russian provocations and Trump's latest pivot put yet more pressure on Europe.
www.navigatingthevortex.com

stefwolff.bsky.social
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · Sep 12
Beyond full-throated condemnation, the western response to the latest Russian escalation has been worryingly underwhelming: bit.ly/47ANron
Russian drones in Polish airspace (part 2): A provocation – and a test
There is a real danger of the Ukraine war spilling over into NATO territory.
bit.ly

stefwolff.bsky.social
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · Sep 11
Putin senses opportunities for Russia to be the dominant power in Europe — and the west’s lacklustre response to his latest provocation is hardly a deterrent: bit.ly/4gnWICy

stefwolff.bsky.social
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · Sep 4
If Trump doesn’t recognise the value of his country’s allies in managing the challenge that China clearly poses to the US, China’s sphere of influence may quickly extend far beyond Asia: bit.ly/4mJoLyt

stefwolff.bsky.social
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · Sep 2
Great piece by my colleague @drcharlottegalpin.bsky.social for @opendemocracy.net: www.opendemocracy.net/en/us-far-ri...
As gay marriage is attacked in US, UK must not be complacent
It’s easy to view the attempted rollback of rights as an American problem. But LGBTQ rights are at risk here, too
www.opendemocracy.net