Stefan Wolff
stefwolff.bsky.social
Stefan Wolff
@stefwolff.bsky.social
Available now: The first episode of Navigating the Vortex | Ethnopolitics Edition featuring an interview with @georgekyris.bsky.social on the recognition of Palestine: bit.ly/4rp2ZTq
Navigating the Vortex | Ethnopolitics Edition | Episode 1
George Kyris, The Recognition of a Right to Statehood and Palestine
bit.ly
November 27, 2025 at 2:54 PM
The amateurish nature of a process that produced Trump’s 28-point plan should be the real worry for Ukraine and its partners: bit.ly/483wTFp
Trump’s 28-point plan was the result of a well-timed Russian move.
For now, however, it is unlikely to work out the way the Kremlin had planned.
bit.ly
November 26, 2025 at 10:50 AM
Talk of Ukraine’s political and military collapse may turn into a self-fulfilling prophecy playing into Putin's hands: bit.ly/4rf5bwV
As US and Russia negotiate again behind Kyiv’s back, Ukrainian and European weakness is exposed
By Tetyana Malyarenko and Stefan Wolff
bit.ly
November 22, 2025 at 6:28 PM
The continuation of Russia’s war against Ukraine serves Chinese interests in several important ways: bit.ly/4p66agW
November 16, 2025 at 9:22 AM
Tolerating corruption is a luxury that Ukraine can no longer afford if it wants to survive as an independent country — the latest from Tetyana Malyarenko and me: bit.ly/3WXZJk5
Ukraine's latest corruption scandal not only threatens to derail Zelensky’s government. It also undermines Kyiv's war effort.
By Tetyana Malyarenko & Stefan Wolff
bit.ly
November 15, 2025 at 11:59 AM
The EU needs to decide how to balance holding the line on its membership standards while enabling Ukraine to hold the line against Russia: bit.ly/47FcYeq
The EU's assessment of Ukraine's progress toward membership is decidedly mixed. The report caps a bad month for Kyiv.
By Tetyana Malyarenko & Stefan Wolff
bit.ly
November 6, 2025 at 11:56 AM
Reposted by Stefan Wolff
🇬🇧 should ‘think beyond the current geographic extent of the coalition, and consider how links with nations in the South Caucasus and Central Asia can be consolidated and expanded to strengthen it,’ says @stefwolff.bsky.social, @unibirmingham.bsky.social

#BigAsk #BritainsWorld
How should Britain cultivate the Coalition of the Willing?
The Big Ask | No. 44.2025
www.britainsworld.org.uk
October 31, 2025 at 12:12 PM
Reposted by Stefan Wolff
Great piece from @stefwolff.bsky.social on @ConversationUK. Thanks to @alastaircampbell2.bsky.social and @rory-stewart.bsky.social for the mention. As ever, Stefan's analysis of thie complex and fast-moving issue is spot on.
theconversation.com/trumps-heate...
Trump’s heated White House meeting with Zelensky shows how well Putin is playing the US president
It looked as if the US might supply Ukraine with game-changing new weapons. Then the Russian president phoned Donald Trump.
theconversation.com
October 22, 2025 at 9:21 AM
As Trump flip-flops and the coalition of the willing is unlikely to go beyond securing Ukraine’s immediate survival, a credible pathway to ending the war with a just and stable peace is still lacking -- my latest analysis with @rgwhitman.bsky.social for @navvortex.bsky.social : bit.ly/43IOKP9
Despite another week of diplomatic whiplash, an end to the fighting in Ukraine is not in sight
By Richard Whitman & Stefan Wolff
www.navigatingthevortex.com
October 28, 2025 at 5:46 PM
Three key take-aways from the Trump-Putin-Zelensky diplomatic flurry over the past few weeks: bit.ly/3KY7HqK
October 21, 2025 at 6:58 AM
Unsurprisingly, Putin gets Trump to pivot again: bit.ly/42NC9Kd
October 20, 2025 at 2:16 PM
Reposted by Stefan Wolff
Following the announcement of this year’s #NobelPeacePrize winner, María Corina Machado, leader of Venzuela’s opposition movement, PSA Trustee @stefwolff.bsky.social reflects on the competition and controversies surrounding the prize @uk.theconversation.com
Donald Trump would have been an unsuitable choice for the 2025 Nobel peace prize – but he may be a more serious contender in 2026
The peace prize rules made it hard for the US president to win this year. But that doesn’t rule him out for 2026.
buff.ly
October 14, 2025 at 11:00 AM
Recognising a Russian sphere of influence would most likely encourage dreams of further expansion in the Kremlin: bit.ly/4hfvKgV
October 16, 2025 at 8:26 PM
I was interviewed yesterday by @newstalkfm.bsky.social on Trump's Middle East diplomacy www.newstalk.com/podcasts/new...
Could Dead Cat Diplomacy Actually Work? | Newstalk
It was an extraordinary day in the Middle East. Hostages returned home to scenes of jubilation an...
www.newstalk.com
October 14, 2025 at 8:19 AM
If Trump wants to be a serious contender for the 2026 Nobel peace Prize, he needs to double down on his peace-making efforts and prevent his grandiose claims from being proven wrong: bit.ly/4q1ntkN
October 11, 2025 at 8:13 AM
BASEES Call for Papers deadline extended to 24 October 2025! Join us at the University of Birmingham, 10-12 April 2026: basees.org/news-1/2025/....
Call for Papers - BASEES 2026 Annual Conference, University of Birmingham, 10-12 April 2026 — Basees
basees.org
October 6, 2025 at 10:13 AM
Despite spending millions on vote buying and disinformation, Russia has not been able to turn Moldova into a country in which a majority of the population would want to jeopardise their European future: bit.ly/4nzhP7S
September 29, 2025 at 8:45 AM
Time is running out for Europe to prevent Russia from broadening its war against Ukraine into a full-blown military confrontation with the west: my latest analysis with @rgwhitman.bsky.social: bit.ly/42e0qZB
September 26, 2025 at 4:23 PM
Increasing Russian provocations and Trump wishing everyone ‘good luck’ mean that muddling through is no longer an option for Europe: bit.ly/3IDtdQy
Ukraine’s coalition of allies needs to be more than willing — it needs to get ready
Russian provocations and Trump's latest pivot put yet more pressure on Europe.
www.navigatingthevortex.com
September 24, 2025 at 9:10 AM
Beyond full-throated condemnation, the western response to the latest Russian escalation has been worryingly underwhelming: bit.ly/47ANron
Russian drones in Polish airspace (part 2): A provocation – and a test
There is a real danger of the Ukraine war spilling over into NATO territory.
bit.ly
September 12, 2025 at 9:08 AM
Putin senses opportunities for Russia to be the dominant power in Europe — and the west’s lacklustre response to his latest provocation is hardly a deterrent: bit.ly/4gnWICy
September 11, 2025 at 3:34 PM
If Trump doesn’t recognise the value of his country’s allies in managing the challenge that China clearly poses to the US, China’s sphere of influence may quickly extend far beyond Asia: bit.ly/4mJoLyt
September 4, 2025 at 9:49 AM
Reposted by Stefan Wolff
High level diplomacy in Washington and Alaska, but Ukraine is still under fire. So is peace any closer? @stefwolff.bsky.social @unibirmingham.bsky.social tells me and @phildobbie.bsky.social Donald Trump isn't prepared to do what's needed to end the conflict
whycurve.com/episode/ukra...
Ukraine - Any Closer To Peace? | The Why Curve
Lots of high-level diplomacy - handshakes for European leaders in the White House, the red-carpet for Putin in Alaska - but does any of this bring the end...
whycurve.com
August 21, 2025 at 2:23 PM
Likely statements at the upcoming SCO summit of how the spirit of Shanghai will shape a new international order rest on the false premise that a post-American international order will be a non-American order: my latest analysis for Navigating the Vortex: bit.ly/3UKuLuN
August 27, 2025 at 5:11 PM