Harold Trinkunas
htrinkunas.bsky.social
Harold Trinkunas
@htrinkunas.bsky.social

Deputy Director at Stanford’s Center for International Security and Cooperation. Usual disclaimers apply.

https://cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/people/harold-trinkunas

Political science 66%
Sociology 21%
On the 80th anniversary of the Trinity test, the Nobel Laureate Assembly for the Prevention of Nuclear War, including CISAC’s Scott Sagan, Herb Lin, Sig Hecker & Lynn Eden, called on world leaders & policymakers to recommit to reducing the nuclear threat.
thebulletin.org/2025/07/the-...
The Nobel Laureate Assembly Declaration for the Prevention of Nuclear War
Tremendous progress has been made in reducing global nuclear stockpiles and nuclear risks, but we are now heading in the wrong direction. Poised at the beginning of a new, complex, and dangerous nucle...
thebulletin.org
New research from CISAC's Patrick Hulme shows presidents often act alone in military interventions not b/c Congress is weak, but b/c lawmakers choose to avoid blame while quietly supporting action. The “imperial presidency” story misses the real dynamic.
Read more⤵️
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
War and Responsibility | American Political Science Review | Cambridge Core
War and Responsibility
www.cambridge.org
This is a very cool opportunity for writers of fiction. So happy Kim Stanley Robinson agreed to help out. thebulletin.org/write-before...
Write Before Midnight - Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists
Write Before Midnight A Bulletin short fiction contest Announcing the Bulletin‘s new short fiction contest… Over the decades, the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists has published the smartest minds in ...
thebulletin.org
Please join us in welcoming back Dr. Sulgiye Park to CISAC!
Joining as a Research Scholar, Park will contribute to research, teaching, and mentorship.
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/news/cisac-w...
CISAC Welcomes Dr. Sulgiye Park
Dr. Sulgiye Park has joined the Center for International Security and Cooperation (CISAC) as a Research Scholar, where she will contribute to research, teaching, and mentorship
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu
Please join us in welcoming our 2025-2026 fellows! These scholars will spend the academic year generating new knowledge across a range of topics that can help all of us build a safer world.
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/news/cisac-n...
CISAC Names 2025-2026 Fellows
The Center for International Security and Cooperation (CISAC) is pleased to welcome the fellows who will be joining us for the 2025-26 academic year. These scholars will spend the academic year genera...
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu
I’m thrilled to announce that, after ten years of research, my book on the birth of democracy in South America is finally out!
I'm especially excited to be publishing it #openaccess, which means you can download a PDF for free at: www.cambridge.org/core/books/b...
Anne Neuberger delivered the 2025 Payne Distinguished Lecture, outlining how the United States must rethink cyber deterrence to defend critical infrastructure.

Read more on key takeaways below⤵️
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/news/event-r...
Event Recap: Payne Distinguished Lecture | Geopolitics and Deterrence in
Anne Neuberger delivered the 2025 Payne Distinguished Lecture, outlining how the United States must rethink cyber deterrence to defend critical infrastructure
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu
Congratulations to @htrinkunas.bsky.social of @stanfordcisac.bsky.social on receiving the Alfred Stepan Lifetime Achievement Award from the Latin American Studies Association for his outstanding academic career and contributions to security and defense studies.
Dr. Harold Trinkunas Awarded the Alfred Stepan Lifetime Achievement Award
Trinkunas is awarded for his outstanding academic career and contributions to security and defense studies, such as civil-military relations, transnational organized crime, terrorism, and local orders...
ow.ly

I like this approach better than going back to blue book final exams.
Rose Gottemoeller is announced as the recipient of the 2025 Thérèse Delpech Memorial Award… and the crowd at #nukecon goes wild.

Alex Bell with the announcement.
This is the fundamental problem with Silicon Valley as well: the modal belief is that anything to do with politics or the state is either an engineering problem or a conspiracy.

And then these guys are let loose on our democracy.
Women of Wargaming featuring @spettyjohn.bsky.social Bethany Goldblum and Emma Barrosa youtu.be/NP224DLDSCs?...
Women of Wargaming: From World War II To Today | Hoover Institution
YouTube video by Hoover Institution
youtu.be
My latest in The Atlantic :

The Tragic Success of Global Putinism

How the West underestimated an ideology’s animating force

www.theatlantic.com/internationa...
The Tragic Success of Global Putinism
How the West underestimated an ideology’s animating force
www.theatlantic.com
I am so saddened by my governments betrayal of Ukraine right now. It will be recorded by historians as one of our most shameful moments. At the same time, I have no doubt that Ukraine will survive and prosper as a strong, independent, democratic country. #SlavaUkraïni !
Next Week: Models, Markets, and Microbes: Quantitative Approaches to Biosecurity in the Anthropocene with Váleri Vásquez

RSVP here⤵️
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/events/model...
Models, Markets, and Microbes: Quantitative Approaches to Biosecurity in
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu
This is actually something where ChatGPT does a better job than I ever could. As per Marion Fourcade's and my work, Brin is perversely right - machines that are good at producing ceremonial cliches have their uses!
Next week: "Russia and Iran: Partners in Defiance from Syria to Ukraine" with @nicolegrajewski.bsky.social

RSVP here⤵️
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/events/russi...
Russia and Iran: Partners in Defiance from Syria to Ukraine | Nicole
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu
Big thanks to Middlebury for having me this afternoon to talk The Hand Behind Unmanned this afternoon!
Next week: "89 seconds to midnight: Is time running out on nuclear arms control?" with Rose Gottemoeller, Alex Bell, Herb Lin and Gov. Jerry Brown.

RSVP here⤵️
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/events/89-se...
89 seconds to midnight: Is time running out on nuclear arms control?
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu
Attending ISA in Chicago? We are having a civ-mil Happy Hour meet-up at Kitty O'Shea’s at the Hilton at 6 p.m. on Sunday 3/2. If you are interested in civil-military relations/security forces or just want to hang out with a great community of ppl, stop by!
The advance copy of my book, Safe Havens for Hate, is here! It offers a deep dive into the moderation of harmful content on social media and explains why efforts to combat online extremism keep failing. Official release March 4! press.princeton.edu/books/hardcover/9780691258522/safe-havens-for-hate

Congratulations, Eric!
I am elated to say that my book, "Words of War: Negotiation as a Tool of Conflict," is now published and available to order!

In the book, I argue and demonstrate that negotiations are not only used to end wars but can also be wielded to fight them.

A summary thread is below.
The alt-text scolds and the “tell that person you’re quoting from Twitter to get off Twitter” scolds do their best to keep up the atmosphere from the earliest days of Bluesky. The ALF pornographers aren’t keeping up their end of the work.
DOJ leadership has put all Public Integrity Section lawyers into a room with 1 hour to decide who will dismiss Adams indictment or else all will be fired. Sending them strength to stand by their oath, which is to support the Constitution, not the president’s political agenda. 🇺🇸

Illegitimi non carborundum!
www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state... This is by far the best, clearest and most realistic analysis of what we're in for that I've seen.
The Path to American Authoritarianism
What comes after democratic breakdown.
www.foreignaffairs.com
You know your presentation is cooked when your discussant pulls up like this.
Next week: "Geopolitics, National Security, and Organized Crime" with Amb. Juan Carlos Pinzón

RSVP here⤵️
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/events/geopo...
Geopolitics, National Security, and Organized Crime | Amb. Juan Carlos
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu
How did al-Shabaab respond to the overthrow of Assad’s regime? CISAC Visiting Scholar Stig Jarle Hansen, a leading expert on the group, examines their media coverage of the HTS offensive and its potential implications.
www.geeska.com/en/al-shabaa...
The al-Shabaab reaction to the rise of HTS in Syria
How did al-Shabaab respond to the overthrow of Assad’s regime? Stig Jarle Hansen, a leading expert on the group, examines their media coverage of the HTS
www.geeska.com