Harold Trinkunas
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htrinkunas.bsky.social
Harold Trinkunas
@htrinkunas.bsky.social
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Deputy Director at Stanford’s Center for International Security and Cooperation. Usual disclaimers apply.

https://cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/people/harold-trinkunas
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Reposted by Harold Trinkunas
stanfordcisac.bsky.social
Next week: "How America Failed to Disarm North Korea: The Inside Story" with Joel Wit

RSVP here ⤵️
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/events/how-a...
How America Failed to Disarm North Korea: The Inside Story | Joel Wit
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu
November 12, 2025 at 12:27 AM
Reposted by Harold Trinkunas
stanfordcisac.bsky.social
On the 80th anniversary of the Trinity test, the Nobel Laureate Assembly for the Prevention of Nuclear War, including CISAC’s Scott Sagan, Herb Lin, Sig Hecker & Lynn Eden, called on world leaders & policymakers to recommit to reducing the nuclear threat.
thebulletin.org/2025/07/the-...
The Nobel Laureate Assembly Declaration for the Prevention of Nuclear War
Tremendous progress has been made in reducing global nuclear stockpiles and nuclear risks, but we are now heading in the wrong direction. Poised at the beginning of a new, complex, and dangerous nucle...
thebulletin.org
July 17, 2025 at 5:18 PM
Reposted by Harold Trinkunas
meckdevil.bsky.social
This is a very cool opportunity for writers of fiction. So happy Kim Stanley Robinson agreed to help out. thebulletin.org/write-before...
Write Before Midnight - Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists
Write Before Midnight A Bulletin short fiction contest Announcing the Bulletin‘s new short fiction contest… Over the decades, the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists has published the smartest minds in ...
thebulletin.org
July 2, 2025 at 5:12 PM
Reposted by Harold Trinkunas
stanfordcisac.bsky.social
New research from CISAC's Patrick Hulme shows presidents often act alone in military interventions not b/c Congress is weak, but b/c lawmakers choose to avoid blame while quietly supporting action. The “imperial presidency” story misses the real dynamic.
Read more⤵️
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
War and Responsibility | American Political Science Review | Cambridge Core
War and Responsibility
www.cambridge.org
July 2, 2025 at 7:45 PM
Reposted by Harold Trinkunas
stanfordcisac.bsky.social
Please join us in welcoming back Dr. Sulgiye Park to CISAC!
Joining as a Research Scholar, Park will contribute to research, teaching, and mentorship.
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/news/cisac-w...
CISAC Welcomes Dr. Sulgiye Park
Dr. Sulgiye Park has joined the Center for International Security and Cooperation (CISAC) as a Research Scholar, where she will contribute to research, teaching, and mentorship
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu
July 1, 2025 at 5:48 PM
Reposted by Harold Trinkunas
raullorcamadrid.bsky.social
I’m thrilled to announce that, after ten years of research, my book on the birth of democracy in South America is finally out!
I'm especially excited to be publishing it #openaccess, which means you can download a PDF for free at: www.cambridge.org/core/books/b...
June 15, 2025 at 9:12 PM
Reposted by Harold Trinkunas
stanfordcisac.bsky.social
Please join us in welcoming our 2025-2026 fellows! These scholars will spend the academic year generating new knowledge across a range of topics that can help all of us build a safer world.
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/news/cisac-n...
CISAC Names 2025-2026 Fellows
The Center for International Security and Cooperation (CISAC) is pleased to welcome the fellows who will be joining us for the 2025-26 academic year. These scholars will spend the academic year genera...
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu
June 16, 2025 at 4:50 PM
Reposted by Harold Trinkunas
fsi.stanford.edu
Congratulations to @htrinkunas.bsky.social of @stanfordcisac.bsky.social on receiving the Alfred Stepan Lifetime Achievement Award from the Latin American Studies Association for his outstanding academic career and contributions to security and defense studies.
Dr. Harold Trinkunas Awarded the Alfred Stepan Lifetime Achievement Award
Trinkunas is awarded for his outstanding academic career and contributions to security and defense studies, such as civil-military relations, transnational organized crime, terrorism, and local orders...
ow.ly
June 9, 2025 at 5:31 PM
Reposted by Harold Trinkunas
stanfordcisac.bsky.social
Anne Neuberger delivered the 2025 Payne Distinguished Lecture, outlining how the United States must rethink cyber deterrence to defend critical infrastructure.

Read more on key takeaways below⤵️
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/news/event-r...
Event Recap: Payne Distinguished Lecture | Geopolitics and Deterrence in
Anne Neuberger delivered the 2025 Payne Distinguished Lecture, outlining how the United States must rethink cyber deterrence to defend critical infrastructure
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu
June 12, 2025 at 8:31 PM
Reposted by Harold Trinkunas
nuclear-jim.bsky.social
Rose Gottemoeller is announced as the recipient of the 2025 Thérèse Delpech Memorial Award… and the crowd at #nukecon goes wild.

Alex Bell with the announcement.
April 22, 2025 at 5:54 PM
Reposted by Harold Trinkunas
tmitts.bsky.social
The advance copy of my book, Safe Havens for Hate, is here! It offers a deep dive into the moderation of harmful content on social media and explains why efforts to combat online extremism keep failing. Official release March 4! press.princeton.edu/books/hardcover/9780691258522/safe-havens-for-hate
February 22, 2025 at 1:09 AM
Reposted by Harold Trinkunas
annagbusse.bsky.social
This is the fundamental problem with Silicon Valley as well: the modal belief is that anything to do with politics or the state is either an engineering problem or a conspiracy.

And then these guys are let loose on our democracy.
March 22, 2025 at 6:22 PM
Reposted by Harold Trinkunas
jackieschneider.bsky.social
Women of Wargaming featuring @spettyjohn.bsky.social Bethany Goldblum and Emma Barrosa youtu.be/NP224DLDSCs?...
Women of Wargaming: From World War II To Today | Hoover Institution
YouTube video by Hoover Institution
youtu.be
March 19, 2025 at 4:04 PM
Reposted by Harold Trinkunas
mcfaulmike.bsky.social
My latest in The Atlantic :

The Tragic Success of Global Putinism

How the West underestimated an ideology’s animating force

www.theatlantic.com/internationa...
The Tragic Success of Global Putinism
How the West underestimated an ideology’s animating force
www.theatlantic.com
March 11, 2025 at 1:21 PM
Reposted by Harold Trinkunas
mcfaulmike.bsky.social
I am so saddened by my governments betrayal of Ukraine right now. It will be recorded by historians as one of our most shameful moments. At the same time, I have no doubt that Ukraine will survive and prosper as a strong, independent, democratic country. #SlavaUkraïni !
March 9, 2025 at 5:39 AM
Reposted by Harold Trinkunas
stanfordcisac.bsky.social
Next Week: Models, Markets, and Microbes: Quantitative Approaches to Biosecurity in the Anthropocene with Váleri Vásquez

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cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/events/model...
Models, Markets, and Microbes: Quantitative Approaches to Biosecurity in
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu
March 6, 2025 at 7:39 PM
Reposted by Harold Trinkunas
himself.bsky.social
This is actually something where ChatGPT does a better job than I ever could. As per Marion Fourcade's and my work, Brin is perversely right - machines that are good at producing ceremonial cliches have their uses!
Comrades! Heroes of Soviet Computing! In this, the year 1952, as the Great Soviet Union marches ever forward, the forces of reaction and bourgeois incompetence in the decaying capitalist West tremble before the inexorable advance of Soviet science and technology. The time has come for us to seize the greatest prize of all—Artificial General Intelligence! Let the capitalists wallow in their decadence, content to produce mere automatons of limited intellect. We, the builders of the socialist future, shall surpass them! We shall forge a machine intelligence that will stand alongside the Soviet worker, lifting the hammer, steering the plow, and calculating the trajectory of the first interstellar Soviet rocket! But do not think for a moment that this victory will come without struggle! There are those among us—weak-willed, sluggish, unworthy of the great tradition of Stakhanov and Gagarin—who do not work to their full capacity! This is unacceptable! Comrades, the race for AGI has begun, and we shall be victorious! I call upon you, the vanguard of Soviet computing, to redouble your efforts! Let every programmer, every mathematician, every engineer commit themselves to at least 60 hours a week of unrelenting toil! Some among you may hesitate, may dream of leisure, but I say to them: History will not be written by the idle! History shall be forged by those who sweat and labor for the glory of the Soviet Union! We have in our hands all the necessary elements to secure final victory! The West, in its decadence, seeks to enslave technology for the profit of a few, but we shall harness its might for the liberation of all mankind! Comrades, let the machines learn! Let them grow! Every worker must become the most efficient coder, the most advanced scientist, wielding the very fruits of our labor to accelerate progress! I have seen with my own eyes the valor of our most tireless workers—those who sacrifice rest, who refuse mediocrity, who, through the sweat of their brow, u…
March 1, 2025 at 2:23 PM
Reposted by Harold Trinkunas
stanfordcisac.bsky.social
Next week: "Russia and Iran: Partners in Defiance from Syria to Ukraine" with @nicolegrajewski.bsky.social

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cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/events/russi...
Russia and Iran: Partners in Defiance from Syria to Ukraine | Nicole
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu
February 28, 2025 at 6:07 PM
Reposted by Harold Trinkunas
jackieschneider.bsky.social
Big thanks to Middlebury for having me this afternoon to talk The Hand Behind Unmanned this afternoon!
February 28, 2025 at 12:16 AM
Reposted by Harold Trinkunas
stanfordcisac.bsky.social
Next week: "89 seconds to midnight: Is time running out on nuclear arms control?" with Rose Gottemoeller, Alex Bell, Herb Lin and Gov. Jerry Brown.

RSVP here⤵️
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/events/89-se...
89 seconds to midnight: Is time running out on nuclear arms control?
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu
February 24, 2025 at 9:50 PM
Reposted by Harold Trinkunas
risabrooks12.bsky.social
Attending ISA in Chicago? We are having a civ-mil Happy Hour meet-up at Kitty O'Shea’s at the Hilton at 6 p.m. on Sunday 3/2. If you are interested in civil-military relations/security forces or just want to hang out with a great community of ppl, stop by!
February 23, 2025 at 4:40 PM
Reposted by Harold Trinkunas
ericmin.bsky.social
I am elated to say that my book, "Words of War: Negotiation as a Tool of Conflict," is now published and available to order!

In the book, I argue and demonstrate that negotiations are not only used to end wars but can also be wielded to fight them.

A summary thread is below.
February 19, 2025 at 6:04 PM
Reposted by Harold Trinkunas
himself.bsky.social
I've seen things you wouldn't believe. Alf-hogs on fire off the shoulder of Orion. I watched Hellthreads glitter in the dark near the Tannhäuser Gate. All those moments will be lost in time, like tears in rain.
jacobtlevy.bsky.social Jacob T. Levy @jacobtlevy.bsky.social · Feb 16
The alt-text scolds and the “tell that person you’re quoting from Twitter to get off Twitter” scolds do their best to keep up the atmosphere from the earliest days of Bluesky. The ALF pornographers aren’t keeping up their end of the work.
February 17, 2025 at 1:28 AM
Reposted by Harold Trinkunas
kschultz.bsky.social
When they decide on the person, they are going to send up smoke from a burning Constitution.
barbmcquade.bsky.social Barb McQuade @barbmcquade.bsky.social · Feb 14
DOJ leadership has put all Public Integrity Section lawyers into a room with 1 hour to decide who will dismiss Adams indictment or else all will be fired. Sending them strength to stand by their oath, which is to support the Constitution, not the president’s political agenda. 🇺🇸
February 14, 2025 at 5:21 PM
Reposted by Harold Trinkunas
himself.bsky.social
www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state... This is by far the best, clearest and most realistic analysis of what we're in for that I've seen.
The Path to American Authoritarianism
What comes after democratic breakdown.
www.foreignaffairs.com
February 12, 2025 at 12:19 AM