We didn’t just flip a Trump +19 county blue. We flipped Escambia County—#FL01’s largest.
We proved what’s possible when you stop theorizing and start organizing.
secure.actblue.com/donate/ehrfo...
We proved what’s possible when you stop theorizing and start organizing.
secure.actblue.com/donate/ehrfo...
May 5, 2025 at 3:19 AM
We didn’t just flip a Trump +19 county blue. We flipped Escambia County—#FL01’s largest.
We proved what’s possible when you stop theorizing and start organizing.
secure.actblue.com/donate/ehrfo...
We proved what’s possible when you stop theorizing and start organizing.
secure.actblue.com/donate/ehrfo...
I mean, FL01 was R+32 and FL06 was R+33 in 2024 congressional elections, and they both just went R+14. That seems like a HUGE shift, and that's what all the anaylsis I'm seeing from usually trusted folks says?
April 2, 2025 at 12:56 PM
I mean, FL01 was R+32 and FL06 was R+33 in 2024 congressional elections, and they both just went R+14. That seems like a HUGE shift, and that's what all the anaylsis I'm seeing from usually trusted folks says?
Dems overperforming the Trump vote in FL01 by ~22 points.
Trump won IL16 (Darin LaHood) by 22.7%
Just sayin!
Trump won IL16 (Darin LaHood) by 22.7%
Just sayin!
April 2, 2025 at 1:55 AM
Dems overperforming the Trump vote in FL01 by ~22 points.
Trump won IL16 (Darin LaHood) by 22.7%
Just sayin!
Trump won IL16 (Darin LaHood) by 22.7%
Just sayin!
Having lived in northern Florida, FL01 is not a moderate district. It’s just not.
It was Gaetz’s district, it’s the Panhandle, there’s a documentary about how crazy folks are.
A 22% swing in 5 months is a tsunami.
It was Gaetz’s district, it’s the Panhandle, there’s a documentary about how crazy folks are.
A 22% swing in 5 months is a tsunami.
April 2, 2025 at 1:17 AM
Having lived in northern Florida, FL01 is not a moderate district. It’s just not.
It was Gaetz’s district, it’s the Panhandle, there’s a documentary about how crazy folks are.
A 22% swing in 5 months is a tsunami.
It was Gaetz’s district, it’s the Panhandle, there’s a documentary about how crazy folks are.
A 22% swing in 5 months is a tsunami.
Looks like both FL races are Republican by about 14-15%.
In other words, 2 districts that were won by about 32-33% 5 months ago just swing 15-20 points to the left.
FL06 in 2022 was won by over 50%. FL01 in 2022 was won by over 35%.
There is NO spin that is favorable for Republicans here.
In other words, 2 districts that were won by about 32-33% 5 months ago just swing 15-20 points to the left.
FL06 in 2022 was won by over 50%. FL01 in 2022 was won by over 35%.
There is NO spin that is favorable for Republicans here.
April 2, 2025 at 12:53 AM
Looks like both FL races are Republican by about 14-15%.
In other words, 2 districts that were won by about 32-33% 5 months ago just swing 15-20 points to the left.
FL06 in 2022 was won by over 50%. FL01 in 2022 was won by over 35%.
There is NO spin that is favorable for Republicans here.
In other words, 2 districts that were won by about 32-33% 5 months ago just swing 15-20 points to the left.
FL06 in 2022 was won by over 50%. FL01 in 2022 was won by over 35%.
There is NO spin that is favorable for Republicans here.
Very.
FL06 they could say "well, Fine is just hated". But in FL01?
FL06 they could say "well, Fine is just hated". But in FL01?
April 2, 2025 at 12:41 AM
Very.
FL06 they could say "well, Fine is just hated". But in FL01?
FL06 they could say "well, Fine is just hated". But in FL01?
FL01 is essentially done, voted for Trump by R+37 and were at about a R+13 win. Just massive swings tonight and I cant urge you enough to start helping and looking around your state legislature seats for 25/26 or other states if you live in a pretty comfortably Blue one
April 2, 2025 at 12:33 AM
FL01 is essentially done, voted for Trump by R+37 and were at about a R+13 win. Just massive swings tonight and I cant urge you enough to start helping and looking around your state legislature seats for 25/26 or other states if you live in a pretty comfortably Blue one
Early results show Democrats are in for a huge overperformance in FL01, where polls just closed. This is even redder than FL06: Trump won it by 37%.
April 2, 2025 at 12:10 AM
Early results show Democrats are in for a huge overperformance in FL01, where polls just closed. This is even redder than FL06: Trump won it by 37%.
obviously the difference here could just be Persuasion, the turnout gap in FL01 might be closer to the real vote than in FL06
that's the problem with turnout data!
but I haven't seen much evidence presented anywhere that that's the case, and everyone seems to assume it anyhow? Guess we'll see.
that's the problem with turnout data!
but I haven't seen much evidence presented anywhere that that's the case, and everyone seems to assume it anyhow? Guess we'll see.
March 31, 2025 at 7:15 PM
obviously the difference here could just be Persuasion, the turnout gap in FL01 might be closer to the real vote than in FL06
that's the problem with turnout data!
but I haven't seen much evidence presented anywhere that that's the case, and everyone seems to assume it anyhow? Guess we'll see.
that's the problem with turnout data!
but I haven't seen much evidence presented anywhere that that's the case, and everyone seems to assume it anyhow? Guess we'll see.
certainly no one knows
but if it's the case that what makes FL01 different is persuasion rather than baseline partisanship, that's a claim that would have to be backed up with reporting on polls, and i've seen it mostly just taken for granted
but if it's the case that what makes FL01 different is persuasion rather than baseline partisanship, that's a claim that would have to be backed up with reporting on polls, and i've seen it mostly just taken for granted
March 31, 2025 at 6:50 PM
certainly no one knows
but if it's the case that what makes FL01 different is persuasion rather than baseline partisanship, that's a claim that would have to be backed up with reporting on polls, and i've seen it mostly just taken for granted
but if it's the case that what makes FL01 different is persuasion rather than baseline partisanship, that's a claim that would have to be backed up with reporting on polls, and i've seen it mostly just taken for granted
Gay Valimont has real plans to lower costs and protect neighbors in #FL01—just look at her website. Her opponent? No plans. Just Trump pics. He’ll back cuts to Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid.
Gay will fight for you. It’s crystal clear who’s on your side.
gayforcongress.com
Gay will fight for you. It’s crystal clear who’s on your side.
gayforcongress.com
Gay Valimont for Congress
Gay Valimont is the Democrat nominee for Florida's 1st Congressional District who will bring real leadership to Northwest Florida. Vote in the April 1st Special Election.
gayforcongress.com
March 30, 2025 at 4:26 PM
Gay Valimont has real plans to lower costs and protect neighbors in #FL01—just look at her website. Her opponent? No plans. Just Trump pics. He’ll back cuts to Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid.
Gay will fight for you. It’s crystal clear who’s on your side.
gayforcongress.com
Gay will fight for you. It’s crystal clear who’s on your side.
gayforcongress.com
Gay Valimont has real plans to lower costs and protect neighbors in #FL01—just look at her website. Her opponent? No plans. Just Trump pics. He’ll back cuts to Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid.
Gay will fight for you. It’s crystal clear who’s on your side.
gayforcongress.com
Gay will fight for you. It’s crystal clear who’s on your side.
gayforcongress.com
Gay Valimont for Congress
Gay Valimont is the Democrat nominee for Florida's 1st Congressional District who will bring real leadership to Northwest Florida. Vote in the April 1st Special Election.
gayforcongress.com
March 29, 2025 at 9:49 PM
Gay Valimont has real plans to lower costs and protect neighbors in #FL01—just look at her website. Her opponent? No plans. Just Trump pics. He’ll back cuts to Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid.
Gay will fight for you. It’s crystal clear who’s on your side.
gayforcongress.com
Gay will fight for you. It’s crystal clear who’s on your side.
gayforcongress.com
Gay Valimont has real plans to lower costs and protect neighbors in #FL01—just look at her website.
Her opponent? No plans. Just Trump pics. He’ll back cuts to Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid.
Gay will fight for you. It’s crystal clear who’s on your side.
gayforcongress.com
Her opponent? No plans. Just Trump pics. He’ll back cuts to Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid.
Gay will fight for you. It’s crystal clear who’s on your side.
gayforcongress.com
Gay Valimont for Congress
Gay Valimont is the Democrat nominee for Florida's 1st Congressional District who will bring real leadership to Northwest Florida. Vote in the April 1st Special Election.
gayforcongress.com
March 29, 2025 at 5:12 PM
Gay Valimont has real plans to lower costs and protect neighbors in #FL01—just look at her website.
Her opponent? No plans. Just Trump pics. He’ll back cuts to Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid.
Gay will fight for you. It’s crystal clear who’s on your side.
gayforcongress.com
Her opponent? No plans. Just Trump pics. He’ll back cuts to Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid.
Gay will fight for you. It’s crystal clear who’s on your side.
gayforcongress.com
Gay Valimont has real plans to lower costs and protect neighbors in #FL01—just look at her website. Her opponent? No plans. Just Trump pics. He’ll back cuts to Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid. Gay will fight for you. It’s crystal clear who’s on your side.
gayforcongress.com
gayforcongress.com
Gay Valimont for Congress
Gay Valimont is the Democrat nominee for Florida's 1st Congressional District who will bring real leadership to Northwest Florida. Vote in the April 1st Special Election.
gayforcongress.com
March 28, 2025 at 10:16 PM
Gay Valimont has real plans to lower costs and protect neighbors in #FL01—just look at her website. Her opponent? No plans. Just Trump pics. He’ll back cuts to Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid. Gay will fight for you. It’s crystal clear who’s on your side.
gayforcongress.com
gayforcongress.com
#DONATE To #FL01 #FL06 Candidates AND #WIStateSupremeCourt Candidate (Elon is AGAIN #Illegally Doing #Lotteries with #GOPVOTERS=$1MillionDollar Winners 🙀just like he did in PA last Nov. Elon wants the #GOPCandidate who is His Stooge, bc WI will not allow #TeslaToOpenDealerships; Elon has Sued State.
March 28, 2025 at 3:46 PM
#DONATE To #FL01 #FL06 Candidates AND #WIStateSupremeCourt Candidate (Elon is AGAIN #Illegally Doing #Lotteries with #GOPVOTERS=$1MillionDollar Winners 🙀just like he did in PA last Nov. Elon wants the #GOPCandidate who is His Stooge, bc WI will not allow #TeslaToOpenDealerships; Elon has Sued State.
Gay Valimont has real plans to lower costs and protect neighbors in #FL01—just look at her website. Her opponent? No plans. Just Trump pics. He’ll back cuts to Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid. Gay will fight for you. It’s crystal clear who’s on your side.
gayforcongress.com
gayforcongress.com
Gay Valimont for Congress
Gay Valimont is the Democrat nominee for Florida's 1st Congressional District who will bring real leadership to Northwest Florida. Vote in the April 1st Special Election.
gayforcongress.com
March 27, 2025 at 11:07 PM
Gay Valimont has real plans to lower costs and protect neighbors in #FL01—just look at her website. Her opponent? No plans. Just Trump pics. He’ll back cuts to Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid. Gay will fight for you. It’s crystal clear who’s on your side.
gayforcongress.com
gayforcongress.com
My takeaway from Trump pulling Elise Stefanik's U.N. nomination is that internal GOP numbers must look *terrible*, not just in Stefanik's #NY21 district, but also in next week's #FL06 and #FL01 special elections.
You don't make a move like this unless you're scared.
www.cnbc.com/2025/03/27/t...
You don't make a move like this unless you're scared.
www.cnbc.com/2025/03/27/t...
Trump withdraws nomination of Rep. Elise Stefanik for U.N. ambassador
President Trump cited the narrow majority Republicans hold in the House of Representative in pulling the New York lawmaker's name from Senate consideration.
www.cnbc.com
March 27, 2025 at 6:34 PM
My takeaway from Trump pulling Elise Stefanik's U.N. nomination is that internal GOP numbers must look *terrible*, not just in Stefanik's #NY21 district, but also in next week's #FL06 and #FL01 special elections.
You don't make a move like this unless you're scared.
www.cnbc.com/2025/03/27/t...
You don't make a move like this unless you're scared.
www.cnbc.com/2025/03/27/t...
Gay Valimont has real plans to lower costs and protect neighbors in #FL01—just look at her website. Her opponent? No plans. Just Trump pics. He’ll back cuts to Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid. Gay will fight for you. It’s crystal clear who’s on your side.
gayforcongress.com
gayforcongress.com
Gay Valimont for Congress
Gay Valimont is the Democrat nominee for Florida's 1st Congressional District who will bring real leadership to Northwest Florida. Vote in the April 1st Special Election.
gayforcongress.com
March 27, 2025 at 12:10 PM
Gay Valimont has real plans to lower costs and protect neighbors in #FL01—just look at her website. Her opponent? No plans. Just Trump pics. He’ll back cuts to Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid. Gay will fight for you. It’s crystal clear who’s on your side.
gayforcongress.com
gayforcongress.com
#Florida Don’t let yourselves get doged. You can stop Musk from stealing your SS.
Please vote on April 1st for-
✔️Josh Weil FL06
✔️Gay Valimont FL01
Don’t flip out about what they’re doing in Congress-Flip seats.
You don’t have to be a dem to vote for Josh & Gay. You just need common sense.
GOTV!
Please vote on April 1st for-
✔️Josh Weil FL06
✔️Gay Valimont FL01
Don’t flip out about what they’re doing in Congress-Flip seats.
You don’t have to be a dem to vote for Josh & Gay. You just need common sense.
GOTV!
March 27, 2025 at 12:09 PM
#Florida Don’t let yourselves get doged. You can stop Musk from stealing your SS.
Please vote on April 1st for-
✔️Josh Weil FL06
✔️Gay Valimont FL01
Don’t flip out about what they’re doing in Congress-Flip seats.
You don’t have to be a dem to vote for Josh & Gay. You just need common sense.
GOTV!
Please vote on April 1st for-
✔️Josh Weil FL06
✔️Gay Valimont FL01
Don’t flip out about what they’re doing in Congress-Flip seats.
You don’t have to be a dem to vote for Josh & Gay. You just need common sense.
GOTV!
Gay Valimont has real plans to lower costs and protect neighbors in #FL01—just look at her website. Her opponent? No plans. Just Trump pics. He’ll back cuts to Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid. Gay will fight for you. It’s crystal clear who’s on your side.
gayforcongress.com
gayforcongress.com
Gay Valimont for Congress
Gay Valimont is the Democrat nominee for Florida's 1st Congressional District who will bring real leadership to Northwest Florida. Vote in the April 1st Special Election.
gayforcongress.com
March 27, 2025 at 1:46 AM
Gay Valimont has real plans to lower costs and protect neighbors in #FL01—just look at her website. Her opponent? No plans. Just Trump pics. He’ll back cuts to Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid. Gay will fight for you. It’s crystal clear who’s on your side.
gayforcongress.com
gayforcongress.com
Dems just flipped a PA Senate seat for the 1st time since 1889—beating a Trump +15 district. The tide is turning!
Next we win #FL01 & #FL06 & flip the US House. Help us keep blasting ads & billboards exposing GOP attacks on veterans, Social Security & Medicaid: turnleft.link/-bs
Next we win #FL01 & #FL06 & flip the US House. Help us keep blasting ads & billboards exposing GOP attacks on veterans, Social Security & Medicaid: turnleft.link/-bs
March 26, 2025 at 11:49 PM
Dems just flipped a PA Senate seat for the 1st time since 1889—beating a Trump +15 district. The tide is turning!
Next we win #FL01 & #FL06 & flip the US House. Help us keep blasting ads & billboards exposing GOP attacks on veterans, Social Security & Medicaid: turnleft.link/-bs
Next we win #FL01 & #FL06 & flip the US House. Help us keep blasting ads & billboards exposing GOP attacks on veterans, Social Security & Medicaid: turnleft.link/-bs
Gay Valimont has real plans to lower costs and protect neighbors in #FL01—just look at her website. Her opponent? No plans. Just Trump pics. He’ll back cuts to Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid. Gay will fight for you. It’s crystal clear who’s on your side.
gayforcongress.com
gayforcongress.com
Gay Valimont for Congress
Gay Valimont is the Democrat nominee for Florida's 1st Congressional District who will bring real leadership to Northwest Florida. Vote in the April 1st Special Election.
gayforcongress.com
March 26, 2025 at 10:31 PM
Gay Valimont has real plans to lower costs and protect neighbors in #FL01—just look at her website. Her opponent? No plans. Just Trump pics. He’ll back cuts to Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid. Gay will fight for you. It’s crystal clear who’s on your side.
gayforcongress.com
gayforcongress.com
Good morning, Foxy and friends. Just a reminder next Tuesday, April 1st is election day for:
✔️FL01 vote Gay Valimont @gayforcongress.bsky.social
✔️FL06 vote @joshweil.bsky.social
And Wisconsin, vote Susan Crawford for Supreme Court and Jill Underly for Superintendent of Public Instruction.
✔️FL01 vote Gay Valimont @gayforcongress.bsky.social
✔️FL06 vote @joshweil.bsky.social
And Wisconsin, vote Susan Crawford for Supreme Court and Jill Underly for Superintendent of Public Instruction.
March 26, 2025 at 12:36 PM
Good morning, Foxy and friends. Just a reminder next Tuesday, April 1st is election day for:
✔️FL01 vote Gay Valimont @gayforcongress.bsky.social
✔️FL06 vote @joshweil.bsky.social
And Wisconsin, vote Susan Crawford for Supreme Court and Jill Underly for Superintendent of Public Instruction.
✔️FL01 vote Gay Valimont @gayforcongress.bsky.social
✔️FL06 vote @joshweil.bsky.social
And Wisconsin, vote Susan Crawford for Supreme Court and Jill Underly for Superintendent of Public Instruction.