Zach Glaser
@ziglaser.bsky.social
Climate PhD student at Caltech. Listless young adult and blogger.
ziglaser.substack.com
ziglaser.substack.com
I know it isn't worth my time to treat NYT opinion columnists like coherent thinkers, but it's just so galling to watch filibuster-supporter David Brooks insist that Democrats trying to win the bipartisan concessions he so fetishizes are the real problem with our democracy
October 24, 2025 at 7:35 PM
I know it isn't worth my time to treat NYT opinion columnists like coherent thinkers, but it's just so galling to watch filibuster-supporter David Brooks insist that Democrats trying to win the bipartisan concessions he so fetishizes are the real problem with our democracy
People saying stuff like this are cranks, and almost as far outside the scientific mainstream as climate deniers
Under the SSP2-4.5 "middle road" scenario (which imo is a bit pessimistic) we expect warming of 1.4-3 deg C by 2100 (IPCC AR6)
Corresponding sea level rise of less than a meter
Under the SSP2-4.5 "middle road" scenario (which imo is a bit pessimistic) we expect warming of 1.4-3 deg C by 2100 (IPCC AR6)
Corresponding sea level rise of less than a meter
September 23, 2025 at 6:52 PM
People saying stuff like this are cranks, and almost as far outside the scientific mainstream as climate deniers
Under the SSP2-4.5 "middle road" scenario (which imo is a bit pessimistic) we expect warming of 1.4-3 deg C by 2100 (IPCC AR6)
Corresponding sea level rise of less than a meter
Under the SSP2-4.5 "middle road" scenario (which imo is a bit pessimistic) we expect warming of 1.4-3 deg C by 2100 (IPCC AR6)
Corresponding sea level rise of less than a meter
In fact, the research group cited in the article--Opportunity Insights--elsewhere conclude that standardized tests are less biased against low-income students than almost any other aspect of "holistic admissions"
August 7, 2025 at 8:55 PM
In fact, the research group cited in the article--Opportunity Insights--elsewhere conclude that standardized tests are less biased against low-income students than almost any other aspect of "holistic admissions"
During Pride I was very concerned about the impending simultaneous outbreak of clear weather, storms, and a heat wave
July 27, 2025 at 9:00 PM
During Pride I was very concerned about the impending simultaneous outbreak of clear weather, storms, and a heat wave
Yeah, I’m claiming victory with this:
July 20, 2025 at 12:25 AM
Yeah, I’m claiming victory with this:
Katie had the magic touch, truly repping the D, F, and L!
July 17, 2025 at 1:51 AM
Katie had the magic touch, truly repping the D, F, and L!
This is the adorable truth they don’t want you to know about how the nuggets get made in Minneapolis politics
July 17, 2025 at 1:45 AM
This is the adorable truth they don’t want you to know about how the nuggets get made in Minneapolis politics
Over 15 cars got broken into last night on Clifton Ave in Loring Park, crazy line of punched out windows
July 15, 2025 at 2:36 PM
Over 15 cars got broken into last night on Clifton Ave in Loring Park, crazy line of punched out windows
Today in Loring Park:
Ratboy continues his war of attrition against Minneapolis Public Works
A sawblade is left embedded in the concrete on the Lyndale Ave construction, waiting for a worthy passerby to remove it and rule the bike lane
Ratboy continues his war of attrition against Minneapolis Public Works
A sawblade is left embedded in the concrete on the Lyndale Ave construction, waiting for a worthy passerby to remove it and rule the bike lane
June 24, 2025 at 2:43 AM
Today in Loring Park:
Ratboy continues his war of attrition against Minneapolis Public Works
A sawblade is left embedded in the concrete on the Lyndale Ave construction, waiting for a worthy passerby to remove it and rule the bike lane
Ratboy continues his war of attrition against Minneapolis Public Works
A sawblade is left embedded in the concrete on the Lyndale Ave construction, waiting for a worthy passerby to remove it and rule the bike lane
Storm between me and the Sun, just a giant dark mass slowly approaching
June 16, 2025 at 10:55 PM
Storm between me and the Sun, just a giant dark mass slowly approaching
It's bad that housing is so expensive in Blue states, and the results from redistricting will mildly hurt Democrats. But the Electoral College dooming is seriously overblown.
Only one election since 1948--Bush v Gore--was decided by an Electoral Vote margin close enough for redistricting to matter.
Only one election since 1948--Bush v Gore--was decided by an Electoral Vote margin close enough for redistricting to matter.
June 16, 2025 at 6:48 PM
It's bad that housing is so expensive in Blue states, and the results from redistricting will mildly hurt Democrats. But the Electoral College dooming is seriously overblown.
Only one election since 1948--Bush v Gore--was decided by an Electoral Vote margin close enough for redistricting to matter.
Only one election since 1948--Bush v Gore--was decided by an Electoral Vote margin close enough for redistricting to matter.
People stuck it out for a massive No Kings protest today at the St Paul Capitol
June 14, 2025 at 7:33 PM
People stuck it out for a massive No Kings protest today at the St Paul Capitol
Bus behind us also full
June 14, 2025 at 4:23 PM
Bus behind us also full
Volunteers supplying the inaugural B-Line with balloons 🫡
June 14, 2025 at 4:14 PM
Volunteers supplying the inaugural B-Line with balloons 🫡
Learned a lesson today about getting off my ass sooner and taking action. By the time I got to Lake and Bloomington the vans had already rolled off (and KSTP was setting up). Won't make that mistake again!
June 3, 2025 at 7:10 PM
Learned a lesson today about getting off my ass sooner and taking action. By the time I got to Lake and Bloomington the vans had already rolled off (and KSTP was setting up). Won't make that mistake again!
As a certified young person, nothing makes a city feel as cool and vibrant as 2011 digital camera technology and strong independent local journalism
May 10, 2025 at 6:46 PM
As a certified young person, nothing makes a city feel as cool and vibrant as 2011 digital camera technology and strong independent local journalism
“We’ve lived through some of the most challenging circumstances the world has ever seen” says Mayor Frey to a room half filled with people who live in multi-million dollar lakefront properties
May 10, 2025 at 5:36 PM
“We’ve lived through some of the most challenging circumstances the world has ever seen” says Mayor Frey to a room half filled with people who live in multi-million dollar lakefront properties
While Angie Craig put up a huge margin in 2024, the history is more mixed on her strength as a candidate.
This year she out performed Harris by 7.7%, but it was the first year she beat the top of the ticket (it's worth noting that 3rd parties consistently dragged down her vote share)
This year she out performed Harris by 7.7%, but it was the first year she beat the top of the ticket (it's worth noting that 3rd parties consistently dragged down her vote share)
April 29, 2025 at 10:06 PM
While Angie Craig put up a huge margin in 2024, the history is more mixed on her strength as a candidate.
This year she out performed Harris by 7.7%, but it was the first year she beat the top of the ticket (it's worth noting that 3rd parties consistently dragged down her vote share)
This year she out performed Harris by 7.7%, but it was the first year she beat the top of the ticket (it's worth noting that 3rd parties consistently dragged down her vote share)
All of the model variables were highly correlated precinct-by-precinct, as you can see below, so it would be a lot of work to do any kind of inference the specific relationships between demographic variables and mayoral candidates.
April 20, 2025 at 9:48 PM
All of the model variables were highly correlated precinct-by-precinct, as you can see below, so it would be a lot of work to do any kind of inference the specific relationships between demographic variables and mayoral candidates.
Maps of Minneapolis for each of the underlying model variables. Ilhan Omar primary vote share and renter % were the most important variables in the model.
April 20, 2025 at 9:41 PM
Maps of Minneapolis for each of the underlying model variables. Ilhan Omar primary vote share and renter % were the most important variables in the model.
At long last, a complete model of the mayoral results from the 2025 Minneapolis DFL Precinct Caucus!
April 20, 2025 at 9:32 PM
At long last, a complete model of the mayoral results from the 2025 Minneapolis DFL Precinct Caucus!
I aggregated the replies to @wedge.live and other delegate counts I could find from last night's Minneapolis DFL precinct caucuses.
It's hard to draw any conclusions, since the sample is far from representative. We have results from 35% of precincts, with nearly all reports from Wards 1-3 and 7-12.
It's hard to draw any conclusions, since the sample is far from representative. We have results from 35% of precincts, with nearly all reports from Wards 1-3 and 7-12.
April 9, 2025 at 8:45 PM
I aggregated the replies to @wedge.live and other delegate counts I could find from last night's Minneapolis DFL precinct caucuses.
It's hard to draw any conclusions, since the sample is far from representative. We have results from 35% of precincts, with nearly all reports from Wards 1-3 and 7-12.
It's hard to draw any conclusions, since the sample is far from representative. We have results from 35% of precincts, with nearly all reports from Wards 1-3 and 7-12.