@zbobet2012.bsky.social
The sad part is I couldn't tell if this post was about Space X or Palantir...
November 4, 2025 at 10:33 PM
The sad part is I couldn't tell if this post was about Space X or Palantir...
Exactly. It's really hard sometimes in this conflict to even begin to explain that the city looking destroyed was inevitable for the conflict, but the *claimed* 1:1 civilian:combatant causality ratio is much higher than most modern comparable actions.
July 23, 2025 at 5:15 AM
Exactly. It's really hard sometimes in this conflict to even begin to explain that the city looking destroyed was inevitable for the conflict, but the *claimed* 1:1 civilian:combatant causality ratio is much higher than most modern comparable actions.
And of course you want more tanks, because at the end of the day someone has to drive or walk into an area to take it. Drones (like airpower) don't have persistence and they can't dig trenches. If you're going to do that you'd rather do it with tanks than without.
July 22, 2025 at 7:37 PM
And of course you want more tanks, because at the end of the day someone has to drive or walk into an area to take it. Drones (like airpower) don't have persistence and they can't dig trenches. If you're going to do that you'd rather do it with tanks than without.
That was true at the start of the war, it's not true anymore: www.army-technology.com/news/drones-....
Drones now account for 80% of casualties in Ukraine-Russia war - Army Technology
Small and tactical-level drones have supplanted artillery as the most lethal military capability in the Ukraine-Russia war.
www.army-technology.com
July 22, 2025 at 7:33 PM
That was true at the start of the war, it's not true anymore: www.army-technology.com/news/drones-....
Ignoring the drone threat is insane. Russia and Ukraine have ton's of tanks, artillery, aircraft, and other systems yet on that battlefield 80% of casualties are from drones.
July 22, 2025 at 3:54 PM
Ignoring the drone threat is insane. Russia and Ukraine have ton's of tanks, artillery, aircraft, and other systems yet on that battlefield 80% of casualties are from drones.
It's *always* about the combined package of arms, and if the combined package doesn't have a _full_ set of drone capabilities (offensive, counter) I'm taking the package with the drone capabilities. Once you have those are direct fire capabilities still relevant? Absolutely! But...
July 22, 2025 at 3:54 PM
It's *always* about the combined package of arms, and if the combined package doesn't have a _full_ set of drone capabilities (offensive, counter) I'm taking the package with the drone capabilities. Once you have those are direct fire capabilities still relevant? Absolutely! But...
If the supped up AAVs come with 50,000 drones with capable AI based terminal guidance, a full set of soft & hard kill anti-drone counter measures, embedded AA, and some longer range precision fires: I'll take the AAVs. If I can get the same with M1A2s? I'll take the M1A2s.
July 22, 2025 at 3:49 PM
If the supped up AAVs come with 50,000 drones with capable AI based terminal guidance, a full set of soft & hard kill anti-drone counter measures, embedded AA, and some longer range precision fires: I'll take the AAVs. If I can get the same with M1A2s? I'll take the M1A2s.
I don't think the age of the tank is over, but saying "why would both sides in a war want tanks?" when they are down to using literal donkeys and scooters for battlefield mobility in many cases isn't a winning point for me. Counter measures for drones currently lag (see www.rusi.org/explore-our-...)
Unshackling Training with Drones in the Army
Drone warfare has revolutionised the battlefield – it is urgent that regulatory barriers to training are modernised.
www.rusi.org
July 22, 2025 at 3:39 PM
I don't think the age of the tank is over, but saying "why would both sides in a war want tanks?" when they are down to using literal donkeys and scooters for battlefield mobility in many cases isn't a winning point for me. Counter measures for drones currently lag (see www.rusi.org/explore-our-...)
Tax cuts ... For the rich. And I do mean rich, as in those making greater than 700k per year.
July 11, 2025 at 10:29 AM
Tax cuts ... For the rich. And I do mean rich, as in those making greater than 700k per year.
Sauces: Wikipedia. Modern militaries are more than capable of not killing one civilian for every combatant.
June 30, 2025 at 10:24 PM
Sauces: Wikipedia. Modern militaries are more than capable of not killing one civilian for every combatant.
Made a table of this some time ago:
City | Casualties/Combatant | Deaths/Combatant
Gaza | 10 | 1
Mosul | 2.5 | 0.5
Fallujah | ~1 | 0.3
Even using Israel's claimed numbers it's not good.
City | Casualties/Combatant | Deaths/Combatant
Gaza | 10 | 1
Mosul | 2.5 | 0.5
Fallujah | ~1 | 0.3
Even using Israel's claimed numbers it's not good.
June 30, 2025 at 10:23 PM
Made a table of this some time ago:
City | Casualties/Combatant | Deaths/Combatant
Gaza | 10 | 1
Mosul | 2.5 | 0.5
Fallujah | ~1 | 0.3
Even using Israel's claimed numbers it's not good.
City | Casualties/Combatant | Deaths/Combatant
Gaza | 10 | 1
Mosul | 2.5 | 0.5
Fallujah | ~1 | 0.3
Even using Israel's claimed numbers it's not good.
Think LPI and Jam resistant radios, full AI guidance and co-operation, and stealthy materials. And yes those can be achieved in economical fashions, we already are seeing that to some degree. Again from a military with very little budget to spend.
June 27, 2025 at 10:32 PM
Think LPI and Jam resistant radios, full AI guidance and co-operation, and stealthy materials. And yes those can be achieved in economical fashions, we already are seeing that to some degree. Again from a military with very little budget to spend.
Drones as used by Russia or Ukraine today have some pretty serious limitations, but if you're _at all_ concerned by what a country like Ukraine (poor, under distress) can achieve with drones you should _really_ be afraid of what a country like China could achieve with them.
June 27, 2025 at 10:32 PM
Drones as used by Russia or Ukraine today have some pretty serious limitations, but if you're _at all_ concerned by what a country like Ukraine (poor, under distress) can achieve with drones you should _really_ be afraid of what a country like China could achieve with them.
Repeat after me:
1) I can not jam the drones, because they have wires
2) I can not jam the drones, because they don't need remote guidance
3) I can not jam the drones, because my jammer is target for home on jam
4) I can not jam the drones, because the energy war favors the transmitter
1) I can not jam the drones, because they have wires
2) I can not jam the drones, because they don't need remote guidance
3) I can not jam the drones, because my jammer is target for home on jam
4) I can not jam the drones, because the energy war favors the transmitter
June 27, 2025 at 10:14 PM
Repeat after me:
1) I can not jam the drones, because they have wires
2) I can not jam the drones, because they don't need remote guidance
3) I can not jam the drones, because my jammer is target for home on jam
4) I can not jam the drones, because the energy war favors the transmitter
1) I can not jam the drones, because they have wires
2) I can not jam the drones, because they don't need remote guidance
3) I can not jam the drones, because my jammer is target for home on jam
4) I can not jam the drones, because the energy war favors the transmitter
Technological over match is *absolutely* a thing and ignoring it should terrify you. You might well end up being the Iraqis in the first gulf war. And just to be blunt, if you think *jammers* are a solution to the drone problem you've not been paying attention.
June 27, 2025 at 10:08 PM
Technological over match is *absolutely* a thing and ignoring it should terrify you. You might well end up being the Iraqis in the first gulf war. And just to be blunt, if you think *jammers* are a solution to the drone problem you've not been paying attention.
Others pointed out the fiber optic drones, they've not mentioned the AI powered ones. Those are already deployed, they are getting better, and the cost increase isn't much. It's going to be very easy for countries to wind up in a situation where they can not contest or hold any point on the ground.
June 27, 2025 at 10:08 PM
Others pointed out the fiber optic drones, they've not mentioned the AI powered ones. Those are already deployed, they are getting better, and the cost increase isn't much. It's going to be very easy for countries to wind up in a situation where they can not contest or hold any point on the ground.
This is like saying that a smart phone is an evolution of automated looms and the telegraph. True but it misses the point. At some point technological gaps can not be overcome by tactical adaptation. This has been true in the air domain for a long time, and will be so increasingly in ground warfare.
June 27, 2025 at 10:08 PM
This is like saying that a smart phone is an evolution of automated looms and the telegraph. True but it misses the point. At some point technological gaps can not be overcome by tactical adaptation. This has been true in the air domain for a long time, and will be so increasingly in ground warfare.
Ignoring technological adaptation is as dangerous as ignoring tactical, strategic, or any other adaptation. Maybe more.
And bluntly, that *so much* of the US defense community still thinks jammers are viable defense to drones is frankly terrifying.
And bluntly, that *so much* of the US defense community still thinks jammers are viable defense to drones is frankly terrifying.
June 27, 2025 at 9:56 PM
Ignoring technological adaptation is as dangerous as ignoring tactical, strategic, or any other adaptation. Maybe more.
And bluntly, that *so much* of the US defense community still thinks jammers are viable defense to drones is frankly terrifying.
And bluntly, that *so much* of the US defense community still thinks jammers are viable defense to drones is frankly terrifying.
The American actions in Iraq where disastrous for our foreign policy. I'm less convinced they where the trigger for the migrant crisis in Europe. The cascading failure of middle eastern states was more a consequence of social media, and instability in the region all the way back to the Ottoman.
April 15, 2025 at 5:35 PM
The American actions in Iraq where disastrous for our foreign policy. I'm less convinced they where the trigger for the migrant crisis in Europe. The cascading failure of middle eastern states was more a consequence of social media, and instability in the region all the way back to the Ottoman.
Reposted
It's like the "less/fewer" thing...
If there are zero things you can count, it's plural; but if there is zero of an uncountable mass, there is zero of it.
If there are zero things you can count, it's plural; but if there is zero of an uncountable mass, there is zero of it.
March 4, 2025 at 5:30 PM
It's like the "less/fewer" thing...
If there are zero things you can count, it's plural; but if there is zero of an uncountable mass, there is zero of it.
If there are zero things you can count, it's plural; but if there is zero of an uncountable mass, there is zero of it.
There's no strategy here. That's the catch, I often see folks analyzing Trump's foreign policy as if it where cohesive or directed. It's not. It's exactly like the man himself, disordered and incoherent.
February 22, 2025 at 4:06 PM
There's no strategy here. That's the catch, I often see folks analyzing Trump's foreign policy as if it where cohesive or directed. It's not. It's exactly like the man himself, disordered and incoherent.