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@xkeyscore.bsky.social
NYT subscriber. Reading about beliefs and alignments, preference cascades, Persia and Iraq.
google the word “disanalogy” and then think a little. will help you.
July 21, 2025 at 12:39 AM
employed by the Russians (one example is the bridges over the Dnieper, 2 years before generation was targeted, etc) but that’s a somewhat different conversation to begin with.
July 21, 2025 at 12:36 AM
“Ukraine has been subject to drone and missile “joint firepower strikes” for almost three years straight and it has availed the Russians nothing”

This seems genuinely v difficult to believe, even inc. some pretty dubious assumptions. There is something to be said about that actual targeting…
July 21, 2025 at 12:35 AM
They’ve come a long way since the 50s yes
July 21, 2025 at 12:32 AM
lol
July 20, 2025 at 10:33 PM
Rest in Peace
July 20, 2025 at 9:59 PM
No, this wasn’t possible. You can model it with the forces they had at the time, where they’d stage from, which units etc. Just wasn’t enough. Ru had a massive overwhelming advantage in the south. Plus a modern army fighting on 2 other axes. Very few countries could deal with that.
July 6, 2025 at 9:46 AM
in fairness the paper you’re almost certainly thinking of doesn’t actually argue that/come to those conclusions. It’s misrepresented a lot online.
July 6, 2025 at 9:44 AM
This is sort of like tracing the Vietnam war back to 1962.
July 6, 2025 at 9:28 AM
My recollection as a kid was that silver iodide does work, but it could screw weather patterns/produce unwanted second order effects, so we don’t use it. Plus people don’t like govt manipulating weather, we don’t need it to stop famines etc. Cool tech tho
July 6, 2025 at 8:36 AM
If they are okay with it could you share a link once it’s done? I’ve heard conflicting things about space based (and Ru countermeasures)
July 6, 2025 at 8:34 AM
well yes. reports had been flooding in the whole summer. “Bin Laden Determined to Strike in US” remember?
July 6, 2025 at 8:32 AM
We have a lot of (good) lit on the Israeli record wrt LOAC and simple domestic policy vis-a-vis the Palestinians. On their use of torture, adventures in Lebanon, so forth. It wasn’t surprising that they would immediately start mass murder in Gaza.
July 6, 2025 at 8:28 AM
Could you explain the Magna Carta one please?
July 6, 2025 at 8:21 AM