Lord Ashcroft is rated worse than Find Out Now, and somehow manages to be below even Matt Goodwin's outfit.
Yes, Reform have a solid lead and Green's are rising. Not arguing with any of that. Just that not all pollsters carry equal weight, based on past performance. They need to earn a reputation.
Yes, Reform have a solid lead and Green's are rising. Not arguing with any of that. Just that not all pollsters carry equal weight, based on past performance. They need to earn a reputation.
November 7, 2025 at 5:44 PM
Lord Ashcroft is rated worse than Find Out Now, and somehow manages to be below even Matt Goodwin's outfit.
Yes, Reform have a solid lead and Green's are rising. Not arguing with any of that. Just that not all pollsters carry equal weight, based on past performance. They need to earn a reputation.
Yes, Reform have a solid lead and Green's are rising. Not arguing with any of that. Just that not all pollsters carry equal weight, based on past performance. They need to earn a reputation.
There's a bias towards the more politically engaged (those that opt to do a political survey and know who they would vote for, rather than 'don't know') among the less politically engaged (those that participate in a daily lottery) so will favour a certain type of voter.
November 7, 2025 at 8:32 AM
There's a bias towards the more politically engaged (those that opt to do a political survey and know who they would vote for, rather than 'don't know') among the less politically engaged (those that participate in a daily lottery) so will favour a certain type of voter.
Decent summary here: www1.politicalbetting.com/index.php/ar...
Plus they have a D rating: electiondatavault.co.uk/tables/polli...
Plus they have a D rating: electiondatavault.co.uk/tables/polli...
November 7, 2025 at 8:15 AM
Decent summary here: www1.politicalbetting.com/index.php/ar...
Plus they have a D rating: electiondatavault.co.uk/tables/polli...
Plus they have a D rating: electiondatavault.co.uk/tables/polli...
Maybe the people that don't like maths are saying one thing and people that do are saying the other?
November 6, 2025 at 7:47 PM
Maybe the people that don't like maths are saying one thing and people that do are saying the other?
Absolute nonsense.
Not because it can't be true but because Find Out Now have such dubious methodology and are so misaligned with proven pollsters.
Not because it can't be true but because Find Out Now have such dubious methodology and are so misaligned with proven pollsters.
November 6, 2025 at 7:37 PM
Absolute nonsense.
Not because it can't be true but because Find Out Now have such dubious methodology and are so misaligned with proven pollsters.
Not because it can't be true but because Find Out Now have such dubious methodology and are so misaligned with proven pollsters.
You don't need to be Sherlock Holmes to work out why The Daily Mail is furious. But you do need basic critical thinking skills.
November 5, 2025 at 11:03 AM
You don't need to be Sherlock Holmes to work out why The Daily Mail is furious. But you do need basic critical thinking skills.
In which case, good to see the bots engaging in some critical thinking for once.
October 16, 2025 at 5:12 PM
In which case, good to see the bots engaging in some critical thinking for once.
A problem with pragmatism is that it can become reactive, not proactive. Regardless of its merits, or not, this feels like a reactive policy announcement.
September 27, 2025 at 10:45 AM
A problem with pragmatism is that it can become reactive, not proactive. Regardless of its merits, or not, this feels like a reactive policy announcement.
I'm likely to face the terrifying prospect in four years of living in a constituency where the only viable winners will be Reform or Conservative and I will need to choose whether a vote for the Conservatives to stop Reform is conscionable. I suspect it won't be.
September 25, 2025 at 5:19 PM
I'm likely to face the terrifying prospect in four years of living in a constituency where the only viable winners will be Reform or Conservative and I will need to choose whether a vote for the Conservatives to stop Reform is conscionable. I suspect it won't be.
Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election - Wikipedia
en.m.wikipedia.org
September 25, 2025 at 5:10 PM
Wasn't that the day they gave each other covid?
September 25, 2025 at 4:59 PM
Wasn't that the day they gave each other covid?
Regardless of political views, the problem with being a Trump supporter is that Trump lies about EVERYTHING.
So you end up talking nonsense and looking like a chump.
No credible person can be a Trump supporter and I want credible people in politics not chumps.
So you end up talking nonsense and looking like a chump.
No credible person can be a Trump supporter and I want credible people in politics not chumps.
September 25, 2025 at 4:49 PM
Regardless of political views, the problem with being a Trump supporter is that Trump lies about EVERYTHING.
So you end up talking nonsense and looking like a chump.
No credible person can be a Trump supporter and I want credible people in politics not chumps.
So you end up talking nonsense and looking like a chump.
No credible person can be a Trump supporter and I want credible people in politics not chumps.
For reference, his polling company is PeoplePolling so he cannot criticise other pollsters: electiondatavault.co.uk/tables/polli.... They are objectively rubbish.
Pollster Ratings – UK Election Data Vault
electiondatavault.co.uk
September 25, 2025 at 7:05 AM
For reference, his polling company is PeoplePolling so he cannot criticise other pollsters: electiondatavault.co.uk/tables/polli.... They are objectively rubbish.
Not all pollsters are equal...
electiondatavault.co.uk/tables/polli...
electiondatavault.co.uk/tables/polli...
Pollster Ratings – UK Election Data Vault
electiondatavault.co.uk
September 24, 2025 at 6:09 AM
Not all pollsters are equal...
electiondatavault.co.uk/tables/polli...
electiondatavault.co.uk/tables/polli...
The geek in me thinks this is such a great idea for a party, but probably much more fun for the host. If I did this, there would be a room full of bored people, listening to weird stuff they'd never heard before.
September 15, 2025 at 7:35 AM
The geek in me thinks this is such a great idea for a party, but probably much more fun for the host. If I did this, there would be a room full of bored people, listening to weird stuff they'd never heard before.
Kirk professed to be a Christian. All sides, those that agreed with him and those that didn't, would do well to remember these words, now more than ever:
“Love your enemies, do good to those who hate you, bless those who curse you, and pray for those who spitefully use you..."
“Love your enemies, do good to those who hate you, bless those who curse you, and pray for those who spitefully use you..."
September 13, 2025 at 8:34 AM
Kirk professed to be a Christian. All sides, those that agreed with him and those that didn't, would do well to remember these words, now more than ever:
“Love your enemies, do good to those who hate you, bless those who curse you, and pray for those who spitefully use you..."
“Love your enemies, do good to those who hate you, bless those who curse you, and pray for those who spitefully use you..."
At least compare like-for-like polling companies and use the preceding YouGov poll, which equates to a 2% swing and well inside margin of error. Far too early to infer anything.
September 10, 2025 at 9:48 PM
At least compare like-for-like polling companies and use the preceding YouGov poll, which equates to a 2% swing and well inside margin of error. Far too early to infer anything.
To be fair the worst person in the Conservative party is a moving beast as they keep joining Reform!
September 5, 2025 at 4:18 PM
To be fair the worst person in the Conservative party is a moving beast as they keep joining Reform!
...As well as their chairman resigning, a former deputy leader starting up a rival party and their former MP taking the party leader to court.
July 5, 2025 at 1:42 PM
...As well as their chairman resigning, a former deputy leader starting up a rival party and their former MP taking the party leader to court.
So Reform have had six MPs elected in the last year and two have lost the whip. And people think they can govern the country!
July 5, 2025 at 1:31 PM
So Reform have had six MPs elected in the last year and two have lost the whip. And people think they can govern the country!
Not really, because the Conservatives deliberately made budgetary decisions that would make things difficult for the incoming Labour government, and so putting their own interests above the country.
July 3, 2025 at 9:48 AM
Not really, because the Conservatives deliberately made budgetary decisions that would make things difficult for the incoming Labour government, and so putting their own interests above the country.