Winnable Democratic Races
@winnabledemraces.bsky.social
Boosting only Democratic gubernatorial and Congressional races that are both STRATEGIC and WINNABLE.
🔴 Ignore solid Republican seats
🔴 Ignore solid Democratic seats
🟢🟢🟢
Only promote competitive races ranked TOSS UP by Cook Political Report
🟢🟢🟢
🔴 Ignore solid Republican seats
🔴 Ignore solid Democratic seats
🟢🟢🟢
Only promote competitive races ranked TOSS UP by Cook Political Report
🟢🟢🟢
The Center for Politics is moving the MI Senate race from Leans Democrat to Likely Democrat.
“Minnesota Democrats will choose between, primarily, Rep. Angie Craig (D, MN-2) and Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan (D).”
centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...
“Minnesota Democrats will choose between, primarily, Rep. Angie Craig (D, MN-2) and Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan (D).”
centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...
Notes on the State of Politics: MN-SEN to Likely Democratic; Watching Voter Dropoff in VA-AG Race - Sabato's Crystal Ball
MN-SEN moves to Likely Democratic, and a look at how many voters skip the down-ballot VA statewide races
centerforpolitics.org
November 10, 2025 at 3:49 PM
The Center for Politics is moving the MI Senate race from Leans Democrat to Likely Democrat.
“Minnesota Democrats will choose between, primarily, Rep. Angie Craig (D, MN-2) and Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan (D).”
centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...
“Minnesota Democrats will choose between, primarily, Rep. Angie Craig (D, MN-2) and Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan (D).”
centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...
“We cannot rest until we take it back,” [Gavin] Newsom said. “There is no more important race in our lifetime than the House of Representatives and taking back the House.”
www.politico.com/news/2025/11...
www.politico.com/news/2025/11...
Newsom urges Democrats to focus on the midterms. But Texans are thinking about 2028.
The California governor and likely 2028 presidential contender called on Democrats to keep turning out for critical races still on the horizon.
www.politico.com
November 9, 2025 at 2:33 AM
“We cannot rest until we take it back,” [Gavin] Newsom said. “There is no more important race in our lifetime than the House of Representatives and taking back the House.”
www.politico.com/news/2025/11...
www.politico.com/news/2025/11...
Bad news for Maine Democrats, and all Democrats, in 2026.
ME-02 is being moved TWO STEPS towards the Republican side.
ME-02 is being moved TWO STEPS towards the Republican side.
Following Rep. Jared Golden's retirement announcement this week, we move ME-02 from Toss Up -> Likely Republican.
Read this from @erincovey.bsky.social:
Read this from @erincovey.bsky.social:
Golden’s Exit Moves ME-02 from Toss Up to Likely Republican
For the past seven years, Rep. Jared Golden has held the reddest district of any House Democrat in the country. One of the few members of Congress in recent years who has been willing to break with th...
www.cookpolitical.com
November 7, 2025 at 3:52 AM
Bad news for Maine Democrats, and all Democrats, in 2026.
ME-02 is being moved TWO STEPS towards the Republican side.
ME-02 is being moved TWO STEPS towards the Republican side.
Rep. Jared Golden announced he will NOT run for re-election.
His district, ME-02, is ranked Toss-Up by @cookpolitical.com
wapo.st/3Lv7aN4
His district, ME-02, is ranked Toss-Up by @cookpolitical.com
wapo.st/3Lv7aN4
Maine Democrat won’t run again for House, blames threats, toxic politics
Rep. Jared Golden, whose district is the most pro-Trump in the country represented by a Democrat, says he’s “grown tired of the increasing incivility and plain nastiness” in politics.
wapo.st
November 6, 2025 at 3:11 PM
Rep. Jared Golden announced he will NOT run for re-election.
His district, ME-02, is ranked Toss-Up by @cookpolitical.com
wapo.st/3Lv7aN4
His district, ME-02, is ranked Toss-Up by @cookpolitical.com
wapo.st/3Lv7aN4
Reposted by Winnable Democratic Races
Three Pennsylvania Supreme Court justices were projected to be retained in Tuesday’s election, handing Democrats critical statewide wins in the Keystone State.
thehill.com
November 5, 2025 at 4:10 AM
Three Pennsylvania Supreme Court justices were projected to be retained in Tuesday’s election, handing Democrats critical statewide wins in the Keystone State.
Mikie Sherrill is projected to win the New Jersey gubernatorial race.
Sherrill has almost the exact same winning margin as Abigail Spanberger in Virginia.
Sherrill has almost the exact same winning margin as Abigail Spanberger in Virginia.
November 5, 2025 at 2:29 AM
Mikie Sherrill is projected to win the New Jersey gubernatorial race.
Sherrill has almost the exact same winning margin as Abigail Spanberger in Virginia.
Sherrill has almost the exact same winning margin as Abigail Spanberger in Virginia.
Mikie Sherrill is also doing extremely well in the New Jersey gubernatorial race....
November 5, 2025 at 2:15 AM
Mikie Sherrill is also doing extremely well in the New Jersey gubernatorial race....
With over 25% of the votes counted, Abigail Spanberger has a commendable lead for the Virginia governor's race.
November 5, 2025 at 1:06 AM
With over 25% of the votes counted, Abigail Spanberger has a commendable lead for the Virginia governor's race.
Reposted by Winnable Democratic Races
GO VOTE!!!
🗳️ PA: VOTE YES ON RETAINING OUR JUDGES & ALL DEMS
🗳️VA: VOTE ABIGAIL SPANBERGER FOR GOV & ALL DEMS
🗳️NJ: VOTE MIKIE SHERRILL & ALL DEMS
🗳️NYC: VOTE ZOHRAN MAMDANI FOR MAYOR & ALL DEMS
🗳️CA: VOTE YES ON PROP 50
🗳️ PA: VOTE YES ON RETAINING OUR JUDGES & ALL DEMS
🗳️VA: VOTE ABIGAIL SPANBERGER FOR GOV & ALL DEMS
🗳️NJ: VOTE MIKIE SHERRILL & ALL DEMS
🗳️NYC: VOTE ZOHRAN MAMDANI FOR MAYOR & ALL DEMS
🗳️CA: VOTE YES ON PROP 50
November 4, 2025 at 1:17 PM
GO VOTE!!!
🗳️ PA: VOTE YES ON RETAINING OUR JUDGES & ALL DEMS
🗳️VA: VOTE ABIGAIL SPANBERGER FOR GOV & ALL DEMS
🗳️NJ: VOTE MIKIE SHERRILL & ALL DEMS
🗳️NYC: VOTE ZOHRAN MAMDANI FOR MAYOR & ALL DEMS
🗳️CA: VOTE YES ON PROP 50
🗳️ PA: VOTE YES ON RETAINING OUR JUDGES & ALL DEMS
🗳️VA: VOTE ABIGAIL SPANBERGER FOR GOV & ALL DEMS
🗳️NJ: VOTE MIKIE SHERRILL & ALL DEMS
🗳️NYC: VOTE ZOHRAN MAMDANI FOR MAYOR & ALL DEMS
🗳️CA: VOTE YES ON PROP 50
"Democrats have no federal contests that would allow them to check President Trump’s power, but governors’ races, mayoral contests and referendums [on Tuesday] will test momentum and divisions in both parties."
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/03/u...
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/03/u...
Elections on Tuesday Offer Democrats a Chance to Get Off the Mat
www.nytimes.com
November 3, 2025 at 3:37 PM
"Democrats have no federal contests that would allow them to check President Trump’s power, but governors’ races, mayoral contests and referendums [on Tuesday] will test momentum and divisions in both parties."
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/03/u...
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/03/u...
“Abigail Spanberger, the Democrat, holds a consistent lead over Winsome Earle-Sears, the Republican, in the polls of Virginia’s open gubernatorial race.”
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
Virginia Governor Election 2025: Latest Polls (Gift Article)
Track the latest polls about Democrat Abigail Spanberger and Republican Winsome Earle-Sears in the Virginia gubernatorial election.
www.nytimes.com
November 1, 2025 at 1:35 PM
“Abigail Spanberger, the Democrat, holds a consistent lead over Winsome Earle-Sears, the Republican, in the polls of Virginia’s open gubernatorial race.”
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
"The clearest sign that a democracy has died is that a leader and his party make it impossible for their opponents to win an election and hold power. Once that stage is reached, however, the change is extremely difficult to reverse."
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
Opinion | In Trump’s America, Are We Losing Our Democracy? (Gift Article)
Donald Trump has wielded power as no previous president has.
www.nytimes.com
October 31, 2025 at 3:46 PM
"The clearest sign that a democracy has died is that a leader and his party make it impossible for their opponents to win an election and hold power. Once that stage is reached, however, the change is extremely difficult to reverse."
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
"Most independent polls show Mikie Sherrill, the Democrat, leading Jack Ciattarelli, the Republican, by five to 10 percentage points."
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
New Jersey Governor Election 2025: Latest Polls (Gift Article)
Track the latest polls about Democrat Mikie Sherrill and Republican Jack Ciattarelli in the New Jersey gubernatorial election.
www.nytimes.com
October 30, 2025 at 2:04 PM
"Most independent polls show Mikie Sherrill, the Democrat, leading Jack Ciattarelli, the Republican, by five to 10 percentage points."
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
Mikie Sherrill (D) is leading Ciattarelli (R) by 5 points in New Jersey gubernatorial race polling
thehill.com/homenews/556...
thehill.com/homenews/556...
thehill.com
October 25, 2025 at 3:20 PM
Mikie Sherrill (D) is leading Ciattarelli (R) by 5 points in New Jersey gubernatorial race polling
thehill.com/homenews/556...
thehill.com/homenews/556...
The Democrats are about to lose a strategic Toss-Up district.
The Republican-held North Carolina legislature is redrawing their election maps. District NC-1, currently ranked Toss-Up and held by Don Davis (D), will definitely move toward the Republican’s favor.
www.politico.com/news/2025/10...
The Republican-held North Carolina legislature is redrawing their election maps. District NC-1, currently ranked Toss-Up and held by Don Davis (D), will definitely move toward the Republican’s favor.
www.politico.com/news/2025/10...
The latest redistricting salvo: North Carolina gerrymanders out House Democrat
The map will likely face legal challenges, similar to efforts in Texas and Missouri.
www.politico.com
October 23, 2025 at 4:40 PM
The Democrats are about to lose a strategic Toss-Up district.
The Republican-held North Carolina legislature is redrawing their election maps. District NC-1, currently ranked Toss-Up and held by Don Davis (D), will definitely move toward the Republican’s favor.
www.politico.com/news/2025/10...
The Republican-held North Carolina legislature is redrawing their election maps. District NC-1, currently ranked Toss-Up and held by Don Davis (D), will definitely move toward the Republican’s favor.
www.politico.com/news/2025/10...
"One thing is clear: If either Mikie Sherrill or Abigail Spanberger loses her bid to become governor in November, the Democratic Party is in trouble heading into the 2026 congressional elections."
-Thomas B Edsall, NY Times
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/21/o...
-Thomas B Edsall, NY Times
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/21/o...
Opinion | Can These Two Women Turn It Around for Democrats?
www.nytimes.com
October 21, 2025 at 1:39 PM
"One thing is clear: If either Mikie Sherrill or Abigail Spanberger loses her bid to become governor in November, the Democratic Party is in trouble heading into the 2026 congressional elections."
-Thomas B Edsall, NY Times
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/21/o...
-Thomas B Edsall, NY Times
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/21/o...
Reposted by Winnable Democratic Races
I'm honored to have President @barackobama.bsky.social on Team Mikie.
This movement is about delivering something better for New Jersey — lower costs, more opportunity for our kids, and a government that's truly accountable to the people.
This movement is about delivering something better for New Jersey — lower costs, more opportunity for our kids, and a government that's truly accountable to the people.
October 17, 2025 at 11:18 AM
I'm honored to have President @barackobama.bsky.social on Team Mikie.
This movement is about delivering something better for New Jersey — lower costs, more opportunity for our kids, and a government that's truly accountable to the people.
This movement is about delivering something better for New Jersey — lower costs, more opportunity for our kids, and a government that's truly accountable to the people.
Sobato’s Crystal Ball also moved the Maine Senate race from Lean Republican to TOSS-UP
“Sen. Susan Collins (R) is the only Republican in the chamber who represents a state that voted against Donald Trump in all three of his general election campaigns.”
centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...
“Sen. Susan Collins (R) is the only Republican in the chamber who represents a state that voted against Donald Trump in all three of his general election campaigns.”
centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...
Senate Rating Change: Maine Moves from Leans Republican to Toss-up - Sabato's Crystal Ball
We are moving the Maine Senate race from Leans Republican to Toss-up, which means we now have four Senate Toss-ups: Republican-held Maine and North Carolina and Democratic-held Georgia and Michigan.
centerforpolitics.org
October 16, 2025 at 11:39 AM
Sobato’s Crystal Ball also moved the Maine Senate race from Lean Republican to TOSS-UP
“Sen. Susan Collins (R) is the only Republican in the chamber who represents a state that voted against Donald Trump in all three of his general election campaigns.”
centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...
“Sen. Susan Collins (R) is the only Republican in the chamber who represents a state that voted against Donald Trump in all three of his general election campaigns.”
centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...
@cookpolitical.com has moved the Maine Senate race from Lean Republican to TOSS-UP.
There are now four US Senate races ranked TOSS-UP.
There are now four US Senate races ranked TOSS-UP.
Maine Gov. Janet Mills’ entrance into the Senate race on Tuesday marks a significant escalation in political firepower aimed at longtime GOP Sen. Susan Collins. We are moving the contest from Lean R -> Toss Up.
Maine Senate Race Moves To Toss Up With Mills’ Entrance
Maine Gov. Janet Mills’ entrance into the Senate race on Tuesday marks a significant escalation in political firepower aimed at longtime GOP Sen. Susan Collins, the only Republican senator representin...
www.cookpolitical.com
October 14, 2025 at 3:13 PM
@cookpolitical.com has moved the Maine Senate race from Lean Republican to TOSS-UP.
There are now four US Senate races ranked TOSS-UP.
There are now four US Senate races ranked TOSS-UP.
Maine governor Janet Mills announced today she is running to dethrown Republican Susan Collins in the Senate.
First, she will need to run against progressive Graham Platner in the Democratic primary
This race is ranked Lean Republican by Cook Political Report.
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/14/u...
First, she will need to run against progressive Graham Platner in the Democratic primary
This race is ranked Lean Republican by Cook Political Report.
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/14/u...
Gov. Janet Mills of Maine to Run for Senate, Aiming at Senator Susan Collins
www.nytimes.com
October 14, 2025 at 11:25 AM
Maine governor Janet Mills announced today she is running to dethrown Republican Susan Collins in the Senate.
First, she will need to run against progressive Graham Platner in the Democratic primary
This race is ranked Lean Republican by Cook Political Report.
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/14/u...
First, she will need to run against progressive Graham Platner in the Democratic primary
This race is ranked Lean Republican by Cook Political Report.
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/14/u...
Democrats' have a good chance to flip the House in 2026. But they are cautiously optimistic about their chances of flipping the Senate.
Michigan, North Carolina and Georgia are the three Senate TOSS-UP races.
www.messenger-inquirer.com/townnews/pol...
Michigan, North Carolina and Georgia are the three Senate TOSS-UP races.
www.messenger-inquirer.com/townnews/pol...
Democratic hopes rising for 2026 Senate control
The Republican rush to add congressional seats in Texas and other red states reflects the bipartisan consensus that the main 2026 battleground will be the Democratic effort to curb the
www.messenger-inquirer.com
October 13, 2025 at 11:15 AM
Democrats' have a good chance to flip the House in 2026. But they are cautiously optimistic about their chances of flipping the Senate.
Michigan, North Carolina and Georgia are the three Senate TOSS-UP races.
www.messenger-inquirer.com/townnews/pol...
Michigan, North Carolina and Georgia are the three Senate TOSS-UP races.
www.messenger-inquirer.com/townnews/pol...
It’s not official yet, but it sounds like Maine’s two-term Gov. Janet Mills (D) will run for the U.S. Senate seat held by veteran Sen. Susan Collins (R) next year.
The Maine Senate race is ranked LEAN REPUBLICAN, but it is definitely an “Almost TOSS-UP” race.
apnews.com/article/main...
The Maine Senate race is ranked LEAN REPUBLICAN, but it is definitely an “Almost TOSS-UP” race.
apnews.com/article/main...
Maine Gov. Janet Mills will challenge Sen. Susan Collins in key 2026 Senate contest, AP sources say
Maine’s two-term Democratic Gov. Janet Mills will run for the U.S. Senate seat held by veteran Republican Sen. Susan Collins next year.
apnews.com
October 11, 2025 at 1:01 PM
It’s not official yet, but it sounds like Maine’s two-term Gov. Janet Mills (D) will run for the U.S. Senate seat held by veteran Sen. Susan Collins (R) next year.
The Maine Senate race is ranked LEAN REPUBLICAN, but it is definitely an “Almost TOSS-UP” race.
apnews.com/article/main...
The Maine Senate race is ranked LEAN REPUBLICAN, but it is definitely an “Almost TOSS-UP” race.
apnews.com/article/main...
Arizona governor Katie Hobbs (D) has announced her re-election bid.
The Arizona gubernatorial race and two Arizona House races are ranked TOSS-UP.
thehill.com/homenews/cam...
The Arizona gubernatorial race and two Arizona House races are ranked TOSS-UP.
thehill.com/homenews/cam...
thehill.com
October 10, 2025 at 2:11 PM
Arizona governor Katie Hobbs (D) has announced her re-election bid.
The Arizona gubernatorial race and two Arizona House races are ranked TOSS-UP.
thehill.com/homenews/cam...
The Arizona gubernatorial race and two Arizona House races are ranked TOSS-UP.
thehill.com/homenews/cam...