Looks like Iran may be coming apart at the seams. The armed forces are joining the protesters here and there. And they have no water. Iranians may be the first wave of water refugees due to climate change.

I will be useless and a little groggy for at least a week. However long the Mariners keep winning. If they win the World Series, the world might end. Of course, the Red Sox and Cubs have won, so anything is possible.

I am happy to see the news that a huge warehouse of Putin's ammo blew up overnight. Same with a warehouse full of his drones. Many, many Ukrainians will stay alive due to these strikes. Flamingos maybe? I hear nothing about them. Opsec, I hope, not hiding failed hype.

Things just got a lot more complicated with the drone attack against Poland last night. Sounds like they were launched from Belarus. You know Lukashenko didn't do that on his own. NATO must respond or there will be more and more escalation. Putin seems to want a wider war.

When Ukraine finally evicts Putin's forces, Ukraine will rebuild. Russia will have a different fate. There will be power struggles and parts of the empire will break away. Over time, Moscow and St. Petersburg will be parts of a much smaller country, looking for allies.

Moscow itself may be the greatest beneficiary from loss of empire, strangely enough. It will become the capitol of a relatively normal country instead of a parasite.

I may have read too much Toynbee.

Once Putin's economy finally collapses, his regime will collapse. I expect his empire, the historic Muscovite empire, to dissolve along with the regime. It has been going through violent death throes since 1991.

Looks like the Saudis, coupled with Trump's pig headed economic policies, will tank the price of oil and finally cause Putin to run out of money. It cannot happen soon enough.