The GEM has opted for an easterly later in November. It is not exactly pulling in the coldest air, but it underlines just how much uncertainty surrounds the weather prospects over the coming weeks. Our weather prospects are metaphorically and literally up in the air.

Our weather is set to become drier, gradually improving from the weekend through to mid-week next week. Overnight frosts are likely to develop, with a return to milder and more unsettled conditions expected later next week.

Due to already saturated or waterlogged ground conditions, rainfall over the next 18 hours will result in localised flooding. Motorists should exercise caution tomorrow morning.

The highest rainfall totals up to Thursday morning will occur in southern counties, with totals possibly exceeding 60 mm. The greatest risk of localised flooding is expected from Monday night into Tuesday, due to already saturated ground.
Credit: Meteociel.fr

Rain is now moving into western counties, with sunshine persisting further north and east.

This evening's ECM run illustrates the flabby, rain-making low pressure mess that will develop over Ireland next week. It also suggests that colder air and drier conditions will eventually break through by Day 8-9 (15-16 Nov) in the forecast period.

Good news: It's a very mild morning.
Bad news: The incoming rain will feel warmer than normal.

A Status Yellow rainfall alert is in place for Kerry, Clare, Galway and Mayo.

The old saying “Red sky in the morning, shepherds’ warning” proved accurate in Dublin today as a vivid sunrise gave way to heavy rain and strong winds sweeping across the country.
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Hurricane Melissa has strengthened to a category 4 storm with maximum sustained winds of 220 kilometres per hour.
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Tropical Storm Melissa is close to becoming a hurricane in the Caribbean as it moves slowly toward Jamaica, where hurricane conditions are expected within the next 36 hours.
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On This Day (24 October) in Irish Weather History
2011: Heavy rainfall affects the greater Dublin area, causing localised flooding and disruptions. 82.2 mm is recorded at Casement Aerodrome.
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Winds gusts of up to 85km/h will affect exposed western coastal spots tonight and into tomorrow morning as an area of low pressure tracks south across Ireland. Breezy everywhere through tomorrow.
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Some beefy showers moving into Atlantic coastal counties this morning. Some are of hail, including this shower in County Clare a short time ago. Feeling cooler than of late in fresh westerly winds, increasing strong in the west tonight.
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Following a wet and windy Saturday, conditions have greatly improved across Ireland on Sunday afternoon with widespread sunshine developing in many parts.
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The US National Hurricane Center (NHC) is monitoring two tropical disturbances in the Atlantic Ocean, including one that appears to be moving towards the Caribbean.
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