WeathÉire
@weatheire.bsky.social
Weather news, views and forecasts from Ireland.
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Overnight model runs point toward chilly, wet and, at times, windy weather, with the prospect of calmer, drier and colder conditions now looking unlikely over the next 10 days. Incidentally, it was on this date 13 years ago that a not-dissimilar synoptic setup was in place.
January 21, 2026 at 11:40 AM
Overnight model runs point toward chilly, wet and, at times, windy weather, with the prospect of calmer, drier and colder conditions now looking unlikely over the next 10 days. Incidentally, it was on this date 13 years ago that a not-dissimilar synoptic setup was in place.
Outbreaks of rain, heavy in places, extending to all areas from the south through the day. A clearance to showers following from the south through the afternoon.
January 21, 2026 at 6:54 AM
Outbreaks of rain, heavy in places, extending to all areas from the south through the day. A clearance to showers following from the south through the afternoon.
The ECMWF ensemble mean is colder than the overnight operational run. In the far-range (FI), from Sunday onward, guidance indicates cold air beginning to push into eastern and northeastern Ireland. This cold incursion then extends progressively westward and southward through to Wednesday.
January 20, 2026 at 8:53 PM
The ECMWF ensemble mean is colder than the overnight operational run. In the far-range (FI), from Sunday onward, guidance indicates cold air beginning to push into eastern and northeastern Ireland. This cold incursion then extends progressively westward and southward through to Wednesday.
The sun has come out across the southwest and west as this morning's cloud and rain clears east. This is the scene in Killarney. The other image by NASA shows clear skies extending over the far southwest.
January 19, 2026 at 1:51 PM
The sun has come out across the southwest and west as this morning's cloud and rain clears east. This is the scene in Killarney. The other image by NASA shows clear skies extending over the far southwest.
Unsettled conditions will dominate over the coming week, with spells of rain and occasional moderate winds. Daytime temps will generally range between 6 and 8 °C. A gradual shift to colder conditions is likely from late this week into next week, with temps falling in stages.
a cloud with lightning strikes and rain coming out of it
ALT: a cloud with lightning strikes and rain coming out of it
media.tenor.com
January 19, 2026 at 7:16 AM
Unsettled conditions will dominate over the coming week, with spells of rain and occasional moderate winds. Daytime temps will generally range between 6 and 8 °C. A gradual shift to colder conditions is likely from late this week into next week, with temps falling in stages.
Models have shifted towards the possibility of a cold outbreak around a week from now. A long-hinted easterly-sourced airmass remains a plausible outcome, though Atlantic systems are never far away. Much still to be resolved.
January 18, 2026 at 4:45 PM
Models have shifted towards the possibility of a cold outbreak around a week from now. A long-hinted easterly-sourced airmass remains a plausible outcome, though Atlantic systems are never far away. Much still to be resolved.
Met Éireann's final sentence in its forecast is a fair refection of the medium to long range prospects i.e. 'signal'.
The chances of a cold spell are heightened compared to normal.
www.met.ie/national-for...
The chances of a cold spell are heightened compared to normal.
www.met.ie/national-for...
January 16, 2026 at 10:29 AM
Met Éireann's final sentence in its forecast is a fair refection of the medium to long range prospects i.e. 'signal'.
The chances of a cold spell are heightened compared to normal.
www.met.ie/national-for...
The chances of a cold spell are heightened compared to normal.
www.met.ie/national-for...
Carrauntoohill looks🥶over the next 10 days. Temps across Ireland will run slightly below average, with many inland and sheltered locations seeing night-time values close to freezing, particularly away from Atlantic coasts. Rainfall will be below normal away from southern areas.
January 16, 2026 at 9:54 AM
Carrauntoohill looks🥶over the next 10 days. Temps across Ireland will run slightly below average, with many inland and sheltered locations seeing night-time values close to freezing, particularly away from Atlantic coasts. Rainfall will be below normal away from southern areas.
Fog will become widespread overnight Fri into Sat morning and will persist in a few spots through the day. Where fog lingers, temps will struggle to rise above 3–4°C on Saturday. Elsewhere, temps will generally reach 5–8°C. Fog will become more widespread again on Saturday night.
a silhouette of a man walking in the fog with the word fargo on the bottom
ALT: a silhouette of a man walking in the fog with the word fargo on the bottom
media.tenor.com
January 15, 2026 at 5:21 PM
Fog will become widespread overnight Fri into Sat morning and will persist in a few spots through the day. Where fog lingers, temps will struggle to rise above 3–4°C on Saturday. Elsewhere, temps will generally reach 5–8°C. Fog will become more widespread again on Saturday night.
Two main dynamics are in focus in this afternoon's model output regarding end of Jan/start of Feb weather:
A Baltic looking GFS Perbutation for 'The Day After Tomorrow + 12 days'.
Such a scenario is highly unlikely to materialise, but it is as cold an ensemble member you are likely to see for Ireland and underlines the mixed model output of recent days.
Such a scenario is highly unlikely to materialise, but it is as cold an ensemble member you are likely to see for Ireland and underlines the mixed model output of recent days.
January 15, 2026 at 11:29 AM
Two main dynamics are in focus in this afternoon's model output regarding end of Jan/start of Feb weather:
A Baltic looking GFS Perbutation for 'The Day After Tomorrow + 12 days'.
Such a scenario is highly unlikely to materialise, but it is as cold an ensemble member you are likely to see for Ireland and underlines the mixed model output of recent days.
Such a scenario is highly unlikely to materialise, but it is as cold an ensemble member you are likely to see for Ireland and underlines the mixed model output of recent days.
January 15, 2026 at 12:43 AM
A Baltic looking GFS Perbutation for 'The Day After Tomorrow + 12 days'.
Such a scenario is highly unlikely to materialise, but it is as cold an ensemble member you are likely to see for Ireland and underlines the mixed model output of recent days.
Such a scenario is highly unlikely to materialise, but it is as cold an ensemble member you are likely to see for Ireland and underlines the mixed model output of recent days.
As is often the case in winter, long range weather models maroon Ireland in a meteorological no man’s land, sitting between a mobile and milder Atlantic pattern and colder, more settled conditions to our east.
weatheire.com/news/climate...
weatheire.com/news/climate...
Deep Cold - Will it or won't it happen?
As is often the case in winter, long range weather models maroon Ireland in a meteorological no man’s land, sitting between a mobile and milder Atlantic pattern and colder, more settled conditions to ...
weatheire.com
January 14, 2026 at 5:46 PM
As is often the case in winter, long range weather models maroon Ireland in a meteorological no man’s land, sitting between a mobile and milder Atlantic pattern and colder, more settled conditions to our east.
weatheire.com/news/climate...
weatheire.com/news/climate...
Models continue to flirt with the idea of an easterly component to our weather later next week. Heights over Scandinavia ridge westwards toward Greenland, encouraging the westward progression of colder air and diverting the jet stream away from Ireland and Britain.
January 14, 2026 at 4:54 PM
Models continue to flirt with the idea of an easterly component to our weather later next week. Heights over Scandinavia ridge westwards toward Greenland, encouraging the westward progression of colder air and diverting the jet stream away from Ireland and Britain.
The 18z GFS ensemble mean shows a colder signal and increased blocking compared to 12z. Current output for the final week of January points towards colder conditions, with a reduced Atlantic influence. Will monitor developments to see whether any more wintry signals emerge in the coming days.
January 14, 2026 at 12:35 AM
The 18z GFS ensemble mean shows a colder signal and increased blocking compared to 12z. Current output for the final week of January points towards colder conditions, with a reduced Atlantic influence. Will monitor developments to see whether any more wintry signals emerge in the coming days.
The GFS is very bullish on an easterly airflow becoming established over Ireland during the second half of next week. While the coldest air remains anchored over eastern Europe, a tap linking it with Ireland appears to have been turned on.
January 13, 2026 at 4:30 PM
The GFS is very bullish on an easterly airflow becoming established over Ireland during the second half of next week. While the coldest air remains anchored over eastern Europe, a tap linking it with Ireland appears to have been turned on.
Dry and cold tonight, with temperatures dipping to as low as minus 2c. Staying above freezing along the Atlantic coastline.
January 13, 2026 at 4:14 PM
Dry and cold tonight, with temperatures dipping to as low as minus 2c. Staying above freezing along the Atlantic coastline.
Plenty of blue skies over Ireland today, as evidenced in this NASA MODIS image from shortly before midday. It is feeling chilly in a few areas, with temperatures ranging from 4°C to 10°C.
January 13, 2026 at 2:16 PM
Plenty of blue skies over Ireland today, as evidenced in this NASA MODIS image from shortly before midday. It is feeling chilly in a few areas, with temperatures ranging from 4°C to 10°C.
Milder conditions are spreading across much of Europe after a deep freeze across the continent. However, colder air looks set to push west again later next week and could potentially reach Ireland and Britain. Will keep a close eye on developments.
January 12, 2026 at 1:20 PM
Milder conditions are spreading across much of Europe after a deep freeze across the continent. However, colder air looks set to push west again later next week and could potentially reach Ireland and Britain. Will keep a close eye on developments.
While snowfall in Ireland was largely confined to hills and mountains today, it is now falling widely across lower levels in Wales the West Midlands of England. Here is the scene at the Black Sabbath bench in Birmingham city centre this evening.
worldcams.tv/united-kingd...
#StormGoretti
worldcams.tv/united-kingd...
#StormGoretti
January 8, 2026 at 7:00 PM
While snowfall in Ireland was largely confined to hills and mountains today, it is now falling widely across lower levels in Wales the West Midlands of England. Here is the scene at the Black Sabbath bench in Birmingham city centre this evening.
worldcams.tv/united-kingd...
#StormGoretti
worldcams.tv/united-kingd...
#StormGoretti
As the cold spell gradually eases and the Atlantic reasserts itself, aided by a jet stream energised by cold air over North America, the risk of low pressure systems barrelling toward Ireland increases.
January 8, 2026 at 4:10 PM
As the cold spell gradually eases and the Atlantic reasserts itself, aided by a jet stream energised by cold air over North America, the risk of low pressure systems barrelling toward Ireland increases.
Precipitation radar imagery reflects Ireland’s topography, with moderate snowfall currently confined to higher ground across Munster and south Leinster.
www.netweather.tv/live-weather...
www.netweather.tv/live-weather...
January 8, 2026 at 11:31 AM
Precipitation radar imagery reflects Ireland’s topography, with moderate snowfall currently confined to higher ground across Munster and south Leinster.
www.netweather.tv/live-weather...
www.netweather.tv/live-weather...
The outlook for tomorrow remains broadly the same with snow likely restricted to high ground in the south and southeast of Ireland. Snow cannot be ruled out at lower levels as the system pulls away into the Celtic Sea. More extensive lower level snowfall is likely across Wales and central England.
January 7, 2026 at 6:57 PM
The outlook for tomorrow remains broadly the same with snow likely restricted to high ground in the south and southeast of Ireland. Snow cannot be ruled out at lower levels as the system pulls away into the Celtic Sea. More extensive lower level snowfall is likely across Wales and central England.
From this weekend and through next week, Ireland and Britain will sit in a meteorological no man’s land between an energetic Atlantic to the west and deep cold over Scandinavia and north western Europe.
weatheire.com/news/climate...
weatheire.com/news/climate...
Mixed Weather Signals for Mid to Late January
From this weekend and through next week, Ireland and Britain will sit in a meteorological no man’s land between an energetic Atlantic to the west and deep cold over Scandinavia and north western Europ...
weatheire.com
January 7, 2026 at 5:18 PM
From this weekend and through next week, Ireland and Britain will sit in a meteorological no man’s land between an energetic Atlantic to the west and deep cold over Scandinavia and north western Europe.
weatheire.com/news/climate...
weatheire.com/news/climate...
A Status Yellow alert is in place for Cork, Kerry, Waterford and Wexford tomirrow.
According to Met Éireann:
Rain, heavy at times, will turn to sleet and snow in places on Thursday afternoon, particularly at elevation. Accumulations are possible.
www.met.ie/warnings-tom...
According to Met Éireann:
Rain, heavy at times, will turn to sleet and snow in places on Thursday afternoon, particularly at elevation. Accumulations are possible.
www.met.ie/warnings-tom...
January 7, 2026 at 11:36 AM
A Status Yellow alert is in place for Cork, Kerry, Waterford and Wexford tomirrow.
According to Met Éireann:
Rain, heavy at times, will turn to sleet and snow in places on Thursday afternoon, particularly at elevation. Accumulations are possible.
www.met.ie/warnings-tom...
According to Met Éireann:
Rain, heavy at times, will turn to sleet and snow in places on Thursday afternoon, particularly at elevation. Accumulations are possible.
www.met.ie/warnings-tom...
Based on the latest output from the AROME model, any snowfall on Thursday will likely be restricted to hills and mountains in south Munster and South Leinster.
January 7, 2026 at 1:48 AM
Based on the latest output from the AROME model, any snowfall on Thursday will likely be restricted to hills and mountains in south Munster and South Leinster.