Warwick mckibbin AO
Warwick mckibbin AO
@warwickmck.bsky.social
ANU Distinguished Professor of economics and public policy & nonresident senior fellow at PIIE
Reposted by Warwick mckibbin AO
New research shows that the effects of the "Liberation Day" tariffs if they go into effect—higher inflation, lower GDP—would significantly worsen with capital flight.
Trump's tariffs damage the US economy more if they drive investors away from American assets
When President Donald Trump announced a sweeping set of tariff increases on April 2, he predicted that date would be remembered as "the day that we began to make America wealthy again." Global investo...
www.piie.com
June 26, 2025 at 1:43 PM
Reposted by Warwick mckibbin AO
Reposted by Warwick mckibbin AO
PIIE's Maury Obstfeld writes: Trump's tariffs are designed for maximum damage—to America www.piie.com/blogs/realti...
Trump's tariffs are designed for maximum damage—to America
President Donald Trump touted his bewildering array of "Liberation Day" import tariffs as carefully calibrated to offset trade partners' tariff, nontariff, and currency barriers to US exports. However...
www.piie.com
April 4, 2025 at 2:32 PM
Reposted by Warwick mckibbin AO
NEW research modeling what would happen to the US, Canadian, & Mexican economies if the US applies tariffs & Mexico & Canada retaliate in kind.
GDP would be *even lower*, & inflation *even higher*, in all three countries. #EconSky
Learn more: www.piie.com/blogs/realti...
February 4, 2025 at 3:23 PM
Reposted by Warwick mckibbin AO
Reposted by Warwick mckibbin AO
The dangers of a trade policy in which a president chooses targets & punishments at will are becoming increasingly clear. Economic coercion often works in the short run, but it slowly erodes one’s network of influence.
Read Mary Lovely in @nytimes.com:
Opinion | The Dangers of Arbitrary Trade Policy
What Mr. Trump is doing with tariffs is a result of a lost consensus about how the United States should interact with other countries in the global economy.
www.nytimes.com
February 14, 2025 at 4:03 PM
Check out the latest research in Macroeconomics at the CAMA working paper series. crawford-prod.anu.edu.au/centre-appli... #macroeconomics
CAMA working papers | Crawford School of Public Policy
crawford-prod.anu.edu.au
February 16, 2025 at 10:06 AM
The way the music died: Tariffs could hit musical instrument imports www.piie.com/blogs/realti...
December 18, 2024 at 8:55 PM