Vasil Lazarov
@vlazarov.bsky.social
PhD candidate at Royal Holloway University of London | Researching affective polarisation in the UK & Europe | Pollster at Survation
he/him
he/him
Reposted by Vasil Lazarov
This chart is from @britishelectionstudy.com @jamesdgriffiths.bsky.social, me and Ed Fieldhouse. You can see that 2024 Reform voters mainly came from the Conservatives or UKIP in 2015.
This has been a story on the right for *ten years* now, unless something very different happened last week.
This has been a story on the right for *ten years* now, unless something very different happened last week.
May 8, 2025 at 10:47 AM
This chart is from @britishelectionstudy.com @jamesdgriffiths.bsky.social, me and Ed Fieldhouse. You can see that 2024 Reform voters mainly came from the Conservatives or UKIP in 2015.
This has been a story on the right for *ten years* now, unless something very different happened last week.
This has been a story on the right for *ten years* now, unless something very different happened last week.
Agree - think there’s a real danger of ‘overfitting’ to this election by making 4-5 methodological changes that each gets you .5-1pt closer to the result… obviously not applicable to wider questions (e.g. ethnicity)
May 7, 2025 at 9:19 PM
Agree - think there’s a real danger of ‘overfitting’ to this election by making 4-5 methodological changes that each gets you .5-1pt closer to the result… obviously not applicable to wider questions (e.g. ethnicity)
Holyrood only in this one indeed
March 19, 2025 at 12:41 PM
Holyrood only in this one indeed