Victor Anderson
@vicanderso.bsky.social
Author, 'Alternative Economic Indicators' & 'Energy Efficiency Policies'. MP Watch. Chartist. Global Justice Now. Unitarian.
Reposted by Victor Anderson
7/ The take away is that that we'll see climate impacts sooner than previously predicted.
We therefore need to redouble efforts to phaseout fossil fuels, whilst at the same time investing in adaptation
We must avoid a doom-loop where the impacts of climate chaos derail our ability to cut emissions
We therefore need to redouble efforts to phaseout fossil fuels, whilst at the same time investing in adaptation
We must avoid a doom-loop where the impacts of climate chaos derail our ability to cut emissions
Derailment risk: A systems analysis that identifies risks which could derail the sustainability transition
Abstract. The consequences of climate change, nature loss, and other changes to the Earth system will impact societies' ability to tackle the causes of these problems. There are extensive agendas of s...
esd.copernicus.org
June 19, 2025 at 11:38 AM
7/ The take away is that that we'll see climate impacts sooner than previously predicted.
We therefore need to redouble efforts to phaseout fossil fuels, whilst at the same time investing in adaptation
We must avoid a doom-loop where the impacts of climate chaos derail our ability to cut emissions
We therefore need to redouble efforts to phaseout fossil fuels, whilst at the same time investing in adaptation
We must avoid a doom-loop where the impacts of climate chaos derail our ability to cut emissions
Reposted by Victor Anderson
6/ Scientists aren't entirely sure whats causing the acceleration. But it's related to a decline in the planets reflectivity.
A leading explanation is that clouds are shifting pole-wards. This "constitutes the largest contribution to the observed 21st century trend of increased solar absorption"
A leading explanation is that clouds are shifting pole-wards. This "constitutes the largest contribution to the observed 21st century trend of increased solar absorption"
Contraction of the World's Storm‐Cloud Zones the Primary Contributor to the 21st Century Increase in the Earth's Sunlight Absorption
Satellite observations show that in the past 24 years the worlds storm cloud zones have been contracting at a rate of 1.5%–3% per decade This contraction allows more solar radiation to reach the ...
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
June 19, 2025 at 11:38 AM
6/ Scientists aren't entirely sure whats causing the acceleration. But it's related to a decline in the planets reflectivity.
A leading explanation is that clouds are shifting pole-wards. This "constitutes the largest contribution to the observed 21st century trend of increased solar absorption"
A leading explanation is that clouds are shifting pole-wards. This "constitutes the largest contribution to the observed 21st century trend of increased solar absorption"
Reposted by Victor Anderson
5/ This pre-print by Foster an @rahmstorf.bsky.social shows that this acceleration in global warming means we will breach the 1.5C goal in 2026!
www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-6...
www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-6...
June 19, 2025 at 11:38 AM
5/ This pre-print by Foster an @rahmstorf.bsky.social shows that this acceleration in global warming means we will breach the 1.5C goal in 2026!
www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-6...
www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-6...
Reposted by Victor Anderson
4/ We're seeing this manifest in an acceleration in global warming.
"Ocean heat content rose 1.7× faster in the past decade than in previous decades"
& impacts like sea level rise are also accelerating...
"Global mean sea level rose 1.8× faster in the past decade than in previous decades"
"Ocean heat content rose 1.7× faster in the past decade than in previous decades"
& impacts like sea level rise are also accelerating...
"Global mean sea level rose 1.8× faster in the past decade than in previous decades"
Accelerated Ocean thermal expansion and its contribution to Global Sea-level rise
Global ocean heat content (GOHC) changes are crucial to understanding climate change, as oceans store about 91 % of the excess heat in the climate sys…
www.sciencedirect.com
June 19, 2025 at 11:38 AM
4/ We're seeing this manifest in an acceleration in global warming.
"Ocean heat content rose 1.7× faster in the past decade than in previous decades"
& impacts like sea level rise are also accelerating...
"Global mean sea level rose 1.8× faster in the past decade than in previous decades"
"Ocean heat content rose 1.7× faster in the past decade than in previous decades"
& impacts like sea level rise are also accelerating...
"Global mean sea level rose 1.8× faster in the past decade than in previous decades"
Reposted by Victor Anderson
3/ Scientists now believe this rules out lower #climate sensitivity estimates
Which "means that increasing concentrations of atmospheric greenhouse gases likely will cause even more warming than most current models predict."
Our carbon budgets are smaller. Meeting the Paris goals is harder.
Which "means that increasing concentrations of atmospheric greenhouse gases likely will cause even more warming than most current models predict."
Our carbon budgets are smaller. Meeting the Paris goals is harder.
Observed trend in Earth energy imbalance may provide a constraint for low climate sensitivity models
Climate forcings by greenhouse gases and aerosols cause an imbalance at the top of the atmosphere between the net incoming solar radiation and outgoing longwave radiation from Earth. This Earth energy...
www.science.org
June 19, 2025 at 11:38 AM
3/ Scientists now believe this rules out lower #climate sensitivity estimates
Which "means that increasing concentrations of atmospheric greenhouse gases likely will cause even more warming than most current models predict."
Our carbon budgets are smaller. Meeting the Paris goals is harder.
Which "means that increasing concentrations of atmospheric greenhouse gases likely will cause even more warming than most current models predict."
Our carbon budgets are smaller. Meeting the Paris goals is harder.
Reposted by Victor Anderson
2/ The Earth is absorbing energy faster than climate models had predicted...
"Observations from space of the energy imbalance shows that it is rising much faster than expected, and in 2023 it reached values two times higher than the best estimate from IPCC"
"Observations from space of the energy imbalance shows that it is rising much faster than expected, and in 2023 it reached values two times higher than the best estimate from IPCC"
Earth's Energy Imbalance More Than Doubled in Recent Decades
Earth's energy imbalance more than doubled in recent decades The large trend has taken us by surprise, and as a community we should strive to understand the underlying causes Our capability to o...
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
June 19, 2025 at 11:38 AM
2/ The Earth is absorbing energy faster than climate models had predicted...
"Observations from space of the energy imbalance shows that it is rising much faster than expected, and in 2023 it reached values two times higher than the best estimate from IPCC"
"Observations from space of the energy imbalance shows that it is rising much faster than expected, and in 2023 it reached values two times higher than the best estimate from IPCC"
Reposted by Victor Anderson
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MP Watch | Support clean rivers
The companies that run the water system in the UK have been failing dismally for a number of years, causing headlines that outrage ordinary people.
www.mpwatch.org
March 26, 2025 at 7:40 AM
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