📢On May 26–27, the GEO-POWER-EU consortium held two productive days in Belgrade. Here’s what happened 🧵
1/ A public conference was co-organized with @reunir.bsky.social on the EU’s role in the Western Balkans and Eastern Partnership. Full summary here:
🔗 shorturl.at/uBaHO

📉Trump’s trade war may hit the Western Balkans hard—not through direct tariffs, but via EU🇪🇺 slowdown.
Branimir Jovanović (#GEOPOWEREU researcher & economist
at WIIW) explains why this could be a black swan moment—and what governments must do now🔗 bit.ly/43HFREY

Such a major blow to Russia’s strategic bomber fleet could have been avoided if Moscow had chosen to engage in peace talks, rather than escalating the war and undermining diplomatic efforts initiated by Kyiv, Washington, and Brussels.

Sure, Russia will certainly escalate, likely on civilian targets and infrastructure. Potentially using fancy weapons to boost national pride and sense of greatness

If the numbers are true this may be over 30% of Russian strategic bomber fleet. Most of them are out of production, with Tu-160 having very limited serial production, making the losses practically irreplacable

Journal of Regional Security (former Western Balkans Security Observer) is an open access peer-reviewed journal specializing in the field of regional security studies. Established in 2006 by Belgrade Centre for Security Policy, since 2012 has been co-published with UB - Faculty of Political Science.

Engaging in brinkmanship and making red lines all the time makes threats not credible. The change of nuclear doctrine and this strike are likewise not credible. If Russia did not escalate to nuclear exchange after Kursk, it is entirely unconvincing that it would now.

Great sessions of Horizons wargame adjudicated by its creator David Banks (KCL) and Milan Varda (FPN) as a warm up to the Belgrade Security Conference! Si vis pacem…

It seems that Russia has launched an ICBM, likely RS-26 Rubezh into Ukraine. Here is a brief thread on it