Valentin Daur
@valentindaur.bsky.social
Postdoc at LMU Munich | PhD from Aarhus University
Public Opinion | Party Competition | Political Communication | Far Right Parties | Survey Experiments
Public Opinion | Party Competition | Political Communication | Far Right Parties | Survey Experiments
Reposted by Valentin Daur
📣 Nominations are now open for the John McCain Dissertation Award!
Each year, we honor authors of exceptional doctoral dissertations on transatlantic relations. If you know a suitable candidate, submit your nomination by December 8.
🔗 securityconference.org/en/news/full...
Each year, we honor authors of exceptional doctoral dissertations on transatlantic relations. If you know a suitable candidate, submit your nomination by December 8.
🔗 securityconference.org/en/news/full...
October 24, 2025 at 6:57 AM
📣 Nominations are now open for the John McCain Dissertation Award!
Each year, we honor authors of exceptional doctoral dissertations on transatlantic relations. If you know a suitable candidate, submit your nomination by December 8.
🔗 securityconference.org/en/news/full...
Each year, we honor authors of exceptional doctoral dissertations on transatlantic relations. If you know a suitable candidate, submit your nomination by December 8.
🔗 securityconference.org/en/news/full...
Reposted by Valentin Daur
NEW -
Media Platforming and the Normalisation of Extreme Right Views - cup.org/4mmVIAL
"exposure to uncritical interviews increases agreement with extreme statements and perceptions of broader support in the population"
- @dianebolet.bsky.social & @florianfoos.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
Media Platforming and the Normalisation of Extreme Right Views - cup.org/4mmVIAL
"exposure to uncritical interviews increases agreement with extreme statements and perceptions of broader support in the population"
- @dianebolet.bsky.social & @florianfoos.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
August 12, 2025 at 9:05 AM
NEW -
Media Platforming and the Normalisation of Extreme Right Views - cup.org/4mmVIAL
"exposure to uncritical interviews increases agreement with extreme statements and perceptions of broader support in the population"
- @dianebolet.bsky.social & @florianfoos.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
Media Platforming and the Normalisation of Extreme Right Views - cup.org/4mmVIAL
"exposure to uncritical interviews increases agreement with extreme statements and perceptions of broader support in the population"
- @dianebolet.bsky.social & @florianfoos.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
Reposted by Valentin Daur
NEW -
How Mainstream Politicians Erode Norms - cup.org/4lfeHvD
"we find that statements by mainstream politicians lead to more norm erosion than similar statements by radical-right politicians"
- @valentimvicente.bsky.social, Elias Dinas & @dziblatt.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
How Mainstream Politicians Erode Norms - cup.org/4lfeHvD
"we find that statements by mainstream politicians lead to more norm erosion than similar statements by radical-right politicians"
- @valentimvicente.bsky.social, Elias Dinas & @dziblatt.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
August 11, 2025 at 8:45 AM
NEW -
How Mainstream Politicians Erode Norms - cup.org/4lfeHvD
"we find that statements by mainstream politicians lead to more norm erosion than similar statements by radical-right politicians"
- @valentimvicente.bsky.social, Elias Dinas & @dziblatt.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
How Mainstream Politicians Erode Norms - cup.org/4lfeHvD
"we find that statements by mainstream politicians lead to more norm erosion than similar statements by radical-right politicians"
- @valentimvicente.bsky.social, Elias Dinas & @dziblatt.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
Reposted by Valentin Daur
🚨 Publication alert @fpajrnl.bsky.social
In this article, I examine how democracy affects states' arms control preferences. I find that democracy facilitates support for conventional, but not nuclear arms control. For more info, see abstract below or full article: academic.oup.com/fpa/article/...
In this article, I examine how democracy affects states' arms control preferences. I find that democracy facilitates support for conventional, but not nuclear arms control. For more info, see abstract below or full article: academic.oup.com/fpa/article/...
August 7, 2025 at 3:54 PM
🚨 Publication alert @fpajrnl.bsky.social
In this article, I examine how democracy affects states' arms control preferences. I find that democracy facilitates support for conventional, but not nuclear arms control. For more info, see abstract below or full article: academic.oup.com/fpa/article/...
In this article, I examine how democracy affects states' arms control preferences. I find that democracy facilitates support for conventional, but not nuclear arms control. For more info, see abstract below or full article: academic.oup.com/fpa/article/...
Check out this new article by my friend and co-author @tobiasrisse.bsky.social! Amazing work!
Out now @intlinteractions.bsky.social:
In my new article, I find that rivalries with major powers tend to decrease minor powers' support for arms control. Why? See abstract below 👇 or here for the full article: doi.org/10.1080/03050629.2025.2518394
#armscontrol
#conflictsky
#polisky 🗺
In my new article, I find that rivalries with major powers tend to decrease minor powers' support for arms control. Why? See abstract below 👇 or here for the full article: doi.org/10.1080/03050629.2025.2518394
#armscontrol
#conflictsky
#polisky 🗺
June 17, 2025 at 9:59 AM
Check out this new article by my friend and co-author @tobiasrisse.bsky.social! Amazing work!
Reposted by Valentin Daur
🚨 We're hiring! Join us at @LMU_Muenchen for the DFG-funded project "Democratic Persuasion: How to Make the Case for Democracy."
Interested in making scholarly & societal impact?
We’re looking for:
🔹 1 Postdoc (100%)
🔹 1 PhD researcher (70%)
Starting: Oct 2025 | Apply by: July 8
More info ⬇️ (1/7)
Interested in making scholarly & societal impact?
We’re looking for:
🔹 1 Postdoc (100%)
🔹 1 PhD researcher (70%)
Starting: Oct 2025 | Apply by: July 8
More info ⬇️ (1/7)
May 8, 2025 at 4:03 PM
🚨 We're hiring! Join us at @LMU_Muenchen for the DFG-funded project "Democratic Persuasion: How to Make the Case for Democracy."
Interested in making scholarly & societal impact?
We’re looking for:
🔹 1 Postdoc (100%)
🔹 1 PhD researcher (70%)
Starting: Oct 2025 | Apply by: July 8
More info ⬇️ (1/7)
Interested in making scholarly & societal impact?
We’re looking for:
🔹 1 Postdoc (100%)
🔹 1 PhD researcher (70%)
Starting: Oct 2025 | Apply by: July 8
More info ⬇️ (1/7)
Reposted by Valentin Daur
Ich habe mit @tabouchadi.bsky.social für @volksverpetzer.de über den Forschungsstand zum Ausgrenzen rechtsextremer Parteien, ihrer Normalisierung in Politik und Medien und darüber gesprochen, was sich ändern muss, um die weitere Unterwanderung unserer Demokratie zu verhindern.
Klare Forschungslage: AfD Ausgrenzen funktioniert
Die Forschung widerspricht der Relativierung der Tagesschau: Eine Normalisierung der AfD stärkt Rechtsextremismus.
www.volksverpetzer.de
May 7, 2025 at 8:47 AM
Ich habe mit @tabouchadi.bsky.social für @volksverpetzer.de über den Forschungsstand zum Ausgrenzen rechtsextremer Parteien, ihrer Normalisierung in Politik und Medien und darüber gesprochen, was sich ändern muss, um die weitere Unterwanderung unserer Demokratie zu verhindern.
Reposted by Valentin Daur
I AM HIRING 2 postdocs (5 years) in my @erc.europa.eu project "The Politics of the Latent Educational Cleavage" at @goetheuni.bsky.social @infer-frankfurt.bsky.social!
German call: www.fb03.uni-frankfurt.de/170856927.pdf
English call: www.goethe-university-frankfurt.de/170858269.pdf
Please share
German call: www.fb03.uni-frankfurt.de/170856927.pdf
English call: www.goethe-university-frankfurt.de/170858269.pdf
Please share
April 17, 2025 at 9:10 AM
I AM HIRING 2 postdocs (5 years) in my @erc.europa.eu project "The Politics of the Latent Educational Cleavage" at @goetheuni.bsky.social @infer-frankfurt.bsky.social!
German call: www.fb03.uni-frankfurt.de/170856927.pdf
English call: www.goethe-university-frankfurt.de/170858269.pdf
Please share
German call: www.fb03.uni-frankfurt.de/170856927.pdf
English call: www.goethe-university-frankfurt.de/170858269.pdf
Please share
Reposted by Valentin Daur
Does Mainstream Populism Work❓
I answer this question in a new paper officially out at @psrm.bsky.social❗
Check out the paper here: doi.org/10.1017/psrm...
Key take-aways in the thread below 🧵⬇️:
I answer this question in a new paper officially out at @psrm.bsky.social❗
Check out the paper here: doi.org/10.1017/psrm...
Key take-aways in the thread below 🧵⬇️:
March 25, 2025 at 12:30 PM
Does Mainstream Populism Work❓
I answer this question in a new paper officially out at @psrm.bsky.social❗
Check out the paper here: doi.org/10.1017/psrm...
Key take-aways in the thread below 🧵⬇️:
I answer this question in a new paper officially out at @psrm.bsky.social❗
Check out the paper here: doi.org/10.1017/psrm...
Key take-aways in the thread below 🧵⬇️:
Reposted by Valentin Daur
I’m over the moon that my 1st book, based on my PhD, will be published w/ Oxford University Press.
“Grassroots Women in the Populist Radical Right” investigates women’s involvement in PRR parties as party members.
I already have a full draft, so I hope I can share this labour of love w/ you soon 💜
“Grassroots Women in the Populist Radical Right” investigates women’s involvement in PRR parties as party members.
I already have a full draft, so I hope I can share this labour of love w/ you soon 💜
March 10, 2025 at 8:26 AM
I’m over the moon that my 1st book, based on my PhD, will be published w/ Oxford University Press.
“Grassroots Women in the Populist Radical Right” investigates women’s involvement in PRR parties as party members.
I already have a full draft, so I hope I can share this labour of love w/ you soon 💜
“Grassroots Women in the Populist Radical Right” investigates women’s involvement in PRR parties as party members.
I already have a full draft, so I hope I can share this labour of love w/ you soon 💜
Reposted by Valentin Daur
Very happy that our paper (w/ @dziblatt.bsky.social & E Dinas) has been accepted @bjpols.bsky.social .
We've seen the center right increasingly adopt far-right rhetoric.
Our experiment in 🇩🇪 finds that this erodes anti-prejudice norms *more* than when the far-right employs similar rhetoric.
1/3
We've seen the center right increasingly adopt far-right rhetoric.
Our experiment in 🇩🇪 finds that this erodes anti-prejudice norms *more* than when the far-right employs similar rhetoric.
1/3
February 28, 2025 at 2:05 PM
Very happy that our paper (w/ @dziblatt.bsky.social & E Dinas) has been accepted @bjpols.bsky.social .
We've seen the center right increasingly adopt far-right rhetoric.
Our experiment in 🇩🇪 finds that this erodes anti-prejudice norms *more* than when the far-right employs similar rhetoric.
1/3
We've seen the center right increasingly adopt far-right rhetoric.
Our experiment in 🇩🇪 finds that this erodes anti-prejudice norms *more* than when the far-right employs similar rhetoric.
1/3
Reposted by Valentin Daur
Im Interview mit @tobiwan.bsky.social vom Tagesspiegel durfte ich darüber sprechen wie das Thema Migration den Wahlkampf geprägt hat und wie vor allem das Verhalten der anderen Parteien dazu beigetragen hat, die AfD zu stärken.
www.tagesspiegel.de/politik/am-e...
www.tagesspiegel.de/politik/am-e...
„Am Ende wählen die Leute das Original“: Wie der Migrationswahlkampf die AfD gestärkt hat
Keine Partei hat bei der Bundestagswahl so viel dazugewonnen wie die AfD. Ein Experte erklärt, warum vor allem die Rechtspopulisten vom Top-Thema Migration profitieren konnten – und was man dagegen tu...
www.tagesspiegel.de
February 26, 2025 at 12:29 PM
Im Interview mit @tobiwan.bsky.social vom Tagesspiegel durfte ich darüber sprechen wie das Thema Migration den Wahlkampf geprägt hat und wie vor allem das Verhalten der anderen Parteien dazu beigetragen hat, die AfD zu stärken.
www.tagesspiegel.de/politik/am-e...
www.tagesspiegel.de/politik/am-e...
Reposted by Valentin Daur
Wichtiger Aufsatz von @jwmueller-pu.bsky.social
Was heißt Normalisierung? - Merkur
„Normalisierung“ ist zu einer Art politischem Schimpfwort avanciert oder gar zu dem, was Reinhart Koselleck asymmetrische Gegenbegriffe nannte: Normalisieren tun immer nur andere, man selbst normalis...
www.merkur-zeitschrift.de
February 17, 2025 at 2:17 PM
Wichtiger Aufsatz von @jwmueller-pu.bsky.social
Reposted by Valentin Daur
‼️PostDoc (100% 2.5 years) @lmumuenchen.bsky.social
@dfg.de project "How Mainstream Parties Deal with Conflict: Rules, Practices, Media Exposure" (PIs: Nicole Bolleyer & I)
⏰Start: 01.10.2025
⏳Deadline: 06.04.2025
🎤Interviews: 14./15.05.2025
job-portal.lmu.de/jobposting/1...
#Academicsky #Polisky
@dfg.de project "How Mainstream Parties Deal with Conflict: Rules, Practices, Media Exposure" (PIs: Nicole Bolleyer & I)
⏰Start: 01.10.2025
⏳Deadline: 06.04.2025
🎤Interviews: 14./15.05.2025
job-portal.lmu.de/jobposting/1...
#Academicsky #Polisky
February 17, 2025 at 11:11 AM
‼️PostDoc (100% 2.5 years) @lmumuenchen.bsky.social
@dfg.de project "How Mainstream Parties Deal with Conflict: Rules, Practices, Media Exposure" (PIs: Nicole Bolleyer & I)
⏰Start: 01.10.2025
⏳Deadline: 06.04.2025
🎤Interviews: 14./15.05.2025
job-portal.lmu.de/jobposting/1...
#Academicsky #Polisky
@dfg.de project "How Mainstream Parties Deal with Conflict: Rules, Practices, Media Exposure" (PIs: Nicole Bolleyer & I)
⏰Start: 01.10.2025
⏳Deadline: 06.04.2025
🎤Interviews: 14./15.05.2025
job-portal.lmu.de/jobposting/1...
#Academicsky #Polisky
Reposted by Valentin Daur
My @polstudies.bsky.social article on stigma & grassroots activism in populist radical right (PRR) parties has now page numbers!
journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
Drawing on the 1st ever comparative survey of PRR party members, I ask how stigma affects their participation in party activities.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
Drawing on the 1st ever comparative survey of PRR party members, I ask how stigma affects their participation in party activities.
Deterrent or Stimulus? How Perceived Societal Stigma Affects Participation in Populist Radical Right Parties - Sofia Ammassari, 2025
While the effects of political stigma on populist radical right parties have been extensively investigated, we know little about the impact of societal stigma o...
journals.sagepub.com
February 6, 2025 at 8:08 AM
My @polstudies.bsky.social article on stigma & grassroots activism in populist radical right (PRR) parties has now page numbers!
journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
Drawing on the 1st ever comparative survey of PRR party members, I ask how stigma affects their participation in party activities.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
Drawing on the 1st ever comparative survey of PRR party members, I ask how stigma affects their participation in party activities.
Reposted by Valentin Daur
🚨 Happy to see one of my PhD papers out at JEPOP
📚 I examine whether MPs' attention to local issues in parliamentary activities affects their re-election chances in party-centred contexts
www.tandfonline.com/eprint/G2HVG...
Ungated version here: eavigano.github.io/papers/jepop...
📚 I examine whether MPs' attention to local issues in parliamentary activities affects their re-election chances in party-centred contexts
www.tandfonline.com/eprint/G2HVG...
Ungated version here: eavigano.github.io/papers/jepop...
February 4, 2025 at 8:54 AM
🚨 Happy to see one of my PhD papers out at JEPOP
📚 I examine whether MPs' attention to local issues in parliamentary activities affects their re-election chances in party-centred contexts
www.tandfonline.com/eprint/G2HVG...
Ungated version here: eavigano.github.io/papers/jepop...
📚 I examine whether MPs' attention to local issues in parliamentary activities affects their re-election chances in party-centred contexts
www.tandfonline.com/eprint/G2HVG...
Ungated version here: eavigano.github.io/papers/jepop...
Reposted by Valentin Daur
Für den @verfassungsblog.de habe ich aufgeschrieben was diese Woche im Bundestag bedeutet. Der Höhepunkt der programmatischen Anpassung an die AfD. Ein Dammbruch der zu ihrer Normalisierung und Legitimation führt. Eine dunkle Stunde für die deutsche Demokratie.
verfassungsblog.de/aus-dem-abse...
verfassungsblog.de/aus-dem-abse...
Aus dem Abseits in die Mitte der Demokratie: Die Normalisierung der radikalen Rechten im Bundestag und ihre Konsequenzen
Nun ist es passiert. Initiiert von Friedrich Merz – dem Kanzlerkandidaten der Union – verabschiedet der Deutsche Bundestag am 29. Januar 2025 Anträge zur Migrationspolitik mit den Stimmen der CDU/CSU,...
verfassungsblog.de
February 1, 2025 at 5:55 PM
Für den @verfassungsblog.de habe ich aufgeschrieben was diese Woche im Bundestag bedeutet. Der Höhepunkt der programmatischen Anpassung an die AfD. Ein Dammbruch der zu ihrer Normalisierung und Legitimation führt. Eine dunkle Stunde für die deutsche Demokratie.
verfassungsblog.de/aus-dem-abse...
verfassungsblog.de/aus-dem-abse...
Reposted by Valentin Daur
On this note, here is a thread with recent research on what normalization is and how it happens.
It includes links to references, from my work and that of others.
I tried to tag the authors whenever they are on here, in case you are interested in following their work.
1/8
It includes links to references, from my work and that of others.
I tried to tag the authors whenever they are on here, in case you are interested in following their work.
1/8
No country is immune to the far right.
No country is immune to the normalization of the far right.
No country is immune to the normalization of the far right.
January 30, 2025 at 12:12 PM
On this note, here is a thread with recent research on what normalization is and how it happens.
It includes links to references, from my work and that of others.
I tried to tag the authors whenever they are on here, in case you are interested in following their work.
1/8
It includes links to references, from my work and that of others.
I tried to tag the authors whenever they are on here, in case you are interested in following their work.
1/8
How will voters react to CDU shifting away from its strict "no collaboration"-stance toward AfD? During my PhD, I sought to answer this question. Sooner than I had hoped, it is no longer mostly hypothetical. A thread… (1/6)
doi.org/10.1017/S000...
doi.org/10.1017/S000...
Legitimize or Delegitimize? Mainstream Party Strategy toward (Former) Pariah Parties and How Voters Respond | American Political Science Review | Cambridge Core
Legitimize or Delegitimize? Mainstream Party Strategy toward (Former) Pariah Parties and How Voters Respond
doi.org
January 30, 2025 at 1:45 PM
How will voters react to CDU shifting away from its strict "no collaboration"-stance toward AfD? During my PhD, I sought to answer this question. Sooner than I had hoped, it is no longer mostly hypothetical. A thread… (1/6)
doi.org/10.1017/S000...
doi.org/10.1017/S000...
Reposted by Valentin Daur
Just published on APSR First View: "Legitimize or Delegitimize? Mainstream Party Strategy toward (Former) Pariah Parties and How Voters Respond" by Valentin Daur @valentindaur.bsky.social. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
December 12, 2024 at 4:46 PM
Just published on APSR First View: "Legitimize or Delegitimize? Mainstream Party Strategy toward (Former) Pariah Parties and How Voters Respond" by Valentin Daur @valentindaur.bsky.social. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Reposted by Valentin Daur
The super election year is ending, with many winners and losers.
Our new @thejop.bsky.social paper, (@henrikseeberg.bsky.social, @martinbaekgaard.bsky.social ) asks: How do winning and losing candidates see elections?
Spoiler: Losers are more concerned about fairness.
Link: doi.org/10.1086/734240
Our new @thejop.bsky.social paper, (@henrikseeberg.bsky.social, @martinbaekgaard.bsky.social ) asks: How do winning and losing candidates see elections?
Spoiler: Losers are more concerned about fairness.
Link: doi.org/10.1086/734240
December 11, 2024 at 12:10 PM
The super election year is ending, with many winners and losers.
Our new @thejop.bsky.social paper, (@henrikseeberg.bsky.social, @martinbaekgaard.bsky.social ) asks: How do winning and losing candidates see elections?
Spoiler: Losers are more concerned about fairness.
Link: doi.org/10.1086/734240
Our new @thejop.bsky.social paper, (@henrikseeberg.bsky.social, @martinbaekgaard.bsky.social ) asks: How do winning and losing candidates see elections?
Spoiler: Losers are more concerned about fairness.
Link: doi.org/10.1086/734240
🚨 PUBLICATION ALERT 🚨
Excited to share that my article has just been published at @apsrjournal.bsky.social!
It examines voter responses to mainstream party legitimization of (former) pariah parties.
A thread 👇1/n...
doi.org/10.1017/S000...
Excited to share that my article has just been published at @apsrjournal.bsky.social!
It examines voter responses to mainstream party legitimization of (former) pariah parties.
A thread 👇1/n...
doi.org/10.1017/S000...
Legitimize or Delegitimize? Mainstream Party Strategy toward (Former) Pariah Parties and How Voters Respond | American Political Science Review | Cambridge Core
Legitimize or Delegitimize? Mainstream Party Strategy toward (Former) Pariah Parties and How Voters Respond
doi.org
December 10, 2024 at 12:53 PM
🚨 PUBLICATION ALERT 🚨
Excited to share that my article has just been published at @apsrjournal.bsky.social!
It examines voter responses to mainstream party legitimization of (former) pariah parties.
A thread 👇1/n...
doi.org/10.1017/S000...
Excited to share that my article has just been published at @apsrjournal.bsky.social!
It examines voter responses to mainstream party legitimization of (former) pariah parties.
A thread 👇1/n...
doi.org/10.1017/S000...
🚨 Job Alert 🚨: Postdoc Opportunity @ LMU Munich!
Join the ERC-funded CIVILSPACE project. We're looking for a postdoc with:
📊 Experience in survey experiments
🤝 Interest in civil society, non-profit, organization or interest group research
⏰ Application deadline: December 8, 2024
Join the ERC-funded CIVILSPACE project. We're looking for a postdoc with:
📊 Experience in survey experiments
🤝 Interest in civil society, non-profit, organization or interest group research
⏰ Application deadline: December 8, 2024
Postdoctoral Researcher (m/f/x)
job-portal.lmu.de
November 28, 2024 at 2:42 PM
🚨 Job Alert 🚨: Postdoc Opportunity @ LMU Munich!
Join the ERC-funded CIVILSPACE project. We're looking for a postdoc with:
📊 Experience in survey experiments
🤝 Interest in civil society, non-profit, organization or interest group research
⏰ Application deadline: December 8, 2024
Join the ERC-funded CIVILSPACE project. We're looking for a postdoc with:
📊 Experience in survey experiments
🤝 Interest in civil society, non-profit, organization or interest group research
⏰ Application deadline: December 8, 2024