OSINT Intuit™
@urikikaski.bsky.social
Clinical, unsparing, quietly damning OSINT analysis of the war in Ukraine. Focused on dismantling Russian disinformation and its war machine.
OSINT Intuit™ Assessment: Yasny Launch Failure
(2025-11-28) A large purple-red plume rose over Yasny in Russia’s Orenburg region today after an explosion was heard across the district. New video confirms the event was a failed missile launch from the Dombarovsky complex, home ...
#OSINT
1/8
(2025-11-28) A large purple-red plume rose over Yasny in Russia’s Orenburg region today after an explosion was heard across the district. New video confirms the event was a failed missile launch from the Dombarovsky complex, home ...
#OSINT
1/8
November 28, 2025 at 2:33 PM
OSINT Intuit™ Assessment: Yasny Launch Failure
(2025-11-28) A large purple-red plume rose over Yasny in Russia’s Orenburg region today after an explosion was heard across the district. New video confirms the event was a failed missile launch from the Dombarovsky complex, home ...
#OSINT
1/8
(2025-11-28) A large purple-red plume rose over Yasny in Russia’s Orenburg region today after an explosion was heard across the district. New video confirms the event was a failed missile launch from the Dombarovsky complex, home ...
#OSINT
1/8
Baikonur Pad Failure
Soyuz MS-28 launched from Baikonur on Nov 27 and reached the ISS safely. However, post-launch checks confirmed major structural damage at Pad 31/6 after the service structures under the pad collapsed into the flame trench.
#OSINT
1/5
Soyuz MS-28 launched from Baikonur on Nov 27 and reached the ISS safely. However, post-launch checks confirmed major structural damage at Pad 31/6 after the service structures under the pad collapsed into the flame trench.
#OSINT
1/5
November 28, 2025 at 12:02 PM
Baikonur Pad Failure
Soyuz MS-28 launched from Baikonur on Nov 27 and reached the ISS safely. However, post-launch checks confirmed major structural damage at Pad 31/6 after the service structures under the pad collapsed into the flame trench.
#OSINT
1/5
Soyuz MS-28 launched from Baikonur on Nov 27 and reached the ISS safely. However, post-launch checks confirmed major structural damage at Pad 31/6 after the service structures under the pad collapsed into the flame trench.
#OSINT
1/5
OSINT Intuit™ Whitkoff Leak Risk Model Update
New data from X, TG, US, EU, Russian, and UA sources and media moves the U.S. to the top tier and the EU to the 2nd.
1) U.S. IC: (55%)
2) EU or NATO aligned state (20%)
3) Ukraine (10%)
4) Russia (10%)
5) Rogue actor (5%)
#OSINT #WitkoffLeak
1/10
New data from X, TG, US, EU, Russian, and UA sources and media moves the U.S. to the top tier and the EU to the 2nd.
1) U.S. IC: (55%)
2) EU or NATO aligned state (20%)
3) Ukraine (10%)
4) Russia (10%)
5) Rogue actor (5%)
#OSINT #WitkoffLeak
1/10
November 28, 2025 at 11:21 AM
OSINT Intuit™ Whitkoff Leak Risk Model Update
New data from X, TG, US, EU, Russian, and UA sources and media moves the U.S. to the top tier and the EU to the 2nd.
1) U.S. IC: (55%)
2) EU or NATO aligned state (20%)
3) Ukraine (10%)
4) Russia (10%)
5) Rogue actor (5%)
#OSINT #WitkoffLeak
1/10
New data from X, TG, US, EU, Russian, and UA sources and media moves the U.S. to the top tier and the EU to the 2nd.
1) U.S. IC: (55%)
2) EU or NATO aligned state (20%)
3) Ukraine (10%)
4) Russia (10%)
5) Rogue actor (5%)
#OSINT #WitkoffLeak
1/10
Welcome to Ukraine, Moscovians! Santa's on his way.
This strike is huge!
Thanks to TG DroneBomber for the map! They are a hard working team so give them a follow if you can!
I have to go focus on family and Thanksgiving so good night and:
HAPPY U.S. THANKSGIVING!
#OSINT
This strike is huge!
Thanks to TG DroneBomber for the map! They are a hard working team so give them a follow if you can!
I have to go focus on family and Thanksgiving so good night and:
HAPPY U.S. THANKSGIVING!
#OSINT
November 27, 2025 at 8:24 PM
Welcome to Ukraine, Moscovians! Santa's on his way.
This strike is huge!
Thanks to TG DroneBomber for the map! They are a hard working team so give them a follow if you can!
I have to go focus on family and Thanksgiving so good night and:
HAPPY U.S. THANKSGIVING!
#OSINT
This strike is huge!
Thanks to TG DroneBomber for the map! They are a hard working team so give them a follow if you can!
I have to go focus on family and Thanksgiving so good night and:
HAPPY U.S. THANKSGIVING!
#OSINT
A Message Between the Lines: Europe Signals It Has More Than One Intercept.
A European intel service reportedly intercepted a call between Putin adviser Yuri Ushakov and U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff. They then passed details to journalists. That choice alone deserves attention.
#OSINT Intuit™
1/14
A European intel service reportedly intercepted a call between Putin adviser Yuri Ushakov and U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff. They then passed details to journalists. That choice alone deserves attention.
#OSINT Intuit™
1/14
November 27, 2025 at 11:39 AM
A Message Between the Lines: Europe Signals It Has More Than One Intercept.
A European intel service reportedly intercepted a call between Putin adviser Yuri Ushakov and U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff. They then passed details to journalists. That choice alone deserves attention.
#OSINT Intuit™
1/14
A European intel service reportedly intercepted a call between Putin adviser Yuri Ushakov and U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff. They then passed details to journalists. That choice alone deserves attention.
#OSINT Intuit™
1/14
Breaking: Transcript Shows US Envoy Coaching Kremlin on 28-Point Framework
Bloomberg released the phone transcripts of a call where US Envoy Steve Witkoff advised a senior aide to Vladimir Putin on how to pitch a Ukraine “peace plan” directly to the President.
1/7
Bloomberg released the phone transcripts of a call where US Envoy Steve Witkoff advised a senior aide to Vladimir Putin on how to pitch a Ukraine “peace plan” directly to the President.
1/7
November 26, 2025 at 3:22 PM
Breaking: Transcript Shows US Envoy Coaching Kremlin on 28-Point Framework
Bloomberg released the phone transcripts of a call where US Envoy Steve Witkoff advised a senior aide to Vladimir Putin on how to pitch a Ukraine “peace plan” directly to the President.
1/7
Bloomberg released the phone transcripts of a call where US Envoy Steve Witkoff advised a senior aide to Vladimir Putin on how to pitch a Ukraine “peace plan” directly to the President.
1/7
There are credible reports of multiple Tu-95MS and Tu-160 bombers rotating in and out of Engels over the past several days. This pattern is a known precursor to large-scale missile operations against Ukraine.
#OSINT
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November 26, 2025 at 2:18 PM
There are credible reports of multiple Tu-95MS and Tu-160 bombers rotating in and out of Engels over the past several days. This pattern is a known precursor to large-scale missile operations against Ukraine.
#OSINT
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#OSINT
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Moscovians are seen taking cover in basements, parking garages, and under highway overpasses during a Ukrainian strike on a radio plant in the city.
The last image is of a SAM smoke trail over Moscow. Many more were posted giving the UA GUR geolocation references to locate the launchers.
#OSINT
The last image is of a SAM smoke trail over Moscow. Many more were posted giving the UA GUR geolocation references to locate the launchers.
#OSINT
November 26, 2025 at 1:08 PM
Moscovians are seen taking cover in basements, parking garages, and under highway overpasses during a Ukrainian strike on a radio plant in the city.
The last image is of a SAM smoke trail over Moscow. Many more were posted giving the UA GUR geolocation references to locate the launchers.
#OSINT
The last image is of a SAM smoke trail over Moscow. Many more were posted giving the UA GUR geolocation references to locate the launchers.
#OSINT
Satellite imagery circulating on social media, without attribution, shows the AFU Bars jet UAV and Neptune-LR strike on the Beriev repair facility in Taganrog. The imagery confirms these:
• Building housing a Tu-95MS severely damaged;
• An A-60 destroyed;
• An Il-76 destroyed.
#OSINT Intuit™
• Building housing a Tu-95MS severely damaged;
• An A-60 destroyed;
• An Il-76 destroyed.
#OSINT Intuit™
November 25, 2025 at 7:05 PM
Satellite imagery circulating on social media, without attribution, shows the AFU Bars jet UAV and Neptune-LR strike on the Beriev repair facility in Taganrog. The imagery confirms these:
• Building housing a Tu-95MS severely damaged;
• An A-60 destroyed;
• An Il-76 destroyed.
#OSINT Intuit™
• Building housing a Tu-95MS severely damaged;
• An A-60 destroyed;
• An Il-76 destroyed.
#OSINT Intuit™
Weekly Rant – Trust Me, I Earned It
Why are we punishing a hero while rewarding Moscow? Why are White House priorities so confused, retaliatory, and misaligned with our own national interests?
#OSINT
1/6
Why are we punishing a hero while rewarding Moscow? Why are White House priorities so confused, retaliatory, and misaligned with our own national interests?
#OSINT
1/6
November 25, 2025 at 12:29 PM
Weekly Rant – Trust Me, I Earned It
Why are we punishing a hero while rewarding Moscow? Why are White House priorities so confused, retaliatory, and misaligned with our own national interests?
#OSINT
1/6
Why are we punishing a hero while rewarding Moscow? Why are White House priorities so confused, retaliatory, and misaligned with our own national interests?
#OSINT
1/6
Composite video from the AFU’s 414th Magyar’s Birds shows the Bars and Neptune LR strike package hitting the Beriev repair facility in Taganrog in the Rostov Region of Russia. The footage confirms that an A-50/60 airframe on site burns like the 350 million dollars it cost.
#OSINT
#OSINT
November 25, 2025 at 11:22 AM
Composite video from the AFU’s 414th Magyar’s Birds shows the Bars and Neptune LR strike package hitting the Beriev repair facility in Taganrog in the Rostov Region of Russia. The footage confirms that an A-50/60 airframe on site burns like the 350 million dollars it cost.
#OSINT
#OSINT
The AFU General Staff reports that a RuAF prototype A-60 “AWACS,” planned as the replacement for the A-50 Mainstay, was struck on the ground during a precision attack on Taganrog in the Rostov Region last night.
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November 25, 2025 at 11:11 AM
The AFU General Staff reports that a RuAF prototype A-60 “AWACS,” planned as the replacement for the A-50 Mainstay, was struck on the ground during a precision attack on Taganrog in the Rostov Region last night.
#OSINT
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#OSINT
1/3
The negotiations in Geneva on Sunday did not go the way Putin wanted. Hours later, someone gave the order to bomb the hell out of Kyiv.
This is a familiar pattern. Russia escalates when diplomatic momentum shifts against it and the missiles come out.
#OSINT
1/2
This is a familiar pattern. Russia escalates when diplomatic momentum shifts against it and the missiles come out.
#OSINT
1/2
November 25, 2025 at 10:27 AM
The negotiations in Geneva on Sunday did not go the way Putin wanted. Hours later, someone gave the order to bomb the hell out of Kyiv.
This is a familiar pattern. Russia escalates when diplomatic momentum shifts against it and the missiles come out.
#OSINT
1/2
This is a familiar pattern. Russia escalates when diplomatic momentum shifts against it and the missiles come out.
#OSINT
1/2
Traffic on the Kerch Bridge has been suspended. The entire Crimean peninsula is now under a Storm Shadow and Neptune missile alert.
Good.
#OSINT
Good.
#OSINT
November 25, 2025 at 9:53 AM
Traffic on the Kerch Bridge has been suspended. The entire Crimean peninsula is now under a Storm Shadow and Neptune missile alert.
Good.
#OSINT
Good.
#OSINT
The Plan No One Wants to Own: Allies in Geneva Tiptoe Around a Political Minefield
Ukraine and EU representatives emerging from their meeting with U.S. Secretary of State Rubio in Geneva yesterday described “significant progress” and voiced optimism about nearing a final agreement.
#OSINT
1/7
Ukraine and EU representatives emerging from their meeting with U.S. Secretary of State Rubio in Geneva yesterday described “significant progress” and voiced optimism about nearing a final agreement.
#OSINT
1/7
November 24, 2025 at 11:00 PM
The Plan No One Wants to Own: Allies in Geneva Tiptoe Around a Political Minefield
Ukraine and EU representatives emerging from their meeting with U.S. Secretary of State Rubio in Geneva yesterday described “significant progress” and voiced optimism about nearing a final agreement.
#OSINT
1/7
Ukraine and EU representatives emerging from their meeting with U.S. Secretary of State Rubio in Geneva yesterday described “significant progress” and voiced optimism about nearing a final agreement.
#OSINT
1/7
BREAKING - Lavrov Admits What Washington Won’t: The 28-Point Plan Was Russia’s All Along
The White House is now scrambling to contain the fallout from its disastrous handling of the 28-Point “Peace Plan,” a document that now appears to have come through a Kremlin-influenced ...
#OSINT
1/14
The White House is now scrambling to contain the fallout from its disastrous handling of the 28-Point “Peace Plan,” a document that now appears to have come through a Kremlin-influenced ...
#OSINT
1/14
November 24, 2025 at 1:14 PM
BREAKING - Lavrov Admits What Washington Won’t: The 28-Point Plan Was Russia’s All Along
The White House is now scrambling to contain the fallout from its disastrous handling of the 28-Point “Peace Plan,” a document that now appears to have come through a Kremlin-influenced ...
#OSINT
1/14
The White House is now scrambling to contain the fallout from its disastrous handling of the 28-Point “Peace Plan,” a document that now appears to have come through a Kremlin-influenced ...
#OSINT
1/14
The 28-point “peace plan” asks Ukraine to pardon and reward Russia while scenes like this unfold. How do you convince the citizenry of Ukraine, like this father in Ternopil rocking his child for the last time, to somehow live peacefully alongside an ...
#OSINT
#OSINT
November 24, 2025 at 11:50 AM
The 28-point “peace plan” asks Ukraine to pardon and reward Russia while scenes like this unfold. How do you convince the citizenry of Ukraine, like this father in Ternopil rocking his child for the last time, to somehow live peacefully alongside an ...
#OSINT
#OSINT
Foreign capital now flows into the president’s private crypto venture. His envoy, who holds a stake in that venture, met with Vladimir Putin behind closed doors. The result was a 28-point Ukraine plan that mirrors long-standing Kremlin demands and bypasses NATO’s security framework.
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November 23, 2025 at 3:56 PM
Foreign capital now flows into the president’s private crypto venture. His envoy, who holds a stake in that venture, met with Vladimir Putin behind closed doors. The result was a 28-point Ukraine plan that mirrors long-standing Kremlin demands and bypasses NATO’s security framework.
#OSINT
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#OSINT
1/2
“Too many Americans carry the same buried and uncertain emotional fear of intimidation or reprisal that the Free French who stayed in France felt during the Second World War, although they have no awareness of the connection.” — OSINT Intuit™
#OSINT
#OSINT
November 22, 2025 at 3:06 PM
“Too many Americans carry the same buried and uncertain emotional fear of intimidation or reprisal that the Free French who stayed in France felt during the Second World War, although they have no awareness of the connection.” — OSINT Intuit™
#OSINT
#OSINT
Reuters confirms that President Trump’s son and his special envoy met in private with a sanctioned Kremlin proxy in Miami to help draft the new “peace plan” for Ukraine. This leaves the administration wide open to serious counterintelligence and influence-risk concerns.
www.reuters.com/worl...
www.reuters.com/worl...
November 22, 2025 at 2:57 PM
Reuters confirms that President Trump’s son and his special envoy met in private with a sanctioned Kremlin proxy in Miami to help draft the new “peace plan” for Ukraine. This leaves the administration wide open to serious counterintelligence and influence-risk concerns.
www.reuters.com/worl...
www.reuters.com/worl...
"Most Americans carry the same buried emotions the Free French who stay at home felt in the Second World War, although they have no awareness of it." -- OSINT Intuit™
#OSINT
#OSINT
November 22, 2025 at 1:30 PM
"Most Americans carry the same buried emotions the Free French who stay at home felt in the Second World War, although they have no awareness of it." -- OSINT Intuit™
#OSINT
#OSINT
"Throughout our history, America's darkest days have always been followed by its finest hours." -- Aaron Sorkin "The Newsroom"
November 22, 2025 at 12:32 PM
"Throughout our history, America's darkest days have always been followed by its finest hours." -- Aaron Sorkin "The Newsroom"
Content Delivery on Hold
I am finishing an investigative study on the origins of the White House’s policy role in the Russo-Ukrainian war, a role that runs against U.S. national security interests. The evidence shows a policy pulled toward Moscow, and this report will expose the reasons.
#OSINT
I am finishing an investigative study on the origins of the White House’s policy role in the Russo-Ukrainian war, a role that runs against U.S. national security interests. The evidence shows a policy pulled toward Moscow, and this report will expose the reasons.
#OSINT
November 22, 2025 at 12:10 PM
Content Delivery on Hold
I am finishing an investigative study on the origins of the White House’s policy role in the Russo-Ukrainian war, a role that runs against U.S. national security interests. The evidence shows a policy pulled toward Moscow, and this report will expose the reasons.
#OSINT
I am finishing an investigative study on the origins of the White House’s policy role in the Russo-Ukrainian war, a role that runs against U.S. national security interests. The evidence shows a policy pulled toward Moscow, and this report will expose the reasons.
#OSINT