OSINT Intuit™
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urikikaski.bsky.social
OSINT Intuit™
@urikikaski.bsky.social
Clinical, unsparing, quietly damning OSINT analysis of geopolitical events. Providing timely context before the narrative war begins.
Russian spotters are reporting a large-scale Ukrainian drone strike. Areas impacted include: Volgograd, Rostov, Kuban, TOTs of Donetsk | Luhansk, and TOT of Crimea.

Map: TG Drone Bomber (Red = Piston C-UAV, Blue = Jet Drones like Flamingo, Palianytsia, Peklo, etc.).

#OSINT
January 29, 2026 at 9:27 PM
‼️🚨Energy Truce, The Rest of the Story

Trump: "I personally asked Pres. Putin not to fire into #Kyiv and the various towns for a week and he agreed to do that. And I have to say it was very nice and a lot of people said don't waste the call. And he did it and we are very happy he did it." #OSINT
January 29, 2026 at 8:51 PM
Ukrainian General Staff: A Russin 1L119 "Nebo-SVU" radar station was hit in Limarivka, TOT of Luhansk region.

#OSINT
January 29, 2026 at 4:00 PM
FPV footage from a Russian Starlink-equipped BM-35 C-UAV striking what UA sources claim is a "mockup" of and F-16 near Kropivnitsky.

Geolocation: 48.563663, 32.391276

#OSINT

I explain how Ukraine and Starlink can disable Russian systems here: x.com/UKikaski/statu...
January 29, 2026 at 3:00 PM
"Russia Now Loses as Many Troops in One Month in Ukraine as the USSR Did in 10 Years in Afghanistan"

united24media.com/wa...

#OSINT
Russia Now Loses as Many Troops in One Month in Ukraine as the USSR Did in 10 Years in Afghanistan
Russia now loses as many, if not more, troops in a month in Ukraine than it did in 10 years in Afghanistan, with no protests at home.
united24media.com
January 29, 2026 at 2:00 PM
First 2026 nomination for the Katsap SVO Hall of Fame: "The Penguin Suit"

#OSINT
January 29, 2026 at 1:30 PM
13:00 UTC: "The Ukrainian Ministry of Defense, together with the SpaceX company, is already solving the problem of using Starlink on Russian UAVs," - Mykhailo Federov

I suspect it is a variation of creating a registry (white list) for Starlink terminals allowed to operate in Ukraine.

#OSINT
January 29, 2026 at 1:16 PM
𝗣𝗼𝘁𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗶𝗮𝗹 𝗠𝘂𝘁𝘂𝗮𝗹 𝗘𝗻𝗲𝗿𝗴𝘆 𝗧𝗿𝘂𝗰𝗲

Reports from Russian war correspondents and pro-Russian Telegram channels indicate a rumored "order from above" issued to Russian forces, effective from approximately 7:00 a.m. Moscow time on January 29, 2026, ...

#OSINT
1/3
January 29, 2026 at 1:00 PM
Reports indicate the Iranian flagged dry bulk carrier CASPIAN SHIVA is sinking in the Caspian Sea after a puncture of unknown cause flooded the engine room.

Authorities state there are 10 crew members aboard but rescue operations have been suspended due to seas exceeding 2-meters.

#OSINT
January 29, 2026 at 11:11 AM
𝗛𝗼𝘄 𝘁𝗼 𝗚𝗲𝘁 𝗮 𝗗𝗶𝘀𝗽𝗼𝘀𝗮𝗯𝗹𝗲 𝘁𝗼 𝗗𝗲𝗹𝗶𝘃𝗲𝗿 𝗔𝗺𝗺𝗼 𝗶𝗻 𝗕𝗿𝗼𝗮𝗱 𝗗𝗮𝘆𝗹𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘁

This is the second video of a Russian camouflaged as a bird. The costumes are identical and may be produced by the same volunteer networks that sew ponchos and other field clothing.

#OSINT
January 29, 2026 at 10:52 AM
𝗧𝗵𝗲𝗿𝗲 𝗶𝘀 𝗮 𝘀𝘁𝗿𝗮𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘁𝗳𝗼𝗿𝘄𝗮𝗿𝗱 𝘀𝗼𝗹𝘂𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝘁𝗼 𝗽𝗿𝗲𝘃𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝗥𝘂𝘀𝘀𝗶𝗮 𝗳𝗿𝗼𝗺 𝘂𝘀𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗦𝘁𝗮𝗿𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗸 𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗿 𝗨𝗸𝗿𝗮𝗶𝗻𝗶𝗮𝗻 𝘁𝗲𝗿𝗿𝗶𝘁𝗼𝗿𝘆. 𝗔𝗹𝗹 𝘁𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝗶𝘀 𝗻𝗲𝗲𝗱𝗲𝗱 𝗶𝘀 𝗮 𝗱𝗲𝗰𝗶𝘀𝗶𝗼𝗻.
1/6
January 29, 2026 at 9:41 AM
Incredible image of a Russian Lancet loitering munition that failed to reach its intended target after becoming entangled in anti-drone netting installed to protect logistics corridors.

#OSINT
January 28, 2026 at 10:30 PM
There is a credible possibility that Russia lost two combat aircraft today.

An Su-34 reportedly crashed in the Saratov region due to a malfunction. The crew is also reported lost.

Separately, an Su-30 was shot down by the Armed Forces of Ukraine in southern Ukraine.

#OSINT
January 28, 2026 at 10:14 PM
I don't know about you, but Slovak PM Robert Fico's warning fellow EU leaders that Тгцмр is unstable and exhibits "dangerous" behavior is astonishing.

www.yahoo.com/news/a...

#OSINT

Slovak PM calls Trump's mental state "dangerous" after Mar-a-Lago meeting – Politico
Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico expressed shock over US President Donald Trump's mental state after a personal meeting at Mar-a-Lago, according to Politico.
www.yahoo.com
January 28, 2026 at 1:01 PM
The "previous" Volkswagen plant in Kaluga, Russia, is on fire. It appears as if the entire structure is involved.

The authorities state the fire started in a "workshop." Smoking...

The plant currently manufacturers "Tenet" brand SUVs and crossovers using kits made in China.

#OSINT
January 28, 2026 at 12:19 PM
These Russian amputees filmed video pleas saying they were unfit to return to combat. Really? Each of you can destroy an FPV drone on your own increasing the survival odds of others. Quit bitching and finish the job Putin hired you to do... fertilize.

#OSINT

January 28, 2026 at 11:29 AM
Compilation of Ukrainian SBU Alpha Group C-UAV strikes on Russian airfields in the past year resulting in the following losses totaling $1 billion:

- 11 Fighter/Bombers: Su-30SM, Su-34, Su-27, Su-24, MiG-31
- 3 Helicopters: Mi-28, Mi-26, Mi-8
- 1 Transport: An-26

Note: Not all are listed.

#OSINT
January 28, 2026 at 10:46 AM
No helmets.
No tactical gear.
No weapons.
No proper winter clothing.

The “Second Army” of a so-called superpower is reduced to wandering, delirious vagabonds, scavenging for survival.

#OSINT
January 28, 2026 at 10:18 AM
"Five people were killed today in a Russian strike on a passenger train in the Kharkiv region," President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said.

#OSINT #Ukraine #UkraineRussiaWar
January 28, 2026 at 12:00 AM
This Russian is cold, spent, and shows no situational awareness. He appears to be missing a boot, or suffered a shoe failure, and wrapped his foot with cloth. Needless to say, his search for new boots ended today.

#OSINT
January 27, 2026 at 11:06 PM
Video showing a substation in Moscow shorting out and catching fire. The most likely cause is emergency rerouting of electricity due to drone strikes on other infrastructure that exceeded the facility’s handling capacity.

#OSINT
January 27, 2026 at 11:00 PM
Russian utility crews are seen struggling to repair downed power lines in Murmansk and Severomorsk, Russia. They have no vehicles, no lifts, and no modern equipment. This is how they live in the toiletless steppes of hell; failing Soviet infrastructure with billions spent killing Ukrainians.

#OSINT
January 27, 2026 at 10:40 PM
𝗥𝘂𝘀𝘀𝗶𝗮’𝘀 𝗖𝘂𝗿𝗿𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝗧𝗲𝗿𝗿𝗶𝘁𝗼𝗿𝗶𝗮𝗹 𝗖𝗹𝗮𝗶𝗺𝘀 𝘃𝘀. 𝘁𝗵𝗲 “𝗔𝗻𝗰𝗵𝗼𝗿𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗺𝘂𝗹𝗮”
𝙍𝙪𝙨𝙨𝙞𝙖’𝙨 𝘾𝙪𝙧𝙧𝙚𝙣𝙩 𝙏𝙚𝙧𝙧𝙞𝙩𝙤𝙧𝙞𝙖𝙡 𝘾𝙡𝙖𝙞𝙢𝙨 𝘼𝙨 𝙤𝙛 𝙡𝙖𝙩𝙚 𝙅𝙖𝙣𝙪𝙖𝙧𝙮 2026
1/15
January 27, 2026 at 1:36 PM
The situation in Odesa, Ukraine, today is dire after a massive Russian strike during the night targeting energy infrastructure, apartment complexes and other non-military target. There are 23 casualties including two children and a pregnant woman, one of whom is in a "critical" condition.

#OSINT
January 27, 2026 at 10:53 AM
Ukraine is being coerced by the White House into surrendering the uncaptured areas of the Donbas by conditioning security guarantees on territorial capitulation. It appears the White House has accepted Putin’s red line as a formal condition for Ukraine’s survival after the war. - Politico, FT #OSINT
January 27, 2026 at 10:10 AM