The Upshot
@upshot.nytimes.com
Data, charts, analysis and games from The New York Times: nytimes.com/upshot
This article from October 2024 suggests Trump never saw the economy/affordability as the No. 1 issue, disagreeing with his advisers about it:
www.nytimes.com/2024/10/19/u...
www.nytimes.com/2024/10/19/u...
November 10, 2025 at 11:32 PM
This article from October 2024 suggests Trump never saw the economy/affordability as the No. 1 issue, disagreeing with his advisers about it:
www.nytimes.com/2024/10/19/u...
www.nytimes.com/2024/10/19/u...
A year and a half ago, a team at the Upshot had a simple request: Look — really look — at a work of art for 10 minutes. The response has blown them away.
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/09/i...
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/09/i...
November 10, 2025 at 5:23 PM
A year and a half ago, a team at the Upshot had a simple request: Look — really look — at a work of art for 10 minutes. The response has blown them away.
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/09/i...
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/09/i...
The Sierra Club gave up its singular focus on climate change for a broader agenda. it's now in the middle of an implosion — left weakened, distracted and divided just as environmental protections are under assault.
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/07/u...
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/07/u...
November 9, 2025 at 12:30 AM
The Sierra Club gave up its singular focus on climate change for a broader agenda. it's now in the middle of an implosion — left weakened, distracted and divided just as environmental protections are under assault.
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/07/u...
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/07/u...
We've restarted our snow forecast file for the year. There's quite a bit of snow expected in the Great Lakes region starting Sunday.
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
November 8, 2025 at 10:51 PM
We've restarted our snow forecast file for the year. There's quite a bit of snow expected in the Great Lakes region starting Sunday.
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
November 8, 2025 at 3:56 PM
November 5, 2025 at 8:02 PM
November 5, 2025 at 3:02 AM
The numbers when the race was called.
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
November 5, 2025 at 2:40 AM
The numbers when the race was called.
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
It's early, but our live forecast suggests Mikie Sherrill will finish with around 55 percent of the vote.
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
November 5, 2025 at 1:50 AM
It's early, but our live forecast suggests Mikie Sherrill will finish with around 55 percent of the vote.
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
A huge early lead for Sherrill in N.J., and our forecasting model thinks the rest of the vote is fairly evenly split.
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
November 5, 2025 at 1:21 AM
A huge early lead for Sherrill in N.J., and our forecasting model thinks the rest of the vote is fairly evenly split.
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
Our forecast model has Jay Jones, the Democratic candidate for attorney general in Virginia, finishing with around 53 percent of the vote.
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
November 5, 2025 at 12:57 AM
Our forecast model has Jay Jones, the Democratic candidate for attorney general in Virginia, finishing with around 53 percent of the vote.
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
Our forecasting model now sees Spanberger finishing with around 57 percent of the vote.
Our forecasting model now sees Spanberger finishing with around 57 percent of the vote.
November 5, 2025 at 12:50 AM
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
Our forecasting model now sees Spanberger finishing with around 57 percent of the vote.
Our forecasting model now sees Spanberger finishing with around 57 percent of the vote.
Virginia results:
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
November 5, 2025 at 12:39 AM
Virginia results:
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
A final look at the Virginia polls, with an hour to go before polls close in the state.
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
November 4, 2025 at 11:00 PM
A final look at the Virginia polls, with an hour to go before polls close in the state.
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
November 4, 2025 at 3:43 PM
AtlasIntel is the only pollster showing a single-digit race for NYC mayor, and it's also a bit of an outlier in showing the New Jersey governor's race as essentially a tossup (Sherrill +1), so tonight is something of a test of its polling as well.
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
November 4, 2025 at 3:39 PM
AtlasIntel is the only pollster showing a single-digit race for NYC mayor, and it's also a bit of an outlier in showing the New Jersey governor's race as essentially a tossup (Sherrill +1), so tonight is something of a test of its polling as well.
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
What the polls suggest on the day before the election in New Jersey.
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
November 3, 2025 at 9:41 PM
What the polls suggest on the day before the election in New Jersey.
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
November 3, 2025 at 3:16 PM
Anger Over ICE Raids Is Driving Some Latino Voters to the Polls
Bur Democrats are concerned that the immigration crackdown will hurt Latino turnout Tuesday. From NYT Politics:
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/02/u...
Bur Democrats are concerned that the immigration crackdown will hurt Latino turnout Tuesday. From NYT Politics:
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/02/u...
November 2, 2025 at 9:04 PM
Anger Over ICE Raids Is Driving Some Latino Voters to the Polls
Bur Democrats are concerned that the immigration crackdown will hurt Latino turnout Tuesday. From NYT Politics:
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/02/u...
Bur Democrats are concerned that the immigration crackdown will hurt Latino turnout Tuesday. From NYT Politics:
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/02/u...
November 2, 2025 at 7:06 PM
November 2, 2025 at 12:18 AM
What New Jersey Could Reveal About the Rightward Shift of Hispanic Voters
A governor’s race will test the durability of the gains Trump made in 2024
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/30/u...
A governor’s race will test the durability of the gains Trump made in 2024
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/30/u...
November 1, 2025 at 7:59 PM
What New Jersey Could Reveal About the Rightward Shift of Hispanic Voters
A governor’s race will test the durability of the gains Trump made in 2024
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/30/u...
A governor’s race will test the durability of the gains Trump made in 2024
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/30/u...
Companies Have Shielded Buyers From Tariffs. But Not for Long.
Cars, toys and tea are among products set to get more expensive as tariffs weigh on corporate profits.
From NYT Business:
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/24/b...
Cars, toys and tea are among products set to get more expensive as tariffs weigh on corporate profits.
From NYT Business:
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/24/b...
October 27, 2025 at 1:31 PM
Companies Have Shielded Buyers From Tariffs. But Not for Long.
Cars, toys and tea are among products set to get more expensive as tariffs weigh on corporate profits.
From NYT Business:
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/24/b...
Cars, toys and tea are among products set to get more expensive as tariffs weigh on corporate profits.
From NYT Business:
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/24/b...
October 25, 2025 at 5:03 PM
October 25, 2025 at 4:39 PM