troisvallees.bsky.social
@troisvallees.bsky.social
Reposted
2. Russia isn’t a great power, so stop thinking of it as one.
January 1, 2026 at 4:55 PM
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After four years – equivalent to all of the US Civil War or almost all of WW1 - it’s no closer to this goal than it was in 2022. There’s no reason to think that Russia, with a weaker economy, will do in 2026 or 2027 what it was unable to do in 2022-2025.
January 1, 2026 at 4:55 PM
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Russia’s only real chances to win anything in Ukraine are political – by convincing the US and Europe that it’s inevitably winning. Take that away, and Russia looks much more vulnerable.
January 1, 2026 at 4:55 PM